In this brief survey of the advancing frontier of European

civilization, I have said nothing about the danger that has from time to

time been threatened by the followers of Mohammed,--of the overthrow of

the Saracens in Gaul by the grandfather of Charles the Great, or their

overthrow at Constantinople by the image-breaking Leo, of the great

mediæval Crusades, or of the mischievous but futile career of the Turks.

For if I were to attempt to draw this outline with anything like

completeness, I should have no room left for the conclusion of my

argument. Considering my position thus far as sufficiently illustrated,

let us go on to contemplate for a moment some of the effects of all this

secular turmoil upon the political development of the progressive

nations of Europe. I think we may safely lay it down, as a large and

general rule, that all this prodigious warfare required to free the

civilized world from peril of barbarian attack served greatly to

increase the difficulty of solving the great initial problem of

civilization. In the first place, the turbulence thus arising was a

serious obstacle to the formation of closely-coherent political

aggregates; as we see exemplified in the terrible convulsions of the

fifth and sixth centuries, and again in the ascendency acquired by the

isolating features of feudalism between the time of Charles the Great

and the time of Louis VI. of France. In the second place, this

perpetual turbulence was a serious obstacle to the preservation of

popular liberties. It is a very difficult thing for a free people to

maintain its free, constitution if it has to keep perpetually fighting

for its life. The "one-man-power." less fit for, carrying on the

peaceful pursuits of life, is sure to be brought into the foreground in

a state of endless warfare. It is a still more difficult thing for a

free people to maintain its free constitution when it undertakes to

govern a dependent people despotically, as has been wont to happen when

a portion of the barbaric world has been overcome and annexed to the

civilized world. Under the weight, of these two difficulties combined,

the free institutions of the ancient Romans succumbed, and their

government gradually passed into the hands of a kind of close

corporation more despotic than anything else of the sort that Europe has

ever seen. This despotic character--this tendency, if you will pardon

the phrase, towards the _Asiaticization_ of European life--was continued

by inheritance in the Roman Church, the influence of which was

beneficent so long as it constituted a wholesome check to the isolating

tendencies of feudalism, but began to become noxious the moment these

tendencies yielded to the centralizing monarchical tendency in nearly

all parts of Europe. The asiaticizing tendency of Roman political life

had become so powerful by the fourth century, and has since been so

powerfully propagated through the Church, that we ought to be glad that

the Teutons came into the empire as masters rather than as subjects. As

the Germanic tribes got possession of the government in one part of

Europe after another, they brought with them free institutions again.

The political ideas of the Goths in Spain, of the Lombards in Italy, and

of the Franks and Burgundians in Gaul, were as distinctly free as those

of the Angles in Britain. But as the outcome of the long and

uninterrupted turmoil of the Middle Ages, society throughout the

continent of Europe remained predominantly military in type, and this

fact greatly increased the tendency towards despotism which was

bequeathed by Rome. After the close of the thirteenth century the whole

power of the Church was finally thrown into the scale against the

liberties of the people; and as the result of all these forces combined,

we find that at the time when America was discovered government was

hardening into despotism in all the great countries of Europe except

England. Even in England the tendency towards despotism had begun to

become quite conspicuous after the wholesale slaughter of the great

barons and the confiscation of their estates which took place in the

Wars of the Roses. The constitutional history of England during the

Tudor and Stuart periods is mainly the history of the persistent effort

of the English sovereign to free himself from constitutional checks, as

his brother sovereigns on the continent were doing. But how different

the result! How enormous the political difference between William III.

and Louis XIV., compared with the difference between Henry VIII. and

Francis I.! The close of the seventeenth century, which marks the

culmination of the asiaticizing tendency in Europe, saw despotism both

political and religious firmly established in France and Spain and

Italy, and in half of Germany; while the rest of Germany seemed to have

exhausted itself in the attempt to throw off the incubus. But in England

this same epoch saw freedom both political and religious established on

so firm a foundation as never again to be shaken, never again with

impunity to be threatened, so long as the language of Locke and Milton

and Sydney shall remain a living speech on the lips of men. Now this

wonderful difference between the career of popular liberty in England

and on the Continent was due no doubt to a complicated variety of

causes, one or two of which I have already sought to point out. In my

first lecture I alluded to the curious combination of circumstances

which prevented anything like a severance of interests between the upper

and the lower ranks of society; and something was also said about the

feebleness of the grasp of imperial Rome upon Britain compared with its

grasp upon the continent of Europe. But what I wish now to point

out--since we are looking at the military aspect of the subject--is the

enormous advantage of what we may call the _strategic position_ of

England in the long mediæval struggle between civilization and

barbarism. In Professor Stubbs's admirable collection of charters and

documents illustrative of English history, we read that "on the 6th of

July [1264] the whole force of the country was summoned to London for

the 3d of August, to resist the army which was coming from France under

the queen and her son Edmund. _The invading fleet was prevented by the

weather from sailing until too late in the season_.... The papal legate,

Guy Foulquois, who soon after became Clement IV., threatened the barons

with excommunication, but the bull containing the sentence was taken by

the men of Dover as soon as it arrived, and was thrown into the

sea." [15] As I read this, I think of the sturdy men of Connecticut,

beating the drum to prevent the reading of the royal order of James II.

depriving the colony of the control of its own militia, and feel with

pride that the indomitable spirit of English liberty is alike

indomitable in every land where men of English race have set their feet

as masters. But as the success of Americans in withstanding the

unconstitutional pretensions of the crown was greatly favoured by the

barrier of the ocean, so the success of Englishmen in defying the

enemies of their freedom has no doubt been greatly favoured by the

barrier of the British channel. The war between Henry III. and the

barons was an event in English history no less critical than the war

between Charles I. and the parliament four centuries later; and British

and Americans alike have every reason to be thankful that a great French

army was not able to get across the channel in August, 1264. Nor was

this the only time when the insular position of England did goodly

service in maintaining its liberties and its internal peace. We cannot

forget how Lord Howard of Effingham, aided also by the weather, defeated

the armada that boasted itself "invincible," sent to strangle freedom in

its chosen home by the most execrable and ruthless tyrant that Europe

has ever seen, a tyrant whose victory would have meant not simply the

usurpation of the English crown but the establishment of the Spanish

Inquisition at Westminster Hall. Nor can we forget with what longing

eyes the Corsican barbarian who wielded for mischief the forces of

France in 1805 looked across from Boulogne at the shores of the one

European land that never in word or deed granted him homage. But in

these latter days England has had no need of stormy weather to aid the

prowess of the sea-kings who are her natural defenders. It is impossible

for the thoughtful student of history to walk across Trafalgar Square,

and gaze on the image of the mightiest naval hero that ever lived, on

the summit of his lofty column and guarded by the royal lions, looking

down towards the government-house of the land that he freed from the

dread of Napoleonic invasion and towards that ancient church wherein the

most sacred memories of English talent and English toil are clustered

together,--it is impossible, I say, to look at this, and not admire both

the artistic instinct that devised so happy a symbolism, and the rare

good-fortune of our Teutonic ancestors in securing a territorial

position so readily defensible against the assaults of despotic powers.

But it was not merely in the simple facility of warding off external

attack that the insular position of England was so serviceable. This

ease in warding off external attack had its most marked effect upon the

internal polity of the nation. It never became necessary for the English

government to keep up a great standing army. For purposes of external

defence a navy was all-sufficient; and there is this practical

difference between a permanent army and a permanent navy. Both are

originally designed for purposes of external defence; but the one can

readily be used for purposes of internal oppression, and the other

cannot. Nobody ever heard of a navy putting up an empire at auction and

knocking down the throne of the world to a Didius Julianus. When,

therefore, a country is effectually screened by water from external

attack, it is screened in a way that permits its normal political

development to go on internally without those manifold military

hinderances that have ordinarily been so obstructive in the history of

civilization. Hence we not only see why, after the Norman Conquest had

operated to increase its unity and its strength, England enjoyed a far

greater amount of security and was far more peaceful than any other

country in Europe; but we also see why society never assumed the

military type in England which it assumed upon the continent; we see how

it was that the bonds of feudalism were far looser here than elsewhere,

and therefore how it happened that nowhere else was the condition of the

common people so good politically. We now begin to see, moreover, how

thoroughly Professor Stubbs and Mr. Freeman are justified in insisting

upon the fact that the political institutions of the Germans of Tacitus

have had a more normal and uninterrupted development in England than

anywhere else. Nowhere, indeed, in the whole history of the human race,

can we point to such a well-rounded and unbroken continuity of political

life as we find in the thousand years of English history that have

elapsed since the victory of William the Norman at Senlac. In England

the free government of the primitive Aryans has been to this day

uninterruptedly maintained, though everywhere lost or seriously impaired

on the continent of Europe, except in remote Scandinavia and impregnable

Switzerland. But obviously, if in the conflict of ages between

civilization and barbarism England had occupied such an inferior

strategic position as that occupied by Hungary or Poland or Spain, if

her territory had been liable once or twice in a century to be overrun

by fanatical Saracens or beastly Mongols, no such remarkable and quite

exceptional result could have been achieved. Having duly fathomed the

significance of this strategic position of the English race while

confined within the limits of the British islands, we are now prepared

to consider the significance of the stupendous expansion of the English

race which first became possible through the discovery and settlement of

North America. I said, at the close of my first lecture, that the

victory of Wolfe at Quebec marks the greatest turning-point as yet

discernible in all modern history. At the first blush such an

unqualified statement may have sounded as if an American student of

history were inclined to attach an undue value to events that have

happened upon his own soil. After the survey of universal history which

we have now taken, however, I am fully prepared to show that the

conquest of the North American continent by men of English race was

unquestionably the most prodigious event in the political annals of man

kind. Let us consider, for a moment, the cardinal facts which this

English conquest and settlement of North America involved.

Chronologically the discovery of America coincides precisely with the

close of the Middle Ages, and with the opening of the drama of what is

called _modern_ history. The coincidence is in many ways significant.

The close of the Middle Ages--as we have seen--was characterized by the

increasing power of the crown in all the great countries of Europe, and

by strong symptoms of popular restlessness in view of this increasing

power. It was characterized also by the great Protestant outbreak

against the despotic pretensions of the Church, which once, in its

antagonism to the rival temporal power, had befriended the liberties of

the people, but now (especially since the death of Boniface VIII.)

sought to enthrall them with a tyranny far worse than that of

irresponsible king or emperor. As we have seen Aryan civilization in

Europe struggling for many centuries to prove itself superior to the

assaults of outer barbarism, so here we find a decisive struggle

beginning between the antagonist tendencies which had grown up in the

midst of this civilization. Having at length won the privilege of living

without risk of slaughter and pillage at the hands of Saracens or

Mongols, the question now arose whether the people of Europe should go

on and apply their intelligence freely to the problem of making life as

rich and fruitful as possible in varied material and spiritual

achievement, or should fall forever into the barren and monotonous way

of living and thinking which has always distinguished the half-civilized

populations of Asia. This--and nothing less than this, I think--was the

practical political question really at stake in the sixteenth century

between Protestantism and Catholicism. Holland and England entered the

lists in behalf of the one solution of this question, while Spain and

the Pope defended the other, and the issue was fought out on European

soil, as we have seen, with varying success. But the discovery of

America now came to open up an enormous region in which whatever seed of

civilization should be planted was sure to grow to such enormous

dimensions as by and by to exert a controlling influence upon all such

controversies. It was for Spain, France, and England to contend for the

possession of this vast region, and to prove by the result of the

struggle which kind of civilization was endowed with the higher and

sturdier political life. The race which here should gain the victory was

clearly destined hereafter to take the lead in the world, though the

rival powers could not in those days fully appreciate this fact. They

who founded colonies in America as trading-stations or military outposts

probably did not foresee that these colonies must by and by become

imperial states far greater in physical mass than the states which

planted them. It is not likely that they were philosophers enough to

foresee that this prodigious physical development would mean that the

political ideas of the parent state should acquire a hundred-fold power

and seminal influence in the future work of the world. It was not until

the American Resolution that this began to be dimly realized by a few

prescient thinkers. It is by no means so fully realized even now that a

clear and thorough-going statement of it has not somewhat an air of

novelty. When the highly-civilized community, representing the ripest

political ideas of England, was planted in America, removed from the

manifold and complicated checks we have just been studying in the

history of the Old World, the growth was portentously rapid and steady.

There were no Attilas now to stand in the way,--only a Philip or a

Pontiac. The assaults of barbarism constituted only a petty annoyance as

compared with the conflict of ages which had gone on in Europe. There

was no occasion for society to assume a military aspect. Principles of

self-government were at once put into operation, and no one thought of

calling them in question. When the neighbouring civilization of inferior

type--I allude to the French in Canada--began to become seriously

troublesome, it was struck down at a blow. When the mother-country,

under the guidance of an ignorant king and short-sighted ministers,

undertook to act upon the antiquated theory that the new communities

were merely groups of trading-stations, the political bond of connection

was severed; yet the war which ensued was not like the war which had but

just now been so gloriously ended by the victory of Wolfe. It was not a

struggle between two different peoples, like the French of the Old

Regime and the English, each representing antagonistic theories of how

political life ought to be conducted. But, like the Barons' War of the

thirteenth century and the Parliament's War of the seventeenth, it was a

struggle sustained by a part of the English people in behalf of

principles that time has shown to be equally dear to all. And so the

issue only made it apparent to an astonished world that instead of _one_

there were now _two Englands_, alike prepared to work with might and

main toward the political regeneration of mankind.

Let us consider now to what conclusions the rapidity and unabated

steadiness of the increase of the English race in America must lead us

as we go on to forecast the future. Carlyle somewhere speaks slightingly

of the fact that the Americans double their numbers every twenty years,

as if to have forty million dollar-hunters in the world were any better

than to have twenty million dollar-hunters! The implication that

Americans are nothing but dollar-hunters, and are thereby

distinguishable from the rest of mankind, would not perhaps bear too

elaborate scrutiny. But during the present lecture we have been

considering the gradual transfer of the preponderance of physical

strength from the hands of the war-loving portion of the human race into

the hands of the peace-loving portion,--into the hands of the

dollar-hunters, if you please, but out of the hands of the

scalp-hunters. Obviously to double the numbers of a pre-eminently

industrious, peaceful, orderly, and free-thinking community, is somewhat

to increase the weight in the world of the tendencies that go towards

making communities free and orderly and peaceful and industrious. So

that, from this point of view, the fact we are speaking of is well worth

considering, even for its physical dimensions. I do not know whether the

United States could support a population everywhere as dense as that of

Belgium; so I will suppose that, with ordinary improvement in

cultivation and in the industrial arts, we might support a population

half as dense as that of Belgium,--and this is no doubt an extremely

moderate supposition. Now a very simple operation in arithmetic will

show that this means a population of fifteen hundred millions, or more

than the population of the whole world at the present date. Another

very simple operation in arithmetic will show that if we were to go on

doubling our numbers, even once in every twenty-five years, we should

reach that stupendous figure at about the close of the twentieth

century,--that is, in the days of our great-greatgrandchildren. I do not

predict any such result, for there are discernible economic reasons for

believing that there will be a diminution in the rate of increase. The

rate must nevertheless continue to be very great, in the absence of such

causes as formerly retarded the growth of population in Europe. Our

modern wars are hideous enough, no doubt, but they are short. They are

settled with a few heavy blows, and the loss of life and property

occasioned by them is but trifling when compared with the awful ruin and

desolation wrought by the perpetual and protracted contests of antiquity

and of the Middle Ages. Chronic warfare, both private and public,

periodic famines, and sweeping pestilences like the Black Death,--these

were the things which formerly shortened human life and kept down

population. In the absence of such causes, and with the abundant

capacity of our country for feeding its people, I think it an extremely

moderate statement if we say that by the end of the next century the

English race in the United States will number at least six or seven

hundred millions.

It used to be said that so huge a people as this could not be kept

together as a single national aggregate,--or, if kept together at all,

could only be so by means of a powerful centralized government, like

that of ancient Rome under the emperors. I think we are now prepared to

see that this is a great mistake. If the Roman Empire could have

possessed that political vitality in all its parts which is secured to

the United States by the principles of equal representation and of

limited state sovereignty, it might well have defied all the shocks

which tribally-organized barbarism could ever have directed against it.

As it was, its strong centralized government did _not_ save it from

political disintegration. One of its weakest political features was

precisely this,--that its "strong centralized government" was a kind of

close corporation, governing a score of provinces in its own interest

rather than in the interest of the provincials. In contrast with such a

system as that of the Roman Empire, the skilfully elaborated American

system of federalism appears as one of the most important contributions

that the English race has made to the general work of civilization. The

working out of this feature in our national constitution, by Hamilton

and Madison and their associates, was the finest specimen of

constructive statesmanship that the world has ever seen. Not that these

statesmen originated the principle, but they gave form and expression to

the principle which was latent in the circumstances under which the

group of American colonies had grown up, and which suggested itself so

forcibly that the clear vision of these thinkers did not fail to seize

upon it as the fundamental principle upon which alone could the affairs

of a great people, spreading over a vast continent, be kept in a

condition approaching to something like permanent peace. Stated broadly,

so as to acquire somewhat the force of a universal proposition, the

principle of federalism is just this:--that the people of a state shall

have full and entire control of their own domestic affairs, which

directly concern them only, and which they will naturally manage with

more intelligence and with more zeal than any distant governing body

could possibly exercise; but that, as regards matters of common concern

between a group of states, a decision shall in every case be reached,

not by brutal warfare or by weary diplomacy, but by the systematic

legislation of a central government which represents both states and

people, and whose decisions can always be enforced, if necessary, by

the combined physical power of all the states. This principle, in

various practical applications, is so familiar to Americans to-day that

we seldom pause to admire it, any more than we stop to admire the air

which we breathe or the sun which gives us light and life. Yet I believe

that if no other political result than this could to-day be pointed out

as coming from the colonization of America by Englishmen, we should

still be justified in regarding that event as one of the most important

in the history of mankind. For obviously the principle of federalism, as

thus broadly stated, contains within itself the seeds of permanent peace

between nations; and to this glorious end I believe it will come in the

fulness of time.

And now we may begin to see distinctly what it was that the American

government fought for in the late civil war,--a point which at the time

was by no means clearly apprehended outside the United States. We used

to hear it often said, while that war was going on, that we were

fighting not so much for the emancipation of the negro as for the

maintenance of our federal union; and I well remember that to many who

were burning to see our country purged of the folly and iniquity of

negro slavery this used to seem like taking a low and unrighteous view

of the case. From the stand-point of universal history it was

nevertheless the correct and proper view. The emancipation of the negro,

as an incidental result of the struggle, was a priceless gain which was

greeted warmly by all right-minded people. But deeper down than this

question, far more subtly interwoven with the innermost fibres of our

national well-being, far heavier laden too with weighty consequences for

the future weal of all mankind, was the question whether this great

pacific principle of union joined with independence should be overthrown

by the first deep-seated social difficulty it had to encounter, or

should stand as an example of priceless value to other ages and to other

lands. The solution was well worth the effort it cost. There have been

many useless wars, but this was not one of them, for more than most wars

that have been, it was fought in the direct interest of peace, and the

victory so dearly purchased and so humanely used was an earnest of

future peace and happiness for the world.

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