Among the Germans the background of industrial development

was very different from that which we have noted in Britain.

Where the river valleys leave the hills for the northern plain are

old cities of great dignity and fame, and though they were

somewhat decadent after the decay of the Hanse, they were strong

enough to keep their common lands and their tradition of city

government from the Middle Ages. Coal was found along this

zone, and it became industrialized, but the new movement had

to respect the cities, which grew often on public land. The old

city of Nürnberg developed industrial refinements on the basis

of craftsmanship, which owed a great deal to the old business of

distributing goods from the East brought up from Venice to its

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mart. There was thus neither on the one hand the same general

growth of slums as in Britain, nor on the other the accumulation

of immense profits from slum development to be used as liquid

capital for speculative purposes. Moreover, the industrial effort

in Germany was contemporaneous with the effort to make Germany

a real nation-state, and each movement influenced the other.

Much thought was given to the question of the national balance-sheet,

and industry was made to help agriculture by conversion

of waste products into fertilizers. Thus, though Germany was

experiencing the same cityward drift of people as Britain, her

agriculture remained in a far stronger position than ours, and with

that went the probability of better maintenance of the quality of

the people. The wasting of resources on war, the distrust created

by aggressive intrigues, the loss of territory and minerals, and the

loss of health of the people through the blockade, all imply

changes in the situation of the German people, the consequences

of which it is difficult to foresee.

German industry utilized Polish labour in large quantities, and

was much concerned with the westward-flowing Slavonic stream

which was said to be altering the character of the German people.

On the other hand, a German stream of organization flowed

eastward and south-eastward, and the industrial fever made great

strides in the latter half of the nineteenth century in Bohemia,

in Austria proper, in Upper Silesia, and in Poland. In Bohemia it

emphasized the differences between German and Slavonic elements

of the people; in Upper Silesia and in Poland the Germans were

mainly found in the towns, especially in the leader class, and often

difference of language and sentiment between masters and men

was a very undesirable feature.

Polish industrial centres were correspondingly notorious for

their bad social conditions before the war.

The industrial fever spread to Russia, and of its entry into that

country we get a useful sketch in Kropotkin's _Fields, Factories,

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and Workshops_. Here was a country with marked seasonal cycles,

and often at first manufacture was made a winter occupation,

and was hoped by some to offer a means of rescuing many of the

people from some of the evils of the severe Russian winter. In

the Ukraine Poles seem to have done a good deal of the industrial

organization, and it was natural that German experience should

carry great influence. It was said that the co-operative,

even communist, traditions of the people accounted for much

in the form of organization of industry, the guilds or artels being

a distinctive feature. Needless to say that, with transport ill

developed, education neglected, and self-government impossible

under the Tsar, Russian industry was of doubtful efficiency and

social conditions bad. One must, however, remember that

industry was only beginning.

In addition to the main zone of industry which we have now

followed along the coal zone from Britain to Russia, the attempt

was made near small coalfields elsewhere, and even at times away

from coal, to glean some of the wealth industry brought. About

1895, however, hydro-electric power became transmissible over

long distances and thus much more applicable. This change

created new regions of industry in Scandinavia and around the

Alps. Both Sweden and Norway use this power, and it has

made an immense difference, especially to Norway. In the case

of Norway the weakness of class distinctions has led to the careful

organization of good social conditions, in spite of serious

difficulties because of the very limited sites available. In Switzerland,

South Germany, and Italy, up to 1914, the use of hydro-electric

power was creating a valuable community of interest and problems

that was drawing the whole region together, while Switzerland

was becoming strong economically in a way undreamed of before.

Post-war developments will need to be watched with care and

breadth of view. Hydro-electric power was being developed in

pre-war France, and will probably be a great help to that country

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if greater care is taken on the social side than was taken in the

early stages of the movement. It has been claimed that a

hydro-electric power system could be developed all around the Iberian

plateau, and something is said to have been done recently towards

its development. In the British Isles only a few spots can give

enough power to make an installation an economic success in the

present state of knowledge, so that in a water-power age Britain

would have a minor position. It seems doubtful at present

whether this form of power will become anything more than

an accessory. It is noteworthy that in the Alpine region it helps

a population fundamentally inclined to patient detailed work to

build up an industry in fine electrical machinery partly developed

from an old watchmaking tradition.

The utilization of tidal power has been debated, and a scheme

for the Severn estuary, as well as one for the north coast of Brittany,

has been elaborated. Should this line of development be followed

in the future, Britain's position and the power of the tides at

several points would assist greatly.

For the present, however, the fashionable power is oil, of which,

so far as is known, Britain has only a very little, and in which the

whole of Western Europe is also poor. But oil is rather easily

transportable, and Western Europe's powers of transport are being

used to exploit sources of oil in such places as are not already in

the sphere of influence of the United States of America. However

this may be disguised, it is none the less an indication of Europe's

increasing dependence on other regions for what her industry

needs. Large amounts of raw products now come from outside

Europe, and if power also comes from afar, Europe's advantages

will be restricted to her climate in its relation to efficiency, her

capital, her tradition of skill which she has endangered by the

enormous amount of specialization developed among her workers,

and her ownership and control of transport by sea. On this last

point it is noteworthy that the great advance made by the

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United States of America does not seem to be fully maintaining

itself.

For the immediate future the incalculable water-power available

in the monsoon lands, the immense and easily workable deposits

of coal in Shansi (North China), the coal and oil available in and

near the United States of America, the huge water-power that

might be utilized in several parts of America, the possibilities of

tidal power in many regions, and the production of power-alcohol

from equatorial vegetation, are all interesting factors of a situation

the precariousness of which for the thickly populated areas of

Western Europe is obvious to all. With their organization based

upon skill and patience, the peoples of Central Europe may well

go on developing, perhaps even exploiting, the Russian and

Turanian lands on their eastern flank, as these latter do not seem

likely to become industrial for some time. On the other hand,

a Sino-Japanese development of industry on a large scale is always

possible, and, if wisely managed, should have the benefit of the

skill, taste, and honesty of the Chinese merchant as well as of the

skilful industry of the Chinese workman, whose frugality and

cheerfulness would make him a formidable competitor. The

signs of the times are thus in favour of the departure of industrial

primacy from Europe, however much political effort may contrive

to delay the change.

Before following out this thought it will be best to mention

some of the collateral developments in European and other lands

more indirectly affected by industrialism. The huge factory

populations need food, and the imported food supply of Europe

is an enormous problem. Cereals and some fruits may be carried

with ease, but the factory hands and especially the miners and

furnacemen need meat, and though meat can be carried in

refrigerators or alive, yet imported meat suffers through transport.

While therefore Australia, Argentina, and other regions are very

busy supplying stock products, there is a good deal of stock-raising

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and dairy work to be done in Europe. Holland and Denmark

have specialized in this matter, and the latter made herself a centre

for dairy produce from Holland and Lithuania and even Russia

before 1914. With political and social peace Ireland would

undoubtedly develop in this way. Several hill regions, like Central

France and parts of Switzerland, were also busy stock-raising, and

are likely to prosper in this direction if European industry

maintains itself.

In Switzerland the high ledge-pastures or alps have a remarkable

growth of hay in spring after the snow melts, and this gives

advantages over our British high lands. For their better utilization

it would be necessary to improve the breeds of grasses, and

important experiments for this purpose are in progress in Wales.

In the Highlands of Scotland the population is decreasing fast,

and thus Britain is losing a most valuable element in her

population, an element trained to endure hardness and traditionally

interested in serious thought.

The large financial resources of industrial populations and the

thriftlessness so inevitably developed under the circumstances of

their life in its present anarchic phase, further lead to a demand

for luxury foods, flowers, and so on, and Holland and the Channel

Islands are notable providers of these extras. The increase of

fine machinery and other factors make it fairly certain that olive

oil will have a good market for a long time, even if pea-nut oil

is used alongside of it. Olive oil and fruits offer opportunities

for the Mediterranean.

Thus practically every part of Europe is directly or indirectly

brought into the process of industrial development, and all are

increasingly dependent on the world outside, however much the

German people may have tried to maintain their agriculture.

This dependence and the precariousness of Europe's industrial

position, added to the fact that with an effort and some amount

of goodwill the peoples of Europe could grow to understand one

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another, especially in view of their common debt to the Roman

heritage, make it unthinkable that what is practically civil war

can be tolerated much longer in Europe. Before 1914 the Labour

Movement was clearly working towards the weakening of the

idea of the nation-state and its sovereignty, but the events of

1914 showed that the movement had not yet gained a real hold

on men's imagination. The new League of Nations movement

is an evidence of development of the same line of thought among

the thinkers of the Continent, and is slowly gathering momentum

through the creation of institutions with laws for their guidance,

and the promise of the growth of a body of lawyers as interested to

maintain those institutions as the lawyers of the nation-states have

been to maintain that form of organization. The League has had

to take up the question of the relations of Europe to distant lands,

and has stood for a principle of trusteeship, the fate of which is

trembling in the balance. The more hopeful Europeans see signs

of the growth of co-operation, and find indications of it even as

between France and Germany. Britain is torn between the

attitudes of solidarity with Europe and of aloofness from Europe

and association with distant lands of English speech. Perhaps

the improvement of the League of Nations scheme or its

transformation after discussions with the leaders of the United States

of America will give a means to put an end to this dilemma by

reconciling both aims.

Therein lies one of the greatest hopes for the salvaging of

civilization, though Britain's other problem of rescuing her

population from degenerative tendencies due to industrialism is

as clamant for solution if the world's peace is to develop. That

industry should spread, that every people should maintain an

agricultural background, and that the peoples of Europe should

find means to co-operate in matters of imports from the tropics,

transport arrangements, and labour conditions, must be the hope

of all who think of the future seriously, even if this means the

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discarding of ambitions of power which in less critical times

disguised themselves under the cloak of patriotism. This does

not mean the destruction of patriotism, but rather its ennoblement

into a passion for the well-being and the health of future

generations of the people, for the enrichment of each heritage

of language, literature, tradition, and art by active effort, and for

the growth of that toleration which is the accompaniment of

self-control and its attendant liberty and peace.

[NOTE.--The writer wishes to express his most sincere thanks to

his friends and fellow workers in the fields of research concerned,

especially to Miss R. M. Fleming and Mr. H. J. E. Peake, and

the late Professor V. Giuffrida-Ruggeri.]

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BIBLIOGRAPHICAL NOTES

Among the most important general reference works one must mention the

chief encyclopaedias, Reclus's _Géographie universelle_

(also in English), the

_International Geography_,

the _Dictionnaire de Géographie universelle_ (V. de

S. Martin). Ratzel's _Anthropogeographie_

and Brunhes's _La Géographie humaine_

and _Géographie humaine de la France_

should also be mentioned here. Bowman,

_The New World_, has a fine collection of maps

relating to the political

resettlement of Europe.

On Race Questions the standard book is

W. Z. Ripley's famous work, _The

Races of Europe_, supplemented by

G. Sergi's _Europa_ in Italian and by a

number of papers by Keith, Parsons, Peake, Fleure,

and others in the _Journal

of the Royal Anthropological Institute_

during the last ten years. Dr. Haddon

and Mrs. Quiggin have issued a valuable

revision of Keane's _Man, Past and

Present_. Déchelette's _Archéologie_

is the standard work in its field and may

be supplemented from Burkitt's _Prehistory_

and Macalister's _Archaeology_.

On Languages and their Distribution the student may begin by consulting

A. Meillet's _Les Langues dans l'Europe nouvelle_

and L. Dominian on _Frontiers

of Language and Nationality in Europe_.

From these books a bibliography can

be compiled to suit the student's purpose.

The evolution of social conditions in Europe

is so complex that it has not

as yet received synthetic treatment,

but some tentative efforts are useful if

read critically. Among them one may note

the files of _La Science sociale_ and

Demolins's _Comment la route crée le type social_,

Guizot's _Histoire de la

Civilisation en Europe_, Kropotkin's _Mutual Aid_,

his _Fields, Factories, and Workshops_,

and his _Memoirs of a Revolutionist_,

as well as Jenks's works, such as the little

_History of Politics_, and Geddes's _Cities in Evolution_.

It is impossible to give an adequate list of books

on special regions, but the

following will be found of value for various parts

of the Continent involved in

the recent treaties:

P. Vidal de la Blache, _Tableau de la Géographie

de la France_; P. Vidal de

la Blache, _La France de l'Est_; R. Blanchard,

_La Flandre_; H. J. Mackinder,

_The Rhine_; _Atlas de Finlande_; P. Leroy Beaulieu,

_The Empire of the Tsars_;

A. B. Boswell, _Poland and the Poles_; J. Cvijic,

_La Péninsule balkanique_;

M. I. Newbigin, _Geographical Aspects

of Balkan Problems_; M. E. Durham,

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_The Burden of the Balkans_; E. de Martonne,

_La Valachie_; A. Philippson,

_Das Mittelmeergebiet_; D. G. Hogarth, _The Nearer East_.

Further guidance to books on regions of Europe will be found in the

valuable handbooks issued by the British Government in two series,

i.e. the handbooks issued by the Intelligence Department

of the Admiralty, and

the handbooks issued by the Historical Section of the Foreign Office.

The reader interested in some of the problems may wish to consult

J. Fairgrieve's _Geography and World-Power_,

H. J. Mackinder's _Democratic Ideals and

Reality_, H. J. Fleure's _Human Geography in Western Europe_,

and C. B. Fawcett's

_Frontiers_.

The standard journals have issued important articles by Hinks, Lyde,

Newbigin, and others on the rearranged

boundaries of European states, and

among books concerned with the new Europe one may mention J. M. Keynes,

_Economic Consequences of the Peace_; I. Bowman, _The New World_;

M. I. Newbigin, _Aftermath_; and H. J. Fleure,

_The Treaty Settlement in Europe_.

The new _Times Atlas_ is invaluable, and may be supplemented on the

historical side by use of the well-known

historical atlases of F. Schrader, Poole,

Ramsay Muir, Diercke, and others.

Several valuable maps occur only in Vidal

de la Blache, _Atlas général_.

PRINTED IN ENGLAND

AT THE OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS

[Illustration: Rear end paper]

The peoples of Europe · 第 8 / 8 段