CHAPTER 11

Plans and Planning

With most military planning, it is feasible to work from the top down,

define the strategic objective and then work out the actual requirements

of the operation in advance. This is not true of psychological

warfare.[39] The objectives may be defined, and in the process of

definition the general needs of a propaganda agency may be clarified. If

a plan calls for a press or a radio, somebody can requisition a Davidson

Press or a Hallicrafter radio and get ready to use it. But the plan

cannot define goals, set time limits for the achievement of the goals,

relate the goals to one another in a scheduled pre-fixed program of

success, establish terms whereby psychological victory can be told from

psychological defeat.

Psychological victory exists only in terms of the military victory which

it is designed to assist. Psychological defeat, no matter how much

critics or the enemy propagandist may allege it, can be proved to exist

only when an actual defeat makes it real. Psychological plans are always

contingency plans for the assistance of military operations. They are

dependent on the military operation and they cannot be checked against

fact except in terms of the military operations they ostensibly support.

Unfortunately, they were not always written with these reservations in

mind.

=Needs of the Operator: Materials and Guidance.= American officers,

assisting foreign troops, could not plan logistics until they found out

what the foreign troops actually required. How much did they eat, and

what? How much could they carry, and for how long? How much tonnage had

to be sent them, and how often? Such questions had to be asked about the

needs of the individual men before unit planning, not to mention

national planning, became possible at all.

Similarly, in psychological warfare, planning can be made realistic if

it starts with the individual operation for the control of which the

planning is done. Define the operator as anyone having a task in the

actual preparation, production or transmission of propaganda materials,

whether through electric communications or by print. The operator is not

usually a person with a high security classification, yet he plays his

indispensable part in fulfilling the highest and most secret strategy

of the war. How can a plan be written that will be useful in carrying

out the actual (and highly secret) strategy of the war while meeting the

needs of an inexpert individual way down at the bottom of the control

system? The answer is, of course, that no such plan can be prepared.

Different plans are needed for successive phases.

The operator needs simple but basic materials. If he is a producer of

some kind--such as a creative writer, an artist, a singer, a program

arranger, a newscaster who does his own scripts and so on--he is likely

to be a person with ideas of his own. Individual creativeness cannot

usually be turned on and off like a faucet. Low-ranking and disciplined

though the hired writer may be, he is still subject to the inward

frailties of authors if he is any good. (This particular author

sympathized deeply with some poor American Japanese who were given

unbelievably dull outlines and told, "Turn this into exciting Japanese

material! Give it pep! Make it rock them off their _tatami_! But don't

get away from that outline one damn inch!" The _nisei_ rolled their

eyes; they did a poor job, as they knew that they would.)

The person who has to be told day in and day out how to operate is no

operator at all. Psychological warfare is no place for unsuccessful

short-story writers or would-be radio commentators. It demands

professional standards, and it has more than professional difficulties.

Therefore what the operator needs is not technical instruction but

general guidance.

He must be told what he can say, what he cannot say. He should whenever

possible be given some reason for perplexing or cryptic instructions. He

should be helped to become familiar with what we are trying to tell the

enemy. There is nothing classified about that, since the enemy is to be

told it as soon as possible. The guidance given the operator should be:

(1) Plain.

(2) Feasible. (This sounds superfluous, but was not so during World

War II when operators were sometimes told to attack such-and-such an

enemy institution without referring to it directly or indirectly.)

(3) Organized. (The material at OWI was not organized until the last

several months of the war, with the result that hundreds of thousands

of words of propaganda commands remained in force, technically, but

un-indexed and arranged only by weekly form.)

(4) Specific in showing timing. (General controls should not be issued

at the beginning of operations; when revised, the revision should

supersede the revised section, and not be placed beside it. Other

provisions should be given expiration dates, after which they pass out

of effect.)

(5) Mandatory. (Control should be expressed in _do_ or _don't_;

personal advice is better conveyed through informal channels.)

(6) Non-security or low-classified. (This material, for the operators,

should be accessible to the operators. Often the most important

operator--the best newsman, the most effective leaflet artist--may be

a rather doubtful citizen, an alien, or even an enemy volunteer. He

cannot follow guidances unless he knows them, and it makes a farce of

security for his superior to be able to tell him the guidance, so that

he can memorize it, but not able to give him the document itself.)

These rules, though simple, are not always easy to follow. Here is an

example of a bad guidance:

CLASSIFIED

Without superseding instructions concerning religion, we may use the

occasion of the Sacred Banyan Tree Festival to needle the Provisional

President. Make a dramatic story of the President's life. Undermine

his use of religion to bolster the dictatorship.

Caution: do not mention religion. Do not indulge in scurrilous

personal attacks. Material concerning our information of the

President's biography is highly classified and must not be used.

The exaggeration may seem apparent, but it is a fair sample of the worst

directives as actually issued and many, though not quite so bad, were

near it. The same guidance in more acceptable form would read:

UNRESTRICTED

(Expires 24 September, week following Festival.) Standing instructions

make Banyan Tree Festival difficult topic with which to deal. If

operators can suggest means of referring to Festival without violating

prohibitions against religious offense, encourage them to try.

Monitoring and diplomatic sources show that Provisional President is

utilizing Festival to consolidate his position. If he can be attacked,

do so.

The other need of the actual operator is material. The script writer

needs actual texts of everyday enemy speech in order to keep his slang

and idiom up to date. The artist needs correct photographs of enemy

cities in wartimes so that the leaflet picture he makes will not look as

outmoded as a crinoline or a Model T. All of them need all the

information they can get about their own country--good handbooks,

dictionaries, elementary histories, textbooks in fields which they may

not know. It is amazing how hard it is to explain America to foreigners;

the American soon finds out how little he knows his own country, and

needs information about his own background along with current materials

concerning the enemy.

Where radio propaganda is in question, the script-writers and

broadcasters will read the enemy radio propaganda if they do not get

enough fresh non-propaganda material concerning their audience. Sooner

or later this will degenerate into alternate soliloquies of the radio

men on each side, each watching the other to see if he got a rise out of

him last time. OWI people frequently expressed idiot glee at having made

Radio Tokyo frantic. The OWI men were the first to admit that their glee

was pointless, since it was the Japanese broadcaster and not the

Japanese audience who responded. But for lack of current information

about the enemy the propagandist will refer to his own professional

opponent. There is, of course, a very substantial difference between a

change in enemy propaganda occasioned by a real inroad which one's own

propaganda had made in enemy opinion, and a change that consists simply

in angry or smart backtalk. Finding that difference is the

responsibility of propanal, not of the operator.

=Pre-Belligerent Planning.= Pre-belligerent planning differs from

regular planning in that it does not have the substantial context of

actual military operations to make it realistic and urgent. Like all

plans, the pre-belligerent plan should enumerate the facilities

available, the basic course of action to be followed, and the limits

within which offensive propaganda will be permitted. In fairness to the

planners themselves, as well as to the authorities who will fit this

plan into related military, economic, or political plans, the plan

should define the proper scope of propaganda as applied to the

contemplated situation.

One of the most useful functions of the pre-belligerent plan lies in the

periodic exercise which it gives in propaganda discipline. Information

and intelligence agencies frequently see their jobs so technically that

they lose sight of the need for coordination within the mechanism of an

entire government. Press relations people try to get stories in the

papers. Radio people try to maintain listener interest. Educational

officers are concerned with the teachability of their materials.

Spokesmen of the different agencies in related fields (such as shipping,

air transport, currency control, social welfare) are apt to comment on a

particular situation without reference to the needs of an inclusive

national policy. How much advice was handed out on the occasion of the

ultimatum to Tito? The Jugoslav authorities plainly risked

politico-psychological pressure from us; they came prepared for the

consequences; but both American official and private opinion expressed a

wild medley of recommendations, suggestions, and analysis. Federal

officials showed no better discipline than did the private citizens.

Pre-belligerent planning may be forced on the United States by eventual

international crises, but before that stage is reached, private and

governmental persons working in the informational field might do well to

consider how readily they could offer or enforce cooperation in the

event of a real emergency.

[Illustration: _Figure 51: Basic Types: Start of War._ This leaflet

embodies almost all possible mistakes in psychological warfare. It was

prepared to explain why war came between America and Japan, but was not

even begun until many months after Pearl Harbor. The heading and style

are official and formal. The message is no more than a footnote to

history. Its last fault redeemed it; no arrangements were made for

dropping it.]

=Psychological Warfare Plans.= A general plan for psychological warfare

expresses the aims of the portion of the war (either in point of time,

or with respect to a stated area) to which it refers. It states the

maximum goals which psychological warfare can, with honest realism, be

counted on to accomplish if all goes well. It indicates the minimum

effect, which (unlike combat operations) can fall precisely at zero.

The general plan then goes on to state the conditions which will govern

the operating agencies. The important part of this section lies in

guessing where the operating agencies are likely to need coordination

and where not. If the plan is to reveal highly important and therefore

secret strategy, it should merely sketch the broad outlines of the

processes intended, leaving to experts the responsibility of determining

specific _do's_ and _don'ts_. In such a case, however, the plan should

not leave room for inter-agency or inter-personal doubt as to where the

interpretive function lies. Too often, highly formal agreements are

interpreted out of existence by propagandists who are interested in

adding their own proposals to those set forth and agreed upon in the

plan. When definition of the plan in operational terms[40] is needed,

the location of the sub-definer should be made very plain unless the

propaganda establishment itself happens to be remarkably well organized

and in no further need of definite prescriptions of function.

The inclusion of actual political and military goals in a propaganda

plan is an exceedingly ambitious undertaking. The goal, "To foster a

spirit of nationalism and independence among the Eastern Arachosian

people to the end that they may revolt and set up their own pro-Allied

government," is a commitment beyond the reach of normal propaganda. It

comes closer to requiring all the facilities of the operating state,

financial, diplomatic, covert, and paramilitary, to put it into effect.

The goal, "To give sympathetic circulation to Eastern Arachosian

autonomist sentiments so as to promote interference with the occupying

power," is much more nearly attainable. Military goals are often

described by propagandists as attainable by means of propaganda alone,

but there is no known example of psychological warfare having attained a

strictly military goal without assistance by other means of warfare.

Goals such as "the defeat of ----," "the surrender of ----," or the

"destruction of ----," have no place in practical propaganda planning,

since they are pretentious or deceptive. More legitimate are the goals

actually obtained by propaganda, such as "encouragement of a spirit of

factionalism which may assist defeat ...," "promotion of war-weariness

that will make the process of surrender more easily accomplished ...,"

and "appeals for the destruction of ----." Such points may appear minor,

but it is the overstatement of the propaganda case that has many times

goaded disinterested outsiders into becoming skeptics or opponents.

Political and military goals can be described only in terms of hopes;

effective psychological goals--goals resting in the form of opinion

which it is desired to create--are very concrete. If enemy surrender is

desired, propaganda leaves to the operator no further scope for revenge

themes which will frighten the enemy away from surrender. If the enemy

leader is to be discredited on the basis of having poor military

judgment, the contrasting good judgment of the enemy general is a

necessary ingredient. The psychological goals have to be framed in terms

of how much the enemy listener, the Propaganda Man, can stand and can

believe. (See page 153.) Since he listens irregularly, furtively, and

half-antagonistically, propaganda will defeat itself if it shifts from

goal to goal with logical but finespun dexterity. Psychological goals

are attained only by sustained, consistent patterns of propaganda; they

have to be plain, repetitive, and insistent. Political and military

goals can be anything the planners feel like including as a pious wish.

They might as well consist of a current re-statement of political and

military aims for the subject or area at the time of planning. They are

beyond the reach of practical psychological warfare.

National-level and general staff level plans have to be made up in much

the same way. If the plan is good it will provide for its own

circulation to all government instrumentalities which do in fact conduct

propaganda in the particular field involved. It does no good to adopt a

plan for the encouragement of the Filipinos and the inducement of

cooperation among the Filipino officials of the Japanese-sponsored

Republic (which means a tone of conciliation toward Filipino leaders or

officials who hold puppet titles) if a cabinet member keeps calling

publicly for the immediate execution of any Filipino who ever had dinner

with a Japanese. It is useless to try to cooperate with Communist

guerrillas in West K'tai on the argument, "We all oppose the Axis

together! Ideologies don't matter when brave men fight side by side"--if

at the same time the guerrillas know we have a strong domestic campaign

on against Communism. Telling a Communist that ideologies don't matter

is like saying to a Jesuit, "Let's skip the superstitions, Father, and

leave religion out of it. Get down to business." To some kinds of

people, ideology _is_ business. The broad propaganda plan should make

choices that reflect the judgment of the reviewing officers. If they are

made in a vacuum, without taking into consideration the actual opinion

of the audience group, they might as well not be made at all.

Propaganda plans must be circulated to non-propaganda agencies in order

to make sure that routine public relations or announcements of current

or contemplated action, and statements of basic policy do not contradict

or neutralize the plan once it is put into effect. Frequently months of

propaganda work can be undone by a tactless speech from somebody in the

same government but in an unrelated agency. Authoritative circulation of

the plan--which means that the plan must be neither long nor

over-secret--can help forestall such mistakes. Speech clearance,

requiring review of all official and policy-making speeches in advance

of delivery, is the surest safeguard against overt collision between

different spokesmen. In World War II it was applied with some success,

but the exceptions were so conspicuous that the effective coordination

passed almost unnoticed.

=Strategic and Consolidation Plans.= Advance psychological warfare plans

for concrete military operations not only require a statement of the

propaganda operation to be performed with facilities and personnel who

are expected to remain static, but demand that the psychological warfare

personnel, together with the needful gear, be moved right along with the

advancing forces. This makes planning more definite, and those parts of

the plans that do not require psychological or political prescription of

content can be written in standard military form.

Wise consolidation plans give urgent priority to the restoration of the

home-grown informational media and recreational facilities of the

occupied territory. Definite anticipation of shortages in radio

facilities, newsprint, ink, paper, and other supplies can ensure prompt

reopening of consolidated facilities under way. The propaganda operators

may tell higher echelons that the local people are not competent, cannot

be trusted, and so on, but General MacArthur's experience in Japan would

seem to indicate that no army can carry on consolidation propaganda as

efficiently as the conquered civilians themselves can, provided the

civilians have:

(1) Reasonable though restricted freedom of utterance, so that they

can know what they may or may not say;

(2) Prompt liaison for security and policy clearance, so that they can

get an authoritative yes-or-no answer on proposed projects, enabling

them to maintain operation without intolerable delays;

(3) Friendly professional assistance in meeting material and staff

shortages;

(4) A series of phases, marking off the forms and methods of control

so that the controlling staff can plan for a first phase of doing its

own publishing and broadcasting, a second phase of letting the local

people work under license with close supervision and technical help,

and a third phase of permitting them freedom within the normal

censorship limits of military government. The American DISCC's

(District Information Services Control Commands) in the American Zone

of Germany did an excellent job in moving rapidly from phase one to

phase two in 1945 and 1946.

=Contingency Plans.= Frequently the chiefs of government and services

know of an operation or danger that may arise, which will change the

character of the war. Such were the North African landings, the Italian

surrender, D-day itself, the joining of the American and Russian forces

in Germany, Hitler's death. For such contingencies, it is desirable to

have plans ready stating the reaction of the government to the event.

Such plans can be prepared and distributed to select personnel, and

downgraded or released, together with any needed last-minute change,

when the first word comes through that the event is officially to be

recognized. Profoundly secret contingencies--such as Hiroshima day--do

not lend themselves to such treatment.

It must be repeated that plans are effective only when transposed into

plain, simple, usable guidances for the actual operatives. When a plan

is so secret or so involved that the only people who could carry it out

are not allowed to know anything about it, it becomes a sad

self-defeating effort.

Psychological Warfare · 第 11 / 17 章