ETA23: How a positive science works

A positive science is a symbolic model (SM) integrated in GCL, which is

associated to an external reality. Let's explain this statement.

1. The existence of a fundamental symbolic model called General Communication

Language (GCL) is supposed. This symbolic model contains absolutely all

words, together with their definitions. The definitions can be more or less

precise, logically consistent or not, can be or not accepted by some or

others. GCL is the common language formed spontaneously between people in

their inter-relations along the milleniums.

2. We choose a word (term) T from GCL.

3. Let's suppose that there is a positive science SM, that could include the

term T.

4. The term T, that should be studied by SM, has to be included in SM. For

this purpose, T has to be redefined within the frame of SM. SM can

integrate a new term only if this term is defined within SM. Thus T will

have one definition in GCL and another generated by SM.

Example: The term 'force' has one definition in GCL and another in Newton's

Mechanics. The predictions of Newton's Mechanics refer only to the term

'force' as it had been defined within Newton's Mechanics.

5. As soon as T has been included in SM, SM generates the relationships

between T and other elements, and makes predictions that include T. These

predictions can then be compared with external reality.

6. If the predictions of SM related to T prove to be acceptable, then SM is

considered useful in understanding T. If the predictions are unacceptable,

then SM is inadequate in understanding T. In neither case, SM can be

considered correct or incorrect.

7. Any prediction connected to T has to be associated with the SM which

produced it.

Example: Gravity is a supposition of Newton's theory. In his theory gravity is

a property of the mass of a physical body. In Einstein's theory (another

symbolic model), gravity is a property of space and mass. Both theories give

good predictions in known specific situations.

8. As the predictions of SM related to T are proved acceptable, SM is

considered suitable in understanding T and thus, the predictions of SM

including T can be associated with the term knowledge.

Knowledge based on an acceptable SM is the purpose of any positive science.

We'll see now an extremely complex example. We have intentionally chosen a

term which practically has no definition in GCL (the definitions is unclear)

and has no associated direct data and facts from the external reality. The

term chosen is 'alien' (ET).

To study within a positive science a term like ET seems impossible; we will

see that this is not so. According to the logical schematic presented, we need

a symbolic model (a positive science), which in our example is MDT itself.

Generation of a definition of the term ET in MDT means that we accept that ETs

have a brain and more, their brain works based on the same principle as the

human brain. This can be difficult to accept, but independent of the used SM

(MDT or another), the situation is the same: SM generates the definition of

ET, whatever SM is, and whatever the definition of ET in GCL might be. We'll

try to explain ET in MDT.

Let's activate MDT with ET included. MDT considers that the basic functions of

the brain are the construction of image models [I] and symbolic models [S].

Let's define a human brain [H] with the parameters I=1, S=1. It is very likely

that ET will not have the same parameters. Let's suppose a model of ET with

the parameters ET(1,10)(the same capacity to build image models as humans, but

ten times capacity to build symbolic models). This is just a possible example.

In a complete analysis we need to use a collection of values (I,S).

After having choosen a pair (I,S), we start operating MDT with ET included. We

can ask a first question, e.g. how can the interaction between a human H(1,1)

and an ET(1,10) look like? Which are the tendencies of the ET? Do they want to

communicate, do they want to be friends or enemies, etc.

MDT can't answer these questions yet. We need to calibrate the model.

Calibration is done asking questions with known answers.

For instance, a dog might be associated to D(0.1,0) (10% of the capacity to

operate image models compared to a human and zero capacity to operate symbolic

models). We have the tendency to communicate with dogs and do not have an

exagerated tendency to exterminate them. On the other hand, we have the

tendency to exterminate mosquitoes which have an extremely low I value and

S=0.

We can go on with calibration studying the interaction among humans. For

instance, the Asiatic have clearly a higher I value than the Europeans, and

the Europeans have higher S.

Once the system is somehow calibrated, extrapolation to given situations is

possible. Based on prediction, we can evaluate which are the limits for I and

S for a friendly or unfriendly interaction.

Let's not forget that no prediction of the model can be verified yet in

interaction with external reality. However, the fact that we have a collection

of predictions, brings us a huge advantage. If some facts from external

reality could be in the range of predictions of the model, we will be already

prepared to interpret them in specific conditions. Thus, some facts can be

explained if ET had a certain formula. Anyways, we already have a collection

of probable behaviours, which represents a big advantage, when some facts from

external reality could be explained by the existence of ET.

We can go even further. Depending on the formula chosen for ET, models of

civilisation could be built for each type of ET. Again, the model can be

calibration based on known types of human society, including those existing in

the past, and extrapolating to various formulas for ET.

Please remember that even if ET existed in external reality, and even if MDT

gave exact predictions, it does not result from here in any way, that ET have

brains which function as MDT considers.

A positive science only declares the model and gives predictions. If, based on

verifying the predictions, we get confidence in the model, then the model will

be used in other similar situations, as useful. Never and with no positive

science do we expect that it will show us "the truth" or it will offer

guarantees or certainties. A positive science, as we have shown above, makes

predictions. If the model makes good predictions, we will use it again, and

that's all.

Let's see another possible direct practical application associated to the

above example. We could build models to tell us what could happen with human

society if S=2. Or, what would happen if the dispersion in S increases too

much. This means to find out, for instance, if a danger exists for

civilization if 50% of humans have S=0.5 and 50% have S=1.5. Perspectives look

fascinating!

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