ADDENDA.

Speculative as is much of the foregoing essay, it appears undesirable to

include in it anything still more speculative. For this reason I have

decided to set forth separately some views concerning the genesis of the

so-called elements during nebular condensation, and concerning the

accompanying physical effects. At the same time it has seemed best to

detach from the essay some of the more debatable conclusions originally

contained in it; so that its general argument may not be needlessly

implicated with them. These new portions, together with the old portions

which re-appear more or less modified, I here append in a series of

notes.

NOTE I. For the belief that the so-called elements are compound there

are both special reasons and general reasons. Among the special may be

named the parallelism between allotropy and isomerism; the numerous

lines in the spectrum of each element; and the cyclical law of Newlands

and Mendeljeff. Of the more general reasons, which, as distinguished

from these chemical or chemico-physical ones, may fitly be called

cosmical, the following are the chief.

The general law of evolution, if it does not actually involve the

conclusion that the so-called elements are compounds, yet affords _a

priori_ ground for suspecting that they are such. The implication is

that, while the matter composing the Solar System has progressed

physically from that relatively-homogeneous state which it had as a

nebula to that relatively-heterogeneous state presented by Sun, planets,

and satellites, it has also progressed chemically, from the

relatively-homogeneous state in which it was composed of one or a few

types of matter, to that relatively-heterogeneous state in which it is

composed of many types of matter very diverse in their properties. This

deduction from the law which holds throughout the cosmos as now known to

us, would have much weight even were it unsupported by induction; but a

survey of chemical phenomena at large discloses several groups of

inductive evidences supporting it.

The first is that since the cooling of the Earth reached an advanced

stage, the components of its crust have been ever increasing in

heterogeneity. When the so-called elements, originally existing in a

dissociated state, united into oxides, acids, and other binary

compounds, the total number of different substances was immensely

augmented, the new substances were more complex than the old, and their

properties were more varied. That is, the assemblage became more

heterogeneous in its kinds, in the composition of each kind, and in the

range of chemical characters. When, at a later period, there arose salts

and other compounds of similar degrees of complexity, there was again an

increase of heterogeneity, alike in the aggregate and in its members.

And when, still later, matters classed as organic became possible, the

multiformity was yet further augmented in kindred ways. If, then,

chemical evolution, so far as we can trace it, has been from the

homogeneous to the heterogeneous, may we not fairly suppose that it has

been so from the beginning? If, from late stages in the Earth's history,

we run back, and find the lines of chemical evolution continually

converging, until they bring us to bodies which we cannot decompose, may

we not suspect that, could we run back these lines still further, we

should come to still decreasing heterogeneity in the number and nature

of the substances, until we reached something like homogeneity?

A parallel argument may be derived from consideration of the affinities

and stabilities of chemical compounds. Beginning with the complex

nitrogenous bodies out of which living things are formed, and which, in

the history of the Earth, are the most modern, at the same time that

they are the most heterogeneous, we see that the affinities and

stabilities of these are extremely small. Their molecules do not enter

bodily into union with those of other substances so as to form more

complex compounds still, and their components often fail to hold

together under ordinary conditions. A stage lower in degree of

composition we come to the vast assemblage of oxy-hydro-carbons, numbers

of which show many and decided affinities, and are stable at common

temperatures. Passing to the inorganic group, we are shown by the salts

&c. strong affinities between their components and unions which are, in

many cases, not very easily broken. And then when we come to the oxides,

acids, and other binary compounds, we see that in many cases the

elements of which they are formed, when brought into the presence of one

another under favourable conditions, unite with violence; and that many

of their unions cannot be dissolved by heat alone. If, then, as we go

back from the most modern and most complex substances to the most

ancient and simplest substances, we see, on the average, a great

increase in affinity and stability, it results that if the same law

holds with the simplest substances known to us, the components of these,

if they are compound, may be assumed to have united with affinities far

more intense than any we have experience of, and to cling together with

tenacities far exceeding the tenacities with which chemistry acquaints

us. Hence the existence of a class of substances which are

undecomposable and therefore seem simple, appears to be an implication;

and the corollary is that these were formed during early stages of

terrestrial concentration, under conditions of heat and pressure which

we cannot now parallel.

Yet another support for the belief that the so-called elements are

compounds, is derived from a comparison of them, considered as an

aggregate ascending in their molecular weights, with the aggregate of

bodies known to be compound, similarly considered in their ascending

molecular weights. Contrast the binary compounds as a class with the

quaternary compounds as a class. The molecules constituting oxides

(whether alkaline or acid or neutral) chlorides, sulphurets, &c. are

relatively small; and, combining with great avidity, form stable

compounds. On the other hand, the molecules constituting nitrogenous

bodies are relatively vast and are chemically inert; and such

combinations as their simpler types enter into, cannot withstand

disturbing forces. Now a like difference is seen if we contrast with one

another the so-called elements. Those of relatively-low molecular

weights--oxygen, hydrogen, potassium, sodium, &c.,--show great readiness

to unite among themselves; and, indeed, many of them cannot be prevented

from uniting under ordinary conditions. Contrariwise, under ordinary

conditions the substances of high molecular weights--the "noble

metals"--are indifferent to other substances; and such compounds as they

do form under conditions specially adjusted, are easily destroyed. Thus

as, among the bodies we know to be compound, increasing molecular weight

is associated with the appearance of certain characters, and as, among

the bodies we class as simple, increasing molecular weight is

associated with the appearance of similar characters, the composite

nature of the elements is in another way pointed to.

There has to be added one further class of phenomena, congruous with

those above named, which here specially concerns us. Looking generally

at chemical unions, we see that the heat evolved usually decreases as

the degree of composition, and consequent massiveness, of the molecules,

increases. In the first place, we have the fact that during the

formation of simple compounds the heat evolved is much greater than that

which is evolved during the formation of complex compounds: the

elements, when uniting with one another, usually give out much heat;

while, when the compounds they form are recompounded, but little heat is

given out; and, as shown by the experiments of Prof. Andrews, the heat

given out during the union of acids and bases is habitually smaller

where the molecular weight of the base is greater. Then, in the second

place, we see that among the elements themselves, the unions of those

having low molecular weights result in far more heat than do the unions

of those having high molecular weights. If we proceed on the supposition

that the so-called elements are compounds, and if this law, if not

universal, holds of undecomposable substances as of decomposable, then

there are two implications. The one is that those compoundings and

recompoundings by which the elements were formed, must have been

accompanied by degrees of heat exceeding any degrees of heat known to

us. The other is that among these compoundings and recompoundings

themselves, those by which the small-moleculed elements were formed

produced more intense heat than those by which the large-moleculed

elements were formed: the elements formed by the final recompoundings

being necessarily later in origin, and at the same time less stable,

than the earlier-formed ones.

NOTE II. May we from these propositions, and especially from the last,

draw any conclusions respecting the evolution of heat during nebular

condensation? And do such conclusions affect in any way the conclusions

now current?

In the first place, it seems inferable from physico-chemical facts at

large, that only through the instrumentality of those combinations which

formed the elements, did the concentration of diffused nebulous matter

into concrete masses become possible. If we remember that hydrogen and

oxygen in their uncombined states oppose, the one an insuperable and the

other an almost insuperable, resistance to liquefaction, while when

combined the compound assumes the liquid state with facility, we may

suspect that in like manner the simpler types of matter out of which the

elements were formed, could not have been reduced even to such degrees

of density as the known gases show us, without what we may call

proto-chemical unions: the implication being that after the heat

resulting from each of such proto-chemical unions had escaped, mutual

gravitation of the parts was able to produce further condensation of the

nebulous mass.

If we thus distinguish between the two sources of heat accompanying

nebular condensation--the heat due to proto-chemical combinations and

that due to the contraction caused by gravitation (both of them,

however, being interpretable as consequent on loss of motion), it may be

inferred that they take different shares during the earlier and during

the later stages of aggregation. It seems probable that while the

diffusion is great and the force of mutual gravitation small, the chief

source of heat is combination of units of matter, simpler than any known

to us, into such units of matter as those we know; while, conversely,

when there has been reached close aggregation, the chief source of heat

is gravitation, with consequent pressure and gradual contraction.

Supposing this to be so, let us ask what may be inferred. If at the time

when the nebulous spheroid from which the Solar System resulted, filled

the orbit of Neptune, it had reached such a degree of density as

enabled those units of matter which compose the sodium molecules to

enter into combination; and if, in conformity with the analogies above

indicated, the heat evolved by this proto-chemical combination was great

compared with the heats evolved by the chemical combinations known to

us; the implication is that the nebulous spheroid, in the course of its

contraction, would have to get rid of a much larger quantity of heat

than it would, did it commence at any ordinary temperature and had only

to lose the heat consequent on contraction. That is to say, in

estimating the past period during which solar emission of heat has been

going on at a high rate, much must depend on the initial temperature

assumed; and this may have been rendered intense by the proto-chemical

changes which took place in early stages.[21]

Respecting the future duration of the solar heat, there must also be

differences between the estimates made according as we do or do not take

into account the proto-chemical changes which possibly have still to

take place. True as it may be that the quantity of heat to be emitted

is measured by the quantity of motion to be lost, and that this must be

the same whether the approximation of the molecules is effected by

chemical unions, or by mutual gravitation, or by both; yet, evidently,

everything must turn on the degree of condensation supposed to be

eventually reached; and this must in large measure depend on the natures

of the substances eventually formed. Though, by spectrum-analysis,

platinum has recently been detected in the solar atmosphere, it seems

clear that the metals of low molecular weights greatly predominate; and

supposing the foregoing arguments to be valid, it may be inferred, as

not improbable, that the compoundings and recompoundings by which the

heavy-moleculed elements are produced, not hitherto possible in large

measure, will hereafter take place; and that, as a result, the Sun's

density will finally become very great in comparison with what it is

now. I say "not hitherto possible in large measure", because it is a

feasible supposition that they may be formed, and can continue to exist,

only in certain outer parts of the Solar mass, where the pressure is

sufficiently great while the heat is not too great. And if this be so,

the implication is that the interior body of the Sun, higher in

temperature than its peripheral layers, may consist wholly of the metals

of low atomic weights, and that this may be a part cause of his low

specific gravity; and a further implication is that when, in course of

time, the internal temperature falls, the heavy-moleculed elements, as

they severally become capable of existing in it, may arise: the

formation of each having an evolution of heat as its concomitant.[22] If

so, it would seem to follow that the amount of heat to be emitted by

the Sun, and the length of the period during which the emission will go

on, must be taken as much greater than if the Sun is supposed to be

permanently constituted of the elements now predominating in him, and to

be capable of only that degree of condensation which such composition

permits.

NOTE III. Are the internal structures of celestial bodies all the same,

or do they differ? And if they differ, can we, from the process of

nebular condensation, infer the conditions under which they assume one

or other character? In the foregoing essay as originally published,

these questions were discussed; and though the conclusions reached

cannot be sustained in the form given to them, they foreshadow

conclusions which may, perhaps, be sustained. Referring to the

conceivable causes of unlike specific gravities in the members of the

solar system, it was said that these might be--

"1. Differences between the kinds of matter or matters composing

them. 2. Differences between the quantities of matter; for, other

things equal, the mutual gravitation of atoms will make a large

mass denser than a small one. 3. Differences between the

structures: the masses being either solid or liquid throughout, or

having central cavities filled with elastic aeriform substance. Of

these three conceivable causes, that commonly assigned is the

first, more or less modified by the second."

Written as this was before spectrum-analysis had made its disclosures,

no notice could of course be taken of the way in which these conflict

with the first of the foregoing suppositions; but after pointing out

other objections to it the argument continued thus:--

"However, spite of these difficulties, the current hypothesis is,

that the Sun and planets, inclusive of the Earth, are either solid

or liquid, or have solid crusts with liquid nuclei."[23]

After saying that the familiarity of this hypothesis must not delude us

into uncritical acceptance of it, but that if any other hypothesis is

physically possible it may reasonably be entertained, it was argued that

by tracing out the process of condensation in a nebulous spheroid, we

are led to infer the eventual formation of a molten shell with a nucleus

consisting of gaseous matter at high tension. The paragraph which then

follows runs thus:--

"But what," it may be asked, "will become of this gaseous nucleus

when exposed to the enormous gravitative pressure of a shell some

thousands of miles thick? How can aeriform matter withstand such a

pressure?" Very readily. It has been proved that, even when the

heat generated by compression is allowed to escape, some gases

remain uncondensible by any force we can produce. An unsuccessful

attempt lately made in Vienna to liquify oxygen, clearly shows this

enormous resistance. The steel piston employed was literally

shortened by the pressure used; and yet the gas remained

unliquified! If, then, the expansive force is thus immense when the

heat evolved is dissipated, what must it be when that heat is in

great measure detained, as in the case we are considering? Indeed

the experiences of M. Cagniard de Latour have shown that gases may,

under pressure, acquire the density of liquids while retaining the

aeriform state, provided the temperature continues extremely high.

In such a case, every addition to the heat is an addition to the

repulsive power of the atoms: the increased pressure itself

generates an increased ability to resist; and this remains true to

whatever extent the compression is carried. Indeed it is a

corollary from the persistence of force that if, under increasing

pressure, a gas retains all the heat evolved, its resisting force

is _absolutely unlimited_. Hence the internal planetary structure

we have described is as physically stable a one as that commonly

assumed."

Had this paragraph, and the subsequent paragraphs, been written five

years later, when Prof. Andrews had published an account of his

researches, the propositions they contain, while rendered more specific

and at the same time more defensible, would perhaps have been freed from

the erroneous implication that the internal structure indicated is an

universal one. Let us, while guided by Prof. Andrews' results, consider

what would probably be the successive changes in a condensing nebulous

spheroid.

Prof. Andrews has shown that for each kind of gaseous matter there is a

temperature above which no amount of pressure can cause liquefaction.

The remark, made _a priori_ in the above extract, "that if, under

increasing pressure, a gas retains all the heat evolved, its

resisting force is _absolutely unlimited_", harmonizes with the

inductively-reached result that if the temperature is not lowered to its

"critical point" a gas does not liquify, however great the force

applied. At the same time Prof. Andrews' experiments imply that,

supposing the temperature to be lowered to the point at which

liquefaction becomes possible, then liquefaction will take place where

there is first reached the required pressure. What are the corollaries

in relation to concentrating nebulous spheroids?

Assume a spheroid of such size as will form one of the inferior planets,

and consisting externally of a voluminous, cloudy atmosphere composed of

the less condensible elements, and internally of metallic gases: such

internal gases being kept by convection-currents at temperatures not

very widely differing. And assume that continuous radiation has brought

the internal mass of metallic gases down to the critical point of the

most condensible. May we not say that there is a size of the spheroid

such that the pressure will not be great enough to produce liquefaction

at any other place than the centre? or, in other words, that in the

process of decreasing temperature and increasing pressure, the centre

will be the place at which the combined conditions of pressure and

temperature will be first reached? If so, liquefaction, commencing at

the centre, will spread thence to the periphery; and, in virtue of the

law that solids have higher melting points under pressure than when

free, it may be that solidification will similarly, at a later stage,

begin at the centre and progress outwards: eventually producing, in that

case, a state such as Sir William Thomson alleges exists in the Earth.

But now suppose that instead of such a spheroid, we assume one of, say,

twenty or thirty times the mass; what will then happen? Notwithstanding

convection-currents, the temperature at the centre must always be

higher than elsewhere; and in the process of cooling the "critical

point" of temperature will sooner be reached in the outer parts. Though

the requisite pressure will not exist near the surface, there is

evidently, in a large spheroid, a depth below the surface at which the

pressure will be great enough, if the temperature is sufficiently low.

Hence it is inferable that somewhere between centre and surface in the

supposed larger spheroid, there will arise that state described by Prof.

Andrews, in which "flickering striae" of liquid float in gaseous matter

of equal density. And it may be inferred that gradually, as the process

goes on, these striae will become more abundant while the gaseous

interspaces diminish; until, eventually, the liquid becomes continuous.

Thus there will result a molten shell containing a gaseous nucleus

equally dense with itself at their surface of contact and more dense at

the centre--a molten shell which will slowly thicken by additions to

both exterior and interior.

That a solid crust will eventually form on this molten shell may be

reasonably concluded. To the demurrer that solidification cannot

commence at the surface, because the solids formed would sink, there are

two replies. The first is that various metals expand while solidifying,

and therefore would float. The second is that since the envelope of the

supposed spheroid would consist of the gases and non-metallic elements,

compounds of these with the metals and with one another would

continually accumulate on the molten shell; and the crust, consisting of

oxides, chlorides, sulphurets, and the rest, having much less specific

gravity than the molten shell, would be readily supported by it.

Clearly a planet thus constituted would be in an unstable state. Always

it would remain liable to a catastrophe resulting from change in its

gaseous nucleus. If, under some condition of pressure and temperature

eventually reached, the components of this suddenly entered into one of

those proto-chemical combinations forming a new element, there might

result an explosion capable of shattering the entire planet, and

propelling its fragments in all directions with high velocities. If the

hypothetical planet between Jupiter and Mars was intermediate in size as

in position, it would apparently fulfil the conditions under which such

a catastrophe might occur.

NOTE IV. The argument set forth in the foregoing note, is in part

designed to introduce a question which seems to require

re-consideration--the origin of the minor planets or planetoids. The

hypothesis of Olbers, as propounded by him, implied that the disruption

of the assumed planet between Mars and Jupiter had taken place at no

very remote period in the past; and this implication was shown to be

inadmissible by the discovery that there exists no such point of

intersection of the orbits of the planetoids as the hypothesis requires.

The inquiry whether, in the past, there was any nearer approach to a

point of intersection than at present, having resulted in a negative, it

is held that the hypothesis must be abandoned. It is, however, admitted

that the mutual perturbations of the planetoids themselves would

suffice, in the course of some millions of years, to destroy all traces

of a place of intersection of their orbits, if it once existed. But if

this be admitted why need the hypothesis be abandoned? Given such

duration of the Solar System as is currently assumed, there seems no

reason why lapse of a few millions of years should present any

difficulty. The explosion may as well have taken place ten million years

ago as at any more recent period. And whoever grants this must grant

that the probability of the hypothesis has to be estimated from other

data.

As a preliminary to closer consideration, let us ask what may be

inferred from the rate of discovery of the planetoids, and from the

sizes of those most recently discovered. In 1878, Prof. Newcomb, arguing

that "the preponderance of evidence is on the side of the number and

magnitude being limited", says that "the newly discovered ones" "do not

seem, on the average, to be materially smaller than those which were

discovered ten years ago"; and further that "the new ones will probably

be found to grow decidedly rare before another hundred are discovered".

Now, inspection of the tables contained in the just-published fourth

edition of Chambers' _Descriptive Astronomy_ (vol. I) shows that whereas

the planetoids discovered in 1868 (the year Prof. Newcomb singles out

for comparison) have an average magnitude of 11.56 those discovered last

year (1888) have an average magnitude of 12.43. Further, it is

observable that though more than ninety have been discovered since Prof.

Newcomb wrote, they have by no means become rare: the year 1888 having

added ten to the list, and having therefore maintained the average rate

of the preceding ten years. If, then, the indications Prof. Newcomb

names, had they arisen, would have implied a limitation of the number,

these opposite indications imply that the number is unlimited. The

reasonable conclusion appears to be that these minor planets are to be

counted not by hundreds but by thousands; that more powerful telescopes

will go on revealing still smaller ones; and that additions to the list

will cease only when the smallness ends in invisibility.

Commencing now to scrutinize the two hypotheses respecting the genesis

of these multitudinous bodies, I may first remark concerning that of

Laplace, that he might possibly not have propounded it had he known that

instead of four such bodies there are hundreds, if not thousands. The

supposition that they resulted from the breaking up of a nebulous ring

into numerous small portions, instead of its collapse into one mass,

might not, in such case, have seemed to him so probable. It would have

appeared still less probable had he been aware of all that has since

been discovered concerning the wide differences of the orbits in size,

their various and often great eccentricities, and their various and

often great inclinations. Let us look at these and other incongruous

traits of them.

(1.) Between the greatest and least mean distances of the planetoids

there is a space of 200 millions of miles; so that the whole of the

Earth's orbit might be placed between the limits of the zone occupied,

and leave 7 millions of miles on either side: add to which that the

widest excursions of the planetoids occupy a zone of 270 millions of

miles. Had the rings from which Mercury, Venus, and the Earth were

formed been one-sixth of the smaller width or one-ninth of the greater,

they would have united: there would have been no nebulous rings at all,

but a continuous disk. Nay more, since one of the planetoids trenches

upon the orbit of Mars, it follows that the nebulous ring out of which

the planetoids were formed must have overlapped that out of which Mars

was formed. How do these implications consist with the nebular

hypothesis? (2.) The tacit assumption usually made is that the different

parts of a nebulous ring have the same angular velocities. Though this

assumption may not be strictly true, yet it seems scarcely likely that

it is so widely untrue as it would be had the inner part of the ring an

angular velocity nearly thrice that of the outer. Yet this is implied.

While the period of Thule is 8.8 years, the period of Medusa is 3.1

years. (3.) The eccentricity of Jupiter's orbit is 0.04816, and the

eccentricity of Mars' orbit is 0.09311. Estimated by groups of the first

found and last found of the planetoids, the average eccentricity of the

assemblage is about three times that of Jupiter and more than one and a

half times that of Mars; and among the members of the assemblage

themselves, some have an eccentricity thirty-five times that of others.

How came this nebulous zone, out of which it is supposed the planetoids

arose, to have originated eccentricities so divergent from one another

as well as from those of the neighbouring planets? (4.) A like question

may be asked respecting the inclinations of the orbits. The average

inclination of the planetoid-orbits is four times the inclination of

Mars' orbit and six times the inclination of Jupiter's orbit; and among

the planetoid-orbits themselves the inclinations of some are fifty times

those of others. How are all these differences to be accounted for on

the hypothesis of genesis from a nebulous ring? (5.) Much greater

becomes the difficulty on inquiring how these extremely unlike

eccentricities and inclinations came to co-exist before the parts of the

nebulous ring separated, and how they survived after the separation.

Were all the great eccentricities displayed by the outermost members of

the group, and the small by the innermost members, and were the

inclinations so distributed that the orbits having much belonged to one

part of the group, and those having little to another part of the group;

the difficulty of explanation might not be insuperable. But the

arrangement is by no means this. The orbits are, to use an expressive

word, miscellaneously jumbled. Hence, if we go back to the nebulous

ring, there presents itself the question,--How came each

planetoid-forming portion of nebulous matter, when it gathered itself

together and separated, to have a motion round the Sun differing so much

from the motions of its neighbours in eccentricity and inclination? And

there presents itself the further question,--How, during the time when

it was concentrating into a planetoid, did it manage to jostle its way

through all the differently-moving like masses of nebulous matter, and

yet to preserve its individuality? Answers to these questions are, it

seems to me, not even imaginable.

* * * * *

Turn we now to the alternative hypothesis. During revision of the

foregoing essay, in preparation for that edition of the volume

containing it which was published in 1883, there occurred the thought

that some light on the origin of the planetoids ought to be obtained by

study of their distributions and movements. If, as Olbers supposed,

they resulted from the bursting of a planet once revolving in the region

they occupy, the implications are:--first, that the fragments must be

most abundant in the space immediately about the original orbit, and

less abundant far away from it; second, that the large fragments must be

relatively few, while of smaller fragments the numbers will increase as

the sizes decrease; third, that as some among the smaller fragments will

be propelled further than any of the larger, the widest deviations in

mean distance from the mean distance of the original planet, will be

presented by the smallest members of the assemblage; and fourth, that

the orbits differing most from the rest in eccentricity and in

inclination, will be among those of these smallest members. In the

fourth edition of Chambers's _Handbook of Descriptive and Practical

Astronomy_ (the first volume of which has just been issued) there is a

list of the elements (extracted and adapted from the _Berliner

Astronomisches Jahrbuch_ for 1890) of all the small planets (281 in

number) which had been discovered up to the end of 1888. The apparent

brightness, as expressed in equivalent star-magnitudes, is the only

index we have to the probable comparative sizes of by far the largest

number of the planetoids: the exceptions being among those first

discovered. Thus much premised, let us take the above points in order.

(1) There is a region lying between 2.50 and 2.80 (in terms of the

Earth's mean distance from the Sun) where the planetoids are found in

maximum abundance. The mean between these extremes, 2.65, is nearly the

same as the average of the distances of the four largest and

earliest-known of these bodies, which amounts to 2.64. May we not say

that the thick clustering about this distance (which is, however, rather

less than that assigned for the original planet by Bode's empirical

law), in contrast with the wide scattering of the comparatively few

whose distances are little more than 2 or exceed 3, is a fact in

accordance with the hypothesis in question?[24] (2) Any table which

gives the apparent magnitudes of the planetoids, shows at once how much

the number of the smaller members of the assemblage exceeds that of

those which are comparatively large; and every succeeding year has

emphasized this contrast more strongly. Only one of them (Vesta) exceeds

in brightness the seventh star-magnitude, while one other (Ceres) is

between the seventh and eighth, and a third (Pallas) is above the

eighth; but between the eighth and ninth there are six; between the

ninth and tenth, twenty; between the tenth and eleventh, fifty-five;

below the eleventh a much larger number is known, and the number

existing is probably far greater,--a conclusion we cannot doubt when the

difficulty of finding the very faint members of the family, visible only

in the largest telescopes, is considered. (3) Kindred evidence is

furnished if we broadly contrast their mean distances. Out of the 13

largest planetoids whose apparent brightnesses exceed that of a star of

the 9.5 magnitude, there is not one having a mean distance that exceeds

3. Of those having magnitudes at least 9.5 and smaller than 10, there

are 15; and of these one only has a mean distance greater than 3. Of

those between 10 and 10.5 there are 17; and of these also there is one

exceeding 3 in mean distance. In the next group there are 37, and of

these 5 have this great mean distance. The next group, 48, contains 12

such; the next, 47, contains 13 such. Of those of the twelfth magnitude

and fainter, 72 planetoids have been discovered, and of those of them

of which the orbits have been computed, no fewer than 23 have a mean

distance exceeding 3 in terms of the Earth's. It is evident from this

how comparatively erratic are the fainter members of the extensive

family with which we are dealing. (4) To illustrate the next point, it

may be noted that among the planetoids whose sizes have been

approximately measured, the orbits of the two largest, Vesta and Ceres,

have eccentricities falling between .05 and .10, whilst the orbits of

the two smallest, Menippe and Eva, have eccentricities falling between

.20 and .25, and between .30 and .35. And then among those more recently

discovered, having diameters so small that measurement of them has not

been practicable, come the extremely erratic ones,--Hilda and Thule,

which have mean distances of 3.97 and 4.25 respectively; AEthra, having

an orbit so eccentric that it cuts the orbit of Mars; and Medusa, which

has the smallest mean distance from the Sun of any. (5) If the average

eccentricities of the orbits of the planetoids grouped according to

their decreasing sizes are compared, no very definite results are

disclosed, excepting this, that the eight Polyhymnia, Atalanta,

Eurydice, AEthra, Eva, Andromache, Istria, and Eudora, which have the

greatest eccentricities (falling between .30 and .38), are all among

those of smallest star-magnitudes. Nor when we consider the inclinations

of the orbits do we meet with obvious verifications; since the

proportion of highly-inclined orbits among the smaller planetoids does

not appear to be greater than among the others. But consideration shows

that there are two ways in which these last comparisons are vitiated.

One is that the inclinations are measured from the plane of the

ecliptic, instead of being measured from the plane of the orbit of the

hypothetical planet. The other, and more important one, is that the

search for planetoids has naturally been carried on in that

comparatively narrow zone within which most of their orbits fall; and

that, consequently, those having the most highly-inclined orbits are the

least likely to have been detected, especially if they are at the same

time among the smallest. Moreover, considering the general relation

between the inclination of planetoid orbits and their eccentricities, it

is probable that among the orbits of these undetected planetoids are

many of the most eccentric. But while recognizing the incompleteness of

the evidence, it seems to me that it goes far to justify the hypothesis

of Olbers, and is quite incongruous with that of Laplace. And as having

the same meanings let me not omit the remarkable fact concerning the

planetoids discovered by D'Arrest, that "if their orbits are figured

under the form of material rings, these rings will be found so

entangled, that it would be possible, by means of one among them taken

at hazard, to lift up all the rest,"--a fact incongruous with Laplace's

hypothesis, which implies an approximate concentricity, but quite

congruous with the hypothesis of an exploded planet.

Next to be considered come phenomena, the bearings of which on the

question before us are scarcely considered--I mean those presented by

meteors and shooting stars. The natures and distributions of these

harmonize with the hypothesis of an exploded planet, and I think with no

other hypothesis. The theory of volcanic origin, joined with the remark

that the Sun emits jets which might propel them with adequate

velocities, seems quite untenable. Such meteoric bodies as have

descended to us, forbid absolutely the supposition of solar origin. Nor

can they rationally be ascribed to planetary volcanoes. Even were their

mineral characters appropriate, which many of them are not (for

volcanoes do not eject iron), no planetary volcanoes could propel them

with anything like the implied velocity--could no more withstand the

tremendous force to be assumed, than could a card-board gun the force

behind a rifle bullet. But that their mineral characters, various as

they are, harmonize with the supposition that they were derived from

the crust of a planet is manifest; and that the bursting of a planet

might give to them, and to shooting stars, the needful velocities, is a

reasonable conclusion. Along with those larger fragments of the crust

constituting the known planetoids, varying from some 200 miles in

diameter to little over a dozen, there would be sent out still more

multitudinous portions of the crust, decreasing in size as they

increased in number. And while there would thus result such masses as

occasionally fall through the Earth's atmosphere to its surface, there

would, in an accompanying process, be an adequate cause for the myriads

of far smaller masses which, as shooting stars, are dissipated in

passing through the Earth's atmosphere. Let us figure to ourselves, as

well as we may, the process of explosion.

Assume that the diameter of the missing planet was 20,000 miles; that

its solid crust was a thousand miles thick; that under this came a shell

of molten metallic matter which was another thousand miles thick; and

that the space, 16,000 miles in diameter, within this, was occupied by

the equally dense mass of gases above the "critical point", which,

entering into a proto-chemical combination, caused the destroying

explosion. The primary fissures in the crust must have been far

apart--probably averaging distances between them as great as the

thickness of the crust. Supposing them approximately equidistant, there

would, in the equatorial periphery, be between 60 and 70 fissures. By

the time the primary fragments thus separated had been heaved a mile

outwards, the fissures formed would severally have, at the surface, a

width of 170 odd yards. Of course these great masses, as soon as they

moved, would themselves begin to fall in pieces; especially at their

bounding surfaces. But passing over the resulting complications, we see

that when the masses had been propelled 10 miles outwards, the fissures

between them would be each a mile wide. Notwithstanding the enormous

forces at work, an appreciable interval would elapse before these vast

portions of the crust could be put in motion with any considerable

velocities. Perhaps the estimate will be under the mark if we assume

that it took 10 seconds to propel them through the first mile, and that,

by implication, at the end of 20 seconds they had travelled 4 miles, and

at the end of 30 seconds 9 miles. Supposing this granted, let us ask

what would be taking place in each intervening fissure a thousand miles

deep, which, in the space of half a minute, had opened out to nearly a

mile wide, and in the subsequent half minute to a chasm approaching 3

miles in width. There would first be propelled through it enormous jets

of the molten metals composing the internal liquid shell; and these

would part into relatively small masses as they were shot into space.

Presently, as the chasm opened to some miles in width, the molten metals

would begin to be followed by the equally dense gaseous matter behind,

and the two would rush out together. Soon the gases, predominating,

would carry with them the portions of the liquid shell continually

collapsing; until the blast became one filled with millions of small

masses, billions of smaller masses, and trillions of drops. These would

be driven into space in a stream, the emission of which would continue

for many seconds or even several minutes. Remembering the rate of motion

of the jets emitted from the solar surface, and supposing that the

blasts produced by this explosion reached only one-tenth of that rate,

these myriads of small masses and drops would be propelled with

planetary velocities, and in approximately the same direction. I say

approximately, because they would be made to deviate somewhat by the

friction and irregularities of the chasm passed through, and also by the

rotation of the planet. Observe, however, that though they would all

have immense velocities, their velocities would not be equal. During its

earlier stages the blast would be considerably retarded by the

resistance which the sides of its channel offered. When this became

relatively small the velocity of the blast would reach its maximum; from

which it would decline when the space for emission became very wide,

and the pressure behind consequently less. Hence these almost infinitely

numerous particles of planet-spray, as we might call it, as well as

those formed by the condensation of the metallic vapours accompanying

them, would forthwith begin to part company: some going rapidly in

advance, and others falling behind; until the stream of them,

perpetually elongating, formed an orbit round the Sun, or rather an

assemblage of innumerable orbits, separating widely at aphelion and

perihelion, but approximating midway, where they might fall within a

space of, say, some two millions of miles, as do the orbits of the

November meteors. At a later stage of the explosion, when the large

masses, having moved far outwards, had also fallen to pieces of every

size, from that of Vesta to that of an aerolite, and when the channels

just described had ceased to exist, the contents of the planet would

disperse themselves with lower velocities and without any unity of

direction. Hence we see causes alike for the streams of shooting stars,

for the solitary shooting stars visible to the naked eye, and for the

telescopic shooting stars a score times more numerous.

Further significant evidence is furnished by the comets of short

periods. Of the thirteen constituting this group, twelve have orbits

falling between those of Mars and Jupiter: one only having its aphelion

beyond the orbit of Jupiter. That is to say, nearly all of them frequent

the same region as the planetoids. By implication, they are similarly

associated in respect of their periods. The periods of the planetoids

range from 3.1 to 8.8 years; and all these twelve comets have periods

falling between these extremes: the least being 3.29 and the greatest

8.86. Once more this family of comets, like the planetoids in the zone

they occupy and like them in their periods, are like them also in the

respect that, as Mr. Lynn has pointed out, their motions are all direct.

How happens this close kinship--how happens there to be this family of

comets so much like the planetoids and so much like one another, but so

unlike comets at large? The obvious suggestion is that they are among

the products of the explosion which originated the planetoids, the

aerolites, and the streams of meteors; and consideration of the probable

circumstances shows us that such products might be expected. If the

hypothetical planet was like its neighbour Jupiter in having an

atmosphere, or like its neighbour Mars in having water on its surface,

or like both in these respects; then these superficial masses of liquid,

of vapour, and of gas, blown into space along with the solid matters,

would yield the materials for comets. There would result, too, comets

unlike one another in constitution. If a fissure opened beneath one of

the seas, the molten metals and metallic gases rushing through it as

above described, would decompose part of the water carried with them;

and the oxygen and hydrogen liberated would be mingled with undecomposed

vapour. In other cases, portions of the atmosphere might be propelled,

probably with portions of vapour; and in yet other cases masses of water

alone. Severally subject to great heat at perihelion, these would behave

more or less differently. Once more, it would ordinarily happen that

detached swarms of meteors projected as implied, would carry with them

masses of vapours and gases; whence would result the cometic

constitution now insisted on. And sometimes there would be like

accompaniments to meteoric streams.

See, then, the contrast between the two hypotheses. That of Laplace,

looking probable while there were only four planetoids, but decreasing

in apparent likelihood as the planetoids increase in number, until, as

they pass through the hundreds on their way to the thousands, it becomes

obviously improbable, is, at the same time, otherwise objectionable. It

pre-supposes a nebulous ring of a width so enormous that it would have

overlapped the ring of Mars. This ring would have had differences

between the angular velocities of its parts quite inconsistent with the

Nebular Hypothesis. The average eccentricities of the orbits of its

parts must have differed greatly from those of adjacent orbits; and the

average inclinations of the orbits of its parts must similarly have

differed greatly from those of adjacent orbits. Once more, the orbits of

its parts, confusedly interspersed, must have had varieties of

eccentricity and inclination unaccountable in portions of the same

nebulous ring; and, during concentration into planetoids, each must have

had to maintain its course while struggling through the assemblage of

other small nebulous masses, severally moving in ways unlike its own. On

the other hand, the hypothesis of an exploded planet is supported by

every increase in the number of planetoids discovered; by the greater

numbers of the smaller sizes; by the thicker clustering near the

inferred place of the missing planet; by the occurrence of the greatest

mean distances among the smallest members of the assemblage; by the

occurrence of the greatest eccentricities in the orbits of these

smallest members; and by the entanglement of all the orbits. Further

support for the hypothesis is yielded by aerolites, so various in their

kinds, but all suggestive of a planet's crust; by the streams of

shooting stars having their radiant points variously placed in the

heavens; and also by the solitary shooting stars visible to the naked

eye, and the more numerous ones visible through telescopes. Once more,

it harmonizes with the discovery of a family of comets, twelve out of

thirteen of which have mean distances falling within the zone of the

planetoids, have similarly associated periods, have all the same direct

motions, and are connected with swarms of meteors and with meteoric

streams. May we not, indeed, say, that if there once existed a planet

between Mars and Jupiter which burst, the explosion must have produced

just such clusters of bodies and classes of phenomena as we actually

find?

And what is the objection? Merely that if such an explosion occurred it

must have occurred many millions of years ago--an objection which is in

fact no objection; for the supposition that the explosion occurred many

millions of years ago is just as reasonable as the supposition that it

occurred recently.

It is, indeed, further objected that some of the resulting fragments

ought to have retrograde motions. It turns out on calculation, however,

that this is not the case. Assuming as true the velocity which Lagrange

estimated would have sufficed to give the four chief planetoids the

positions they occupy, it results that such a velocity, given to the

fragments which were propelled backwards by the explosion, would not

have given them retrograde motions, but would simply have reduced their

direct motions from something over 11 miles per second to about 6 miles

per second. It is, however, manifest that this reduction of velocity

would have necessitated the formation of highly-elliptic orbits--more

elliptic than any of those at present known. This seems to me the most

serious difficulty which has presented itself. Still, considering that

there remain probably an immense number of planetoids to be discovered,

it is quite possible that among these there may be some having orbits

answering to the requirement.

NOTE V. Shortly before I commenced the revision of the foregoing essay,

friends on two occasions named to me some remarkable photographs of

nebulae recently obtained by Mr. Isaac Roberts, and exhibited at the

Royal Astronomical Society: saying that they presented appearances such

as might have been sketched by Laplace in illustration of his

hypothesis. Mr. Roberts has been kind enough to send me copies of the

photographs in question and sundry others illustrative of stellar

evolution. Those representing the Great Nebulae in Andromeda and Canum

Venaticorum as well as 81 Messier are at once impressive and

instructive--illustrating as they do the genesis of nebulous rings round

a central mass.

I may remark, however, that they seem to suggest the need for some

modification of the current conception; since they make it tolerably

clear that the process is a much less uniform one than is supposed. The

usual idea is that a vast rotating nebulous spheroid arises before there

are produced any of the planet-forming rings. But both of these

photographs apparently imply that, in some cases at any rate, the

portions of nebulous matter composing the rings take shape before they

reach the central mass. It looks as though these partially-formed annuli

must be prevented by their acquired motions from approaching even very

near to the still-irregular body they surround.

Be this as it may, however, and be the dimensions of the incipient

systems what they may (and it would seem to be a necessary implication

that they are vastly larger than our Solar System), the process remains

essentially the same. Practically demonstrated as this process now is,

we may say that the doctrine of nebular genesis passes from the region

of hypothesis into the region of established truth.

Essays: Scientific, Political, & Speculative; Vol. 1 of 3 Library Edition (1891), Containing Seven Essays not before Republished, and Various other Additions. · 第 31 / 55 题