No. 69. TUESDAY, JULY 3, 1753

Fereoe libenter homines id quod volunt credunt. CAESAR.

Men willingly believe what they wish to be true.

TULLY has long ago observed, that no man,

however weakened by long life, is so conscious

of his own decrepitude, as not to imagine that he

may yet hold his station in the world for another year.

Of the truth of this remark every day furnishes new

confirmation: there is no time of life, in which men

for the most part seem less to expect the stroke of

death, than when every other eye sees it impending;

or are more busy in providing for another year,

than when it is plain to all but themselves, that at

another year they cannot arrive. Though every

funeral that passes before their eyes evinces the

deceitfulness of such expectations, since every man who is

born to the grave thought himself equally certain of

living at least to the next year; the survivor still

continues to flatter himself, and is never at a loss for

some reason why his life should be protracted, and

the voracity of death continue to be pacified with

some other prey.

But this is only one of the innumerable artifices

practised in the universal conspiracy of mankind

against themselves: every age and every condition

indulges some darling fallacy; every man amuses

himself with projects which he knows to be improbable,

and which, therefore, he resolves to pursue

without daring to examine them. Whatever any man

ardently desires, he very readily believes that he shall

some time attain: he whose intemperance has

overwhelmed him with diseases, while he languishes in

the spring, expects vigour and recovery from the

summer sun; and while he melts away in the summer,

transfers his hopes to the frosts of winter: he

that gazes upon elegance or pleasure, which want of

money hinders him from imitating or partaking,

comforts himself that the time of distress will soon

be at an end, and that every day brings him nearer

to a state of happiness; though he knows it has passed

not only without acquisition of advantage, but perhaps

without endeavours after it, in the formation

of schemes that cannot be executed, and in the

contemplation of prospects which cannot be approached.

Such is the general dream in which we all slumber

out our time: every man thinks the day coming, in

which he shall be gratified with all his wishes, in

which he shall leave all those competitors behind,

who are now rejoicing like himself in the expectation

of victory; the day is always coming to the servile

in which they shall be powerful, to the obscure

in which they shall be eminent, and to the deformed

in which they shall be beautiful.

If any of my readers has looked with so little

attention on the world about him, as to imagine this

representation exaggerated beyond probability, let

him reflect a little upon his own life; let him

consider what were his hopes and prospects ten years

ago, and what additions he then expected to be made

by ten years to his happiness; those years are now

elapsed; have they made good the promise that was

extorted from them? have they advanced his fortune,

enlarged his knowledge, or reformed his conduct,

to the degree that was once expected? I am

afraid, every man that recollects his hopes must

confess his disappointment; and own that day has glided

unprofitably after day, and that he is still at the same

distance from the point of happiness.

With what consolations can those, who have thus

miscarried in their chief design, elude the memory

of their ill success? with what amusements can they

pacify their discontent, after the loss of so large a

portion of life? they can give themselves up again

to the same delusions, they can form new schemes

of airy gratifications, and fix another period of

felicity; they can again resolve to trust the promise

which they know will be broken, they can walk in a

circle with their eyes shut, and persuade themselves

to think that they go forward.

Of every great and complicated event, part

depends upon causes out of our power, and part must

be effected by vigour and perseverance. With regard

to that which is styled in common language the

work of chance, men will always find reasons for

confidence or distrust, according to their different

tempers or inclinations; and he that has been long

accustomed to please himself with possibilities of

fortuitous happiness, will not easily or willingly be

reclaimed from his mistake. But the effects of human

industry and skill are more easily subjected to

calculation: whatever can be completed in a year, is

divisible into parts, of which each may be performed

in the compass of a day; he, therefore, that has

passed the day without attention to the task assigned

him, may be certain, that the lapse of life

has brought him no nearer to his object; for

whatever idleness may expect from time, its produce

will be only in proportion to the diligence with

which it has been used. He that floats lazily down

the stream, in pursuit of something borne along by

the same current, will find himself indeed move

forward; but unless he lays his hand to the oar, and

increases his speed by his own labour, must be always

at the same distance from that which he is

following.

There have happened in every age some

contingencies of unexpected and undeserved success, by

which those who are determined to believe whatever

favours their inclinations, have been encouraged

to delight themselves with future advantages; they

support confidence by considerations, of which the

only proper use is to chase away despair: it is equally

absurd to sit down in idleness because some have

been enriched without labour, as to leap a precipice

because some have fallen and escaped with life, or

to put to sea in a storm because some have been

driven from a wreck upon the coast to which they

are bound.

We are all ready to confess, that belief ought to

be proportioned to evidence or probability: let any

man, therefore, compare the number of those who

have been thus favoured by fortune, and of those

who have failed of their expectations, and he will

easily determine, with what justness he has registered

himself in the lucky catalogue.

But there is no need on these occasions for deep

inquiries or laborious calculations; there is a far

easier method of distinguishing the hopes of folly

from those of reason, of finding the difference

between prospects that exist before the eyes, and

those that are only painted on a fond imagination.

Tom Drowsy had accustomed himself to compute

the profit of a darling project till he had no longer

any doubt of its success; it was at last matured by

close consideration, all the measures were accurately

adjusted, and he wanted only five hundred pounds

to become master of a fortune that might be envied

by a director of a trading company. Tom was

generous and grateful, and was resolved to

recompense this small assistance with an ample fortune;

he, therefore, deliberated for a time, to whom

amongst his friends he should declare his necessities;

not that he suspected a refusal, but because

he could not suddenly determine which of them

would make the best use of riches, and was,

therefore, most worthy of his favour. At last his choice

was settled; and knowing that in order to borrow

he must shew the probability of repayment, he

prepared for a minute and copious explanation of his

project. But here the golden dream was at an end:

he soon discovered the impossibility of imposing

upon others the notions by which he had so long

imposed upon himself; which way soever he turned

his thoughts, impossibility and absurdity arose in

opposition on every side; even credulity and prejudice

were at last forced to give way, and he grew

ashamed of crediting himself what shame would

not suffer him to communicate to another.

To this test let every man bring his imaginations,

before they have been too long predominant in his

mind. Whatever is true will bear to be related,

whatever is rational will endure to be explained;

but when we delight to brood in secret over future

happiness, and silently to employ our meditations

upon schemes of which we are conscious that the

bare mention would expose us to derision and

contempt; we should then remember, that we are

cheating ourselves by voluntary delusions; and

giving up to the unreal mockeries of fancy, those hours

in which solid advantages might be attained by

sober thought and rational assiduity.

There is, indeed, so little certainty in human

affairs, that the most cautious and severe examiner

may be allowed to indulge some hopes which he

cannot prove to be much favoured by probability;

since, after his utmost endeavours to ascertain events,

he must often leave the issue in the hands of chance.

And so scanty is our present allowance of happiness,

that in many situations life could scarcely be

supported, if hope were not allowed to relieve the

present hour by pleasures borrowed from futurity;

and reanimate the languor of dejection to new

efforts, by pointing to distant regions of felicity, which

yet no resolution or perseverance shall ever reach.

But these, like all other cordials, though they may

invigorate in a small quantity, intoxicate in a greater;

these pleasures, like the rest, are lawful only in

certain circumstances, and to certain degrees; they may

be useful in a due subserviency to nobler purposes,

but become dangerous and destructive when once

they gain the ascendant in the heart: to soothe the

mind to tranquillity by hope, even when that hope

is likely to deceive us, may be sometimes useful;

but to lull our faculties in a lethargy is poor and

despicable.

Vices and errours are differently modified,

according to the state of the minds to which they are

incident; to indulge hope beyond the warrant of

reason, is the failure alike of mean and elevated

understandings; but its foundation and its effects are

totally different: the man of high courage and great

abilities is apt to place too much confidence in

himself, and to expect, from a vigorous exertion of his

powers, more than spirit or diligence can attain:

between him and his wish he sees obstacles indeed, but

he expects to overleap or break them; his mistaken

ardour hurries him forward; and though, perhaps,

he misses his end, he nevertheless obtains some

collateral good, and performs something useful to

mankind, and honourable to himself.

The drone of timidity presumes likewise to hope,

but without ground and without consequence; the

bliss with which he solaces his hours he always

expects from others, though very often he knows not

from whom: he folds his arms about him, and sits

in expectation of some revolution in the state that

shall raise him to greatness, or some golden shower

that shall load him with wealth; he dozes away the

day in musing upon the morrow; and at the end of

life is roused from his dream only to discover that

the time of action is past, and that he can now shew

his wisdom only by repentance.

No. 74. SATURDAY, JULY 21, 1753

Insansientis dum sapientiae

Consultus erro.---- HOR. Lib. i. Od. xxxiv. 2.

I missed my end, and lost my way

By crack-brain'd wisdom led astray.

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