Occupying the northeast corner of the African continent, Egypt
is bisected by the highly fertile Nile valley, where most economic
activity takes place. Egypt's economy was highly centralized during
the rule of former President Gamal Abdel NASSER but has opened up
considerably under former President Anwar EL-SADAT and current
President Mohamed Hosni MUBARAK. Cairo has aggressively pursued
economic reforms to encourage inflows of foreign investment and
facilitate GDP growth. In 2005, Prime Minister Ahmed NAZIF's
government reduced personal and corporate tax rates, reduced energy
subsidies, and privatized several enterprises. The stock market
boomed, and GDP grew about 7% each year since 2006. Despite these
achievements, the government has failed to raise living standards
for the average Egyptian, and has had to continue providing
subsidies for basic necessities. The subsidies have contributed to a
sizeable budget deficit - roughly 7% of GDP in 2007-08 - and
represent a significant drain on the economy. Foreign direct
investment has increased significantly in the past two years, but
the NAZIF government will need to continue its aggressive pursuit of
reforms in order to sustain the spike in investment and growth and
begin to improve economic conditions for the broader population.
Egypt's export sectors - particularly natural gas - have bright
prospects.
El Salvador
The smallest country in Central America, El Salvador has
the third largest economy, but growth has been modest in recent
years. Economic growth will decelerate in 2009 due to the global
slowdown and to El Salvador's dependence on exports to the US and
remittances from the US. El Salvador leads the region in remittances
per capita with inflows equivalent to nearly all export income. In
2006 El Salvador was the first country to ratify the Central
America-Dominican Republic Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA). CAFTA has
bolstered the export of processed foods, sugar, and ethanol, and
supported investment in the maquila sector. The SACA administration
has sought to diversify the economy, focusing on regional
transportation and tourism. El Salvador has promoted an open trade
and investment environment, and has embarked on a wave of
privatizations extending to telecom, electricity distribution,
banking, and pension funds. In late 2006, the government and the
Millennium Challenge Corporation signed a five-year, $461 million
compact to stimulate economic growth and reduce poverty in the
country's northern region through investments in education, public
services, enterprise development, and transportation infrastructure.
With the adoption of the US dollar as its currency in 2001, El
Salvador lost control over monetary policy and must concentrate on
maintaining a disciplined fiscal policy.
Equatorial Guinea
The discovery and exploitation of large oil
reserves have contributed to dramatic economic growth in recent
years. Forestry, farming, and fishing are also major components of
GDP. Subsistence farming predominates. Although pre-independence
Equatorial Guinea counted on cocoa production for hard currency
earnings, the neglect of the rural economy under successive regimes
has diminished potential for agriculture-led growth (the government
has stated its intention to reinvest some oil revenue into
agriculture). A number of aid programs sponsored by the World Bank
and the IMF have been cut off since 1993, because of corruption and
mismanagement. No longer eligible for concessional financing because
of large oil revenues, the government has been trying to agree on a
"shadow" fiscal management program with the World Bank and IMF.
Government officials and their family members own most businesses.
Undeveloped natural resources include titanium, iron ore, manganese,
uranium, and alluvial gold. Growth remained strong in 2008, led by
oil.
Eritrea
Since independence from Ethiopia in 1993, Eritrea has faced
the economic problems of a small, desperately poor country,
accentuated by the recent implementation of restrictive economic
policies. Eritrea has a command economy under the control of the
sole political party, the People's Front for Democracy and Justice
(PFDJ). Like the economies of many African nations, the economy is
largely based on subsistence agriculture, with 80% of the population
involved in farming and herding. The Ethiopian-Eritrea war in
1998-2000 severely hurt Eritrea's economy. GDP growth fell to zero
in 1999 and to -12.1% in 2000. The May 2000 Ethiopian offensive into
northern Eritrea caused some $600 million in property damage and
loss, including losses of $225 million in livestock and 55,000
homes. The attack prevented planting of crops in Eritrea's most
productive region, causing food production to drop by 62%. Despite
the fighting, Eritrea developed its transportation infrastructure,
asphalting new roads, improving its ports, and repairing war-damaged
roads and bridges. Since the war's conclusion, the government has
maintained a firm grip on the economy, expanding the use of the
military and party-owned businesses to complete Eritrea's
development agenda. The government strictly controls the use of
foreign currency by limiting access and availability. Few private
enterprises remain in Eritrea. Eritrea's economy depends heavily on
taxes paid by members of the diaspora. Erratic rainfall and the
delayed demobilization of agriculturalists from the military
continue to interfere with agricultural production, and Eritrea's
recent harvests have been unable to meet the food needs of the
country. The Government continues to place its hope for additional
revenue on the development of several international mining projects.
Despite difficulties for international companies in working with the
Eritrean Government, a Canadian mining company signed a contract
with the Government in 2007 and plans to begin mineral extraction in
2010. Eritrea also opened a free trade zone at the port of Massawa
in 2008. Eritrea's economic future depends upon its ability to
master social problems such as illiteracy, unemployment, and low
skills, and more importantly, on the government's willingness to
support a true market economy.
Estonia
Estonia, a 2004 European Union entrant, has a modern
market-based economy and one of the highest per capita income levels
in Central Europe. Estonia's successive governments have pursued a
free market, pro-business economic agenda and have wavered little in
their commitment to pro-market reforms. Tallinn's priority has been
to sustain high growth rates - on average 8% per year from 2003 to
2007. The economy benefits from strong electronics and
telecommunications sectors and strong trade ties with Finland,
Sweden, and Germany. The current government has pursued relatively
sound fiscal policies, resulting in balanced budgets and low public
debt. Rapid growth, however, has made it difficult to keep inflation
and large current-account deficits from soaring, putting downward
pressure on the country's currency. The government has not given up
on adopting the euro, but has repeatedly postponed its target date.
Estonia's economy slowed down markedly and fell sharply into
recession in mid-2008, primarily as a result of an investment and
consumption slump following the bursting of the real estate market
bubble.
Ethiopia
Ethiopia's poverty-stricken economy is based on
agriculture, accounting for almost half of GDP, 60% of exports, and
80% of total employment. The agricultural sector suffers from
frequent drought and poor cultivation practices. Coffee is critical
to the Ethiopian economy with exports of some $350 million in 2006,
but historically low prices have seen many farmers switching to qat
to supplement income. The war with Eritrea in 1998-2000 and
recurrent drought have buffeted the economy, in particular coffee
production. In November 2001, Ethiopia qualified for debt relief
from the Highly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative, and in
December 2005 the IMF forgave Ethiopia's debt. Under Ethiopia's
constitution, the state owns all land and provides long-term leases
to the tenants; the system continues to hamper growth in the
industrial sector as entrepreneurs are unable to use land as
collateral for loans. Drought struck again late in 2002, leading to
a 3.3% decline in GDP in 2003. Normal weather patterns helped
agricultural and GDP growth recover during 2004-08.
European Union
Internally, the EU is attempting to lower trade
barriers, adopt a common currency, and move toward convergence of
living standards. Internationally, the EU aims to bolster Europe's
trade position and its political and economic power. Because of the
great differences in per capita income among member states (from
$7,000 to $69,000) and historic national animosities, the EU faces
difficulties in devising and enforcing common policies. For example,
since 2003 Germany and France have flouted the member states' treaty
obligation to prevent their national budgets from running more than
a 3% deficit. Between 2004 and 2007, the EU admitted 12 countries
that are, in general, less advanced technologically and economically
than the other 15. Eleven established EU member states introduced
the euro as their common currency on 1 January 1999 (Greece did so
two years later), but the UK, Sweden, and Denmark chose not to
participate. Of the 12 most recent member states, only Slovenia (1
January 2007) and Cyprus and Malta (1 January 2008) have adopted the
euro; the remaining nine are legally required to adopt the currency
upon meeting EU's fiscal and monetary convergence criteria.
Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas)
The economy was formerly based on
agriculture, mainly sheep farming, but today fishing contributes the
bulk of economic activity. In 1987, the government began selling
fishing licenses to foreign trawlers operating within the Falkland
Islands' exclusive fishing zone. These license fees total more than
$40 million per year, which help support the island's health,
education, and welfare system. Squid accounts for 75% of the fish
taken. Dairy farming supports domestic consumption; crops furnish
winter fodder. Exports feature shipments of high-grade wool to the
UK and the sale of postage stamps and coins. The islands are now
self-financing except for defense. The British Geological Survey
announced a 200-mile oil exploration zone around the islands in
1993, and early seismic surveys suggest substantial reserves capable
of producing 500,000 barrels per day; to date, no exploitable site
has been identified. An agreement between Argentina and the UK in
1995 seeks to defuse licensing and sovereignty conflicts that would
dampen foreign interest in exploiting potential oil reserves.
Tourism, especially eco-tourism, is increasing rapidly, with about
30,000 visitors in 2001. Another large source of income is interest
paid on money the government has in the bank. The British military
presence also provides a sizeable economic boost.
Faroe Islands
The Faroese economy is dependent on fishing, which
makes the economy vulnerable to price swings. The sector accounts
for 95% of exports and nearly half of GDP. Since 2003 the Faroese
economy has picked up as a result of higher prices for fish and for
housing. Unemployment is minimal and government finances are
relatively sound. Oil finds close to the Islands give hope for
economically recoverable deposits, which could eventually lay the
basis for a more diversified economy and lessen dependence on Danish
economic assistance. Aided by a substantial annual subsidy (about
15% of GDP) from Denmark, the Faroese have a standard of living not
far below the Danes and other Scandinavians.
Fiji
Fiji, endowed with forest, mineral, and fish resources, is one
of the most developed of the Pacific island economies though still
with a large subsistence sector. Sugar exports, remittances from
Fijians working abroad, and a growing tourist industry - with
400,000 to 500,000 tourists annually - are the major sources of
foreign exchange. Fiji's sugar has special access to European Union
markets but will be harmed by the EU's decision to cut sugar
subsidies. Sugar processing makes up one-third of industrial
activity but is not efficient. Fiji's tourism industry was damaged
by the December 2006 coup and is facing an uncertain recovery time.
In 2007 tourist arrivals were down almost 6%, with substantial job
losses in the service sector, and GDP dipped nearly 7%. The coup has
created a difficult business climate. The EU has suspended all aid
until the interim government takes steps toward new elections.
Long-term problems include low investment, uncertain land ownership
rights, and the government's inability to manage its budget.
Overseas remittances from Fijians working in Kuwait and Iraq have
decreased significantly. Fiji's current account deficit reached 23%
of GDP in 2006.
Finland
Finland has a highly industrialized, largely free-market
economy with per capita output roughly that of the UK, France,
Germany, and Italy. Its key economic sector is manufacturing -
principally the wood, metals, engineering, telecommunications, and
electronics industries. Trade is important; Finland's ratio of
exports to GDP has risen from a quarter to 37% over the past 15
years. Finland excels in high-tech exports such as mobile phones.
Except for timber and several minerals, Finland depends on imports
of raw materials, energy, and some components for manufactured
goods. Because of the climate, agricultural development is limited
to maintaining self-sufficiency in basic products. Forestry, an
important export earner, provides a secondary occupation for the
rural population. Although Finland has been one of the best
performing economies within the EU in recent years and its banks and
financial markets have avoided the worst of global financial crisis,
the world slowdown has hit export growth and domestic demand and
will serve as a brake on economic growth in 2009 and 2010. The
slowdown of construction, other investment, and exports will cause
unemployment to rise. During 2009, unemployment will climb to over
8% of the labor force. Long-term challenges include the need to
address a rapidly aging population and decreasing productivity that
threaten competitiveness, fiscal sustainability, and economic growth.
France
France is in the midst of transition from a well-to-do modern
economy that has featured extensive government ownership and
intervention to one that relies more on market mechanisms. The
government has partially or fully privatized many large companies,
banks, and insurers, and has ceded stakes in such leading firms as
Air France, France Telecom, Renault, and Thales. It maintains a
strong presence in some sectors, particularly power, public
transport, and defense industries. The telecommunications sector is
gradually being opened to competition. France's leaders remain
committed to a capitalism in which they maintain social equity by
means of laws, tax policies, and social spending that reduce income
disparity and the impact of free markets on public health and
welfare. Widespread opposition to labor reform has in recent years
hampered the government's ability to revitalize the economy. During
2007-08, the government implemented several important labor reforms,
including a de facto extension of the 35-hour workweek by allowing
employees to work longer overtime hours. During 2009, the government
is expected to delay or even renounce other reform efforts due to
the on-going financial crisis. GDP growth dropped to 0.3% in 2008;
the French government plans to increase public investment and
continue injecting capital into the banking sector to alleviate the
negative effects of the crisis during 2009. As a result of lower
fiscal revenues and increased expenditures the general government
deficit is expected to exceed the euro-zone ceiling 3% of GDP.
France's tax burden remains one of the highest in Europe - at nearly
50% of GDP in 2005. With at least 75 million foreign tourists per
year, France is the most visited country in the world and maintains
the third largest income in the world from tourism.
French Polynesia
Since 1962, when France stationed military
personnel in the region, French Polynesia has changed from a
subsistence agricultural economy to one in which a high proportion
of the work force is either employed by the military or supports the
tourist industry. With the halt of French nuclear testing in 1996,
the military contribution to the economy fell sharply. Tourism
accounts for about one-fourth of GDP and is a primary source of hard
currency earnings. Other sources of income are pearl farming and
deep-sea commercial fishing. The small manufacturing sector
primarily processes agricultural products. The territory benefits
substantially from development agreements with France aimed
principally at creating new businesses and strengthening social
services.
French Southern and Antarctic Lands
Economic activity is limited to
servicing meteorological and geophysical research stations, military
bases, and French and other fishing fleets. The fish catches landed
on Iles Kerguelen by foreign ships are exported to France and
Reunion.
Gabon
Gabon enjoys a per capita income four times that of most
sub-Saharan African nations, but because of high income inequality,
a large proportion of the population remains poor. Gabon depended on
timber and manganese until oil was discovered offshore in the early
1970s. The oil sector now accounts for more than 50% of GDP. Gabon
continues to face fluctuating prices for its oil, timber, and
manganese exports. Despite the abundance of natural wealth, poor
fiscal management hobbles the economy. In 1997, an IMF mission to
Gabon criticized the government for overspending on off-budget
items, overborrowing from the central bank, and slipping on its
schedule for privatization and administrative reform. The rebound of
oil prices since 1999 have helped growth, but drops in production
have hampered Gabon from fully realizing potential gains, and will
continue to temper the gains for most of this decade. In December
2000, Gabon signed a new agreement with the Paris Club to reschedule
its official debt. A follow-up bilateral repayment agreement with
the US was signed in December 2001. Gabon signed a 14-month Stand-By
Arrangement with the IMF in May 2007, and received Paris Club debt
rescheduling later that year.
Gambia, The
The Gambia has no confirmed mineral or natural resource
deposits and has a limited agricultural base. About 75% of the
population depends on crops and livestock for its livelihood.
Small-scale manufacturing activity features the processing of
peanuts, fish, and hides. Reexport trade normally constitutes a
major segment of economic activity, but a 1999 government-imposed
preshipment inspection plan, and instability of the Gambian dalasi
(currency) have drawn some of the reexport trade away from The
Gambia. The Gambia's natural beauty and proximity to Europe has made
it one of the larger markets for tourism in West Africa. The
government's 1998 seizure of the private peanut firm Alimenta
eliminated the largest purchaser of Gambian groundnuts. Despite an
announced program to begin privatizing key parastatals, no plans
have been made public that would indicate that the government
intends to follow through on its promises. Unemployment and
underemployment rates remain extremely high; short-run economic
progress depends on sustained bilateral and multilateral aid, on
responsible government economic management, on continued technical
assistance from the IMF and bilateral donors, and on expected growth
in the construction sector.
Gaza Strip
High population density, limited land access, and strict
internal and external security controls have kept economic
conditions in the Gaza Strip - the smaller of the two areas under
the Palestinian Authority (PA) - even more degraded than in the West
Bank. The beginning of the second intifada in September 2000 sparked
an economic downturn, largely the result of Israeli closure
policies; these policies, which were imposed to address security
concerns in Israel, disrupted labor and trade access to and from the
Gaza Strip. In 2001, and even more severely in 2003, Israeli
military measures in PA areas resulted in the destruction of
capital, the disruption of administrative structures, and widespread
business closures. The Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip in
September 2005 offered some medium-term opportunities for economic
growth, but Israeli-imposed crossings closures, which became more
restrictive after HAMAS violently took over the territory in June
2007, have resulted in widespread private sector layoffs and
shortages of most goods. The status of the crossings, which are
closed to all but the most basic goods, has not changed following
Israel's military offensive into the Gaza Strip in early 2009.
Georgia
Georgia's economy sustained GDP growth of close to 10% in
2006 and 12% in 2007, based on strong inflows of foreign investment
and robust government spending. However, growth slowed to less than
3% in 2008 and is expected to slow further in 2009. Georgia's main
economic activities include the cultivation of agricultural products
such as grapes, citrus fruits, and hazelnuts; mining of manganese
and copper; and output of a small industrial sector producing
alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, metals, machinery, aircraft
and chemicals. Areas of recent improvement include growth in the
construction, banking services, and mining sectors, but reduced
availability of external investment and the slowing regional economy
are emerging risks. The country imports nearly all its needed
supplies of natural gas and oil products. It has sizeable hydropower
capacity, a growing component of its energy supplies. Georgia has
overcome the chronic energy shortages of the past by renovating
hydropower plants and by bringing in newly available supplies from
Azerbaijan. It also has an increased ability to pay for more
expensive gas imports from Russia. The construction on the
Baku-T'bilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline, the Baku-T'bilisi-Erzerum gas
pipeline, and the Kars-Akhalkalaki Railroad are part of a strategy
to capitalize on Georgia's strategic location between Europe and
Asia and develop its role as a transit point for gas, oil and other
goods. Georgia has historically suffered from a chronic failure to
collect tax revenues; however, the government has made great
progress and has reformed the tax code, improved tax administration,
increased tax enforcement, and cracked down on corruption since
coming to power in 2004. Government revenues have increased nearly
four fold since 2003. Due to improvements in customs and tax
enforcement, smuggling is a declining problem. The country is
pinning its hopes for long-term growth on a determined effort to
reduce regulation, taxes, and corruption in order to attract foreign
investment, but the economy faces a more difficult investment
climate both domestically and internationally.
Germany
The German economy - the fifth largest economy in the world
in PPP terms and Europe's largest - began to contract in the second
quarter of 2008 as the strong euro, high oil prices, tighter credit
markets, and slowing growth abroad took their toll on Germany's
export-dependent economy. At just 1% in 2008, GDP growth is expected
to be negative in 2009. Recent stimulus and lender relief efforts
will make demands on Germany's federal budget and undercut plans to
balance its budget by 2011. The reforms launched by the former
government of Chancellor Gerhard SCHOEDER, deemed necessary due to
chronically high unemployment and low average growth, led to strong
growth in 2007, while unemployment in 2008 fell below 8%, a new
post-reunification low. Germany's aging population, combined with
high chronic unemployment, has pushed social security outlays to a
level exceeding contributions, but higher government revenues from
the cyclical upturn in 2006-07 and a 3% rise in the value-added tax
cut Germany's budget deficit to within the EU's 3% debt limit in
2007. The current government of Chancellor Angela MERKEL has
initiated other reform measures, such as a gradual increase in the
mandatory retirement age from 65 to 67 and measures to increase
female participation in the labor market. The modernization and
integration of the eastern German economy - where unemployment still
exceeds 30% in some municipalities - continues to be a costly
long-term process, with annual transfers from west to east amounting
to roughly $80 billion. While corporate restructuring and growing
capital markets have set strong foundations to help Germany meet the
longer-term challenges of European economic integration and
globalization, Germany's export-oriented economy has proved a
disadvantage in the context of weak global demand.