Why, then, hold these forts at all? Why not give them up? Why not

withdraw the garrison, strike the flag, and cease to keep up a useless

source of irritation in the midst of the Southern Confederation? The

answer to these questions is: These forts are Federal property. The

Government does not acknowledge the existence of any right on the part

of the people of the States to seize them as appertaining to individual

States. The forts are protests against the acts of violence to which the

Federal authority has yielded elsewhere. They are, moreover, the _points

d’appui,_ small as they are, on which the Federal Government can rest

its resistance to the claims of the Southern Confederation to be

acknowledged as an independent republic. If they were surrendered

without attack, or without the existence of any pressure arising from

the refusal of the Southern authorities to permit them to get supplies,

which is an act of war, the case of the United States Government would

be, they consider, materially weakened. If it be observed that these

forts have no strategic value, it may readily be replied that their

political value is very great. But, serious as these considerations may

be, or may be thought to be, with respect to foreign relations, there

are in reference to domestic politics still more weighty inducements to

hold them. The effect produced in the North and Northwest by an attack

on the forts while the United States flag is floating over them, would

be as useful to the Government at Washington as the effect of abandoning

the forts or tamely surrendering them would be hurtful to them in the

estimation of the extreme Republicans. A desperate attack, a gallant

defense, the shedding of the blood of gallant men, whose duty it was to

defend that intrusted to their keeping, and who yielded only to

numbers--the outrage on the United States flag--would create an

excitement in the Union which the South, with all its determination and

courage, is unwilling to provoke, but which the Government would be

forced to use in its own service. Such an event must lead to war, a very

terrible and merciless war, and both parties pause before they resort to

that court of arms. Unless the Border States join the South, Mr.

Jefferson Davis could scarcely hope to carry out the grand projects

which are attributed to his military genius of marching northward, and

dictating terms on their own soil to the Republicans. He could scarcely

venture to leave the negro population unguarded in his rear, and his

flanks menaced by the sea-born northerners on the one side, and by such

operations as the water-sheds significantly indicate on the other. It is

idle to speculate on the incidents of that which may never occur, and

which, occurring, may assume the insignificant aspect of border

skirmishes, or the tremendous proportions of a war of races and creeds,

intensified by the worst elements of servile and civil conflict. The

Government of Mr. Lincoln hope and believe that the contest may be

averted. The Commissioners of the South are inclined to think, also,

there will be a peaceful solution, obtained, of course, by full

concession and recognition. But inaction cannot last on the part of the

South. Already they have begun the system of coercion. The supplies of

the garrison at Sumter will be cut off henceforth, if they are not

already forbidden. They do not fear the moral effect of this act, for

some of their leading men actually believe that nothing can stop the

progress of a movement which will, they fondly think, absorb all the

other States of the Union, and leave the New England States to form an

insignificant republic of its own, with a possible larger destiny in

Canada. Their opponents in the North are as fully satisfied that the

direst Nemesis will fall on the Montgomery Government in the utter ruin

of all their States the moment they are left to themselves.

The Government is elated at the success of the loan, and Mr. Chase has

taken high ground in refusing offers made to him yesterday, and in

resolving to issue Government securities for the balance of the amount

required to complete the amount. Mr. Forsyth, one of the Southern

Commissioners, who has just returned from New York here, is equally

satisfied with the temper of parties in that city, and seems to think

that the New Yorkers are preparing for a secession. But, though States

may be sovereign, it has never been ascertained that cities or portions

of States are so, and in the western and northern portions of the State

of New York there is a large agricultural population, which, with the

aid of Government, would speedily suppress any attempt to secede on the

part of the city, if men are to be believed who say they know the

circumstances of the case. Virginia is claimed by both sides, but

accounts this morning are to the effect that the Secessionists have been

defeated on a division by a vote of two to one in favor of the Union;

and although General Houston appears to be forced to accept the

situation for a time, there are many who think he will organize a strong

reaction against the dominant Secessionists.

Whatever may be these result of all the diverse actions, the Great

Republic is gone! The shape of the fragments is not yet determined any

more than their fate. They may reunite, but the cohesion can never be

perfect. The ship of the State was built of too many “platforms,” there

were too many officers on board, perhaps the principles of construction

were erroneous, the rigid cast-iron old constitution guns burst

violently when tried with new projectiles--any way, those who adhere

with most devotion to the vessel, admit that it is parted right

amidships, and that its _prestige_ has vanished. The more desperate of

these would gladly see an enemy, or go out of their way to find one, in

the hope of a common bond of union being discovered in a common

animosity and danger.

The naval preparations, of which you will hear a good deal, are intended

to make good existing deficiencies and to meet contingencies. At any

other time the action of Spain in St. Domingo would create a cry for

war. Now all the Federal Government can do is to demand and receive

explanations. In reply to Mr. Seward’s inquiries, the Spanish Minister

has possibly stated that the recent events in St. Domingo have been

caused by the acts and threats of Hayti, which forced the Dominicans to

call in the aid and claim the protection of Spain. There have been

several attempts from time to time to induce France to assume the

dominion of its former possession, and it is not unlikely that an

excellent understanding exists between the Court of Madrid and the

Emperor Napoleon in reference to the subject. The report that the

Mexicans have made, or contemplate making, an attack on Texas, is

scarcely worthy of credence.

As to the Morrill tariff, I can only repeat what I have already said. It

must be borne till results show that it cannot be persisted in. Then

only will it be repealed or modified. The theory of the Government is,

that the United States always takes far more from Europe than it can pay

for. “If the revenue is collected, there is no ground for complaint. The

English and French manufacturer will be satisfied, as well as the

northern population. If the revenue is not collected, then the tariff

must be repealed, and that will be done within the year, if the mischief

is serious.” Birmingham, Wolverhampton, and Manchester must make the

best they can out of the doctrine.

LETTER III.

WASHINGTON, April 9, 1861.

THE critical position of the Federal Government has compelled its

members to preserve secrecy. Never before under any Administration was

so little of the councils of the Cabinet known to the public, or to

those who are supposed to be acquainted with the opinions of the

statesmen in office. Mr. Seward has issued the most stringent orders to

the officers and clerks in his department to observe the rules, which

heretofore have been much disregarded, in reference to the confidential

character of State papers in their charge. The sources of the fountain

of knowledge from which friendly journalists drew so freely are thus

stopped without fear, favor, or affection, toward any. The result has

been much irritation in quarters where such “interference” is regarded

as unwarrantable, or, at least, as very injurious. The newspapers which

enjoyed the privilege of free access to despatches are hatching

_canards_, which they let fly along the telegraph wires with amazing

productiveness and fertility of conception and incubation. Hence the

monstrous and ridiculous rumors which harden into type everyday--hence

the clamors for “a policy,” and hence the contending accusations that

the Government is doing nothing, and that it is also preparing to plunge

the country into civil war. Each member of the Cabinet has become a

Burleigh, every shake of whose head perplexes New York with a fear of

change; every Senator is watched by private reporters, who trace “the

day’s disasters in his morning’s face.” If a weak company of artillery

is marched on board a ship, its movements are chronicled in columns of

vivid description, and its footsteps are made to sound like the march of

a vast army. The telegraph from Washington has learnt its daily message

about Fort Sumter and Fort Pickens by heart, and the world has been

soothed daily by the assurance that General Braxton Bragg is ready, and

that the South Carolinians can no longer be restrained. But there is

always a secret understanding that Generals Bragg and Beauregard will be

more ready still the next day, and that the people will be more

unrestrainable by next telegram. When I landed in New York, the first

news I learnt was that Fort Sumter would be evacuated next day; and if

not, that the supplies would be cut off, and that the garrison would be

starved out. I have learnt how to distrust prophecy, and I am going

South in the hope that the end is not yet. The Southern Commissioners

state that the Government here has promised them that no efforts shall

be made to reënforce Fort Pickens without previous notice to them--a

very singular promise. The Government, however, denies that it has been

in communication with them. Fort Sumter must be considered as gone, for

there is no disposition, apparently, on the part of the Government to

hazard the loss of life and great risk which must inevitably attend any

attempt to relieve or carry off the garrison, now that the channels are

under the fire of numerous heavily armed batteries, which the people of

South Carolina were permitted to throw up without molestation. The

operations of a relieving force would have to be conducted on a very

large scale by troops disembarking on the shores and taking the

batteries in reverse, in conjunction with an attack from the sea; and,

after all, such an expedition would be futile, unless it were intended

to occupy Charleston, and try the fortune of war in South Carolina--an

intention quite opposed to the expressions and, I believe, the feelings

of the Cabinet of Washington, not to speak of the people of the Border

States and of large remnants of the Union. From your correspondent at

New York you will receive full particulars of the movements of troops,

and of the naval preparations which are reported in the papers, which

create more curiosity than excitement among the people I meet. My task

must be to describe what I see around me.

It may be as well to state in the most positive terms that the reports

which have appeared in the American papers of communications between the

English Minister and the American Government on the subject of a

blockade of the Southern ports, are totally and entirely destitute of

foundation. No communication of any kind has passed between Lord Lyons,

on the part of the English Government, and Mr. Seward, or any one else,

on behalf of the Government at Washington. It would be a most offensive

proceeding to volunteer any intimation of the course to be pursued by a

European Power respecting a contingency of action on the part of the

United States; nor would it be necessary, in case a blockade were

declared, to formulate a supererogatory notice that it must be such a

blockade as the law of nations recognizes. The importance of a distinct

understanding on that point is all the greater in connection with the

stories which are afloat that the naval preparations of the hour are

intended to afford the Federal Government the means of blockading the

mouths of the Mississippi and the Southern ports, with the object of

collecting the Federal revenue. If anything is clearer than another, in

the doubt and perplexity which prevail, it is that the Government will

do nothing whatever to precipitate a conflict. It would ill become me,

in such a crisis, to hazard any authoritative statements as to the

conduct of the Administration under the very great variety of

complications which may arise hereafter. Of this, however, be assured,

not a ship, or a gun, or a man will be directed to make any attack, or

to begin an offensive movement against the Confederate States. If any

promise was made by the Buchanan Administration to inform the members of

the Southern Government or its representatives of their course of

action, it will not be considered binding on the consciences of Mr.

Lincoln’s Cabinet, composed as it is of men who look on their

predecessors as guilty of treason to the State. An attempt may be made

to reënforce Fort Pickens, and neither that nor any position occupied by

the Federal authorities will be voluntarily abandoned.

Once for all, let it be impressed on the minds of the English people

that whatever reports they hear, and however they may come--no matter

whence, or in what guise--there is no truth in them if they indicate the

smallest intention on the part of Mr. Lincoln to depart from the policy

indicated in his Inaugural Address. As strongly as words can do it, I

repeat that the forces which have been assembled are only intended for

the reënforcement of the strong places at Tortugas and Key West, which

have been left short of every necessary of occupation and defence, and

for the establishment of posts of observation, which are essential in

case of hostility and to guard against surprise or treachery. I have

dwelt in previous letters on the obvious policy of the Government of the

United States, and I beg your readers to have firm faith that there will

be no departure from it. By concentrating forces at Key West and

Tortugas very valuable political results are obtained in face of the

present disputes, and material strategical advantages in case those

disputes should lead to a rupture, which will not be initiated by the

Cabinet at Washington. These places are within a few hours’ sail of the

coast; they are healthy, and can be easily supplied, as long as the

United States fleet can keep the sea and cover the movements of its

transports. Their occupation in force cannot be taken as an act of open

war, while it is undoubtedly an alarming menace, which will keep the

Confederates in a state of constant apprehension and preparation,

leading to much internal trouble and great expense. By a confusion of

metaphor which events may justify, the eye to watch may be turned into

an arm to strike.

The Southern Commissioners are still here, but they are still unable to

procure even a semi-official recognition of their existence, and all

their correspondence has been carried on through one of their clerks.

It is, perhaps, not necessary to add that Mr. Seward has no intention of

resigning, as has been stated, and that there is no dissention in the

Cabinet.

LETTER IV.

NORFOLK, VA., April, 15, 1861.

SUMTER has fallen at last. So much may be accepted. Before many hours I

hope to stand amid the ruins of a spot which will probably become

historic, and has already made more noise in the world than its guns,

gallant as the defence may have been. The news will produce an

extraordinary impression at New York--it will disconcert stock-jobbers,

and derange the most ingenious speculations. But, considerable as may be

its results in any part of the Union, I venture to say that nowhere will

the shock cause such painful convulsions as in the Cabinet at

Washington, where there appeared to exist the most perfect conviction

that the plan for the relief of Sumter could not fail to be successful,

either through the force of the expedition provided for that object, or

through the unwillingness of the leaders at Charleston to fire the first

shot, and to compel the surrender of the place by actual hostilities.

The confidence of Mr. Seward in the strength of the name and of the

resources of the United States Federal Government must have received a

rude blow; but his confidences are by no means of a weakly constitution,

and it will be long ere he can bring himself to think that all his

prophecies must be given up one after another before the inexorable

logic of facts, with which his vaticinations have been in “irrepressible

conflict.” It seems to me that Mr. Seward has all along undervalued the

spirit and the resolution of the Southern Slave States, or that he has

disguised from others the sense he entertains of their extent and vigor.

The days assigned for the life of Secession have been numbered over and

over again, and Secession has not yielded up the ghost. The “bravado” of

the South has been sustained by deeds which render retreat from its

advanced position impossible. Mr. Seward will probably find himself hard

pushed to maintain his views in the Cabinet in the face of recent

events, which will, no doubt, be used with effect and skill by Mr.

Chase, who is understood to be in favor of letting the South go as it

lists without any more trouble, convinced as he is that it is an element

of weakness in the body politic, while he would be prepared to treat as

treason any attempts in the remaining States of the Union to act on the

doctrine of secession. But the Union party must now prevail. As yet I do

not know whether the views I expressed relative to the destination of

the greater part of the troops and stores sent from the North were

correct, for it cannot be learned how many ships were off Sumter when it

surrendered; but, notwithstanding what has occurred, I reiterate the

assertion that the Washington Cabinet always said and say they had no

intention to provoke a conflict there, and that had the authorities at

Charleston continued their permission to the garrison to procure

supplies in their markets, there would have been no immediate action on

their part to precipitate the fight, though they were determined to hold

it and Fort Pickens, as well as Tortugas and Key West, and to victual

and strengthen the garrison of the former as soon as they were able.

Fate was against them. The decision and power of their opponents were

against them. But their defence will be that they could not do anything

till they got troops, and ships, and munitions of war together, and that

they did as much as they could in a month. Sumter, in fact, was a mouse

in the jaws of the cat, and the moment an attempt was made to release

the prey by external influence, the jaws were closed and the mouse

disposed of. The act will produce, I believe, in spite of what I see, a

very deep impression throughout all the States, and will tend to bring

about an immediate collision between the high-minded parties on both

sides. When Mr. Lincoln came into office it was discovered that a

promise had been made by outgoing members of the preceding government to

surrender the Southern forts. The promise was ignored by the incoming

ministry. The Southern Commissioners insist on it that, apart from the

compact of Mr. Buchanan’s Cabinet, a pledge had been given to the South

that no attempt would be made to reënforce the forts without notice to

the Government at Montgomery; and so far as can be ascertained the

authorities at Washington did cause to be conveyed to the Southern

Confederation the expression of their intention to victual Sumter: but

whether they do so in respect to their pledge, if it existed, or in

consequence of the decision at Charleston to prevent the issuing of

further supplies to the garrison, is uncertain. The withdrawal of the

permission to market was all but an act of war. If the United States

Government would act on the hypothesis that the Southern Confederation

was an independent power, it would surely have considered the proceeding

as a prelude to immediate hostility. But the course thus adopted arose

out of the preparations made by the United States Government in fitting

out expeditions, the object of which was scarcely dubious. The

Commissioners of the Southern States at Washington, never acknowledged,

at last met with a decisive rebuff just as Virginia saw her

representatives from the Convention on the way to ask Mr. Lincoln to

explain his intentions. The Commissioners were given to understand that

their presence was useless, and that the forts would be reënforced; and

on the intelligence thus furnished to the Government at Montgomery it

was resolved to act by summoning Major Anderson to surrender before

succor could arrive, and in event of refusal by compelling him to yield

in the sight of the would-be relieving squadron. As soon as the

Commissioners found that Mr. Lincoln had made his decision, they

departed in no very yielding temper, and washed their hands in a

valedictory paper of the results. It was my intention to have left

Washington early in the week, and to have reached Charleston before

these gentlemen had departed, but the heavy storms and floods which

washed away part of the railway between Washington and Richmond at the

other side of the Potomac prevented my departure, and not only arrested

the mails from the South and the journey of the Virginian delegates for

several days, but obliged the Commissioners to take the round-about

course by rail to Baltimore, thence by steamer to Norfolk, Virginia, and

then on by rail to Charleston, which I am now pursuing one day later.

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