For many reasons Bismarck would have preferred the Russian alliance,

among others the traditional dynastic friendship between the two

countries and the fact that no natural political or religious causes

of conflict existed between them; while a union with Austria was less

reliable, owing to the changeable nature of her public opinion, the

heterogeneousness of her Magyar, Slav, and Catholic populations, and

the loss of influence by the German element with the governing body.

On the other hand, however, an alliance with Austria would be nothing

new, internationally, as such a connection theoretically arose from

the former connection of Germany and Austria in the Holy Roman Empire.

While weighing the matter, a threatening letter from Czar Alexander II

to William I, in which he called on Germany to support his Balkan

policy, and said that if he refused peace could not last between their

two countries, decided Bismarck in favour of Austria. The chief

opponent of the new Alliance was William I, who was moved by personal

chivalric feelings towards his nephew, Czar Alexander; but,

disregarding this, because confident of eventually persuading his

imperial master, Bismarck went to Gastein and there settled with the

Austrian Minister, Count Andrassy, the principles of the Alliance.

Italy came into the Alliance in 1883 as the immediate result of France

obtaining a protectorate in Tunis, in return, partly, for her

acquiescence in the English acquisition of Cyprus. The protectorate

aroused general indignation and fear in Italy, and though it meant a

large expenditure on naval and military armament, on May 20, 1882, she

joined the Dual Alliance for five years, and thus turned it into the

Triplice.

The Triple Alliance rests on three treaties: one between Germany and

Austria-Hungary, one between Germany and Italy, and one between

Austria-Hungary and Italy. While by the first Germany and

Austria-Hungary bind themselves to combine in case of an attack on

either by Russia, whether as original foe or as ally, and to observe

"at least" benevolent neutrality in case of attack from any other

quarter, by the second Germany and Italy bind themselves to mutual

support in case of an attack on either by France. The third, between

Austria-Hungary and Italy, binds the signatories to benevolent

neutrality in case Austria-Hungary is attacked by Russia, or Italy by

France.

That there are weak points in the Triple Alliance is obvious. If

Austria-Hungary were a purely homogeneous country like France or

Russia, Germany and Austria-Hungary, even without Italy, could face

with confidence an attack from either or both their powerful

neighbours. But Austria-Hungary is not homogeneous. A large proportion

of her population is anti-German, or at least non-German, and Italy is

always subject to be tempted by an opportunity of obtaining some of

Austria-Hungary's Adriatic possessions. Moreover, a large party is

even now to be found in Austria-Hungary which desires revenge for the

humiliation of her defeat by Germany in 1866.

The relations of Germany to Russia have always been rather those of

friendship between the monarchs of the two countries than of

friendship between the two peoples; and it is easy to understand that

the fear of revolution, Socialism, or "government of the people, by

the people, for the people," to use Lincoln's celebrated phrase, at

all times forms a strong and active bond of sympathy between the

monarchs. In the case of Russia there is also always to be considered

the obstinate, or as the Emperor would call it knightly, spirit in

which his grandfather, King William I, regarded his obligation to

maintain friendship with the Czar, and which for a long time made him

hostile to the idea of alliance with Austria instead of alliance with

Russia. The feeling, it is highly probable, is strong, if not equally

strong, in the mind of the Emperor to-day, if only out of respect for

the memory of his ancestor. There is not, to use a popular expression,

much love lost between the two peoples, not only because of racial

differences between Teuton and Slav, but because of the differences in

religion and in degree of civilization. There are not a few Germans

who assert that Germany's next war will be with Russia, and that from

the dominions of the Czar will be obtained the fresh territory Germany

needs for her constantly expanding population.

The Czar returned the Emperor's accession visit in Berlin in October,

1889, and it was on this occasion that the first sign of trouble

between the Emperor and the old Chancellor showed itself. When the

Emperor first proposed to make his round of visits of accession to

foreign sovereigns, Bismarck agreed except as regarded Russia and

England, objecting that visits to these countries would have an

alternatively bad effect in each. The Emperor, however, as has been

noted, went to Russia. During the return visit in Berlin, Bismarck had

an interview with the Czar which resulted in the final adjustment of

Russo-German relations, but at its close the Czar said, "Yes, I

believe you and have confidence in you, but are you sure you will

remain in office?" Bismarck looked surprised, and said, "Certainly,

Majesty; I am quite certain I shall remain in office all my life"--an

odd thing, one may remark, for a man to say, who must have been

familiar with the saying, "Put not your trust in princes."

When the Czar was going away, both the Emperor and Bismarck

accompanied him to the station, and on their return the Emperor gave

the old Chancellor a seat in his carriage. The talk concerned the

visit just over, and the Emperor again announced his intention of

spending some time in Russia the following year. Bismarck now advised

against the project on the ground that it would arouse hostility in

Austria, and because "it was not suitable considering the Czar's

disposition towards the Emperor."

"What disposition? What do you mean? How do you know?" questioned the

Emperor quickly.

"From confidential letters I am in the habit of receiving from St.

Petersburg, in addition to official reports," replied the Chancellor.

The Emperor expressed a wish to see the letters, but Bismarck gave an

evasive answer. The result was a temporary coolness between Emperor

and Chancellor.

From a memorandum of Prince Hohenlohe's we get a glimpse of one of the

political currents and anti-currents just now running high. Prince

Hohenlohe writes under date, June 27, 1888, when the Emperor was

hardly a fortnight on the throne:--

"Last evening at 8 left Berlin with Thaden after supping

with Victor and Franz (son and nephew) in the Kaiserhof

Hotel. Paid several visits during the day. I found Friedberg

somewhat depressed. He is no longer the big man he was in

the Emperor Frederick's time, when everybody courted him. He

knows that the Emperor does not favour Jews. Then I visited

the new chief of the Cabinet (civil), Lucanus, a courtly,

polished, obliging man, who looks more like an elegant

Austrian privy councillor. Wilmoski inspires me with more

confidence. At 5 to Bleichroeder's (Bleichroeder was the

great Jew banker). We spoke, or rather he spoke first, about

the political situation. He is satisfied, and says Bismarck

is too. Only the Emperor must take care to keep out of the

hands of the Orthodox. People in the country wouldn't stand

that. (He is right there, comments Hohenlohe.) Waldersee and

his followers, he said, was another danger. Waldersee was a

foe of Bismarck's and thought himself fit for anything and

everything. Who knows but that these gentlemen wouldn't

begin the old game and say to the Emperor, 'You are simply

nothing but a doll. Bismarck is the real ruler.' On the old

Emperor this would have made no impression, but the young

one would be more sensitive. Bismarck, therefore, wanted

Waldersee's banishment, and would, if he could, send him to

Strasburg (where Hohenlohe was Statthalter) as commanding

general. Perhaps he was only aiming at making me (Hohenlohe)

sick of my post and so get rid of Waldersee, his enemy, when

I cleared out. Bleichroeder said Bismarck only introduced

the compulsory pass system to show the Emperor that he too

could act sharply against the French, and so as to take the

wind out of the sails of the military party. Bismarck was

thinking above all about seating his son Herbert firmly in

the saddle (Herbert was Secretary of State for Foreign

Affairs). That is the sole motive of his action and thought.

There was therefore no prospect of matters in the Rhineland

improving. As to Russia, Bleichroeder expected some

occurrence, something out of the way (_exotisches_) by which

Russia might be won, either the withdrawal of troops from

the frontier or a meeting of Emperors. The Emperor, Bismarck

said, would not begin a war. If it came, however, it would

not be unwelcome to him."

Prince Hohenlohe also tells of a visit he paid in the month of the

accession to the widowed Empress Frederick. "She is much bowed down,"

he said,

"very harassed-looking, and I feel sure that all this recent

time, all the last year in fact, she has been displaying an

artificial good-humour, for now I find her in deep distress.

At first she could not speak for weeping. We spoke of the

Emperor Frederick's last days, then she recovered herself a

little and complained of the wickedness and meanness of men,

by which she meant to allude to certain people.... Herbert

Bismarck had had the impudence to tell the Prince of Wales

(later Edward VII) that an Emperor who could not talk and

discuss things should not be allowed to reign, and so on.

The Prince of Wales, the Empress said, told Herbert that if

it were not that he valued good relations between England

and Germany, he would have thrown him out of the door....

Waldersee was a false, unprincipled wretch, who would think

nothing of ruining his country if he could only satisfy his

own personal ambition."

Prince Hohenlohe finally called on the Prince of Wales, who "spoke

prudently, but showed his disgust at the roughness of the Bismarcks,

and could not understand their policy of irritating France."

The particular question concerning France that was agitating Germany

at the time of the accession was the state of affairs in

Alsace-Lorraine, and particularly Bismarck's measure requiring French

citizens entering the provinces to provide themselves with a pass from

the German Ambassador in Paris. The amiable and conciliatory

Statthalter, Prince Hohenlohe, had to make a reluctant journey to

Berlin in connexion with this question. There was another question

also weighing on his mind--the question whether or not he should have

a sentry guard before his official residence in Strasburg. The

military authorities, whose rivalry with the civil authorities

everywhere in Germany for influence and power still continues, wanted

to have the sentries abolished, but the Prince eventually had his way.

He showed Bismarck that they were necessary for his reputation with

the population, which had already begun to think less of his influence

as Statthalter owing to his one day at a review having incautiously

and gallantly taken a back seat in his carriage in favour of some lady

guests.

In normal times the composers of speeches from the throne are

accustomed to describe the relations between their own and foreign

countries as "friendly." When the relations are not friendly, yet not

the opposite, they are usually registered on the political barometer

as "correct." The attitude on both sides is formal, rigorously polite,

reserved; such as would become a pair of people who had once been at

feud and after their quarrel had been fought out agreed, if only for

the sake of appearances, to show no outward animosity, but on the

other hand not give an inch of way. The position of France and Germany

is "correct"; it has never been friendly since 1870; and it must be

many a long year before it can be friendly again. Apart from the

difference between the Latin and Teutonic temperaments, apart from the

legacy of hate left in Germany against France by the sufferings and

humiliations the great Napoleon caused her, apart from the fact that

one people is republican and the other monarchical, there is always

one thing that will prevent reconciliation--the loss by France of the

fair provinces Alsace and Lorraine. It is of no use for Germany to

remind France that up to the Peace of Westphalia in 1648 this

territory belonged to Germany, or rather to what then was known by

that name. It was useless as well as ungracious for Bismarck to tell

France to seek compensation in Africa for what she had lost in Europe.

Like Rachel mourning for her children, France will not be comforted;

and now, as from the heavy hour in which she lost the provinces, she

grieves over the memory of them and nurses the hope, still mingled

with hate, of one glorious day regaining them. There are sanguine

spirits who assert that the old feeling is dying out, and the German

Government studiously encourages that view. It may be so; time is

having its obliterating effects; and in externals at least the

Germanization of the provinces is slowly making progress. Still the

wound is deep, and there seems no prospect of its healing.

Several suggestions have been made with a view to an arrangement that

might leave France without reason, or with less reason, for constant

meditation on revenge One of them is the neutralization of

Alsace-Lorraine on the model of Belgium, while another is the

distribution of the territory, so that while Alsace is divided between

Baden and Bavaria, Lorraine becomes a part of Prussia A third would

divide the provinces between the two nations. An illustration of the

yet prevailing feeling is found in the fact that large Alsatian firms

invariably use French in their correspondence with Berlin firms, and

almost as invariably refer to the "customs-arrangement" with Germany

in 1871. They cannot bring themselves to use the word "annexation."

Yet of late years--to anticipate somewhat the course of

events--Germany has made two important concessions to Alsace-Lorraine.

The first was the abrogation of the so-called "Dictator-Paragraph,"

which was part of the law for administering the new provinces after

the war of 1870. Under the paragraph the Lieutenant-Governor

(Oberpresident) of the Reichsland, as the newly incorporated territory

is now officially known, was empowered in case of need to take command

of the military forces and proclaim a state of siege. When announcing

the abrogation of the Paragraph in the Reichstag in 1902, Chancellor

von Bülow gave a résumé of the relations of the provinces to the

Empire since 1870. He stated that immediately after the war the

population were not disposed to incorporation in the Empire, as they

thought the new state of things would only be temporary and that

France would soon reconquer the provinces. This state of feeling, the

Chancellor explained, naturally reacted on the Government, which

accordingly laid down the principle that the claims of the provinces

to equal political rights with other parts of the Empire could only be

recognized step by step, as the Government was satisfied that the

population conformed to the new order of things.

The second important concession to the Provinces was made only

recently, when the provincial committee was replaced by a popularly

elected Diet and the Provinces were granted three seats in the Federal

Council. There is a proviso that in case of equality in the Council

meetings the votes shall not be allowed to turn the scale in favour of

Prussia. The limitation is a concession to the susceptibilities of the

other Federal states.

Germany's relations with Great Britain at the time of the accession

were unclouded. Mr. Gladstone had been defeated on his Home Rule

proposals and Lord Salisbury was back in power. A lull had occurred in

British relations with the Transvaal. All nations, including Germany,

were beginning to turn their attention to the Orient with a view to

the acquisition in Asia of "spheres of influence and spheres of

interest," but as yet English and German interests had not come

anywhere into conflict.

The Emperor's great internal foe and the object of his special enmity

is the Social Democracy, and practically from the day of his accession

he has waged war with it. His attitude towards the Socialists requires

no long description, since it logically results from his traditional

conception of Prussian monarchy and from the revolutionary character

of Social Democratic aims. While a young man he paid little or no

attention to the movement, and probably regarded it as the "passing

phenomenon" he subsequently declared it to be. In 1884 the number of

Social Democratic voters was something over half a million, and the

number of Social Democratic members returned to the Reichstag 25: in

1890, two years after the accession, the figures were a million and a

half and 35 respectively.

The Emperor's denunciation of Social Democrats has always been

unmeasured. "A crew undeserving the name of Germans," a "plague that

must be extirpated," "traitors," "people without a country and enemies

to religion," "foes to the Empire and the country"--such were a few of

the expressions he then and during the next few years publicly applied

to three millions of his subjects. To-day, it may be added, the number

of Social Democrats in Germany is well over four millions.

In 1889, in reply to a deputation of three coal miners'

representatives, the Emperor said:

"As regards your demands, I will have them carefully

investigated (a phrase, by the way, not unknown in England)

by my Government, and let you know the result through the

usual official channels. Should, however, offences against

public peace and order occur, should a connexion between

your movement and Social Democratic circles be demonstrated,

I would not be in a position to weigh your wishes with my

royal goodwill, since for me every Social Democrat is the

same thing as a foe to the Empire and the Fatherland.

Accordingly, if I see that Social Democratic tendencies mix

with the movement and lead to unlawful opposition, I will

intervene with all my powers--and they are great."

And a month later:

"That the Radical agitation of the Social Democracy has

turned so many heads and hearts is due to the fact that in

schools, high and low, too little is taught about the cruel

deeds of the French Revolution and too little about the

heroic deeds of the War of Liberation, which was (with the

help of English bayonets, be it parenthetically remarked)

the salvation of the Fatherland."

In 1892, to anticipate by a year or two, in reply to a guest who had

observed that Social Democrats were not decreasing in numbers, the

Emperor remarked:

"The moment the Social Democracy feels itself in possession

of power it will not hesitate for an instant to attack the

Burghertum (middle classes) very energetically. No

exhibition of general benevolence is of any use against

these people--here only religious feeling, founded on

decided faith, can have any influence."

The Emperor, referring to the murder of a manufacturer in Mulhausen,

said: "Another victim to the revolutionary movement kept alive by the

Socialists. If only our people would act like men!"

And yet it is obvious, looking at it from the standpoint of to-day,

that an admirably organized movement with four million parliamentary

voters in an electorate of fourteen millions, with no members in an

Imperial Parliament of 397 with representatives, more or less

numerous, on almost every municipal board of any importance in the

Empire, with the power of disturbing at any moment the relations

between capital and labour, upon which the prosperity, security, and

comfort of the whole population depend, and in intimate relations with

the Socialists of all other countries, cannot be merely ignored or

disposed of by scornful and sarcastic speeches, by official anathema,

or even by close police supervision. There must be something behind it

all which ought to be susceptible of explanation.

Before, however, attempting to conjecture what the something is, it

will be advisable, familiar to many though the facts must be, to

recapitulate, as briefly as possible, the history of the movement. Old

as the story is, it is necessary to have some knowledge of it, for

Social Democracy is the great, perhaps the only, domestic political

thorn in the Emperor's side.

It is a truism to say that the "social question," the question how

best to organize society, is as old as society itself. Great thinkers

all down the ages, from Plato to Sir Thomas More, from More to Jean

Jacques Rousseau, from Rousseau to Saint Simon, Fourier, Louis Blanc,

Lassalle, and Karl Marx, have devoted their attention to it. The

French Revolutionists tried to solve it, and the revolutionary

movement of 1848 took up the problem in its turn.

German Social Democracy may be referred for its source to the

teachings of Louis Blanc, who formed in 1840 a workmen's society in

Paris. Blanc held, as the Social Democrats hold, that capitalism was

the cause of all social evil, and that the workman was powerless

against it. He therefore proposed the establishment of workmen's

societies for purposes of production, and the grant of the necessary

capital at a low rate of interest by the State. The doctrine was taken

up in Germany with fiery enthusiasm by Ferdinand Lassalle, who, in

May, 1863, founded the General German Workmen's Society for a

"peaceful, lawful agitation" in favour of universal suffrage as a

first means to the desired end. Universal suffrage was granted by the

North German Confederation in 1867, and in 1873 Lassalle's adherents

numbered 60,000.

Meanwhile, Karl Marx and his disciple, Frederic Engels, had been

propagating their theories, and in 1848 the former published his

famous work on the ideal social state. At first Marx was a partizan of

revolutionary methods, but he subsequently recanted this view and

proclaimed that the Socialistic aim in future should be the

"strengthening of the economic and political power of the workman so

that the expropriation of private property could be obtained by

legislation." The Marxian doctrine was adopted in Germany by Wilhelm

Liebknecht and August Bebel, who, at Eisenach in 1869, founded the

Association of Social Democratic Workmen, to which the present German

party owes its name. The Eisenach programme declared "the economic

dependence of the workmen on the monopolists of the tools of labour

the foundation of servitude and social evil," and demanded "the

economic emancipation of the working classes." An attempt to get the

Lassalle society to join the Eisenacher society on an international

basis failed for the time, but the two associations finally coalesced

at the Gotha Congress of 1875.

The attempt on the life of William I in 1878 by the anarchist Nobiling

had an important effect on the fortunes of the party and the character

of its programme. The Socialist Laws were passed and the police began

a campaign against the Socialists, of which the mildest features were

the dissolution of societies, the searching of houses, the expulsion

of suspected persons, and the interdiction of Socialist newspapers and

periodicals.

For the next few years the party held its annual congresses in

Switzerland or Denmark, but as the Socialist Laws ceased to have

effect after three years, and were not then renewed, the party resumed

its congresses in Germany. The Congress at Erfurt in 1891 resulted in

the issue of a new programme rejecting the Lassalle plan for the

establishment of workmen's societies for productive purposes and

substituting for it the transfer of all capitalistic private property

engaged in the means of production, such as lands, mines, raw

material, tools, machinery, and means of transport, to the State. The

term used in the programme is "state," not "society," but the State is

in fact nothing but the society armed with coercive powers.

Other objects are universal suffrage for both sexes over twenty,

electoral reform, two-year parliaments, direct legislation "through

the people," some form of parliamentary government, autonomy of the

people in Empire, State, Province, and Parish, conscription, national

militia instead of standing army, international arbitration, abolition

of State religion, free and compulsory education, abolition of capital

punishment, free burial, free medical assistance, free legal advice

and advocacy, progressive succession duties, inheritance tax,

abolition of indirect taxation and customs, parliamentary decisions as

to peace and war, and undenominationalism in schools.

Especially for the working classes are intended the following:

National and international protective legislation for workmen on the

basis of a normal eight hours day, prohibition of child labour under

fourteen years, prohibition of night work save rendered necessary by

the nature of the work or the welfare of society, superintendence of

labour and its relations by a Ministry of Labour, thorough workshop

hygiene, equality of status between the agricultural labourer, servant

class, and the artisan, right of association, and State insurance, as

to which the working class should have an authoritative voice.

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