TESTING THE THEORY

Very rapidly this conception of Natural Selection was extended by

naturalists until it came to be regarded as the general process of

life. They came to realise that all species, all genera, all classes of

life, whatever else may be happening to them, are and always have been

varying through the process of Natural Selection, some rapidly, some

slowly; some so slowly as hardly to change at all through vast ages. I

have stated the _a priori_ case by which, given birth and death and

individuality and changing conditions and sufficient time, it appears

logically inevitable that the change and differentiation of species

_must_ occur, and must be now going on. If we had no material evidence

at all it would still be possible to infer the evolution of species.

That _a priori_ case has never been answered, and it seems to me

unanswerable. But scientific men, with their obstinate preference for

observation and experiment over mere logical gymnastics, rarely rest

their convictions on _a priori_ cases. A sustaining scepticism is a

matter of conscience with them. To them an _a priori_ case is merely

a theory--that is to say, a generalisation under trial. For nearly

three-quarters of a century, therefore, biologists have been examining

whatever instances they could discover that seemed to contradict this

assumption that the process of specific change under Natural Selection

is the general condition of life. To this day this view is still called

the Theory of Natural Selection, though to a great number it has come

to have the substantial quality of an embracing fact.

It would have been amusing if Mr. Belloc had told us more of his ideas

of the scientific world. Apparently he knows scarcely anything of

museums or laboratories or the spirit and methods of research. And

manifestly he has not the faintest suspicion of the way in which the

whole world of vital phenomena has been ransacked and scrutinised to

test, correct, supplement, amplify, or alter this great generalisation

about life. He probably shares the delusion of most other men in the

street, that scientific theories are scientific finalities, that

they are supposed to be as ultimate as the dogmas of some infallible

religion. He imagines them put over chiefly by asseveration, just as

the assertions of a polemical journalist are put over. He has still to

learn that theories are trial material, testing targets, directives for

research. Shooting at established theories is the normal occupation

of the scientific investigator. Mr. Belloc’s figure of the scientific

investigator is probably a queer, frowsty, and often, alas! atheistical

individual, poking about almost aimlessly among facts in the hope of

hitting upon some “discovery” or “getting rid of a God.” He does not

understand the tense relevance of the vast amount of work in progress.

But for three-quarters of a century the thought and work of myriads

of people round and about the world have borne directly or almost

directly upon the probing, sounding, testing, of the theory of Natural

Selection. It stands clarified and, it would seem, impregnable to-day.

Mr. Belloc objects to "The outline of history" · 第 18 / 42 题