MY LORD,

In obedience to your Lordship's commands, as well as to satisfy my own

curiosity; I have, for some days past, inquired constantly after

PARTRIDGE the _Almanack_ maker: of whom, it was foretold in Mr.

BICKERSTAFF's _Predictions_, published about a month ago, that he should

die, the 29th instant, about eleven at night, of a raging fever.

I had some sort of knowledge of him, when I was employed in the Revenue;

because he used, every year, to present me with his _Almanack_, as he did

other Gentlemen, upon the score of some little gratuity we gave him.

I saw him accidentally once or twice, about ten days before he died: and

observed he began very much to droop and languish; although I hear his

friends did not seem to apprehend him in any danger.

About two or three days ago, he grew ill; was confined first to his

chamber, and in a few hours after, to his bed: where Dr. CASE and Mrs.

KIRLEUS [_two London quacks_] were sent for, to visit, and to prescribe

to him.

Upon this intelligence, I sent thrice every day a servant or other, to

inquire after his health: and yesterday, about four in the afternoon,

word was brought me, that he was past hopes.

Upon which, I prevailed with myself to go and see him: partly, out of

commiseration: and, I confess, partly out of curiosity. He knew me very

well, seemed surprised at my condescension, and made me compliments upon

it, as well as he could in the condition he was. The people about him,

said he had been delirious: but, when I saw him, he had his understanding

as well as ever I knew, and spoke strong and hearty, without any seeming

uneasiness or constraint.

After I had told him, I was sorry to see him in those melancholy

circumstances, and said some other civilities suitable to the occasion; I

desired him to tell me freely and ingenuously, whether the _Predictions_,

Mr. BICKERSTAFF had published relating to his death, had not too much

affected and worked on his imagination?

He confessed he often had it in his head, but never with much

apprehension till about a fortnight before: since which time, it had the

perpetual possession of his mind and thoughts, and he did verily believe

was the true natural cause of his present distemper. "For," said he, "I

am thoroughly persuaded, and I think I have very good reasons, that Mr.

BICKERSTAFF spoke altogether by guess, and knew no more what will happen

this year than I did myself."

I told him, "His discourse surprised me, and I would be glad he were in a

state of health to be able to tell me, what reason he had, to be convinced

of Mr. BICKERSTAFF's ignorance."

He replied, "I am a poor ignorant fellow, bred to a mean trade; yet I

have sense enough to know that all pretences of foretelling by Astrology

are deceits: for this manifest reason, because the wise and learned (who

can only judge whether there be any truth in this science), do all

unanimously agree to laugh at and despise it; and none but the poor

ignorant vulgar give it any credit, and that only upon the word of such

silly wretches as I and my fellows, who can hardly write or read." I then

asked him, "Why he had not calculated his own nativity, to see whether it

agreed with BICKERSTAFF's Predictions?"

At which, he shook his head, and said, "O, Sir! this is no time for

jesting, but for repenting those fooleries, as I do now from the very

bottom of my heart."

"By what I can gather from you," said I, "the Observations and

Predictions you printed with your _Almanacks_, were mere impositions upon

the people."

He replied, "If it were otherwise, I should have the less to answer for.

We have a common form for all those things. As to foretelling the

weather, we never meddle with that! but leave it to the printer, who

taketh it out of any old _Almanack_, as he thinketh fit. The rest was my

own invention, to make my _Almanack_ sell; having a wife to maintain, and

no other way to get my bread: for mending old shoes is a poor livelihood!

And," added he, sighing, "I wish I may not have done more mischief by my

physic than by astrology! although I had some good receipts from my

grandmother, and my own compositions were such as I thought could, at

least, do no hurt."

I had some other discourse with him, which now I cannot call to mind: and

I fear I have already tired your Lordship. I shall only add one

circumstance. That on his deathbed, he declared himself a Nonconformist,

and had a Fanatic [_the political designation of Dissenters_] preacher to

be his spiritual guide.

After half an hour's conversation, I took my leave; being almost stifled

by the closeness of the room.

I imagined he could not hold out long; and therefore withdrew to a little

coffee-house hard by, leaving a servant at the house, with orders to come

immediately, and tell me as near as he could the minute when PARTRIGE

should expire: which was not above two hours after, when, looking upon my

watch, I found it to be above Five minutes after Seven. By which it is

clear that Mr. BICKERSTAFF was mistaken almost four hours in his

calculation [_see_ p. 173]. In the other circumstances he was exact

enough.

But whether he hath not been the cause of this poor man's death as well

as the Predictor may be very reasonably disputed. However, it must be

confessed the matter is odd enough, whether we should endeavour to

account for it by chance or the effect of imagination.

For my own part, although I believe no man has less faith in these

matters, yet I shall wait with some impatience, and not without

expectation, the fulfilling of Mr. BICKERSTAFF's second prediction, that

the Cardinal De NOAILLES is to die upon the 4th of April [1708]; and if

that should be verified as exactly as this of poor PARTRIDGE, I must own

I shall be wholly surprised, and at a loss, and infallibly expect the

accomplishment of all the rest.

[In the original broadside, there are Deaths with darts, winged

hour-glasses, crossed marrow-bones, &c.]

[JONATHAN SWIFT.]

_An Elegy on Mr. PATRIGE, the_ Almanack _maker, who died on the 29th of

this instant March_, 1708.

[Original broadside in the British Museum, C. 39. k./74.]

Well, 'tis as BICKERSTAFF has guest;

Though we all took it for a jest;

PATRIGE is dead! nay more, he died

Ere he could prove the good Squire lied!

Strange, an Astrologer should die

Without one wonder in the sky

Not one of all his crony stars

To pay their duty at his hearse!

No meteor, no eclipse appeared,

No comet with a flaming beard!

The sun has rose and gone to bed

Just as if PATRIGE were not dead;

Nor hid himself behind the moon

To make a dreadful night at noon.

He at fit periods walks through _Aries_,

Howe'er our earthly motion varies;

And twice a year he'll cut th'Equator,

As if there had been no such matter.

Some Wits have wondered what analogy

There is 'twixt[11] Cobbling and Astrology?

How PATRIGE made his optics rise

From a shoe-sole, to reach the skies?

A list, the cobblers' temples ties,

To keep the hair out of their eyes;

From whence, 'tis plain, the diadem

That Princes wear, derives from them:

And therefore crowns are now-a-days

Adorned with golden stars and rays;

Which plainly shews the near alliance

'Twixt Cobbling and the Planet science.

Besides, that slow-paced sign _Bo-otes_

As 'tis miscalled; we know not who 'tis?

But PATRIGE ended all disputes;

He knew his trade! and called it _Boots_![12]

The Horned Moon which heretofore

Upon their shoes, the Romans wore,

Whose wideness kept their toes from corns,

And whence we claim our Shoeing Horns,

Shews how the art of Cobbling bears

A near resemblance to the Spheres.

A scrap of parchment hung by Geometry,

A great refinement in Barometry,

Can, like the stars, foretell the weather:

And what is parchment else, but leather?

Which an Astrologer might use

Either for _Almanacks_ or shoes.

Thus PATRIGE, by his Wit and parts,

At once, did practise both these Arts;

And as the boding owl (or rather

The bat, because her wings are leather)

Steals from her private cell by night,

And flies about the candle light:

So learned PATRIGE could as well

Creep in the dark, from leathern cell;

And in his fancy, fly as far,

To peep upon a twinkling star!

Besides, he could confound the Spheres

And set the Planets by the ears,

To shew his skill, he, Mars would join

To Venus, in _aspect malign_,

Then call in Mercury for aid,

And cure the wounds that Venus made.

Great scholars have in LUCIAN read

When PHILIP, King of Greece was dead,

His soul and spirit did divide,

And each part took a different side:

One rose a Star; the other fell

Beneath, and mended shoes in hell.

Thus PATRIGE still shines in each Art,

The Cobbling, and Star-gazing Part;

And is installed as good a star

As any of the CAESARS are.

Thou, high exalted in thy sphere,

May'st follow still thy calling there!

To thee, the _Bull_ will lend his hide,

By _Phoebus_ newly tanned and dried!

For thee, they _Argo_'s hulk will tax,

And scrape her pitchy sides for wax!

Then _Ariadne_ kindly lends

Her braided hair, to make thee ends!

The point of Sagittarius' dart

Turns to an awl, by heavenly art!

And Vulcan, wheedled by his wife,

Will forge for thee, a paring-knife!

Triumphant Star! some pity shew

On Cobblers militant below!

[13] But do not shed thy influence down

Upon St. James's end o' the Town!

Consider where the moon and stars

Have their devoutest worshippers!

Astrologers and lunatics

Have in Moorfields their stations fixt:

Hither, thy gentle aspect bend,

[14] Nor look asquint on an old friend!

[11] PATRIGE was a cobbler.

[12] See his _Almanack_.

[13] _Sed nec in Arctoo sede tibi legeris Orbe, &c._

[14] _Neve tuam videas obliquo idere Romam_.

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