3. Problems referable to the theory of projectiles.

These three may combine in several cases, and on the part of the

observer must combine with measurements, angular and linear, and with

geodetic operations to be conducted in the shaken country.

The methods of application in detail are described fully, as well as

their actual application and results, in my work published in 1862 (2

vols.), entitled "The First Principles of Observational Seismology, as

developed in the Report to the Royal Society of London of the Expedition

made by Command of the Society into the Interior of the Kingdom of

Naples, to investigate the Circumstances of the Great Earthquake of

December, 1857," to the many illustrations of which the pecuniary grant,

in aid, of £300 was most liberally made to the publishers (Messrs.

Chapman and Hall) by the Society.

It is not my intention here, nor would space allow, of my going into the

details of observation, nor of the deductions and conclusions I have

recorded in those volumes. I have referred to their contents as marking

the advent of a new method. I have ventured to call it a new _organon_

in the investigation of Earthquakes, and, through them, of the deep

interior of our earth; and will only add that the method, on this its

very first trial, proved fertile and successful. The depth of focus for

this shock of December, 1857, was about seven to eight geographical

miles below sea level, roughly stated. It gives me great pleasure to add

that my friend, Dr. Oldham, Director-General of the Geological Survey of

India, has since applied these same methods to the phenomena of the

great Cachar Earthquake of the 10th January, 1869, and with success. The

pressure of official duties has, he informs me, as yet prevented his

fully working out his results, but they appear so far to indicate, as we

should expect, a depth of focus or origin considerably greater than in

the European case of 1857. Some account of Dr. Oldham's results were

this year communicated to the Geological Society of London through

myself, they are of great interest and importance.

Such, briefly and imperfectly sketched, is the existing state of

Seismology. As a branch of exact science it is, as it were, an affair of

yesterday. It is with reluctance that I have been compelled, in this

review, to refer to my own work so prominently. The harvest has been and

still is plenteous, but in this field of intellectual work the labourers

are few. This must continue to be so as long as Geology shall continue

to be viewed in public estimation (in England at least) as a fashionable

toy, that everyone who has been to school is supposed capable of

handling; and until all who profess to be geologists shall have learnt

that, to make sound progress, they must first become mathematicians,

physicists and chemists.

It is to the general imperfect knowledge of these sciences amongst

geologists that speculative errors show such vitality, and that Geology

makes such poor progress towards becoming the interpretation of the

world as a machine (_Erdkunde_).

It is for the same reason that Seismology and Vulcanology make little

progress; the first cannot be pursued beyond its present boundaries, nor

can even its present position be understood or explained by anyone

unfamiliar with the laws of wave motion, of all classes of waves; and it

would be easy to show, by quoting from various British or foreign

text-books on Geology, how extremely imperfect is the grasp of some of

the authors upon the subject of earthquake-wave motion, even such as

they admit and endeavour to explain and apply: in fact, many geologists

appear never to have framed to themselves any clear idea of what _is_ a

wave of any sort, liquid or elastic. The general silence as to seismic

theory of French geological writers is remarkable, to whatever cause

attributable. It has been said that French philosophers show themselves

little disposed to acknowledge or to follow the lead of their foreign

compeers in any branch of science. If this be true, or in so far as it

may be so, it is unworthy of French science, which has such boundless

claims upon our homage. I am disposed to attribute the fact in this case

to other circumstances; and, amongst these, to the small extent to which

our language is known amongst French scientific men.

Germany has shown more desire to cultivate this branch of science.

Although, as yet, the distinct enunciation of its fundamental principles

has but sparsely found its way into her text-books, several able

monographs, such as those of Schmidt and of Höttinger, prove how

completely some of her philosophers have mastered and how well applied

them. The men of science of Northern Italy, amongst whom so many

glorious names are to be found on the roll of discovery, have shown

themselves quite alive to the importance of Seismology; and I know of no

more clear, exact and popular exposition of its principles and

application, and of its cosmical relations, than is to be found in a

small volume by Professor Gerolamo Boccardo, published at Genoa in 1869,

entitled _Sismopirologia Terremoti, Vulcani e lente oscillazione del

suolo, saggio di una teoria di Geographia Fisica_.

My object, so far, has been to mark the progress of ascertained

theoretic notions as to Seismology. I have, therefore, passed without

notice many speculative monographs, and the treatment upon Earthquakes,

whether speculative or historical, and however able, that constitutes a

prominent feature of nearly all systematic works on Geology.

That which may be at present viewed as achieved and certainly

ascertained in theoretic Seismology is the clear conception of the

nature of earthquake motion; the relations to it of great sea or other

water wave commotions; the relations to it of sound waves--as to which,

however, more remains to be known; and the relations of all these to

secondary effects, tending in various ways to modify more or less the

topographic and other conditions of the land or sea bottom. And in

descriptive Seismology the present distribution of the earthquake bands

or regions of greatest seismic prevalence and activity are tolerably

ascertained, and their connection with volcanic lines and those of

elevation rendered more evident. Viewed alone, nothing can yet be said

to be absolutely ascertained as to the immediately antecedent cause or

causes of the impulse. The function of Earthquake, as part of the

cosmical machine, has become more clear, as the distinctive boundaries

between Earthquake and permanent elevation of the earth have been made

evident; and it has been seen that Earthquake, however contemporaneous

occasionally with permanent elevation, is not the cause, though it may

be one of the consequences of the same forces which produce elevation;

and thus, that an infinite number of Earthquakes, however violent, and

acting through however prolonged a time, can never act as an agent of

permanent elevation, unless, indeed, on that minute scale in which

surface elevation may arise from secondary effects, like that of the

Ullah Bund.

Much remains to be done, and much may be expected even from the

continuation, if done in a systematic and organised manner, of the

statistic record of Earthquakes in connection with those other branches

of cosmical statistics, Climatology, Meteorology, Terrestrial Magnetism,

etc., the observation of which is already, to a certain extent,

organised over a large portion of the globe.

And now let us look back for a moment to ask, How, by what mental path

of discovery, have we arrived at what we have passed in review?

The facts of Earthquakes have been before men for unknown ages "open

secrets," as Nature's facts have been well called; "but eyes had they

and saw not." Facts viewed through the haze of superstition, or of

foregone notions of what Nature _ought_ to do, cease to be facts. When,

after the great Calabrian Earthquake of 1783, the Royal Academy of

Naples sent forth its commission of its learned members to examine into

the effects, they had spread around them in sad profusion all that was

necessary to have enabled them to arrive at a true notion of the nature

of the shock, and thence a sound explanation of the varied and great

secondary effects they witnessed, and of which they have left us the

records in their Report, and the engravings illustrative of it. But we

look in vain for any light; the things seen, often with distortion or

exaggeration, are heaped together as in the phantasmagoria of a wild

and terrible dream, from which neither order nor conclusion follow.

Why was this? Why were these eminent _savants_ no more successful in

explaining what they saw than the ignorant peasants they found in the

Calabrian mountains?

Because physical science itself was not sufficiently advanced, no doubt;

but also because they had no notion of applying such science as they

had, to the very central point itself of the main problem before them,

freed from all possible adventitious conditions, and so, as it were,

attacking it in the rear. How different might have been the result of

their labours, had they begun by asking themselves, What is an

earthquake? Can we not try to find out what it _is_ by observing and

_measuring_ what it has done? We see the converse mode of dealing with

Nature in Torricelli. "Nature abhors a vacuum," was told him, as the

wisdom of his day. Possibly: but her abhorrence is limited, for I find

it is _measured_ by the pressure of a column of water of thirty-four

feet in height. We need not pursue the story with Pascal, up to the top

of the Puy de Dôme.

This lesson is instructive generally to all investigators, and

particularly here; for Vulcanology, to which we are about now to turn,

has occupied until almost to-day much the same position that Seismology

did in those of the Neapolitan Commissioners.

Whole libraries have been written with respect to it dealing with

_quality_, but _measure_ and _quantity_ remain to be applied to it.

To a very preponderant class in the civilised world no knowledge is of

much interest or value that does not point to what is called a

"practical result," one measurable into utility or coin. I do not stop

to remark as to the bad or as to certain good results of this tendency

of mind; but I may venture to point out to all, that the exact knowledge

of the nature of earthquake motion, even during the short time that it

has become known, has not been barren in results absolutely practical

and utilitarian. The minute investigation of the destruction of

buildings, etc., and the deductions that have been made as to the

relations between the form, height, materials, methods of building,

combination of timber and of masonry, and many other architectural or

constructive conditions, have made it certain now that earthquake-proof

houses and other edifices can be constructed with facility, and at no

great increase, if any at all, of cost. I can affirm that there is no

physical necessity why in frequently and violently shaken countries,

such as Southern Italy or the Oriental end generally of the

Mediterranean, victims should hereafter continue by thousands to be

sacrificed by the fall of their ill-designed and badly built houses.

Were a "Building Act" properly framed, put in force by the Italian

Government in the Basilicatas and Capitanata, etc., so that new houses

or existing ones, when rebuilt, should be so in accordance with certain

simple rules, a not very distant time can be foreseen when Earthquakes,

passing through these rich and fertile but now frequently sorely

afflicted regions, should come and go, having left but little trace of

ruin or death behind. Some disasters there must always be, for we

cannot make the flanks of mountains, nor the beds of torrents, etc.,

always secure; but the main mortality of all Earthquakes is in the

houses or other inhabited buildings. Make these proof, and the wholesale

slaughter is at an end.

The principles we have established have been thus practically applied in

another direction. The Japanese Government, with the keen and rapid

perception of the powers inherent in European science which

characterises now that wonderful people, has commenced to illuminate its

coasts by lighthouses constructed after the best European models. But

Japan is greatly convulsed by earthquakes, and lighthouses, as being

lofty buildings, are peculiarly liable to be destroyed by them.

The engineer of the Japanese Government for these lights, Mr. Thomas

Stevenson, C.E. (one of the engineers to the Commissioners of Northern

Lights), was instructed to have regard, in the design of those

lighthouses, to their exposure to shock. I was consulted by Mr.

Stevenson as to the general principles to be observed; and those

edifices have been constructed so that they are presumedly proof against

the most violent shocks likely to visit Japan; not, perhaps, upon the

best possible plan, but upon such as is truly based upon the principles

I have developed. Mr. Stevenson has published some account of their

construction.

The earthquake regions of South America might with incalculable benefit

apply those ideas; and, indeed, they have been, to some extent, already

applied by my friend, Mr. William Lloyd, Member of the Institution of

Civil Engineers, to the New Custom Houses constructed from his designs

at Valparaiso.

As one of these utilitarian views, and an important one, it will occur

to many to ask--Can the moment of the occurrence or the degree of

intensity of earthquake shock be predicted, or is it probable that at a

future day we may be able to predict them? At present, any prediction,

either of the one or the other, is impossible; and those few who have

professed themselves in possession of sufficient grounds for such

prediction are deceivers or deceived. Nor is it likely that, for very

many years to come, if ever, science shall have advanced so as to render

any such prediction possible; but it is neither impossible nor

improbable that the time shall arrive when, within certain, perhaps

wide, limits as to space, previous time, and instant of occurrence, such

forewarnings may be obtainable.

Earthquakes, like storms and tempests, and nearly all changes of

weather, are not periodic phenomena, nor yet absolutely uncertain or, so

to say, accidental as to recurrence.

They are quasi-periodic, that is to say, some of their conditions as to

causation rest upon a really periodic basis, as, for example, the

recurrence of storms upon the periodic march of the earth, and sun and

moon, etc., and the recurrence of Earthquakes upon the secular cooling

of our earth; but the conditions in both are so numerous and complicated

with particulars, that we cannot fully analyse them--hence, cannot

reduce the phenomena to law, and so cannot predict recurrence. Yet

storms and tempests--which were, along with pestilences and Earthquakes,

amongst the natural phenomena which Bishop Butler deemed in his own day

impossible of human prediction--have already, through the persistent and

systematised efforts of meteorological observers, become to a certain

extent foreseeable; and medical science assures us that it has rendered

that, though to a much less degree of probability, true of pestilences.

We may, therefore, give the utilitarian some hope, that if he will help

us along--who value our accessions of knowledge primarily upon a

different standard to his--in our talk of discovery, our posterity, in a

century or two hence, may not improbably possess the advantage of being

able, in some degree, to predict their Earthquakes. I fear the

inducement will go but a small way with the utilitarian generation,

whose bent tends much towards asking, "What has posterity ever done for

them?"

But though we cannot as yet predict the time when an Earthquake may take

place in any locality, we can, on mixed statistic and dynamic grounds,

in many cases state the limits of probable violence of the next that may

recur. For example, the three shafts of marble columns of the Temple of

Serapis, at Pozzuoli, each of about 41-1/2 feet in height, and 4 feet 10

inches in diameter at the base, remain standing alone, since they were

uncovered, in the year 1750.

Now, as we can calculate exactly what velocity of earthquake-wave motion

would be required to overset these, we are certain that, during the last

one hundred and twenty-two years, the site of the Temple, and we may

say Naples and the Phlegræan fields generally, have never experienced a

shock as great as the very moderate one that would overset these

columns. A shock whose wave particle had a horizontal velocity of only

about 3-1/2 feet (British) per second would overturn these columns;

which is only about one-fourth the velocity (within the meizoseismic

area) of the great shock of 1857, that produced wide-spread destruction

in the Basilicatas, and not enough to throw down any reasonably

well-built house of moderate height.

Naples, so far as Earthquake is concerned, whether coming from the

throes of Vesuvius or elsewhere, has a pretty good chance of safety. She

may possibly (though not probably) be some day smothered in ashes; but

is in little danger of being shaken to the earth. During this time there

have been taking place, larger eruptions of Vesuvius and earthquake

shocks from other centres, together probably about the same number of

times as the numbers of those years, when those columns have been more

or less shaken.

We may therefore affirm that the probability (on the basis of this

experience _only_) is, say 120 to 1, that the next shock, whether

derived from Vesuvius, or elsewhere, that may shake Pozzuoli, will be

one less in power than would be needed to overturn the shafts of the

Temple of Serapis there.

* * * * *

Let us now turn to the second branch of our subject--viz.,

Vulcanology--upon which, as yet, we have secured less firm standing

ground than we have seen we possess in Seismology, for which reason we

took that first into consideration.

It is the part of Vulcanology to co-ordinate and explain all the

phenomena of past or present times visible on our globe which are

evidences of the existence and action, whether local or general, of

temperatures within our globe greatly in excess of those of the surface,

and which reach the fusing points of various mineral compounds as found

arriving, heated or fused, at the surface.

The stratigraphic geologist sees that such heated or fused masses have

come up from beneath, throughout every epoch that he can trace; but he

cannot fail to discern more or less a change in the order or character

of those outcomings, as he traces them from the lowest and oldest

formations to those of the present day. He sees immense outpourings of

granitoid or porphyrytic rocks that have welled up and overflowed the

oldest strata--huge dykes filling miles of fissures that had been

previously opened for the reception of the molten matter that has filled

them, and often passing through those masses of previously outpoured

rock; later he sees huge tables of basaltic rock poured forth over all.

One grand characteristic common to all these--commonly called plutonic

products--being that, whether they were poured forth over the surface or

injected into cavities in other rocks, the movements of the fused

material were, on the whole, hydrostatic and _not explosive_.

At the present day, whatever other evidences we have of high temperature

below our globe's surface, that which primarily fixes the eye of the

geologist is the Volcano, whose characteristic, as we see it in

activity, _is explosive_. But though there is this great characteristic

difference between the plutonic and the volcanic actions and their

products, the two, when looked at largely, are seen so to inosculate,

that it is impossible not to refer them to an agency common to both,

however changed the modes of its action have been between the earliest

epochs of which traces are presented to us and the present day.

To us little men, who, as Herschell has well said, in referring to the

methods of measuring the size of our globe, "can never see it all at

once, but must creep like mites about its surface," the Volcano, in the

stupendous grandeur of its effects, tends to fix itself in our minds in

exaggerated proportions to its true place in the cosmic machine; and, in

fact, nearly all who have sought to expound its nature and mode of

origination have occupied themselves far too exclusively with describing

and theorising upon the strange and varied phenomena which the volcanic

cone itself and its eruptions present, and too often, in the splendour

and variety of these, have very much lost sight of what ought to be the

centre-point of all such studies, namely, to arrive at some sound

knowledge of what is the _primum mobile_ of all these wonderful efforts.

Nor has the distinction been very clearly seen between the main

phenomena presented at and about volcanic active mouths, which can be

employed to elucidate the nature of the causation at work far below, and

those most varied and curious, and in other respects most pregnant and

instructive phenomena, mechanical and chemical, which are called into

action in and by the ejected matter of the volcanic cone after its

ejection. It can help us but little or very indirectly, in getting at a

true conception of the nature and source of the heat itself of the

Volcano, to examine, for example, all the curious circumstances that are

seen in the movements and changes in the lava that has already flowed

from its mouth; but it would be of great importance if we can ascertain,

by any form of observation around the cone, from what depth it has come,

or at what depth the igneous origin lies.

The physician, endeavouring to ascertain the real nature of small-pox or

measles, will scarcely make much progress who, however curiously or

minutely, confines his attention to the pustules that he sees upon the

skin.

Yet the Volcano, or rather all volcanic activity as now operative upon

our globe, is, as it were, an experiment of Nature's own perpetually

going on before us, the results of which, if well chosen--that is, as

Bacon says, by keeping to the main and neglecting the accidents--can,

when colligated and correctly reasoned upon, in relation to our planet

as a whole, give us the key to the enigma of terrestrial Vulcanicity in

its most general sense, and at every epoch of our world's geognostic

history, and show us its true place and use in the cosmical machine. Let

us glance at the history of past speculation on this subject, from which

so little real knowledge is to be derived, and then at the salient facts

of Vulcanology as now seen upon our earth, and finally see if we can

connect these with other great cosmical conditions, so as to arrive at

a consistent explanation in harmony with all.

We gain nothing absolutely from the knowledge of the so-called

"ancients" as to Volcanoes in Europe at least, where alone historic

records likely to refer to them exist. The Volcanoes of Europe are few

and widely scattered. The Greeks saw but little of them, and the Romans

were all and at all times most singularly unobservant of natural

phenomena.

Cæsar never mentions the existence in France of the Volcanoes of

Auvergne, so much like those he must have seen in Italy and Sicily; and

Roman writers pass in silence that great volcanic region, though

inhabited by them, and their language impressed upon the places, as

Volvic (_volcano-vicus_) seems with others to indicate; and though there

is some reason to believe that one or other of the Puys was in activity

within the first five hundred years of our epoch, the notices which

Humboldt and others have collected as from Plato, Pausanius, Pliny,

Ovid, etc., teach nothing.

Whatever of mere speculation there may have been, volcanic theory, or

what has passed for such, there was none before 1700, when Léméry

brought forward a trivial experiment, the acceptance of which, even for

a moment, as a sufficient cause for volcanic heat (and it retarded other

or truer views for years), we can now only wonder at. Breislak's origin,

in the burning of subterranean petroleum or like combustibles, was

scarcely less absurd than Léméry's sulphur and iron filings.

Davy, in the plenitude of his fame, and full of the intense chemical

activities of the metals of the alkalies which he had just isolated,

threw a new but transient verisimilitude upon the so-called chemical

theory of Volcanoes, by ascribing the source of heat to the oxidation of

those metals assumed to exist in vast, unproved and unindicated masses

in the interior of the earth. But Davy had too clear an intellect not to

see the baseless nature of his own hypothesis, which in his last work,

the "Consolations in Travel," he formally recanted; and it only survived

him in the long-continued though unconvincing advocacy of Dr. Daubeny.

So far, the origin of the heat had been sought always, in the crude

notion of some sort of _fuel consumed_, whether that were petroleum or

potassium and sodium; but as no fuel was to be found, nor any indicated

by the products, so far as known, of the volcanic heat, so what has been

called the mechanical theory, in a variety of shapes, took its place.

This, in whatever form, takes its lava and other heated products of the

volcano ready made from a universal ocean of liquid material, which it

supposes constitutes the interior or nucleus of our globe, and which is

only skinned over by a thin, solid crust of cooled and consolidated

rock, which was variably estimated at from fourteen to perhaps fifty

miles in thickness. Here was a boundless supply of more than heat, of

hot lava ready made, the existence of which at these moderate depths the

then state of knowledge of hypogeal temperature, which was supposed to

go on increasing with depth at the rate of about 1° Fahrenheit, for

every thirty or forty feet, seemed quite to sustain.

The difficulty remained, how was this fiery ocean brought to the

surface or far above it? To account for this two main notions prevailed,

and, indeed, have not ceased to prevail. Some unknown elastic gases or

vapour forced it up through fissures or rents pre-existent, or produced

by the tension of the elastic and liquid pressure below.

The form in which this view took most consistency, and approaching most

nearly to truth, finds the elastic vapour in steam generated from water

passed down through fissures from the sea or from the land surface. But

to this the difficulty was started, that fissures that could let down

water would pass up steam. The objection, when all the conditions are

adequately considered, has really no weight; and it has been completely

disposed of, since within a few years it has been proved that capillary

infiltration goes on in all porous rocks to enormous depths, and that

the capillary passages in such media, though giving free vent to

water--and the more as the water is warmer--are, when once filled with

liquid, proof against the return through them of gases or vapours. So

that the deeply seated walls of the ducts leading to the crater, if of

such material, may be red hot and yet continue to pass water from every

pore (like the walls of a well in chalk), which is flushed off into

steam that cannot return by the way the water came down, and must reach

the surface again, if at all, by the duct and crater, overcoming in its

way whatever obstructions they may be filled with.

And this remarkable property of capillarity sufficiently shows how the

lava--fused below or even at or above the level of infiltration--may

become interpenetrated throughout its mass by steam bubbles, as it

usually but not invariably is found to be.

Nor is it difficult to see such a mechanism between volcanic ducts and

fissures conveying down water, as large and open pipes, for a large part

of their depth, as shall bring down water to foci of volcanic heat,

without the power of the water flowing back except as steam and through

the crater.

Indeed, the facts known as to geysers, and those of half-drowned-out

Volcanoes such as Stromboli--whose action is intermittent just as much

as that of a geyser--show that this is not merely probable. There is,

therefore, no need for the hypothesis of those who have supposed all the

huge volumes of steam blown off from Volcanoes in eruption to come from

vesicular water pre-existent in the minute cavities of crystalline or

other rocks before their fusion into lava: a fact not proved for many

classes of rock, and for none in sufficient quantity to account for the

vast volume of steam required and for the irregularity of its issue.

It is rather to anticipate, but I may state at once that, so far as the

admission of superficial waters to the interior, and to any depth to

which fissures or dislocation can extend, I believe no valid physical or

mechanical difficulties exist, taking into account _all_ the conditions

that may come into play together.

Another set of views has been suggested and supported by various

writers, which proposes to account for the rise of lava on purely

hydrostatic principles. The solid crust, fractured into isolated

fragments by tensions due to its own contraction, is supposed to sink

into the sea of lava on which it floats; and much ingenuity has been

expended in imagining the mechanism by which, in places, the liquid

matter is supposed to rise _above_ the surface of the crust.

I have no space for discussing these views further than to assert that,

in the existing state of our globe, and even admitting a solid crust of

only 60,000 metres thick, dislocation of the crust by _tension_ is not

possible. The solid crust of our globe, as I hope we shall see further

on, is not in a state of tension, and has not been so since it was

extremely thin, a mere pellicle as compared with the liquid nucleus, but

is, on the contrary, in a state of _tangential compression_.

However tenable, in other respects, may be the volcanic theory which

rests upon the assumption of a very _thin_ crust and a universal ocean

of fused rock beneath, it fails wholly to explain many of the most

important circumstances observable as to the distribution and movements

of existing Volcanoes on our globe.

It affords no adequate explanation of the configuration of the lines of

Volcanoes, nor of their occurrence in the ocean bed, nor of their

existence in high latitudes, near the Poles, where, no matter how or at

what rate our globe cooled from liquidity, the crust must be thickest;

nor of the independence of eruptive action of closely adjacent volcanic

vents; nor of the non-periodicity, the sudden awakening-up to activity,

the as sudden exhaustion, the long repose, the gradual decay of action

at particular vents, and of much more that might be stated and

sustained as difficulties left by that theory unexplained, or that are

of a nature even opposed to it.

The researches of the last few years have, however, as it appears to me,

rendered any theory that demands as its postulates a _very thin crust_,

and a universal liquid nucleus beneath it, absolutely untenable.

Without attaching any importance to the arguments of Mr. Hopkins, based

upon precession and nutation, it appears to me, on various other

grounds, some of which have been urged by Sir William Thompson, that the

earth's solid crust is not a thin one, at least not thin enough to

render it conceivable that water can ever gain admission to a fluid

nucleus, if any such still exist, situated at so great a depth; and

without such access we can have no Volcano. It is not necessary to go to

the extent of a crust of 800 or 1,000 miles thick: with one of half the

minor thickness, I believe it may be proved, on various grounds,

hydraulic amongst others, that neither water could reach the nucleus,

nor the liquid matter of the nucleus reach the surface. Mr. Hopkins

having proved to his own satisfaction an enormous thickness for the

crust, and seeing clearly the difficulties that this involved to the

generally accepted volcanic theory, and having no other to substitute

for it, fell back upon that most vague and weak notion of the existence

of isolated lakes of liquid rock, existing at comparatively small depths

beneath the earth's surface within the solid and relatively cold crust,

each supplying its own Volcano, or more than one, with ready-made lava.

What is to produce these lakes of fused matter in the midst of similar

solidified matter? what is perpetually to maintain their fluidity in the

midst of solid matter continually cooling? what has given them their

local position? why near or less near the surface? what should have

arranged them in directions stretching in some cases nearly from Pole to

Pole?

Surely this creation of imaginary lakes, merely because it happens to

fit the vacant chink that seems needed to wedge up a falling theory, is

an instance of that abuse of hypothesis against which Newton so

vehemently declaims--"_Hypotheses non fingo._"

Hypothesis, to be a philosophic scaffolding to knowledge, must, as

Whewell has said, "be close to the facts, and not merely connected with

them by arbitrary and untried facts." Yet this appears accepted by Lyell

(10th edition, Vol. II., p. 227, and elsewhere); by Phillips

("Vesuvius," pp. 331, 332); by Scrope, if, as I hope, I mistake him not

("Volcanoes," pp. 265, 307-8); though none of these excellent

authorities seem either quite clear or quite satisfied with the notion;

and in the very passage referred to, Lyell _may_ have possibly a much

more philosophic notion in view, where he says: "It is only necessary,

in order to explain the action of Volcanoes, to _discover some cause

which is capable of bringing about such a concentration of heat as may

melt one after the other certain portions of the solid crust_, so as to

form seas, lakes or oceans of subterraneous lava." (Vol. II, pp. 226,

227). If by this is meant, that all that is needed to complete a true

theory of volcanic action is to discover _an adequate cosmical cause for

the heat_--that is to say, a prime mover to which all its phenomena may

be traced back, which shall be at once reconcilable with the conditions

of our planet as a cooling mass in space and with facts of Vulcanology

as they are now seen upon it--then I entirely agree with it.

It has been my own object to endeavour to discover and develope that

adequate cause in a Paper "On Volcanic Energy, an Attempt to develope

its True Nature and Cosmical Relations," read (in abstract) before the

Royal Society of London ("Proceedings, Royal Society," Vol. XX., May,

1872), and now (October, 1872) under consideration of Council with a

view to publication.

I propose concluding this review of the progress of Vulcanology (in

which I have had to limit myself to reviewing merely the chief stages of

advance towards knowledge of the nature and origin of volcanic heat

itself, and have had to pass without notice the vast and important mass

of facts and reasonings collected by so many labourers as to its visible

phenomena and products, and the still greater mass of speculation, good

and bad, on every branch of the subject), by giving a necessarily very

brief and imperfect sketch of my own views as in that Paper in part

developed. It will first be necessary to retrace our steps a little, in

order to gain such a point as shall afford us a fuller view of the whole

problem before us.

It is not necessary to dilate, even did space allow, upon the many

points which bind together Earthquakes and Volcanoes as belonging to the

play of like forces. These are generally admitted; and in various ways,

more or less obscure, geologists generally have supposed some relations

between these and the forces of elevation, which have raised up mountain

chains, etc.

No one, however, that I am aware of, prior to myself, in the Paper just

alluded to, has attempted to show, still less to prove upon an

experimental basis, that all the phenomena of elevation, of volcanic

action, and of Earthquakes, are explicable as parts of one simple

machinery--namely, the play of forces resulting from the secular cooling

of our globe. We have seen that, on the whole, both Earthquakes and

Volcanoes follow along the great lines of elevation of our surface. Any

true solution of the play of forces which has produced any one of those

three classes of phenomena must connect itself with them all, and be

adequate to account for all. And this would have earlier been seen, had

geologists generally framed for themselves any correct notions of the

mechanism of elevation itself, and seen its real relation with the

secular cooling of our planet. But the play of forces resulting from

this secular cooling has never, until very recently, been adequately or

truly stated. The arbitrary assumption and neglect of several essential

conditions by La Place, in his celebrated Paper "On the Cooling of the

Earth," in the fifth volume of the "Mécanique Céleste," and the

arbitrary and unsustainable hypothesis of Poisson upon the same subject,

have tended to retard the progress of physical Geology as to the nature

of elevation: the first, by leaving the geologist in doubt as to whether

our globe were cooling at all; the second, by suggesting distorted

notions as to the mode of its cooling and consolidation. On the other

hand, neither geologists nor mathematicians generally have framed for

themselves any clear notions of the mechanism of elevation. Had a true

conception been formed of the forces and interior movements brought

necessarily into operation by the secular cooling of the globe,

geologists could scarcely have failed to see that their notion as to the

way and direction in which the forces producing elevation have actually

acted could not, if arising from refrigeration, be those which they have

almost universally supposed, namely--some force acting vertically

upwards, _i.e._, radially from the centre of the sphere. Had geologists

only looked at Nature with open eye, they must have seen that mountain

ranges, and elevations generally (exclusive of volcanic cones),

presented circumstances absolutely incompatible with their having been

thrust up by any force _primarily_ acting in the direction of a radius

to the spheroid.

Yet this is the erroneous notion of the mechanism of elevation which to

the present hour prevails amongst geologists, so far as they in general

have framed to themselves any distinct idea of such mechanism at all.

Thus, only to cite two examples from recent authors of justly high

reputation. Lyell says of the probable subterranean sources, whether of

upward or downward movement, when permanently uplifting a country, and

in reference to the crumpling of strata on mountain flanks by lateral

pressure, it would be rash to assume these able to resist a power of

such stupendous energy, "_if its direction, instead of being vertical_,

happened to be oblique or horizontal." This is somewhat vague--and I

trust I do not mistake or misrepresent the illustrious author--yet it

is the most explicit expression I can find in the "Principles of

Geology" as to his notion of the primary direction of elevatory force

(Edit. 10, Vol. I., p. 133). That Mr. Scrope's idea is that only of

primary radial or vertical direction of such forces, is apparent on

inspecting his Diagram No. 64 ("Volcanoes," p. 285), and in the use of

the words, "an axial wedge of granite," which, on the next page, we find

is "liquefied granite;" and if we read on to page 294, and refer also to

pages 50 and 51, I believe there can be no doubt that _vertical_ or

_direct up-thrust_ is the author's notion of the primary direction of

all forces of elevation. The true nature of these forces was, however,

clearly seen and most justly stated by Constant Prevost ("Compt. Rend.,"

Tome XXXI., 1850, and "Bulletin de la Société Géolog. de France," Tome

II., 1840) as consisting, not in forces of some unknown origin acting

primarily in the vertical, but in _tangential pressures acting

horizontally, and resolved by mutual pressures at certain points into

vertical resultants_. These Prevost rightly attributed to the

contraction of the earth's solid crust. The same idea has been adopted

by Elie de Beaumont as the true mechanism of the elevation of mountain

ranges; and although De Beaumont's views as to the thinness he assigns

to the solid and contracting crust, and his strange deduction as to the

parallelism of contemporaneous mountain chains uplifted by its spasmodic

action along certain lines, may be untenable, his notion generally as to

the play of forces producing mountain elevation is much more nearly

correct.

Mr. Hopkins's notion is simply that of the geologists. Anyone who reads

his well-known papers on elevation and the formation of fissures, etc.,

must see that he views all elevatory forces as of liquids or

quasi-liquids forced up and acting primarily _vertically_ upon the

strata above them, and that these strata are not under tangential

compression, but under tension. Hence the mathematical deductions

contained in those papers as to the directions in which elevatory forces

act, and in which fissures are formed by them, are not in any way a

setting forth of such facts as occur in Nature, and, much attention as

they have attracted, can only now be viewed as exercises of mathematical

skill misapplied, because based upon data not to be found in Nature. In

fact, those papers do but misrepresent Nature, and, like many other

mathematical investigations based on untrue or insufficient data, have

tended to retard knowledge.

The views which I have put forward in the Paper I have referred to, read

to the Royal Society, recapitulated in skeleton, so to say, are as

follows. Omitting those portions which treat of our globe from the

period of the first liquefaction out of a nebulous condition, and of the

earliest stages of the cooling by radiation into space, when the crust

was extremely thin, and of the deformation of the spheroid as one of the

first effects of its contraction, and through that the general shaping

out of continents and ocean beds; I have endeavoured to show that the

rate of contraction of the crust, while very thin, exceeded that of the

large fluid nucleus supporting it, and so gave rise to _tangential

tensions_ in the crust, and fracturing it into segments; next, that as

the crust thickened, these _tensions_ were gradually converted into

_tangential pressures_, the contraction of the nucleus now beginning to

exceed (for equal losses of heat) that of the crust through which it

cooled. At this stage these tangential pressures gave rise to the

_chief_ elevations of mountain chains--not by liquid matter by any

process being injected from beneath vertically, but by such pressures,

mutually reacting along certain lines, being resolved into the vertical,

and forcing upwards more or less of the crust itself. The great outlines

of the mountain ranges and the greater elevation of the land were

designated and formed during the long periods that elapsed in which the

continually increasing thickness of crust remained such that it was

still, as a whole, flexible enough, or opposed sufficiently little

resistance to crushing, to admit of this uprise of mountain chains by

resolved tangential pressures. I have shown that the simple mechanism of

such tangential pressures is competent to account for all the complex

phenomena both of the elevations and of the _depressions_ that we now

see on the earth's surface (other than continents and ocean beds),

including the production of gaping fissures (in directions generally

orthogonal to those of tangential pressure). And as our earth is still a

cooling body, and the crust, however now thicker and more rigid, is

still incapable of sustaining the tangential pressures to which it is

now exposed, so I by no means infer that slow and small (relatively)

movements of elevation and depression may not be still and now going on

upon the earth's surface; in fact all the phenomena of elevation and

depression, rending, etc., which at a much remoter epoch acted upon a

much grander and more effective scale. So that, for aught my views say

to the contrary, all the mountain chains in the world may be possibly

increasing in stature year by year, or at times; but in any case at a

rate almost infinitesimally small in its totality over the whole earth

to that with which their ridges were originally upreared.

But the thickness of the earth's crust--thus constantly added to, by

accretion of solidifying matter from the still liquid or pasty nucleus,

as the whole mass has cooled--has now assumed such a thickness as to be

able to offer a too considerable resistance to the tangential pressures,

to admit of its giving way to any large extent by resolution upwards;

yet the cooling of the whole mass is going on, and contraction, though

unequal, both of thick crust and of hotter nucleus beneath also, whether

the latter be _now_ liquid or not. Were the contraction, lineal or

cubical, for equal decrements or losses of heat, or in equal

times--equal both in the material of the solidified crust and in that of

the hotter nucleus--there could be no such tangential pressures as are

here referred to, at any epoch of the earth's cooling. But in accordance

with the facts of experimental physics, we know that the co-efficient of

contraction for all bodies is greater as their actual temperature is

higher, and this both in their solid and liquid states.

Hence for equal decrements of heat, or by the cooling in equal times,

the hotter nucleus contracts more than does its envelope of solid

matter.

The result is now, as at all periods since the signs changed of the

tangential forces thus brought into play--_i.e._, since they became

tangential _pressures_--that the nucleus tends to shrink away as it

were from beneath the crust, and to leave the latter, unsupported or but

partially supported, as a spheroidal dome above it.

Now what happens? If the hollow spheroidal shell were strong enough to

sustain, as a spheric dome, the tangential thrust of its own weight and

the attraction of the nucleus, the shell would be left behind altogether

by the nucleus, and the latter might be conceived as an independent

globe revolving, centrally or excentrically, within a shell outside of

it. This, however, is not what happens.

The question then arises, Can the solid shell support the tangential

thrust to which it would be thus exposed? By the application to this

problem of an elegant theorem of Lagrange, I have proved that it cannot

possibly do so, no matter what may be its thickness nor what its

material, even were we to assume the latter not merely of the hardest

and most resistant rocks we know anything of, but even were it of

tempered cast-steel, the most resistant substance (unless possibly

iridio-osmium exceed it) that we know anything about. Lagrange has shown

that if P be the normal pressure upon any flexible plate curved in both

directions, the radii of these principal curvatures being r' and r'',

and T the tangential thrust at the point of application and due to the

force P, then:

The Eruption of Vesuvius in 1872 · 第 9 / 40 题