CHAPTER 8

Propaganda Intelligence

The psychological warfare operator can usually count on two basic

interests of his listener. In the field he can be sure that the enemy

troops are interested in themselves. In the enemy homeland he can be

sure that the civilians are interested in _their_ enemy--himself. He has

therefore a certain leeway in which he can be sure of doing no harm, and

may accomplish good, if he confines his propaganda to simple, factual

and plainly honest statements on these subjects. Pompousness, intricacy

and bad taste will recoil against him; it is unwise to employ these even

when the situation is well under control. In a developing situation the

propagandist can remain safe by confining himself to simple statements

as to how strong his country's armed forces are, how realistic and

effective their leadership. Elementary information giving the favorable

aspects of his economic, strategic and diplomatic situation may also

prove valuable initial propaganda.

This interest can be counted on throughout the war. The enemy is always

news. The wise enemy realizes this and keeps himself in the news,

trusting that in the wider understanding of himself, his politics and

culture there is the opening for a more favorable peace in the event of

defeat, or for a more docile submission in the event of his own victory.

Only unimportant enemies fail to become news. (Few Americans, for

example, realize that we were at war with Bulgaria in World War II. Had

the Bulgars developed sensational weapons, there would have been a

sudden upswing of interest in them. People would have realized that

Bulgaria, like Hungary and long-lost Avaria, was once a fierce Asiatic

state grafted onto the European system; the fabulous power of the Old

Bulgarian Empire would have become known, and the names of Krum, Symeon

and the Czar Samuel added to our calendar of hate. But Bulgaria never

did enough against the United States to count as an enemy, and even

succeeded, by diplomatic ineptitude, in getting into a state of war with

all the Axis Powers and all the United Nations simultaneously; Bulgaria

escaped the fame which goes with hostility. Contrast this with Japan:

thousands of Americans have learned Japanese; Japanese national

character is known to us; war has done in a five-year span what

education could not have accomplished in a generation.) The wise

propagandist can, when in doubt, play good music on the air, or he

can--with equal prudence--give the enemy his own elementary-school

history and language texts. These do no harm, and may achieve

something.

[Illustration: _Figure 28: Nostalgic Black._ Soldiers in all wars have

gotten homesick. Propaganda appeals to homesickness in many ways. One of

the simplest is the device shown in this German black leaflet, which

shows the husband turning off the alarm clock while the wife wakes up.

The printed message on the reverse makes out a discouraging case for the

soldier's opportunity to return home, pointing out that the GI in

Europe, even after victory, will face "that nasty jungle war ... in the

Far East." No identification of the leaflet is given.]

[Illustration: _Figure 29: Nostalgic White, Misfire._ Figure 30 was

carefully adapted to Japanese customs. The mere fact that the Americans

knew enough about Japan to celebrate a homey Japanese holiday was

probably enough to make the Japanese reader examine the leaflet

carefully. Here is a combined nostalgic and surrender leaflet showing

how surrender leads the Japanese soldier back to his wife and children.

The drawing looks American rather than Japanese, and it is not likely

that a genuine Japanese could have been made homesick by use of this

leaflet.]

[Illustration: _Figure 30: Nostalgic White._ On March 5 of every year

the Japanese celebrate the colorful custom of Boys' Day. Kites in the

form of carp are flown over the cities and countryside and millions of

families set out to give their little sons an excursion or some other

treat. (It is characteristic of the Japanese that there is no Girls'

Day.) This leaflet, from Psychological Warfare Branch, USAFPA, was

designed for dropping on May 5. It ends with the appeal, "You must guard

the strength of the new Japan, your treasure, your children." Thus it

combines homesickness, patriotism, and pre-surrender indoctrination.]

=News as Intelligence.= Harmlessness is, however, a poor ideal for men

at war; the propagandist who keeps out of mischief is doing only half

his job. To make his message take effect he must convey to the enemy

those kinds of information which tend to disrupt enemy unity, discount

enemy expectation of success, lower the enemy will to resist. He cannot

do so by means of recorded symphonies or tourist lectures, no matter how

well done. He must turn to the first weapon of propaganda, the news.

The official propagandist is not a newspaperman. Since he speaks for an

army or a government, his utterance is _officially responsible_. He must

be as timely as the peacetime press, but must at the same time be as

cautious as a government press agent. He is torn between two

responsibilities: his responsibility to the job of propaganda, which

requires him to get interesting information and get it out to the enemy

quickly; and his responsibility to the official policies of his own

government, which requires him to release nothing unconfirmed, nothing

that could do harm, or that might embarrass or hurt the government. (A

sort of institutional schizophrenia is common to all propaganda

offices.)

The sources of news are various. Classified incoming operational reports

of the Army and Navy contain material of high interest to the enemy.

There are obvious reasons for denying access to such information to the

propaganda people. Propaganda men might think of their audience first

and security second. If they do not know the secret information, but are

advised by military consultants who do, security will be better

maintained and the propagandist will not labor under the handicap of a

double standard of information--what they know, and what they dare to

tell.

In technically advanced countries, the regular commercial facilities of

press and radio continue to do a normal news job, and usually do better

work than the drafted amateurs in the government. (What intelligence

agency in Washington could compile a weekly report as comprehensive,

well edited and coldly planned as _Time_ magazine?[32] The author often

yearned to paraphrase _Time_, rearranging it and classifying it TOP

SECRET, in order to astound his associates with the inside dope to which

he had access.) The nature of news is not affected by its

classification, and the distinction between news produced on the Federal

payroll and news produced off it often consists of the superior

professionalism of the latter.

The intelligence that goes into the making of propaganda must compete

for attention with the home newspaper of the enemy. It must therefore be

up-to-date, well put, authentic. There is no more space in propaganda

for the lie, farce, hoax, or joke than there is room for it in a

first-class newspaper. Even if exaggerations or nonsense appear in the

commercial press of his own country, the propagandist must realize that

he is Honorary G-2 to the enemy--a G-2 whose function consists of

transmitting news _the ultimate effect of which should be bad_ but which

should go forth with each separate item newsworthy and palatable. (A

little trick of the human mind helps all propagandists in this regard.

Most people have a streak of irresponsibility in them, which makes bad

news much more interesting than good. There is a yearning for bad news

and a genuine willingness to pass it along. Bad news increases the

tension upon the individual and tickles his sense of the importance of

things; good news relieves the tension, and to that extent has the

effect of a let-down.)

The palatability of news is not concerned so much with its content as

with its trustworthiness to the enemy, its seeming to deal with straight

fact, its non-editorialized presentation. (One of the reasons why Soviet

Communist propaganda, after all these years, is still relatively

unsuccessful, lies in the incapacity of the Communists to get out a

newspaper with news in it. They put their editorial slant in all their

news articles. "Man bites dog" would not make the front page in Russia

unless the dog were Stalinist and the man reactionary.)

[Illustration: _Figure 31: Oestrous Black._ Young human beings,

especially young males, are apt to give considerable attention to sex.

In areas of military operations, they are removed from the stimuli of

secondary sex references which are (in America) an accepted part of

everyone's daily life: bathing beauty photos, magazine covers,

semi-nudes in advertisements, etc. Our enemies tried to use the

resulting pin-up craze for propaganda purposes, hoping that a vain

arousal of oestrum would diminish morale. This choice Japanese item is

from the Philippines. (The best collection of these is kept in a locked

file--for experts only--at the Library of Congress.)]

The Japanese who obediently hated the Americans when it was their duty

to do so nevertheless could not help looking at maps that showed where

the Americans actually were. Nazis who despised us and everything we

stood for nevertheless studied the photographs of our new light bombers.

The appeal of credible fact is universal; propaganda does not consist of

doctoring the fact with moralistic blather, but of selecting that fact

which is correct, interesting, and bad for the enemy to know.[33]

On the friendly side of the battle lines, the procurement of our own

news is a budgetary matter. The propaganda office can subscribe to the

news tickers, newspapers, telegraph services, and so on. How much is a

matter of administrative housekeeping. In the field, the communications

officer can frequently steal news from the news agencies of his own

country or allied countries by the process of picking it out of the air.

It would be highly unpatriotic of the news agency to send him a bill in

the zone of operations, and he can classify his record copies of his

material RESTRICTED so that the owners of the material would have no

legitimate business acquiring copies that could later be taken into

court to support a claim. (Americans would not do this, of course; the

reference is to Byzantines.)

[Illustration: _Figure 32: Oestrous Grey._ This and the succeeding

illustration show a series of four leaflets which the Nazis used against

American troops in Europe. Anti-morale in intent, they rely on the

illustrations to get attention and then develop their malicious,

salacious anti-Semitic story. The series illustrates the strength and

weakness of Nazi propaganda.]

[Illustration: _Figure 33: Oestrous Grey, Continued._ Concluding the

series begun in the preceding illustrations, these Nazi leaflets tried

to lower American morale by combining oestrum, resentment,

discouragement and inter-American hatred. The Dr. Mordecai Ezekiel

mentioned in No. 2 is a real person, a splendid American and

conscientious official. The Nazis used his name because it was so

plainly Jewish, hoping that the ignorance of the American troops would

permit their lies to spread.]

=The Need for Timeliness.= Some white propaganda and all black

propaganda needs to be written so as to fit in with what the enemy is

reading, listening to, or talking about in his home country. The use of

antiquated slang, an old old joke, reference to a famous man as living

when he died some time ago, lack of understanding of the new wartime

conditions under which the listener lives and worries--such things sour

a radio program quickly. In radio, the propagandist must be living in

the same time as his listeners. Since the propagandist cannot shuttle

between the enemy country and his own radio office (unless he is a

braver and more elusive man than governments ever call for); he must try

to get the up-to-the-minute touch by other means. Without it he is lost.

He will be talking about something that happened a long time ago, not

the situation which he is trying to affect.

This need may be called _timeliness_.

It can be served by obtaining all the most recent enemy publications

that may be available, by listening attentively to enemy prisoners and

captured civilians, and by carefully analyzing the enemy's current

broadcasts to his own people. The Nazis made the unnecessary mistake of

assuming that isolationism used the same old language after Pearl

Harbor. They were right in assuming that there was considerable

anti-internationalist and anti-Roosevelt sentiment left in the United

States, but they were hopelessly wrong in using the isolationist

language of mid-1941 as late as mid-1942. Pearl Harbor had dated all

that and the isolationist-interventionist argument had shifted to other

ground. When the Nazis went on using the old language, they were as

conspicuous as last year's hat at a women's club. Instead of making

friends and influencing people, they made themselves sound ignorant and

look silly. They lacked the element of timeliness. They could have

gotten it by procuring representative American publications in Lisbon

and studying them.

Propaganda is like a newspaper; it has to be timeless or brand-new. In

between, it has no value.

[Illustration: _Figure 34: Obscene Black._ One of the wildest adventures

of World War II concerns this now rare "Chinese Federal Reserve Bank"

one-dollar bill. The bank was a Japanese puppet outfit in Peiping. The

Japanese had banknotes engraved by Chinese artists, and only after the

new pro-Japanese banknotes had been issued all over the city did they

notice what the "ancient scholar" was doing with his hands. The engraver

had disappeared and the Chinese enjoyed a rare, morale-stimulating

laugh. Propaganda gestures such as this--spontaneous, saucy,

silly--achieve effects which planned operations rarely attain.]

=Opinion Analysis.= In a favorable intelligence situation, espionage can

succeed in running a Gallup poll along the enemy's Main Street. When

this is done, the active propaganda operator has some very definite

issues at hand on which he can begin work. When it is not possible to

send the cloak-and-dagger boys walking up and down the Boulevard of the

Martyrs of the Eleventh of July, propanal, properly handled, can produce

almost the same result. The opinion of the enemy can be figured out in

terms of what enemy propaganda is trying to do.

To be useful, opinion analysis must be systematic. For a while the

author had the interesting job of interviewing all the latest arrivals

from Tokyo at a certain headquarters. The travelers would usually be

pumped up with a sense of their own smartness in having evaded the

Japanese and arrived at Allied territory. You could almost hear them

thinking, "Oh, boy, if Gendarmerie Chief Bakayama could only see me

now!" They were ready, in Army parlance, to spill their guts. The only

item on which most of them maintained one-man security was the question,

"Why, chum, did you yourself go to Tokyo in the first place?" Outside of

that, they were eager to talk. (Some of them had frightfully good

reasons to be eager; the adverb is literal.) With such sources of

information, the author thought that he could find out in short order

what the Japanese were thinking.

He found out, all right. He found out every single time. The refugee

engineer said the Japanese were so depressed that there was a bull

market in butcher knives. The absconding dairyman said the Japanese

were ready to die with gloom. The eloping wife said she never saw happy

Japanese any more. The military school deserter said the Japanese lay

awake all night every night listening for American air raids. The

reformed puppet said the Japanese had just gone to pieces. Then each of

them grinned (the interviews were individual, of course), and expected

to be patted on the head for bringing such good news.

[Illustration: _Figure 35: Informational Sheet._ This British leaflet

combines a message for Arabs with instructions for British pilots forced

down in the desert. The propaganda content is closely associated with

the practical mission of the leaflet.]

Their comments were worthless. What the enemy thinks _in general_ is

worth nothing unless your troops are already in his suburbs. What an

informant thinks the enemy thinks is worth even less. What do you,

reader, think right now? What do you think you think? See? the question

is nonsensical. To work, it has to be specific: What do you think about

the price of new suits? What do you think about Senator O'May and

Congressman MacNaples? Do you think that we will ever have to fight

Laputa? Are you satisfied with your present rate of pay? Why?

What a person thinks--his opinion--is workable in relation to what he

does. In practical life his opinion takes effect only when it is part of

the opinion of a group. Some groups are formed by the common opinion and

have nothing else in common: at a spiritualist meeting you may see the

banker sitting next to his own charwoman. Most groups are groups because

of things which the people _are_ (Negroes, descendants of Francis Bacon,

the hard-of-hearing); or things they _do_ (electrical workers, lawyers,

farmer, stamp collectors), or things they _have_ (factory owners,

nothing but wages, apartment houses) in common. The community of

something practical makes the group have a community of opinion which

arises from the problems they think they face with respect to their

common interests. Such groups are not only opinion groups, they are

interest groups. It is these groups that do things _as groups_. It is

these groups that propaganda tries to stir up, move, set against each

other, and use in any handy way. (Few individuals belong to just one

group at a time; the groups are almost illimitable in number.)

The propagandist should not get the idea that just because a group

exists it is a potential source of weakness or cleavage. Workers are not

always against employers, nor the aged against the young, nor women

against men, nor shippers against railwaymen. In a well run society,

groups have interest only for limited purposes. Railwaymen are not

permanently hostile to truckers, shippers, fliers, canal operators. At

the moment they may be maddest of all at the insurance companies because

of some quarrel about insurance premiums and risks.

The poor propagandist tries to butt in on every fight, even when there

is none. Often his propaganda is received the way an intervenor is

received in most family quarrels, with the bland question, "_What_

fight? We ain't mad." Sound propaganda picks only those group issues

which are acute enough to stand a little help from outside. If outside

help would be a kiss-of-death to the group that is helped, then black

propaganda instead of white is indicated. In any case, sound operating

intelligence is the first precondition to the attempted psychological

manipulation of enemy groups.

[Illustration: _Figure 36: Counterpropaganda Instructions._ The

Wehrmacht in the West had a unit bearing the code designation Skorpion.

This unit combined the functions of offensive and defensive propaganda,

which remained separate throughout the war in the U.S. Army. The

information service sheet shown provides clear, simple leads for

counterpropaganda by selecting usable (usable for the Germans, that is)

items from Allied sources. From this raw material, morale officers could

make up their own leaflets, lectures, or broadcasts.]

=Profile of Opinion.= Opinion analysis can present a _profile of enemy

opinion_. To make a profile, proceed as though assembling a photo-strip

map taken by an aerial camera. Take the whole enemy country and divide

it into major groups by percentages. Select, particularly, those groups

you are interested in addressing. If you have _kamikaze_-minded

collaborators, send them in to the enemy country to ask a thousand

enemies the same question, selecting the thousand the same way that the

total population is made up. If the country is 32% Catholic, the

thousand interviewees should include 320 Catholics. If the country is

36% urban and 61% rural (3% unexplained), get 610 of your interviewees

from the country. The questions do not have to be asked in precisely the

same form, but they should bear on precisely the same issues. When your

agents come back you have a poll. If you do not have agents, then use

the percentages from reference books, and try to estimate how many

definite groups have what specific grievances. You are then in a

position to proceed.

=Interrogation.= When processing prisoners of war, it is an excellent

idea to deal with them for morale intelligence as well as for general

and assorted military information. Questions should not aim at what the

prisoner thinks he thinks about God, his leader, his country, and so on,

but should concern themselves with those things which most interest the

prisoner himself. Does his wife write that the babies have enough

diapers? How is the mail service? Is he worried about war workers

getting his prewar job? How much money is he saving? How is the food?

How were the non-coms--did they treat him right? Did he get enough

furloughs? Does he think that anybody is making too much money at home?

Most men carry over into military services the occupational interests

which they had as civilians. A carpenter in uniform, even though he may

be a good infantry top sergeant, is still a carpenter, and information

can be obtained from him as to the problems of skilled labor, of union

members, of the poorer city dwellers, and so on.

The profile obtained from civilian polls or from propanal can then be

paralleled in the field. Set up a graph showing the entire enemy army.

Use several graphs if the army splits along racial, national or plainly

sectional lines. On each graph, enter the component groups. From the

poll or from the interrogations, list the dissatisfaction in terms of

seriousness with which the dissatisfyee attributes to it; it is not what

you think he should worry about that is important. It's what actually he

does worry about. His weighting counts. Make up a scale, quantitative

on the actual count of mentions of particular gripes. (For example, out

of 699 prisoners, of whom 167 were union members in civil life, there

were 234 separate voluntary mentions of dissatisfaction with the enemy

government's labor union policy). When that quantitative count changes

up or down, you have a definite guide with which to control your own

propaganda policy.

[Illustration: _Figure 37: Defensive Counterpropaganda._ The "National

Socialist Leadership Staff of the Wehrmacht" got out this Communications

for the Troops as a guidance sheet for company talks. The content

includes "Thoughts About the Volkssturm," "The Celebrated American

Freedoms," and "Small Requests, but Important." This issue is dated from

January 1945.]

Or you can proceed qualitatively. List enemy dissatisfaction under terms

such as these for any one issue (shoe rationing, health facilities,

minority rights, esteem for government leaders, etc.): Prisoner--

(1) is completely satisfied and has no complaints.

(2) has a few complaints but is generally satisfied.

(3) has many complaints and does not expect improvement.

(4) is despondent about the whole situation.

(5) is definitely antagonistic to home authorities in this matter.

Rate each prisoner or captured civilian according to your best judgment.

Then make up percentage lists of the grounds for dissatisfaction of each

component group in the enemy society. (This latter figure will be

impressive in documents but will not mean as much for practical purposes

as will the more specific percentages under each separate head.)

If you feel like showing off, average everything into everything else

and call it the Gross Index of Total Enemy Morale. This won't fool

anyone who knows the propaganda business, and you won't be able to _do_

anything with or about it, but you can hang it on a month-by-month chart

in the front office, where visitors can be impressed at getting in on a

military secret. (Incidentally, if some smart enemy agent sees it and

reports it back, enemy intelligence experts will go mad trying to figure

out just how you got that figure. It's like the old joke that the

_average_ American is ten-elevenths White, 52% female, and always

slightly pregnant.)

=Specificity.= Good propaganda intelligence provides:

(a) news;

(b) military intelligence which can be released as news;

(c) military intelligence which cannot be released as news, but

knowledge of which will prevent the propaganda operator from making

mistakes or miscalculations in reporting the news;

(d) enemy news;

(e) up-to-the-minute enemy slang, hobbies, fads, grievances, and other

matters of current public attention;

(f) specific grievances of specific groups and of the nation as a

whole, should these arise;

(g) information about probable inter-group conflicts;

(h) types and forms of discontent with enemy authority;

(i) identification of unpopular or popular enemy personalities;

(j) all other information that will enable the psychological warfare

operator to act promptly and sympathetically in taking the side of

specific enemy individuals against their authorities or other enemy

groups.

[Illustration: _Figure 38: Black "Counterpropaganda."_ Seeing that the

Germans had a good counter propaganda medium, the Allies decided to use

it themselves. They issued this "counterpropaganda" sheet, shown in

original and facsimile in English. The "blackness" is not very black,

since few Germans would consider this to be German in origin, once they

had read it.]

Enemy opinion cannot be manipulated in general. It must be met on its

own ground--the current everyday thoughts of enemy citizens and

soldiers. These thoughts do not usually concern grandiose problems of

political ethics. They are practical like your own.[34] They must be

appealed to in a way which makes the listener really listen, makes the

reader stop and reread, makes them both think it over later. Getting the

attention of the enemy is not enough. Most enemies will pay plenty of

attention to you--too much, at times. Getting sympathetic attention is

what counts.

This can be done only with specific grounds. With the news, you and he

have a genuine common interest. Using his real troubles as a link, you

must create that common interest. The force, the effectiveness of your

argument may make him forget that it is the enemy who has brought his

attention to this issue. You must leave him with the feeling, "By golly,

that fellow is right!"

But to talk about his troubles, effectively, you must know what they

really are. You must see it his way before you start showing him that

his way is your way, that you think that he is really on your side, and

that his bosses' side is wrong, incorrect and doomed to get whipped,

anyhow. Propaganda can operate only on the basis of _specificity_. Real

persuasion can be sought only on the basis of real sympathy with real

troubles. Old, incorrectly guessed, or poorly described issues are worse

than none at all.

Psychological Warfare · 第 8 / 17 章