III

If we contrast ancient with modern scientific theories we find

that the chief distinguishing characteristic of the former is that

they employ principles drawn from other branches of knowledge or

speculation. It would be, perhaps, rash to say that modern science,

in all its branches, is yet completely autonomous; sometimes, for

instance, it seems to make assumptions which are the result of an

uncritical philosophy, but even the grossest of these examples,

compared with many celebrated early scientific theories, shows how

great is the purification that has been effected. The chief error of

the old speculators consisted in imagining that the world is a more

obvious unity than we have now any reason to suppose. Hence they were

always willing to argue by “analogy,” comparing terms between which

we cannot now find the slightest resemblance. The method was not only

illegitimate, but sometimes led to quite unnecessary complexities of

explanation. The Ptolemaic system of astronomy, for instance, conceived

as the theory that the heavenly bodies revolve round the earth, was

a perfectly reasonable and satisfactory theory. It was capable of

explaining all the observed planetary motions, except a few minute

irregularities requiring precise measurements for their detection. Its

proper development required, of course, complete docility in face of

the facts. But in its actual development it was forced to accommodate

itself to quite other considerations. It had to take into account the

venerable principle that, the celestial bodies being obviously sublime,

incorrupt and perfect, their orbits must be perfect and described with

uniform velocities. The only possible perfect orbit was as obviously

a circle. Hence the Ptolemaic theory was loaded with the task of

explaining the observed heavenly motions on two grounds: first, that

the earth was stationary and at the centre of the system, and second,

that the planetary orbits were circular and described with unvarying

velocities. Alternative hypotheses were not only stupid but impious.

The task thus set to the early astronomers was one of considerable

difficulty.

The observed path of a planet, say Mars, or Jupiter, or Saturn, is

by no means simple. If its motion amongst the stars be watched from

night to night it is seen to be moving sometimes from east to west

and sometimes from west to east. Further, in changing its direction

of motion it does not retrace its path amongst the stars. Its actual

observed path exhibits irregular loops, and, more rarely, a twisted

line. It was at once obvious that a circular orbit, traversed with

uniform velocity, would not suffice to explain these appearances.

Nevertheless, the principle must be preserved. The astronomers

overcame this difficulty by a device that strikes one as being almost

disingenuous. They imagined a small circle whose centre traversed the

circumference of the big circle with a constant velocity and round

whose own circumference the planet moved with a constant velocity. By

assigning suitable velocities to these two motions the crude features

of the planet’s actual observed motion could be represented--it would

sometimes be retrograde and sometimes direct. This is ingenious, but it

is questionable whether it preserves the principle. The planet’s motion

is obtained by circular motions, it is true, but it is not itself a

circular motion with reference to the earth as centre. The astronomers

have entered on a slippery path. We view them with the same suspicion

with which we watch a Broad Churchman expounding the Thirty-Nine

Articles. But they had to go further. The theoretical and the observed

motions did not fit well enough. On the little circle it was necessary

to imagine a still smaller circle, and to place the planet on its

circumference. After all, this interpretation of “circular motion” once

admitted, there was no reason why it should not be followed up. But

progress in this direction soon came to a halt. It became evident that

this method would not, by itself, reconcile observation and theory.

The principle had to be strained again, and this time in an almost

indefensible manner. It was declared that the big circle was eccentric

with respect to the earth and that the little circles were eccentric

with respect to their supposed former centres. This assertion must have

been a great strain on the faith of the orthodox believer. He may well

have wondered whether, by this time, the pure doctrine of his fathers

had not been subtly undermined. Circular motion was still preserved, in

a way, it is true, but with so many circles, and their centres all over

the place--this must have appeared something very different from what

he supposed the principle to mean.

The same difficulty was felt by simple minds in modern times, when the

correct explanations of statements in Genesis were worked out by the

theologians. And just as the simple story of the Creation in Genesis

became transformed into an extremely obscure and ambiguous anticipation

of the discoveries of Geology, so the interpretation of circular motion

advanced from complexity to complexity. Immutable principles must

exist, of course--it is part of the glory of man that he should have

been able to discover so many of them--but they sometimes seem more

trouble than they are worth. The old astronomers found that yet again a

more liberal interpretation must be given to the principle of circular

motion. This time it was found that the circles do not all lie in one

plane. Each circle has its own plane, which may be inclined at any

angle to the others. By this time the theorists, whom we might call the

“commentators,” had forged a very powerful method. Circles could be

multiplied; their centres could be placed anywhere; their planes could

be inclined at any angle. The rich content of the principle of circular

motion was now fully revealed. With all these variables to play with a

very close correspondence between theory and observation was effected.

The rise of the “higher criticism” of this system leads to the history

of modern astronomy. It is to be noted, however, that the first higher

critic, like the first higher critics in other departments, was not

wholly emancipated from his early teaching. Copernicus effected the

immense revolution of placing the sun in the centre of the system, but

he did not abandon circular motion. So he had to retain parts of the

epicyclic apparatus. The revolution was first completely effected by

Kepler, but even he conducted his early researches as a semi-believer,

a kind of very Broad Churchman. He made nineteen successive attempts

to explain the motions of Mars by the arrangements of eccentric

and epicyclic motions, and only then did he frankly throw the great

principle of circular motion overboard, and state that the actual paths

of the planets were ellipses. And so, in a few years, a great immutable

principle, a whole system of beliefs, the industry and thought of

generations went for nothing, and now exist merely as an occasional

cold reference in a treatise on Astronomy to the Ptolemaic system as a

“monument of misplaced ingenuity.”

Aspects of science · 第 40 / 58 题