CHAPTER XI

From the Soil to Man

There is a bewildering variety of radioactive products deposited in the

fallout. Given certain conditions all of them could be dangerous to man.

Actually, very few are.

An example of a radioactive isotope which is produced in large quantity

by the fission process and about which there is some reason to worry,

but actually is not dangerous to man, is iodine¹³¹. This isotope in the

fallout is not dangerous because it has a rather short half-life: eight

days.

During the first weeks after a nuclear explosion some radioactive iodine

may fall out of the cloud and contaminate grazing land. A cow eats

hundreds of pounds of grass in a few days time. Now iodine is found in

the cow’s body or in the body of any mammal mainly in one spot. This is

the thyroid gland located in man near the Adam’s apple. The thyroid

gland is important because it secretes a chemical which regulates many

of the body functions. In man, these include how we burn up our food and

in what mood we are. About twenty per cent of all the iodine which is

taken up, whether radioactive or natural, is concentrated in this one

rather small gland. Such a concentration is precisely the kind of danger

for which we must watch.

Shortly after nuclear tests, cows that graze on range land have been

found with abnormally large amounts of radioactive iodine, although not

so large as to be harmful. In human beings, however, the measured levels

of radioactive iodine are less than a hundredth of what they are in the

cows because by the time this radioactive isotope has reached man, it

has mostly decayed into a stable, harmless variety of xenon gas.

There are many potentially dangerous isotopes in the radioactive debris

of a nuclear explosion. But most of them decay too soon to affect man.

Isotopes which live an extremely long time compared to the human

life-span are also not dangerous to man. A radioactive particle in the

body is not harmful unless it disintegrates and releases its energy

while the individual is still alive.

Two examples of long-lived radioactive isotopes, which are used as fuel

in the bombs and which may be left over from the explosion in large

quantities, are: uranium²³⁵ and plutonium²³⁹. Uranium²³⁵ has a half-life

of 710 million years, which is much too long to be dangerous. Plutonium

has a half-life of 24,000 years and is somewhat more dangerous. The

danger from plutonium arises because it emits an energetic alpha ray.

The danger from radioactivity depends on the kind of particle

emitted—alpha, beta, or gamma rays—and whether these rays attack the

body from the inside or the outside. From the outside the gamma rays are

the most dangerous and the alpha rays the least dangerous. From the

inside the order is just reversed.

To cause damage from the outside the radiation must be very penetrating.

Gamma rays can go through the whole body. Beta rays are stopped in the

skin tissue. Alpha rays cannot even penetrate the outer layer of

non-living, protective skin.

On the inside, however, in the sensitive organs, the short range of the

alpha rays makes them exceedingly dangerous. Their energy is

concentrated in a small amount of tissue to which damage is severe. The

beta rays cause a slightly less concentrated damage, and the gamma rays

the least concentrated of all.

Radioactivity may enter the body as contamination in the food we eat or

in the air we breathe. To be dangerous, however, it must remain in the

body, either in the intestines or the lungs or in other vital organs,

long enough for disintegrations to occur, which will ionize and injure

the living cells.

Fortunately, plutonium in our food is easily excreted from the body.

Only a few thousandths of a per cent of what is eaten, is actually

absorbed. If inhaled, large particles are stopped in the nasal passages.

Small particles get into the lungs but are quickly exhaled. Only

intermediate sized particles are absorbed. However, the plutonium which

is absorbed generally gets laid down in the bones, where it stays for a

long period of time. Altogether, plutonium in the small amounts we

usually deal with is not one of the greater dangers to human beings.

Perhaps its most disagreeable property is that, being an alpha emitter,

it is not very easy to detect. Since alpha particles do not penetrate

through the surface of most radiation meters, special instruments are

needed to find them.

Two fission products which are readily absorbed upon ingestion are:

strontium⁹⁰ (Sr⁹⁰) and cesium¹³⁷ (Cs¹³⁷). Depending somewhat on their

chemical form, approximately thirty-five per cent of the Sr⁹⁰ is

absorbed, and all of the Cs¹³⁷ is absorbed. Both of these isotopes are

plentifully made in the fission process. Moreover they have very

“dangerous” half-lives—about 30 years—which is long enough so that decay

is negligible between the explosion and contact with man, but short

enough so that decay is probable after contact.

From such arguments as these one concludes that Sr⁹⁰ and Cs¹³⁷ are the

most important isotopes for the internal hazard from the world-wide

fallout. One can be reasonably sure that there are no others of

importance, because careful and extensive research has not found

significant amounts of any in our bodies. We need not fear that one has

been overlooked, because the beta activity of the fission products is

always easy to detect.

The two main questions which we have to answer are these: In what

precise way will the dangerous elements Sr⁹⁰ and Cs¹³⁷ be distributed in

the body? And after they are distributed, what kind of damage will they

produce?

We know too little about the chemistry of the living body to obtain a

complete answer to the second question. Hence it has to be admitted that

the actual danger cannot be stated in a precise way.

Fortunately, enough is known from direct experience to obtain a good

value for the greatest damage that might be produced. In the present

chapter we shall describe what is known about the uptake of the

dangerous elements into the body. In following chapters we shall turn to

the question of the biological consequences.

We may begin by comparing the danger from Cs¹³⁷ with that from Sr⁹⁰.

Both of these isotopes are made in the fission process in about equal

numbers. (Roughly 2 or 2½ per cent of all the fission products are Sr⁹⁰,

and 3 per cent Cs¹³⁷.) They have approximately the same radioactive

half-lives. But they differ in an important respect: The Cs¹³⁷ is

deposited more or less uniformly throughout the body; the Sr⁹⁰ is

concentrated in the bones.

Cs¹³⁷ emits a large part of its radioactive energy in the form of a

gamma ray, which causes ionization uniformly in the body. Sr⁹⁰, on the

other hand, emits all of its energy in the form of two beta rays, which

have ranges of only a small fraction of an inch in the bone. Thus in the

one case the radioactive disintegration energy is distributed in the

whole body; in the other, the energy is deposited in the bones only.

Since the bones comprise about ten per cent of the total body weight,

they are subjected to ten times the radiation dosage. The bones are

quite sensitive to radiation, and an overdosage can cause bone cancer

and interfere with the production of blood cells that goes on in the

marrow. Thus we are led to the conclusion that Sr⁹⁰ is a far greater

potential hazard than Cs¹³⁷. A further point, which leads to the same

conclusion, is that Cs¹³⁷, after being absorbed, is retained in the body

less than six months and then excreted. Sr⁹⁰ is retained for many years.

On the other hand, Cs¹³⁷ can cause a type of damage which Sr⁹⁰ cannot

cause: namely, damage to the reproductive cells. The effect of Sr⁹⁰ is

indeed limited to the bones and adjacent or nearby bone marrow, and does

not reach the reproductive organs. In a later chapter we shall take up

the question of genetic danger, and then we shall be very interested in

Cs¹³⁷. For the remainder of this chapter, however, we may focus our

attention on Sr⁹⁰.

Since a large fraction of the Sr⁹⁰ which enters the body stays there,

the most important questions which remain are: how it gets there and how

much gets there. The essential fact in this connection is that the Sr⁹⁰

generally occurs in the fallout in a chemical form which is easily

dissolved in water. The water is taken up by plants, by absorption

through the leaves and the roots. Animals graze on the plants. Human

beings eat the plants and drink the milk from the grazing animals, and

thus become exposed to Sr⁹⁰. (See pictures 5 and 6.)

One might worry because Sr⁹⁰ is not a naturally occurring isotope but

has been made for the first time by man in the fission process. Here is

an unfamiliar poison being scattered over the earth. Can we have any

idea how much will be taken up by human beings?

The answer depends on a fact which we have emphasized throughout this

book: that isotopes of the same element are chemically and biologically

indistinguishable. The radioactive variety of strontium will behave

exactly like the stable natural variety. In particular, the ratio of

Sr⁹⁰ to stable strontium in the human body must be the same as this

ratio is in our food. From this premise we can predict how much Sr⁹⁰

will reach the human body.

From the total yield of fission energy released in all nuclear tests to

date, one can calculate exactly how much Sr⁹⁰ has been produced. This

amount turns out to be about 100 pounds.

Approximately one half of this amount has been deposited in and near the

test sites in the close-in fallout. (Most of the radioactivity comes

from the big bombs, and most of these have been burst on the ground or

over shallow water.) A small portion of the 100 pounds has disintegrated

in the cloud. The remainder, roughly 50 pounds, is partially still in

the stratosphere and partially has been disseminated around the world in

the tropospheric and stratospheric fallout. At the present time

measurements show that 25 or 30 pounds have actually been returned to

the surface of the earth. Local values vary from about one third to more

than twice the average world-wide value.

In the northern part of the United States, in the regions of frequent

rainfall, the measured values are about twice the world-wide average. In

the latitudes between 10°S and 50°N the average value is about 50 per

cent greater than the world-wide average. For the rest of the world one

finds, with some variations, about one third the world-wide average.

Most of the Sr⁹⁰ fallout is caught in the top two or three inches of the

soil. It exists there in a water-soluble form that is readily

assimilated by plants. Also in the soil, chemically inseparable from the

Sr⁹⁰, is stable natural strontium. Plants, animals, and human beings

have no way of distinguishing between the two.

It is not easy to determine how much natural strontium is in a form

which is available to the plants. Some of the natural strontium is

insoluble; and some is below the root depth. Our best estimate is that

there are about 60 pounds per acre actually available for uptake by the

plants. This is, of course, an average.

The amount of natural strontium in the human body is a quantity we know

rather well. It has been carefully measured and is about 0.7 gram in the

average adult, with proportionately less in children. Now since we know

how greatly Sr⁹⁰ has been diluted in the soil and how much natural

strontium there is in our bodies, we can calculate the expected quantity

of Sr⁹⁰ in our bones. Considering the many uncertainties in the

calculation one should not expect too good an agreement. The remarkable

fact is that the quantity of Sr⁹⁰ measured in small children does agree

with the calculated amount. For adults the measured value is quite a bit

less than the calculated amount because adult bones have been made for

the most part before there was any Sr⁹⁰ in the environment.

The fact that we can calculate how much Sr⁹⁰ is at present in the body

is most important because it gives us confidence that we understand what

is happening. It is especially important for us to understand what is

happening so that we can predict how nuclear tests which are carried out

today will affect future levels of Sr⁹⁰ in the body.

From arguments such as we have given, plus a record of the Sr⁹⁰ content

of bones over the last several years, it seems unlikely that the level

of Sr⁹⁰ will increase by more than a factor of two or so due to tests

already conducted. Actually this factor may be even smaller both because

of the mixing of the strontium with the deeper layers of the soil, and

because the radioactive strontium which stays in the ground for a long

time tends to become chemically less soluble and mixed more thoroughly

with that part of the natural strontium which is chemically unavailable.

This latter process is called “chemical aging.”

To follow radioactive strontium and normal strontium from the soil into

the food and the bones is not an easy matter. We must worry about the

question of the strontium depth in the soil and the chemical form of the

strontium. The complete identity of Sr⁹⁰ and normal strontium holds only

if both are near the same place and in the same chemical form. A further

difficulty is that until recently little was known about the behavior of

normal strontium and knowledge is accumulating slowly.

Much more is known about calcium. Now calcium and strontium do not

behave in an identical way, but they do behave similarly. In passing

from soil to man the ratio of calcium to strontium does not remain the

same but at least it changes in a more or less definite manner. Actually

most work on Sr⁹⁰ uptake has been done by comparing Sr⁹⁰ with calcium.

In order to use the data on calcium one has to find out how the calcium

to strontium ratio is changed when the material is taken up into the

human body. In the soil there is, on the average, about 1 part of

strontium to 100 parts of calcium. In the human body the ratio is about

1 to 1400.

Thus the strontium is discriminated against relative to calcium in going

from the soil to man by a factor of about 14. This is a factor of

protection.

It is good to double-check this conclusion and to find out how the

calcium to strontium ratio changes step by step in going from the soil

to man. One finds a factor of 1.4 in going from the soil to the plant, a

factor of 7 in going from the plant to the milk, and a factor of about 2

in going from the milk to man. Actually, if we put all these factors

together we should expect that on the way from the soil to man the

calcium to strontium ratio increases by a factor 20. This is in

reasonable but not in excellent agreement with the ratio 14 given above.

Once the factor of protection is established we can get a value of the

expected strontium uptake from the way in which the radioactive material

is diluted by calcium rather than by normal strontium. This is a less

straightforward but, for the time being, a more practical method than

the direct Sr⁹⁰—normal strontium comparison. It is particularly

important when one compares soils of rather different calcium content.

Plants and animals require calcium. When they do not get it, they

develop a calcium-hunger. Since strontium is chemically similar to

calcium, a lack of calcium in the soil is readily substituted by

available strontium. One would expect that plants grown on calcium-poor

soil and animals raised on such land would exhibit abnormally high

natural strontium content and also a proportionately high Sr⁹⁰ content.

The high Sr⁹⁰ content has in fact been verified. Some sheep in Wales,

for example, appear to have about ten times the average amount of Sr⁹⁰

in their bodies.

Fortunately most people derive their food from many areas widely

separated from each other. Soil that is deficient in calcium is not

likely to supply more than a small part of an individual’s sustenance.

However, the possibility of a large fluctuation cannot be ignored. In

this event corrective measures would be needed. One simple measure would

be to fertilize deficient soil with additional calcium.

That soil can be successfully treated in this way is illustrated by the

present situation in Wales. The sheep with the abnormally high Sr⁹⁰

content all come from the steep, poor pastures which are not limed. The

sheep from the lower pastures, which are limed (not because of the

fallout but for economic reasons), show an activity of only one third

the value mentioned above.

The point we have tried to make in this chapter is that the present

human levels of Sr⁹⁰ can be satisfactorily accounted for by simple

arguments based on the chemical similarity of elements and the identity

of isotopes. These arguments give us confidence that we correctly

understand how Sr⁹⁰ and how much Sr⁹⁰ is getting from the soil to the

human body.

At the same time we have seen how many factors influence the eventual

uptake into the human body: geographical latitude, frequency of

rainfall, the chemical form in which strontium is found, the calcium

content of the soil, the method of agriculture. Even though the United

States has pushed this investigation vigorously since 1952 the bulk of

the work is still ahead of us.

For instance, in the United States, dairy products provide most of the

calcium and strontium in our diets. In Japan, however, the situation is

somewhat different. There the main source of calcium and strontium is

rice. As a result, the ratio of strontium to calcium may be passing

differently from the soil to man. Also the fallout strontium might be

washed deeper into the soil and the soluble to non-soluble ratio might

be different.

Considering the complex nature of the Sr⁹⁰ uptake into man, it is

important to keep close track of the actual Sr⁹⁰ levels in the soil, in

our food, and in our own bodies. The following graphs show how these

levels have risen in the last several years due to the bomb tests:

[Illustration: Sr⁹⁰ in the soil—measured in thousandths of a gram

per square mile.]

[Illustration: Average Sr⁹⁰ in U.S. milk—measured in trillionths of

a gram per quart.]

[Illustration: Average radiation doses from Sr⁹⁰ in bones of young

children (U.S.)—measured in roentgens per year.]

The actual amounts of Sr⁹⁰ in the soil, in the milk, and in the bones of

young children are only approximately known. But the main point that we

are trying to illustrate, is that since 1954 the buildup of Sr⁹⁰ has

gone on at a rather steady rate. How far will this buildup continue?

More radioactivity was released in tests in the year 1954 than in all

other years put together. Probably more than one-half of that activity

has already been deposited. Since that time the fission energy produced

in U.S. tests has steadily decreased. Furthermore, we have learned how

to minimize the world-wide fallout by employing ground bursts which

deposit most of their activity in the close-in fallout near the test

site. It is also possible to place chemical additives near the bomb in

order to convert the strontium into a more insoluble form or else into a

form which will more readily fall out in the immediate neighborhood of

the explosion. And what is most important—we are developing clean

nuclear weapons, which produce blast and heat but greatly reduced

radioactivity. In the future these clean weapons may eliminate the

additional radioactivity altogether.

It is hard to make predictions about the plans of all nations. If we

find—and others also find—that clean weapons are the most desirable, the

total strontium contamination is not likely to become more than perhaps

two to four times the present value. We believe that all reasons—respect

for human life, military considerations and simple sanity—lead to one

conclusion. In the development of nuclear explosives we must endeavor to

make them clean. But the real reason for this does not lie in the small

contamination due to tests. The real reason is that war could turn

contamination into a danger to countless people.

Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and Opportunities · 第 11 / 19 章