President's Office Cornell University July 13, 1916

_Postscript_. I remarked in the foregoing Introduction, that

Roumania would not abandon her neutrality till fortune had declared

more decisively for one or the other group of belligerents. That was

written seven weeks ago. And within the last few days Roumania has

joined the Allies and declared war against Austria-Hungary. I also

noted that the unstable equilibrium which had been maintained in

Greece between the party of King Constantine and the party of

Venizelos had already been upset to the disadvantage of the former.

Roumania's adhesion to the cause of the Allies is bound to

accelerate this movement. It would not be surprising if Greece were

any day now to follow the example of Roumania. Had Greece in 1914

stood by Venizelos and joined the Allies the chances are that

Roumania would at that time have adopted the same course. But the

opposition of King Constantine delayed that consummation, directly

in the case of Greece, and indirectly in the case of Roumania. Now

that the latter has cast in her lot with the Allies and the former

is likely at any tune to follow her example, I may be permitted to

quote the forecast which I made in the Preface to the Second Edition

of this volume under date of November 26, 1914:

"If this terrible conflagration, which is already devastating

Europe and convulsing all the continents and vexing all the

oceans of the globe, spreads to the Balkans, one may hazard the

guess that Greece, Montenegro, Servia, and Roumania will stand

together on the side of the Allies and that Bulgaria if she is

not carried away by marked Austro-German victories will remain

neutral."

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