THE NEW SCIENTIFIC HORIZON

About current scientific speculations there is one characteristic,

subtle, perhaps, but profound and far-reaching, which distinguishes

them from the scientific speculations of the Victorian age. We can

best isolate this characteristic by considering it as a particular

manifestation of something which is met with in nearly every

phase of contemporary life--something which may fairly be called

the _Zeitgeist_ of our time. This spirit is chiefly a sense

of unlimited possibilities, a sense that the radically new and

unprecedented may be upon us; with this feeling comes a recrudescence

of the spirit of adventure; there are unknown paths leading to vague

but--probably--splendid goals. In the Victorian age the main lines of

everything were settled; the chief features of the universe were known.

There were matter and energy, and there was, of course, the æther.

The astronomical and geological scales were known in broad outline,

and a first survey of the march from amœba to man had been taken. The

work of future ages was to fill in the details. The universe of the

Victorians was a large and rather grand affair, but it was sombre.

Those emotional barometers, the poets, in so far as they were aware

of the scientific outlook, either “transcended” it or were crushed by

it. Jules Laforge furnishes an excellent example of the effect of the

Victorian scientific outlook on an intelligent and sensitive mind.

His reaction was to compose funereal dirges on the death of the earth

and the extinction of mankind. The universe of the Victorians was

objective, indifferent, tracing a purposeless pattern in obedience to

“iron” laws. It was a universe which held no great surprises.

It is obvious that a very different spirit is abroad to-day. At the

present time the general consciousness seems to hold that almost

anything is possible. In part this may be accounted for, as in other

ages, by credulity based on ignorance, but there is also a credulity

based on knowledge, and it is this aspect of the general attitude which

deserves attention. The two kinds of credulity may be observed in

different believers of the same statements. Spiritualism, for instance,

has its followers amongst those who are unfamiliar with investigations

in the subject and amongst those whose belief has been compelled by

their very knowledge of the investigations. And disbelievers form

two exactly similar classes. There is also a credulity--the most

common kind--based on neither ignorance nor knowledge, but on partial

knowledge. Thus knowledge, but incomplete knowledge, of such phenomena

as wireless telegraphy or telephony, seems to predispose many people

to believe “wonders” which have no real connection with those

phenomena, but which are merely as inexplicable by partial knowledge.

Undoubtedly the recent developments in science are responsible for much

of this kind of credulity. But the new indulgence of possibilities,

as exhibited by the man of science, is dependent on quite different

considerations. To the student of physics, at any rate, the work of

the last two or three decades has been peculiarly disturbing. He has

been called upon, not merely to revise and extend his knowledge, but to

alter his assumptions. It is in this respect that the physics of our

own day chiefly differs from Victorian physics.

The distinctively modern epoch began with the promulgation of the

Electron Theory. That “matter” could be “electrified” was easily

granted. The fact that the famous question, What is electricity? could

not be answered was no difficulty in admitting the fact that, as a

result of certain processes, matter could be made to exhibit certain

phenomena which could conveniently be referred to the fact that it

possessed an “electric charge.” And the discovery of particles very

much smaller than a hydrogen atom presented no conceptual difficulties.

The fact that the ultimate particles of matter were smaller than had

been supposed could easily be granted; the new assumption was of the

same kind as the old one. And, further, to admit that each of these

particles possessed an electric charge made no unfamiliar demands on

the imagination. But the next step, that these particles consisted

of nothing but an electric charge--that was a very different thing.

The early popularisations of the idea show something of the mental

confusion it caused. “Disembodied charges of electricity” was a

favourite descriptive phrase; many physicists fought hard to retain

even a nucleus of “ordinary matter” on which this charge could be

supposed to be lodged. That an electric charge could exist apart from

matter seemed to many people as difficult to conceive as motion without

anything which moved. But the conception speedily became familiar; that

useful entity, the æther, soon made things easier. For the disembodied

charge, the electron, could be conceived as a local distortion of

some kind in the æther, and, by endowing the æther with some sort of

substantiality, the hypothesis that matter was in some way built up

out of this primitive substance could be tolerated. But the general

effect of the theory was to give a more philosophical tinge to science.

The gross, easy assumptions of everyday thinking about “matter” had

to be revised; articles were written showing that matter was really

immaterial, and materialism was conjectured to have received a severe

set-back.

The mind had barely become accustomed to the new assumptions before it

was again profoundly disturbed by the publication of Planck’s Quantum

Theory. The theory, which was invented to explain certain radiation

phenomena, asserted, briefly, that energy was atomic. One’s most

intimate assumptions were disturbed. Men of science are not usually

accustomed to philosophic exercises, and the idea that energy, which

they regarded as necessarily continuous, had an atomic structure seemed

at first almost meaningless. If we consider, for instance, the energy

possessed by a moving body, it seems natural to suppose that this

energy can be increased or diminished in a continuous manner; the idea

that its energy can only increase or decrease by finite jumps was a

very strange idea, and led again to a scrutiny of assumptions which

had appeared fundamental in science. Here, again, objections to the

new theory were sometimes the outcome purely of mental inertia, of an

inability to examine and discard a way of thinking which seemed almost

a necessary consequence of the structure of the mind. The last great

_bouleversement_ of one’s fundamental assumptions has been, of

course, Einstein’s generalised theory of relativity. Here we are asked

to revise our most deep-rooted assumptions--so deep-rooted that we are,

for the most part, unconscious of them--our assumptions regarding space

and time.

It is this thorough overhauling of primary assumptions which

distinguishes the modern progress in physics from all the progress of

the Victorian age. Physics has not merely been extended, it has become

a radically new thing, and there are very good reasons for supposing

that it is going to change still more. A certain sense of unknown

possibilities is therefore natural, even if it be the product merely of

bewilderment. The total effect of the new ideas is to make the universe

of physics less objective; to an unsuspected extent this indifferent

universe, with its iron laws, is a product of our own minds. To some

extent this fact was always recognised, particularly by the Continental

physicists, but as a general persuasion it is comparatively recent.

We cannot escape the structure of our own minds, it is true, but we

do not yet know what that structure is; we do not know what barriers

are breakable; we do not know what thoughts are thinkable by man. A

universe in whose construction so plastic and mysterious an entity as

the mind of man collaborates, may very well hold great surprises.

Aspects of science · 第 54 / 58 题