Section IX.--The Province and Method of Deduction

These four are not all the scientific methods, but they lead up to the

rest. They are all linked together, and no one has shown their

connection better than Mill. In many cases these processes of isolation

are powerless; namely, in those in which the effect, being produced by a

concourse of causes, cannot be reduced into its elements. Methods of

isolation are then impracticable. We cannot eliminate, and consequently

we cannot perform induction. This serious difficulty presents itself in

almost all cases of motion, for almost every movement is the effect of a

concurrence of forces; and the respective effects of the various forces

are found so mixed up in it that we cannot separate them without

destroying it, so that it seems impossible to tell what part each force

has in the production of the movement. Take a body acted upon by two

forces whose directions form an angle: it moves along the diagonal; each

part, each moment, each position, each element of its movement, is the

combined effect of the two impelling forces. The two effects are so

commingled that we cannot isolate either of them, and refer it to its

source. In order to perceive each effect separately, we should have to

consider the movements apart, that is, to suppress the actual movement,

and to replace it by others. Neither the Method of Agreement, nor of

Difference, nor of Residues, nor of Concomitant Variations, which are

all decomposing and eliminative, can avail against a phenomenon which by

its nature excludes all elimination and decomposition. We must,

therefore, evade the obstacle; and it is here that the last key of

nature appears, the Method of Deduction. We quit the study of the actual

phenomenon to observe other and simpler cases; we establish their laws,

and we connect each with its cause by the ordinary methods of induction.

Then, assuming the concurrence of two or of several of these causes, we

conclude from their known laws what will be their total effect. We next

satisfy ourselves as to whether the actual movement exactly coincides

with the movement foretold; and if this is so, we attribute it to the

causes from which we have deduced it. Thus, in order to discover the

causes of the planetary motions, we seek by simple induction the laws of

two causes: first, the force of primitive impulsion in the direction of

the tangent; next, an accelerative attracting force. From these

inductive laws we deduce by calculation the motion of a body submitted

to their combined influence; and satisfying ourselves that the planetary

motions observed coincide exactly with the predicted movements, we

conclude that the two forces in question are actually the causes of the

planetary motions. "To the Deductive Method," says Mill, "the human mind

is indebted for its most conspicuous triumphs in the investigation of

nature. To it we owe all the theories by which vast and complicated

phenomena are embraced under a few simple laws." Our deviations have

led us further than the direct path; we have derived efficiency from

imperfection.

History of English Literature Volume 3 (of 3) · 第 9 / 12 章