INTRODUCTION.

AS we very justly esteem it a fit Tribute of Admiration to adorn

natural Curiosities, by setting them as richly and as advantageously as

art can direct, so the following Observations of the Shepherd of

_Banbury_ have appeared to me worthy of being presented to the Eye of

the Public, with all the Lustre that it was in my Power to give them.

It is one thing to observe, and another to reason upon Observations,

and it very rarely happens that both can be taken into the Compass of

one Man's Life. We ought therefore to consider it as a very lucky

Incident, when the Observations of another Man, upon whom we can

depend, fall into our Hands, and enable us to add natural Experience to

the Notions derived to us from Books of Philosophy.

THERE is a Degree of Pedantry in Desarts as well as Colleges. Men who

derive their Knowledge entirely from Experience are apt to despise what

they call Book Learning, and Men of great Reading are as apt to fall

into a less excusable mistake, that of taking the Knowledge of Words

for the Knowledge of Things; whereas there are not any two points more

opposite in Nature, since we very rarely see, that either true Scholars

are talkative, or that talkative Men are true Scholars.

THE Shepherd, whose sole Business it is to observe what has a Reference

to the Flock under his Care, who spends all his Days and many of his

Nights in the open Air, and under the wide spread Canopy of Heaven, is

in a Manner obliged to take particular Notice of the Alterations of the

Weather, and when once he comes to take a Pleasure in making such

Observations, it is amazing how great a Progress he makes in them, and

to how great a Certainty at last he arrives by mere dint of comparing

Signs and Events, and correcting one Remark by another. Every thing in

Time becomes to him a Sort of Weather-Gage. The Sun, the Moon, the

Stars, the Clouds, the Winds, the Mists, the Trees, the Flowers, the

Herbs, and almost every Animal with which he is acquainted. All these I

say become to such a person Instruments of real Knowledge.

THERE are a Sort of half wise People, who from the Consideration of the

Distances of Things, are apt to treat such Prognostications, as they

phrase them, with much Contempt. They can see no Connexion between a

Cat's washing her Face, and the Sky's being overspread with Clouds, and

therefore they boldly pronounce that the one has no Relation to the

other. Yet the same People will readily own that the fluttering of the

Flame of a Candle is a certain token of Wind, which however is not

discernible by their Feeling; because it lies within the Compass of

their Understanding to discern that this Fluctuation of the Flame is

caused by the Wind acting upon it, and therefore they are inclined to

believe this, though it does not fall actually under the Cognizance of

their Senses. But a Man of a larger Compass of Knowledge, who is

acquainted with the Nature and Qualities of the Air, and knows what an

Effect any Alterations in the Weight, the Dryness, or the Humidity of

it has upon all animal Bodies, easily perceives the Reason why other

Animals are much sooner sensible of any Alterations that happen in that

Element than Men, and therefore to him the cawing of Ravens, the

chattering of Swallows, and a Cat's washing her Face are not

superstitious Signs, but natural tokens (like that of the Candle's

fluttering) of a Change of Weather, and as such they have been thought

worthy of Notice by _Aristotle_, _Virgil_, _Pliny_, and all the wisest

and gravest Writers of Antiquity.

BUT still a few slight and trivial Observations of this Kind, and such

as are in the Power of every Man to make, go but a very little Way in

furnishing us with a useful Knowledge of the Indications of the

Weather. To supply these, and to have constantly at Hand the Means of

judging of these Alterations, Men of great Genius have invented, and

wonderful Inventions they are! Instruments for measuring the Heat, the

Cold, the Weight, the Dryness, and the Humidity of the Air, with great

Exactness, and upon these they reason as to the changes of Weather with

great Accuracy and Certainty. It would undoubtedly be a great Folly to

pretend to question either the Truth of their Observations, or the

Usefulness of them: but then we may have leave to consider how far, and

to how great a Degree they are useful. The Thermometer measures exactly

the Degrees of Heat, but the Air must be hot to such or such a Degree

before it is discerned by this Instrument. The barometer indicates the

Weight of the Air, and the rising and falling of the Quicksilver

expresses the Alterations in its Weight with wonderful Nicety, but then

those Alterations are the Cause of this. In like manner the Hygrometer,

or Hygroscope, measures the Dryness or the Humidity of the Air very

plainly and very exactly, but the Weather must alter, must become dryer

or moister than it was, before these Alterations are visible; and

therefore, however ingenious, however curious, however useful these

Instruments may be in other Respects, they undoubtedly contribute very

little to the prognosticating a Change of Weather at a Distance; and it

is from the Experience of this, that they are so little esteemed, so

lightly regarded by the common People.

OUR Shepherd's Observations are of quite another Nature, most of them

give us a Day's Notice, many a Week's, and some extend to several

Months' Prognostication of the Changes of the Weather, and of how great

Use these may be to all Ranks and Degrees of People, to the sedentary

Valetudinarian, as well as the active Traveller, to the Sportsman who

pursues his Game, as well as to the industrious Husbandman who

constantly follows his Labour; in short, to every Man in every

Situation in some Degree or other, is so very clear and intelligible,

that it would, be a mere waste of Words, and a very idle display of

Rhetoric, to attempt the making it clearer. Every Man living would be

glad to foresee the Alterations of Weather if he could, and

consequently to most People, if not to all, these Observations,

grounded on no less than forty Years' Experience, cannot but be

acceptable.

TO make the best use of one's Talent, and to employ the Lights derived

from the Station in which Providence has placed one for the Benefit of

Mankind, is undoubtedly discharging one's Duty, answering the End of

our Creation, and corresponding with the OEconomy of Nature, which

does nothing in vain. This Proposition is equally true, let a Man's

Station be what it will. It is the Manner in which we perform, and not

the Character, that makes the Player, and in this Sense what Man is not

a Player? Here then is an Instance of one who has for many Years

studied his Part, and now communicates his Discoveries freely. In a

Physician, in a Philosopher, in a Mathematician, this would be highly

commendable, and why not in a Shepherd? We do not cast our own Parts in

the Drama of Life; no, this is performed by the great Author of Nature.

He who adjusted every Thing on Earth with such Beauty and Harmony, he

who taught the Heavenly Bodies to move; the same distributed their

several Offices to Men. May we not therefore suppose that every Man's

Part is well cast, and that our Abilities are exactly proportioned to

our Stations? If so, he who does all he can, does all that ought to be

expected from him, and merits from impartial Judges the most general

and just Applause. To be convinced of this, we need not only reflect on

the narrow and selfish Conduct of some, who either by Study or by

Chance, have acquired certain valuable Secrets, which with the utmost

Industry they conceal in order to be the more admired, or that they may

render them beneficial to themselves. How contrary the Conduct of our

Shepherd! His Pains were all his own, but the Fruit of them he thus

generously offers to the Public. Good Sense and the dictates of Nature

taught him this Maxim, _That what might benefit_ many, _should not be

concealed by_ one _from Views of_ Profit _or of_ Pride.

IN my Remarks upon the Shepherd's Rules, I have sometimes endeavoured

to support them by Authorities, which I must confess would have been of

little Use if the Author had been a Person of Learning; but when it is

considered that these Observations were purely the Effect of his own

Attention and Experience, it certainly strengthens them, and adds

greatly to their Credit that they have been esteemed evident Signs of

the same Effects, by the greatest Masters in this Kind of Science. The

Art of prognosticating the Weather may be considered as a Kind of

decyphering, and in that Art it is always allowed a point of great

Consequence, when several Masters therein agree as to the meaning of a

Character, and it is from thence very justly presumed that this

Character is rightly decyphered.

I have also endeavoured to explain most of his Observations, according

to the Rules of the new Philosophy, which, as it is grounded upon.

Experiments, so it generally speaking enables us to give a fair and

rational Account of almost all the Phænomena taken notice of by the

Shepherd of _Banbury_.

I likewise have added some other Rules in Relation to the Weather,

taken from the common sayings of our Country People, and from old

_English_ Books of Husbandry, but I have distinguished all these from

the Observations themselves, so that the Reader will have no Trouble to

discern the Text from the Commentary, or to know what belongs to the

Shepherd of _Banbury_, and what to the Editor of his Observations. This

I think may serve by the Way of Introduction, let us now proceed to the

Rules themselves.

The Shepherd of Banbury's Rules to Judge of the Changes of the Weather, Grounded on Forty Years' Experience · 第 8 / 42 题