Even in empirical explanations Turgot shows a breadth and accuracy of

vision truly surprising, considering his own youth and what we may

venture to call the youth of his subject. The reader will be able to

appreciate this, and to discern at the same time the arbitrary nature of

Montesquieu's method, if he will contrast, for example, the remarks of

this writer upon polygamy with the far wider and more sagacious

explanation of the circumstances of such an institution given by

Turgot.[54] Unfortunately, he has left us only short and fragmentary

pieces, but they suggest more than many large and complete works. That

they had a very powerful and direct influence upon Condorcet there is no

doubt, as well from the similarity of general conception between him and

Turgot, as from the nearly perfect identity of leading passages in their

writings. Let us add that in Turgot's fragments we have what is

unhappily not a characteristic of Condorcet, the peculiar satisfaction

and delight in scientific history of a style which states a fact in such

phrases as serve also to reveal its origin, bearings, significance, in

which every successive piece of description is so worded as to be

self-evidently a link in the chain of explanation, an ordered term in a

series of social conditions.

Before returning to Condorcet we ought to glance at the remarkable

piece, written in 1784, in which Kant propounded his idea of a

universal or cosmo-political history, which contemplating the agency of

the human will upon a large scale should unfold to our view a regular

stream of tendency in the great succession of events.[55] The will

metaphysically considered, Kant said, is free, but its manifestations,

that is to say, human actions, 'are as much under the control of

universal laws of nature as any other physical phenomena.'

The very same course of incidents, which taken separately and

individually would have seemed perplexed and incoherent, 'yet viewed in

their connection and as the action of the human _species_ and not of

independent beings, never fail to observe a steady and continuous,

though slow, development of certain great predispositions in our

nature.' As it is impossible to presume in the human race any _rational_

purpose of its own, we must seek to observe some _natural_ purpose in

the current of human actions. Thus a history of creatures with no plan

of their own, may yet admit a systematic form as a history of creatures

blindly pursuing a plan of nature. Now we know that all predispositions

are destined to develop themselves according to their final purpose.

Man's rational predispositions are destined to develop themselves in the

species and not in the individual. History then is the progress of the

development of all the tendencies laid in man by nature. The method of

development is the antagonism of these tendencies in the social state,

and its source the _unsocial sociality_ of man--a tendency to enter the

social state, combined with a perpetual resistance to that tendency,

which is ever threatening to dissolve it. The play of these two

tendencies unfolds talents of every kind, and by gradual increase of

light a preparation is made for such a mode of thinking as is capable of

'exalting a social concert that had been _pathologically_ extorted from

the mere necessities of situation, into a _moral_ union founded on the

reasonable choice.' Hence the highest problem for man is the

establishment of a universal civil society, founded on the empire of

political justice; and 'the history of the human species as a whole may

be regarded as the unravelling of a hidden plan of nature for

accomplishing a perfect state of civil constitution for society in its

internal relations (and, as the condition of that, in its external

relations also), as the sole state of society in which the tendencies of

human nature can be all and fully developed.' Nor is this all. We shall

not only be able to unravel the intricate web of past affairs, but shall

also find a clue for the guidance of future statesmen in the art of

political prediction. Nay more, this clue 'will open a consolatory

prospect into futurity, in which at a remote distance we shall observe

the human species seated upon an eminence won by infinite toil, where

all the germs are unfolded which nature has implanted within it, and

its destination on this earth accomplished.'

That this conception involves an assumption about tendencies and final

purposes which reverses the true method of history, and moreover reduces

what ought to be a scientific inquiry to be a foregone justification of

nature or providence, should not prevent us from appreciating its signal

merits in insisting on a systematic presentation of the collective

activity of the race, and in pointing out, however cursorily, the use of

such an elucidation of the past in furnishing the grounds of practical

guidance in dealing with the future and in preparing it. Considering the

brevity of this little tract, its pregnancy and suggestiveness have not

often been equalled. We have seen enough of it here to enable us to

realise the differences between this and the French school. We miss the

wholesome objectivity, resulting from the stage which had been reached

in France by the physical sciences. Condorcet's series of _éloges_ shows

unmistakably how deep an impression the history of physical discovery

had made upon him, and how clearly he understood the value of its

methods. The peculiar study which their composition had occasioned him

is of itself almost enough to account for the fact that a conception

which had long been preparing in the superior minds of the time, should

fully develop itself in him rather than in anybody else.

FOOTNOTES:

[42] Quesnay; _Droit Naturel_, ch. v. _Les Physiocrates_, i. 52.

[43] _Economistes Financiers du 18ième Siècle._ Vauban's _Projet d'une

Dime Royale_ (p. 33), and Boisguillebert's _Factum de la France_, etc.

(p. 248 _et seq._)

[44] De la Rivière, for instance, very notably. Cf. his _Ordre Naturel

des Sociétés Politiques_. _Physiocrates_, ii. 469, 636, etc. See also

Baudeau on the superiority of the Economic Monarchy _Ib._ pp. 783-791.

[45] _Ordre Nat. des Soc. Pol._ p. 526.

[46] Bk. i. 23.

[47] _Hist._ i. 4.

[48] Polyb. _Hist._ I. iii. 4; iv. 3, 7.

[49] The well-known words of Thucydides may contain the germ of the same

idea, when he speaks of the future as being likely to represent again,

after the fashion of human things, 'if not the very image, yet the near

resemblance of the past.' Bk. i. 22, 4.

[50] _Discours en Sorbonne._ _Oeuv. de Turgot_, ii. 597. (Ed. of 1844).

[51] Cf. Sir G. C. Lewis's _Methods of Observation in Politics_, ii.

439, note.

[52] _Oeuv. de Turgot_, ii. 599, 645, etc.

[53] _Ib._ ii. 601.

[54] _Esprit des Lois_, xvi. cc. 2-4. And _Discours sur l'Histoire

Universelle_, in Turgot's Works, ii. 640, 641. For a further account of

Turgot's speculations, see article "Turgot" in the present volume.

[55] _Idea of a Universal History on a Cosmo-Political Plan._ It was

translated by De Quincey, and is to be found in vol. xiii. of his

collected works, pp. 133-152.

V.

The Physiocrats, as we have seen, had introduced the idea of there being

a natural order in social circumstances, that order being natural which

is most advantageous to mankind. Turgot had declared that one age is

bound to another by a chain of causation. Condorcet fused these two

conceptions. He viewed the history of the ages as a whole, and found in

their succession a natural order; an order which, when uninterrupted and

undisturbed, tended to accumulate untold advantages upon the human race,

which was every day becoming more plain to the vision of men, and

therefore every day more and more assured from disturbance by ignorant

prejudice and sinister interests. There is an order at once among the

circumstances of a given generation, and among the successive sets of

circumstances of successive generations. 'If we consider the development

of human faculties in its results, so far as they relate to the

individuals who exist at the same time on a given space, and if we

follow that development from generation to generation, then we have

before us the picture of the progress of the human mind. This progress

is subject to the same general laws that are to be observed in the

development of the faculties of individuals, for it is the result of

that development, considered at the same time in a great number of

individuals united in society. But the result that presents itself at

any one instant depends upon that which was offered by the instants

preceding; in turn it influences the result in times still to follow.'

This picture will be of a historical character, inasmuch as being

subject to perpetual variations it is formed by the observation in due

order of different human societies in different epochs through which

they have passed. It will expose the order of the various changes, the

influence exercised by each period over the next, and thus will show in

the modifications impressed upon the race, ever renewing itself in the

immensity of the ages, the track that it has followed, and the exact

steps that it has taken towards truth and happiness. Such observation of

what man has been and of what he is, will then lead us to means proper

for assuring and accelerating the fresh progress that his nature allows

us to anticipate still further.[56]

'If a man is able to predict with nearly perfect confidence, phenomena

with whose laws he is acquainted; if, even when they are unknown to him,

he is able, in accordance with the experience of the past, to foresee

with a large degree of probability the events of the future, why should

we treat it as a chimerical enterprise, to trace with some

verisimilitude the picture of the future destinies of the human race in

accordance with the results of its history? The only foundation of

belief in the natural sciences is this idea, that the general laws,

known or unknown, which regulate the phenomena of the universe are

necessary and constant; and why should this principle be less true for

the development of the moral and intellectual faculties of man than for

other natural operations? In short, opinions grounded on past experience

in objects of the same order being the single rule of conduct for even

the wisest men, why should the philosopher be forbidden to rest his

conjectures on the same base, provided that he never attributes to them

a degree of certainty beyond what is warranted by the number, the

constancy, and the accuracy of his observations?'[57]

Thus Condorcet's purpose was not to justify nature, as it had been with

Kant, but to search in the past for rational grounds of a belief in the

unbounded splendour of men's future destinies. His view of the character

of the relations among the circumstances of the social union, either at

a given moment or in a succession of periods, was both accurate and

far-sighted. When he came actually to execute his own great idea, and to

specify the manner in which those relations arose and operated, he

instantly diverged from the right path. Progress in his mind is

exclusively produced by improvement in intelligence. It is the necessary

result of man's activity in the face of that disproportion ever existing

between what he knows and what he desires and feels the necessity to

know.[58] Hence the most fatal of the errors of Condorcet's sketch. He

measures only the contributions made by nations and eras to what we

know; leaving out of sight their failures and successes in the

elevation of moral standards and ideals, and in the purification of

human passions.

Now even if we hold the intellectual principle only to be progressive,

and the moral elements to be fixed, being coloured and shaped and

quickened by the surrounding intellectual conditions, still, inasmuch as

the manner of this shaping and colouring is continually changing and

leading to the most important transformations of human activity and

sentiment, it must obviously be a radical deficiency in any picture of

social progress to leave out the development of ethics, whether it be a

derivative or an independent and spontaneous development. One seeks in

vain in Condorcet's sketch for any account of the natural history of

western morals, or for any sign of consciousness on his part that the

difference in ethical discipline and feeling between the most ferocious

of primitive tribes and the most enlightened eighteenth-century

Frenchmen, was a result of evolution that needed historical explanation,

quite as much as the difference between the astrolatry of one age and

the astronomy of another. We find no recognition of the propriety of

recounting the various steps of that long process by which, to use

Kant's pregnant phrase, the relations born of pathological necessity

were metamorphosed into those of moral union. The grave and lofty

feeling, for example, which inspired the last words of the

_Tableau_--whence came it? Of what long-drawn chain of causes in the

past was it the last effect? It is not enough to refer us generally to

previous advances in knowledge and intellectual emancipation, because

even supposing the successive modifications of our moral sensibilities

to be fundamentally due to the progress of intellectual enlightenment,

we still want to know in the first place something about the influences

which harness one process to the other, and in the second place,

something about the particular directions which these modifications of

moral constitution have taken.

If this is one very radical omission in Condorcet's scheme, his angry

and vehement aversion for the various religions of the world (with

perhaps one exception) is a sin of commission still more damaging to its

completeness. That he should detest the corrupt and oppressive forms of

religion of his own century was neither surprising nor blamable. An

unfavourable view of the influences upon human development of the

Christian belief, even in its least corrupt forms, was not by any means

untenable. Nay, he was at liberty to go further than this, and to depict

religion as a natural infirmity of the human mind in its immature

stages, just as there are specific disorders incident in childhood to

the human body. Even on this theory, he was bound to handle it with the

same calmness which he would have expected to find in a pathological

treatise by a physician. Who would write of the sweating sickness with

indignation, or describe zymotic diseases with resentment? Condorcet's

pertinacious anger against theology is just as irrational as this would

be, from the scientific point of view which he pretends to have assumed.

Theology, in fact, was partly avenged of her assailants, for she had in

the struggle contrived to infect them with the bitter contagion of her

own traditional spirit.

From the earliest times to the latest it is all one story according to

Condorcet. He can speak with respect of philosophies even when, as in

the case of the Scotch school of the last century, he dislikes and

condemns them.[59] Of religion his contempt and hatred only vary

slightly in degree. Barbarous tribes have sorcerers, trading on the

gross superstitions of their dupes: so in other guise and with different

names have civilised nations to-day. As other arts progressed,

superstition, too, became less rude; priestly families kept all

knowledge in their own hands, and thus preserved their hypocritical and

tyrannical assumptions from detection. They disclosed nothing to the

people without some supernatural admixture, the better to maintain their

personal pretensions. They had two doctrines, one for themselves, and

the other for the people. Sometimes, as they were divided into several

orders, each of them reserved to itself certain mysteries. Thus all the

inferior orders were at once rogues and dupes, and the great system of

hypocrisy was only known in all its completeness to a few adepts.

Christianity belonged to the same class. Its priests, we must admit, 'in

spite of their knaveries and their vices, were enthusiasts ready to

perish for their doctrines.' In vain did Julian endeavour to deliver the

empire from the scourge. Its triumph was the signal for the incurable

decay of all art and knowledge. The Church may seem to have done some

good in things where her interests did not happen to clash with the

interests of Europe, as in helping to abolish slavery, for instance; but

after all 'circumstances and manners' would have produced the result

necessarily and of themselves. Morality, which was taught by the priests

only, contained those universal principles that have been unknown to no

sect; but it created a host of purely religious duties, and of imaginary

sins. These duties were more rigorously enjoined than those of nature,

and actions that were indifferent, legitimate, or even virtuous, were

more severely rebuked and punished than real crimes. Yet, on the other

hand, a moment of repentance, consecrated by the absolution of a priest,

opened the gates of heaven to the worst miscreants.[60]

In the opening of the last of these remarks there is much justice. So

there is in the striking suggestion made in another place, that we

should not bless erroneous systems for their utility, simply because

they help to repair some small part of the mischief of which they have

themselves been the principal cause.[61] But on the whole it is obvious

that Condorcet was unfitted by his temper, and that of the school to

which he most belonged, from accepting religion as a fact in the

history of the human mind that must have some positive explanation. To

look at it in this way as the creation of a handful of selfish impostors

in each community, was to show a radical incompetence to carry out the

scheme which had been so scientifically projected. The picture is ruined

by the angry caricature of what ought to have been one of the most

important figures in it. To this place the Christian Church is

undeniably entitled, however we may be disposed to strike the balance

between the undoubted injuries and the undoubted advantages which it has

been the means of dealing to the civilisation of the west. Never perhaps

was there so thorough an inversion of the true view of the comparative

elevation of different parts of human character, as is implied in

Condorcet's strange hint that Cromwell's satellites would have been much

better men if they had carried instead of the Bible at their saddle-bows

some merry book of the stamp of Voltaire's _Pucelle_.[62]

Apart from the misreading of history in explaining religion by the folly

of the many and the frauds of a few, Condorcet's interpretation involved

the profoundest infidelity to his own doctrine of the intrinsic purity

and exaltation of human nature. This doctrine ought in all reason to

have led him to look for the secret of the popular acceptance of beliefs

that to him seemed most outrageous, in some possibly finer side which

they might possess for others, appealing not to the lower but to the

higher qualities of a nature with instincts of perfection. Take his

account of Purgatory, for instance. The priests, he says, drew up so

minute and comprehensive a table of sins that nobody could hope to

escape from censure. Here you come upon one of the most lucrative

branches of the sacerdotal trafficking; people were taught to imagine a

hell of limited duration, which the priests only had the power to

abridge; and this grace they sold, first to the living, then to the

kinsmen and friends of the dead.[63] Now it was surely more worthy of a

belief in the natural depravity than in the natural perfectibility of

the sons of Adam, thus to assume without parley or proviso a base

mercenariness on the one hand, and grovelling terror on the other, as

the origin of a doctrine which was obviously susceptible of a kinder

explanation. Would it not have been more consistent with belief in human

goodness to refer the doctrine to a merciful and affectionate and truly

humanising anxiety to assuage the horrors of what is perhaps the most

frightful idea that has ever corroded human character, the idea of

eternal punishment? We could in part have pardoned Condorcet if he had

striven to invent ever so fanciful origins for opinions and belief in

his solicitude for the credit of humanity. As it is, he distorts the

history of religion only to humanity's discredit. How, if the people

were always predisposed to virtue, were priests, sprung of the same

people and bred in the same traditions, so invariably and incurably

devoted to baseness and hypocrisy? Was the nature of a priest absolutely

devoid of what physicians call recuperative force, restoring him to a

sound mind, in spite of professional perversion? In fine, if man had

been so grossly enslaved in moral nature from the beginning of the world

down to the year 1789 or thereabouts, how was it possible that

notwithstanding the admitted slowness of civilising processes, he should

suddenly spring forth the very perfectible and nearly perfected being

that Condorcet passionately imagined him to be?[64]

It has already been hinted that there was one partial exception to

Condorcet's otherwise all-embracing animosity against religion. This was

Mahometanism. Towards this his attitude is fully appreciative, though of

course he deplores the superstitions which mixed themselves up with the

Arabian prophet's efforts for the purification of the men of his nation.

After the seven vials of fiery wrath have been poured out upon the creed

of Palestine, it is refreshing to find the creed of Arabia almost

patronised and praised. The writer who could not have found in his heart

to think Gregory the Great or Hildebrand other than a mercenary

impostor, nor Cromwell other than an ambitious hypocrite, admits with

exquisite blandness of Mahomet that he had the art of employing all the

means of subjugating men _avec adresse, mais avec grandeur_.[65] Another

reason, no doubt, besides his hatred of the Church, lay at the bottom of

Condorcet's tolerance or more towards Mahometanism. The Arabian

superstition was not fatal to knowledge, Arabian activity in algebra,

chemistry, optics, and astronomy, atoned in Condorcet's eyes for the

Koran.

It is fair to add further, that Condorcet showed a more just

appreciation of the effects of Protestantism upon western development

than has been common among French thinkers. He recognises that men who

had learnt, however imperfectly, to submit their religious prejudices to

rational examination, would naturally be likely to extend the process to

political prejudices also. Moreover, if the reformed churches refused to

render to reason all its rights, still they agreed that its prison

should be less narrow; the chain was not broken, but it ceased to be

either so heavy or so short as it had been. And in countries where what

was by the dominant sect insolently styled tolerance succeeded in

establishing itself, it was possible to maintain the tolerated doctrines

with a more or less complete freedom. So there arose in Europe a sort

of freedom of thought, not for men, but for Christians; and, 'if we

except France, it is only for Christians that it exists anywhere else at

the present day,' a limitation which has now fortunately ceased to be

altogether exact.[66]

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