Both world wars starting in Europe occured in a very complex set of known and
unknown factors. MDT can be used to evaluate the problem.
Since Napoleon, there was a general tendency to war in Europe. MDT says that
there must be a war-associated ZAM, which must be assimilated and accepted by
the majority of the population. Also, the consciousness level has to be high
enough to think that the war will solve all the problems, but not high enough
to understand that this is not true.
One example of such a ZAM could be "we have better weapons" or "we are
powerful enough to win". Of course, the attacked people have a ZAM as "we must
defend our country". It is possible that such action models create conditions
for a war. But, such models, even if they are assimilated and accepted by the
population, are not enough to start a war. There must be also a big enough
number of high-ranking persons to plan such a war, and a series of technical
conditions.
Another factor, which is associated with the war start will be described
below. The people who are in command are usually image-type persons, but
symbolic-type persons make the weapons. Only symbolic-type persons are able to
understand the power of such weapons, but such persons are not in command.
Once a war starts, the image-type leaders lose the control of the short and
long-range consequences. For instance, the leaders of the Second World War
understood the weapons, based on the experience of the weapons of the First
World War. In the WW1 the tanks were "exotic" weapons and planes, too. Very
soon the tanks and planes changed totally the manner of evolution of a war. It
was not possible to predict the destructions on such a large scale by the WW1-
type persons who started WW2.
This problem continues to exist even now. In some less developed parts of the
world, the leaders and soldiers could be image-type persons, who are not able
to understand the power of the weapons used by them. They are also not able to
make such weapons. For instance, the war in Rwanda produced a huge number of
victims. The different groups of population fought each other since the
beginning of history and it was not a big problem. The problem occured when
they obtained advanced weapons without being themselves advanced enough to
understand their power.