BUCKLE AND HIS THEORY OF AVERAGES[28]

We welcomed kindly the first installment of Mr. Buckle's work,[29]

giving a cursory account of it, and hinting, rather than urging,

the objections which readily suggested themselves against theories

concerning Man, History, Civilization, and Human Progress. But now

it seems a proper time to discuss with a little more deliberation

the themes opened before us by this intrepid writer,--this latest

champion of that theory of the mind which in the last century was

called Materialism and Necessity, and which in the present has been

re-baptized as Positivism.

The doctrines of which Mr. Buckle is the ardent advocate seem to us,

the more thoroughly we consider them, to be essentially theoretical,

superficial, and narrow. They are destitute of any broad basis of

reality. In their application by Mr. Buckle, they fail to solve

the historic problems upon which he tries their power. With a show

of science, they are unscientific, being a mere collection of

unverified hypotheses. And if Mr. Buckle should succeed in introducing

his principles and methods into the study of history, it would

be equivalent to putting backward for about a century this whole

department of thought.

Yet, while we state this as our opinion, and one which we shall

presently endeavor to substantiate by ample proof, we do not deny to

Mr. Buckle's volumes the interest arising from vigorous and independent

thinking, faithful study of details, and a strong, believing purpose.

They are interesting and valuable contributions to our literature.

But this is not on account of their purpose, but in spite of it;

notwithstanding their doctrines, not because of them. The interest

of these books, as of all good history, derives itself from their

picturesque reproduction of life. Whatever of value belongs to Mr.

Buckle's work is the same as that of the writings of Macaulay, Motley,

and Carlyle. Whoever has the power of plunging like a diver into the

spirit of another period, sympathizing with its tone, imbuing himself

with its instincts, sharing its loves and hates, its faith and its

skepticism, will write its history so as to interest us. For whoever

will really show to us the breathing essence of any age, any state of

society, or any course of human events, cannot fail of exciting that

element of the soul which causes man everywhere to rejoice in meeting

with man. He who will write the history of Arabians, Kelts, or Chinese,

of the Middle Ages, the Norman Sea-kings, or the Roman Plebs, so

that we can see ourselves beneath these diverse surroundings of race,

country, and period, and see that these also are really MEN,--this

writer instantly awakens our interest, whether he call himself poet,

novelist, or historian. In all cases, the secret of success is to write

so as to enable the reader to identify himself with the characters

of another age. Great authors enable us to look at actions, not

from without, but from within. When we read the historic plays of

Shakespeare, or the historic novels of Scott, we are charmed by finding

that kings and queens are, after all, our poor human fellow-creatures,

sharing all our old, familiar struggles, pains, and joys. When we read

that great historic masterpiece, the "French Revolution" of Carlyle,

the magic touch of the artist introduces us into the heart of every

character in the motley, shifting scene. We are the poor king escaping

to Varennes under the dewy night and solemn stars. We are tumultuous

Mirabeau, with his demonic but generous soul. We are devoted Charlotte

Corday; we are the Gironde; we the poor prisoners of Terror, waiting in

our prison for the slow morning to bring the inevitable doom. This is

the one indispensable faculty for the historian; and this faculty Mr.

Buckle so far possesses as to make his page a living one. It is true

that his sympathy is intellectual rather than imaginative. It is not of

the high order of Shakespeare, nor even of that of Carlyle. But, so

far as it goes, it is a true faculty, and makes a true historian.

Yet we cannot but notice how the effectual working of this historic

organ is interfered with by the dogmatic purpose of Mr. Buckle; and,

on the other hand, how his theoretic aim is disturbed by the interest

of his narrative. His history is always meant to be an argument. His

narrations of events are never for their own sake, but always to

prove some thesis. There is, therefore, no consecutive narrative, no

progress of events, no sustained interest. These volumes are episodes,

put together we cannot well say how, or why. In the seventh chapter

of the first volume we have a graphic description of the Court life

in England in the days of Charles II., James II., William, and the

Georges, in connection with the condition of the Church and clergy.

From this we are taken, in the next chapter, to France, and to similar

relations between Henry IV., Louis XIII., Richelieu, and the French

Catholics and Protestants. We then are brought back to England, to

consider the protective system there; and once more we return to

France, to investigate its operation in that country. Afterward we have

an essay on "The State of Historical Literature in France from the

End of the Sixteenth to the End of the Eighteenth Century," followed

by another essay on the "Proximate Causes of the French Revolution."

Many very well finished biographic portraits are given us in these

chapters. There are excellent sketches of Burke, Voltaire, Richelieu,

Bossuet, Montesquieu, Rousseau, Bichat, in the first volume; and of

Adam Smith, Reid, Black, Leslie, Hutton, Cullen, Hunter, in the second.

These numerous biographic sketches, which are often accompanied with

good literary notices of the writings of these authors, are very ably

written; but it is curious to remember, while reading them, that Mr.

Buckle thinks that, as history advances, it has less and less to do

with biography.

There is an incurable defect in the method of this work. On the one

hand, the dogmatic purpose is constantly breaking into the interest

of the narration; on the other, the interest of the narration is

continually enticing the writer from his argument into endless episodes

and details of biography. The argument is deprived of its force by the

story; the story is interrupted continually on account of the argument.

Mr. Buckle has mistaken the philosophy of history for history itself.

A history of civilization is not a piece of metaphysical argument, but

a consecutive account of the social progress either of an age or of a

nation. This irreconcilable conflict of purpose, while it leaves to the

parts of the work their value, destroys its worth as a whole.

Mr. Buckle might probably inquire whether we would eliminate wholly

from history all philosophic aim, all teleologic purpose. He objects,

and very properly, to degrading history into mere annals, without any

instructive purpose. We agree with him. We do not admire the style

of history which feels neither passion nor sympathy, which narrates

crimes without indignation, and which has no aim in its narration

except to entertain a passing hour. But it is one thing deliberately

to announce a thesis and bring detached passages of history to prove

it, and another to write a history which, by its incidents, spirit,

and characters shall convey impulse and instruction. The historian

may dwell upon the events which illustrate his convictions, and may

develop the argument during the progress of his moving panorama; but

the history itself, as it moves, should impress the lesson. The history

of Mr. Motley, for example, illustrates and impresses the evils of

bigotry, superstition, and persecution on the life of nations, quite as

powerfully as does that of Mr. Buckle; but Mr. Motley never suspends

his narrative in order to prove to us logically that persecution is an

evil.

Mr. Buckle, in his style of writing, belongs to a modern class of

authors whom we may call the bullying school. It is true that he is far

less extravagant than some of them, and indeed is not deeply tinged

with their peculiar manner. The first great master of this class of

writers is Thomas Carlyle; but their peculiarity has been carried to

its greatest extent by Ruskin. Its characteristic feature is treating

with supreme contempt, as though they were hopeless imbeciles, all who

venture to question the _dicta_ of the writer. This superb arrogance

makes these writers rather popular with the English, who, as a nation,

like equally well to bully and to be bullied.

Buckle professes to have at last found the only true key to history,

and to have discovered some of its important laws, especially those

which regard the progress of civilization.

I. _His View of Freedom._--Mr. Buckle's fundamental position is, that

the actions of men are governed by fixed laws, and that, when these

laws are discovered, history will become a science, like geometry,

geology, or astronomy. The chief obstacle hitherto to its becoming a

science has been the belief that the actions of men were determined,

not by fixed laws, but by free will (which he considers equivalent

to chance), or by supernatural interference or providence (which he

regards as equivalent to fate). "We shall thus be led," he says (Vol.

I. p. 6, Am. ed.), "to one vast question, which, indeed, lies at the

root of the whole subject, and is simply this: Are the actions of men,

and therefore of societies, governed by fixed laws, or are they the

result either of chance or of supernatural interference?" Identifying

freedom with chance, Mr. Buckle denies that there is such a thing, and

maintains that every human action is determined by some antecedent,

inward or outward, and that not one is determined by the free choice

of the man himself. His principal argument against free will is the law

of averages, which we will therefore proceed to consider in its bearing

on this point.

Statistics, carefully collected during many years and within different

countries, show a regularity of return in certain vices and crimes,

which indicates the presence of law. Thus, about the same number of

murders are committed every year in certain countries and large cities,

and even the instruments by which they are committed are employed in

the same proportion. Suicide also follows some regular law. "In a

given state of society, a certain number of persons must put an end to

their own life." In London, about two hundred and forty persons kill

themselves every year,--in years of panic and disaster a few more, in

prosperous years not quite so many. Other actions of men are determined

in the same way,--not by personal volition, but by some controlling

circumstance. "It is now known that the number of marriages in England

bears a fixed and definite relation to the price of corn." "Aberrations

of memory are marked by this general character of necessary and

invariable order." The same average number of persons forget every

year to direct the letters dropped into the post-offices of London and

Paris. Facts of this kind "force us to the conclusion," says Buckle,

"that the offenses of men are the result, not so much of the vices of

the individual offender, as of the state of society into which he is

thrown."

The argument then is: If man's moral actions are under law, they are

not free, for freedom is the absence of law. The argument of Mr. Buckle

is conclusive, provided freedom does necessarily imply the absence of

law. But such, we think, is not the fact.

The actions of man do not proceed solely from the impact of external

circumstances; for then he would be no better than a ball struck with a

bat. Nor do they proceed solely from the impulses of his animal nature;

for then he would be only a superior kind of machine, moved by springs

and wheels. But in addition to external and internal impulse there is

also in man the power of personal effort, activity, will,--to which we

give the name of Free Choice, or Freedom. This modifies and determines

a part of his actions,--while a second part come from the influence

of circumstance, and a third from organic instincts and habitual

tendencies.

Now, it is quite certain that no man has freedom of will enough to

cause _his whole_ nexus of activity to proceed from it. For if a man

could cause _all_ his actions to proceed by a mere choice or effort,

he could turn himself at will into another man. In other words, there

could be no such thing as permanent moral character. No one could be

described; for while we were describing him, he might choose to be

different, and so would become somebody else. It is evident, therefore,

that some part of every man's life must lie outside of the domain of

freedom.

In what, then, does the essence of freedom consist? If it be not the

freedom to do whatever we choose, what is it? Plainly, if we analyze

our own experience, we shall find that it is simply what its scholastic

name implies, freedom of choice, or _liber arbitrio_. It is not, in the

last analysis, freedom to act, but it is freedom to choose.

But freedom to choose what? Can we choose anything? Certainly not. Our

freedom of choice is limited by our knowledge. We cannot choose that

which we do not know. We must choose something within the range of our

experience. And our freedom of choice consists in the alternative of

making this choice or omitting to make it,--exerting ourselves or not

exerting ourselves. Consciousness testifies universally to this extent

of freedom. We know by our consciousness that we can exert ourselves or

not exert ourselves at any moment,--exert ourselves to act or not exert

ourselves to act, to speak or not to speak. This power of making or not

making an effort is freedom in its simplest and lowest form.

In this lowest form, it is apparent that human freedom is inadequate to

give any permanent character to human actions. They will be directed by

the laws of organization and circumstance. Freedom in this sense may

be compared to the power which a man has of rowing a boat in the midst

of a fog. He may exert himself to row, he may row at any moment forward

or backward, to the right or to the left. He has this freedom,--but it

does not enable him to go in any special direction. Not being able to

direct his boat to any fixed aim, it is certain that it will be drifted

by the currents or blown by the winds. Freedom in this form is only

willfulness, because devoid of an inward law.

But let the will direct itself by a fixed law, and it at once becomes

true freedom, and begins to impress itself upon actions, modifying the

results of organization and circumstance. Not even in this case can

it destroy those results; it only modifies them. It enters as a third

factor with those other two to produce the product. The total character

of a man's actions will be represented by a formula, thus: John's

Organization × John's Circumstances × John's Freedom = John's Character.

Apply this to the state of society where the law of averages has been

discovered. In such a society there are always to be found three

classes of persons. In the first class, freedom is either dormant or

is mere willfulness. The law of mind is subject therefore in these to

the law of the members. The will is an enslaved will, and its influence

on action is a nullity, not needing to be taken into the account. From

this class come the largest proportion of the crimes and vices, regular

in number because resulting from constant conditions of society. Of

these persons we can predict with certainty that, under certain strong

temptations to evil, they will inevitably yield.

But in another class of persons the will has learned to direct itself

by a moral law toward a fixed aim. The man in the boat is now steering

by a compass, and ceases to be the sport of current and gale. The will

reacts upon organization, and directs circumstance. The man has learned

how to master his own nature, and how to arrange external conditions.

We can predict with certainty that under no possible influences will

this class yield to some forms of evil.

There is also in each community a third class, who are struggling, but

not emancipated. They are partly free, but not wholly so. From this

class come the slight variations of the average, now a little better,

now a little worse.

Applying this view of the freedom of the will to history, we see that

the problem is far more complicated than Mr. Buckle admits. Man's

freedom, with him, is an element not to be taken into consideration,

because it does not exist. But the truth is, that human freedom is

not only a factor, but a variable factor, the value of which changes

with every variety of human condition. In the savage condition it

obeys organization and circumstances, and has little effect on social

condition. But as civilization advances, the power of freedom to

react on organization and circumstance increases, varying however

again, according to the force and inspiration of the ideas by which it

is guided. And of all these ideas, precisely those which Mr. Buckle

underrates, namely, moral and religious ideas, are those which most

completely emancipate the will from circumstances, and vitalize it with

an all-conquering force.

To see this, take two extreme cases,--that of an African Hottentot, and

that of Joan of Arc. Free will in the African is powerless; he remains

the helpless child of his situation. But the Maid of Arc, though

utterly destitute of Mr. Buckle's "Intellectual Truths" (being unable

to read or write, and having received no instruction save religious

ideas), and wanting in the "Skepticism" which he thinks so essential to

all historic progress, yet develops a power of will which reacts upon

circumstances so as to turn into another channel the current of French

history. All bonds of situation and circumstance are swept asunder

by the power of a will set free by mighty religious convictions.

The element of freedom, therefore, is one not to be neglected by an

historian, except to his own loss.

The law of averages applies only to undeveloped men, or to the

undeveloped sides of human nature, where the element of freedom has not

come in play. When the human race shall have made such progress that it

shall contain a city inhabited by a million persons all equal to the

Apostle Paul and the Apostle John in spiritual development, it will

not be found that a certain regular number kill their wives every year,

or that from two hundred and thirteen to two hundred and forty annually

commit suicide. Nor will this escape from the averages be owing to an

increased acquaintance with physical laws so much as to a higher moral

development. We shall return to this point, however, when we examine

more fully Buckle's doctrine in regard to the small influence of

religion on civilization.

II. _Mr. Buckle's View of Organization._--Mr. Buckle sets aside

entirely the whole great fact of organization, upon which the science

of ethnology is based. Perhaps the narrowness of his mind shows more

conspicuously in this than elsewhere. He attributes no influence to

race in civilization. While so many eminent writers at the present

day say, with Mr. Knox, that "Race is everything," Mr. Buckle quietly

rejoins that Race is nothing. "Original distinctions of race," he

says, "are altogether hypothetical." "We have no decisive ground for

saying that the moral and intellectual faculties in man are likely to

be greater in an infant born in the most civilized part of Europe,

than in one born in the wildest region of a barbarous country." (Vol.

I. p. 127, Am. ed.) "We often hear of hereditary talents, hereditary

vices, and hereditary virtues; but whoever will critically examine

the evidence will find that we have no proof of their existence." He

doubts the existence of hereditary insanity, or a hereditary tendency

to suicide, or even to disease. (Vol. I. p. 128, note.) He does not

believe in any progress of natural capacity in man, but only of

opportunity, "that is, an improvement in the circumstances under which

that capacity after birth comes into play." "Here then is the gist of

the whole matter. The progress is one, not of internal power, but of

external advantage." He goes on to say, in so many words, that the only

difference between a barbarian child and a civilized child is in the

pressure of surrounding circumstances. In support of these opinions he

quotes Locke and Turgot.

It is difficult to understand how an intelligent and well-informed man,

an immense reader and active thinker, can have lived in the midst of

the nineteenth century and retain these views. For students at every

extreme of thought have equally recognized the force of organization,

the constancy of race, the permanent varieties existing in the human

family, the steady ruling of the laws of descent. If there is any one

part of the science of anthropology in which the nineteenth century has

reversed the judgment of the eighteenth,--and that equally among men of

science, poets, materialists, idealists, anatomists, philologists,--it

is just here. To find so intelligent a man reproducing the last century

in the midst of the present is a little extraordinary.

Perhaps there could not be found four great thinkers more different in

their tendencies of thought and range of study than Goethe, Spurzheim,

Dr. Prichard, and Max Müller; yet these four, each by his own method of

observation, have shown with conclusive force the law of variety and

of permanence in organization. Goethe asserts that every individual

man carries from his birth to his grave an unalterable speciality of

being,--that he is, down to the smallest fibre of his character, one

and the same man; and that the whole mighty power of circumstance,

modifying everything, cannot abolish anything,--that organization and

circumstance hold on together with an equally permanent influence in

every human life. Gall and Spurzheim teach that every fibre of the

brain has its original quality and force, and that such qualities

and forces are transmitted by obscure but certain laws of descent.

Prichard, with immense learning, describes race after race, giving

the types of each human family in its physiology. And, finally, the

great science of comparative philology, worked out by such thinkers

and students as Bopp, Latham, Humboldt, Bunsen, Max Müller, and a

host of others, has proved the permanence of human varieties by ample

glossological evidence. Thus the modern science of ethnology has

arisen, on the basis of physiology, philology, and ethology, and is

perhaps the chief discovery of the age. Yet Mr. Buckle quietly ignores

the whole of it, and continues, with Locke, to regard every human mind

as a piece of white paper, to be written on by external events,--a

piece of soft putty, to be moulded by circumstances.

The facts on which the science of ethnology rests are so numerous and

so striking, that the only difficulty in selecting an illustration

is from the quantity and richness of material. But we may take two

instances,--that of the Teutons and Kelts, to show the permanence

of differences under the same circumstances, and that of the Jews,

the Arabs, and the Gypsies, to show the continuity of identity under

different circumstances. For if it can be made evident that different

races of men preserve different characters, though living for long

periods under similar circumstances, and that the same race preserves

the same character, though living for long periods under different

circumstances, the proof is conclusive that character is _not_ derived

from circumstances only. We shall not indeed go to the extreme of

such ethnologists as Knox, Nott, or Gliddon, and say that "Race is

everything, and circumstances nothing," but we shall see that Mr.

Buckle is mistaken in saying that "Circumstances are everything, and

race nothing."

The differences of character between the German and Keltic varieties

of the human race are marked, but not extreme. They both belong to

the same great Indo-European or Aryan family. They both originated

in Asia, and the German emigration seems to have followed immediately

after that of the Kelts. Yet when described by Cæsar, Tacitus, and

Strabo, they differed from each other exactly as they differ now. They

have lived for some two thousand years in the same climate, under

similar political and social institutions, and yet they have preserved

their original diversity.

According to the description of Cæsar[30] and Tacitus[31] the German

tribes differed essentially from the Gauls or Kelts in the following

particulars. The Germans loved freedom, and were all free. The Kelts

did not care for freedom. The meanest German was free. But all the

inferior people among the Kelts were virtually slaves. The Germans had

no priests, and did not care for sacrifices. The Kelts had a powerful

priesthood and imposing religious rites. The Germans were remarkable

for their blue eyes, light hair, and large limbs. The Kelts were

dark-complexioned. The Gauls were more quick, but less persevering,

than the Germans. Ready to attack, they were soon discouraged.

Tacitus, describing the Germans, says: "They are a pure, unmixed, and

independent race; there is a family likeness through the nation, the

same form and features, stern blue eyes, ruddy hair; a strong sense

of honor; reverence for women; religious, but without a ritual;

superstitiously believing in supernatural signs and portents, but

not in a priesthood; not living in cities, but in scattered homes;

respecting marriage; the children brought up in the dirt, among the

cattle; hospitable, frank, and generous; fond of drinking beer, and

eating preparations of milk."

The German and Keltic races, thus distinguished in the days of Cæsar,

are equally distinct to-day. Catholicism, the religion of a priesthood,

a ritual, and authority, prevails among the Kelts; Protestantism among

the Germans. Ireland, being mainly Keltic, is Catholic, though a part

of a Protestant nation. France, being mainly Keltic, is also Catholic,

in spite of all its illumination, its science, and its knowledge of

"intellectual laws." But as France contains a large infusion of German

(Frankish) blood, it is the most Protestant of Catholic nations; while

Scotland, containing the largest infusion of Keltic blood, is the

most priest-ridden of Protestant nations. This last fact, which Mr.

Buckle asserts, and spends half a volume in trying to account for,

is explained at once by ethnology. Wherever the Germans go to-day,

they remain the same people they were in the days of Tacitus; they

carry the same blue eyes and light hair, the same love of freedom and

hatred of slavery, the same tendencies to individualism in thought

and life, the same tendency to superstitious belief in supernatural

events, even when without belief in any religion or church; and even

the same love for beer, and "lac concretum," now called "schmeercase"

in our Western settlements. The Kelt, also, everywhere continues the

same. He loves equality more than freedom. He is a democrat, but not

an abolitionist. Very social, clannish, with more wit than logic, very

sensitive to praise, brave, but not determined, needing a leader, he

carries the spirit of the Catholic Church into Protestantism, and the

spirit of despotism into free institutions. And that physical, no less

than mental qualities, continue under all climates and institutions is

illustrated by the blue eyes and light hair which the traveller meets

among the Genoese and Florentines, reminding him of their Lombard

ancestors; while their superior tendencies to freedom in church and

state suggest the same origin.

Nineteen hundred years have passed since Julius Cæsar pointed out

these diversities of character then existing between the Germans and

Kelts. Since then they have passed from barbarism to civilization.

Instead of living in forests, as hunters and herdsmen, they have built

cities, engaged in commerce, manufactures, and agriculture. They have

been converted to Christianity, have conquered the Roman empire,

engaged in crusades, fought in a hundred different wars, developed

literatures, arts, and sciences, changed and changed again their forms

of government, have been organized by Feudalism, by Despotism, by

Democracy, have gone through the Protestant reformation, have emigrated

to all countries and climates; and yet, at the end of this long period,

the German everywhere remains a German, and the Kelt a Kelt. The

descriptions of Tacitus and Cæsar still describe them accurately. And

yet Mr. Buckle undertakes to write a history of civilization without

taking the element of race into account.

Perhaps, however, the power of this element of race is illustrated

still more strikingly in the case of the wandering and dispersed

families, who, having ceased to be a nation, continue in their

dispersions to manifest the permanent type of their original and

ineffaceable organization. Wherever the Jew goes, he remains a Jew.

In all climates, under all governments, speaking all languages, his

physical and mental features continue the same. This amazing fact

has been held by many theologians to be a standing miracle of Divine

Providence. But Providence works by law, and through second causes, and

uses in this instance the laws of a specially stubborn organization

and the force of a tenacious and persistent blood to accomplish its

ends. The same kind of blood in the kindred Semitic family of Arabs

produces a like result, though to a less striking degree. The Bedouins

wander for thousands of miles away from their peninsula, but always

continue Arabs in appearance and character. The light, sinewy body and

brilliant dark eye, the abstemious habit and roaming tendency, mark the

Arab in Hindostan or Barbary. It is a thousand years since these nomad

tribes left their native home, but they continue the same people on the

Persian Gulf or amid the deserts of Sahara.

The case of the Gypsies, however, may be still more striking, because

these seem, in their wanderings over the earth, to have gradually

divested themselves of every other common attribute except that of

race. Unlike the Jews and Arabs, they not only adopt the language, but

also the religion, of the country where they happen to be. Yet they

always remain unfused and unassimilated.

The Gypsies first appeared in Europe in 1417, in Moldavia, and thence

spread into Transylvania and Hungary.[32] They afterward passed into

all the countries of Europe, where their number, at the present time,

is supposed to reach 700,000 or 800,000. Everywhere they adopt the

common form of worship, but are without any real faith. Partially

civilized in some countries, they always retain their own language

beside that of the people among whom they live. This language, being

evidently derived from the Sanskrit, settles the question of their

origin. It is common to all their branches through the world; as

are also the sweet voice of their maidens, and their habits of

horse-dealing, fortune-telling, and petty larceny. Without the bond

of religion, history, government, literature, or mutual knowledge and

intercourse, they still remain one and the same people in all their

dispersions. What gives this unity and permanence, if not race? Yet

race, to Mr. Buckle, means nothing.

III. _Mr. Buckle's Theory concerning Skepticism._--One of the laws of

history which Mr. Buckle considers himself to have established, if not

discovered, is that a spirit of skepticism precedes necessarily the

progress of knowledge, and therefore of civilization. By skepticism he

means a doubt of the truth of received opinions. He asserts that "a

spirit of doubt" is the necessary antecedent to "the love of inquiry."

(Vol. I. p. 242, Am. ed.) "Doubt must intervene before investigation

can begin. Here, then, we have the act of doubting as the originator,

or at all events the necessary antecedent, of all progress."

If this were so, progress would be impossible. For the great groundwork

of knowledge for each generation must be laid in the minds of children;

and children learn, not by doubting, but by believing. Children

are actuated at the same time by an insatiable curiosity and an

unquestioning faith. They ask the reason of everything, and they accept

every reason which is given them. If they stopped to question and to

doubt, they would learn very little. But by not doubting at all, while

they are made to believe some errors, they acquire an immense amount of

information. Kind Mother Nature understands the process of learning and

the principle of progress much better than Mr. Buckle, and fortunately

supplies every new generation of children with an ardent desire for

knowledge, and a disposition to believe everything they hear.

Perhaps, however, Mr. Buckle refers to men rather than children. He

may not insist on children's stopping to question everything they hear

before they believe. But in men perhaps this spirit is essential to

progress. What great skeptics, then, have been also great discoverers?

Which was the greatest discoverer, Leibnitz or Bayle, Sir Isaac Newton

or Voltaire? A faith amounting nearly to credulity is almost essential

to discovery,--a faith which foresees what it cannot prove, which

follows suggestions and hints, and so traces the faintest impressions

left by the flying footsteps of truth. The attitude of the intellect in

all discovery is not that of doubt, but of faith. The discoverer always

appears to critical and skeptical men as a visionary.

"To skepticism," says Mr. Buckle, "we owe the spirit of inquiry,

which, during the last two centuries, has gradually encroached on

every possible subject, and reformed every department of practical

and speculative knowledge." But this is plainly what logicians call

a ὕστερον πρότερον {hysteron proteron}, or what common people call

"putting the cart before the horse." It is not skepticism which

produces the spirit of inquiry, but the spirit of inquiry which

produces skepticism. It was not a doubt concerning the Mosaic cosmogony

which led to the study of geology; the study of geology led to the

doubt of the cosmogony. Skepticism concerning the authority of the

Church did not lead to the discovery of the Copernican system; the

discovery of the Copernican system led to doubts concerning the

authority of the Church which denied it. People do not begin by

doubting, but by seeking. The love of knowledge leads them to inquire,

and inquiry shows to them new truths. The new truths, being found to be

opposed to received opinions, cause a doubt concerning those opinions

to arise in the mind. Skepticism, therefore, may easily follow, but

does not precede inquiry.

Skepticism, being a negative principle, is necessarily unproductive

and barren. To have no strong belief, no fixed opinion, no vital

conviction for or against anything,--this is surely not a state of

intellect favorable to any great creation or discovery. Goethe, who was

certainly no bigot, says, in a volume of his posthumous works, that

skepticism is only an inverted superstition, and that this skepticism

is one of the chief evils of the present age. "It is worse," he adds,

"than superstition, for superstition is the inheritance of energetic,

heroic, progressive natures; skepticism belongs to weak, contracted,

shrinking men, who venture not out of themselves." Lord Bacon says

("Advancement of Learning," Book II.) that doubts have their advantages

in learning, of which he mentions two, but says that "both these

commodities do scarcely countervail an inconvenience which will intrude

itself, if it be not debarred; which is, that when a doubt is once

received, men labor rather how to keep it a doubt than how to solve

it." It will be seen, therefore, that Lord Bacon gives to skepticism

scarcely more encouragement than is given it by Goethe.

Mr. Buckle says (Vol. I. p. 250) that "Skepticism, which in physics

must always be the beginning of science, in religion must always be

the beginning of toleration." We have seen that in physics skepticism

is rather the end of science than its beginning, and the same is true

of toleration. Skepticism does not necessarily produce toleration. The

Roman augurs, who laughed in each other's faces, were quite ready to

assist at the spectacle of Christians thrown to the lions. Skeptics,

not having any inward conviction as a support, rest on established

opinions, and are angry at seeing them disturbed. A strong belief is

sufficient for itself, but a half-belief wishes to put down all doubts

by force. This is well expressed by Thomas Burnet (Epistola 2, De Arch.

Phil.): "Non potui non in illam semper propendere opinionem, Neminem

irasci in veritate defendenda, qui eandem plene possidet, viditque

in claro lumine. Evidens enim, et indubitata ratio, sibi sufficit

et acquiescit: aliisque a scopo oberrantibus, non tam succenset,

quam miseretur. Sed cum argumentorum adversantium aculeos sentimus,

et quodammodo periclitari causam nostram, tum demum æstuamus, et

effervescimus."

The least firm believers have often been the most violent persecutors.

Nero persecuted the Christians; Marcus Antoninus persecuted them;

but neither Nero nor Antoninus had any religious reason for this

persecution. Antoninus, the best head of his time, was a sufficient

skeptic to suit Mr. Buckle, as regards all points of the established

religion, but his skepticism did not prevent him from being a

persecutor. Unbelieving Popes, like Alexander VI. and Leo X., have

persecuted. True toleration is not born of unbelief, as Mr. Buckle

supposes, but of a deeper faith. Religious liberty has not been given

to the world by skeptics, but by such men as Milton, Baxter, Jeremy

Taylor, and Roger Williams.

So far from general skepticism being the antecedent condition of

intellectual progress and discovery, it is a sign of approaching

intellectual stagnation and decay. A great religious movement usually

precedes and prepares the way for a great mental development. Thus the

religious activity born of Protestantism showed its results in England

in the age of Elizabeth, and in a general outbreak of intellectual

activity over all Europe. On the other hand, the skepticism of the

eighteenth century was accompanied by comparative stagnation of thought

throughout Christendom.

IV. _Mr. Buckle's View of the small Influence of Religion on

Civilization._--Mr. Buckle thinks it is erroneous to suppose that

religion is one of the prime movers of human affairs. (Vol. I. p. 183.)

Religion, according to him, has little to do with human progress.

In this opinion, he differs from nearly all other great historians

and philosophical thinkers. In modern times, Hegel, Niebuhr, Guizot,

Arnold, and Macaulay, among others, have discussed the part taken by

religious ideas in the development of man, laying the greatest stress

on this element. But Mr. Buckle denies that religion is one of the

prime movers in human affairs. The Crusades have been thought to have

exercised some influence on European civilization. But religion was

certainly the prime mover of the Crusades. Mohammedanism exercised

some influence on the development of European life. But Mohammedanism

was an embodiment of religious ideas. The Protestant Reformation

shook every institution, every nation, every part of social life, in

Christendom, and Europe rocked to its foundations under the influence

of this great movement. But religion was the prime mover of it all.

The English Revolution turned on religious ideas. The rise of the

Dutch Republic was determined by them. In one form they colonized South

America and Mexico; in another form, they planted New England. Such

great constructive minds as those of Alfred and Charlemagne have been

benevolently inspired by rational religion; such dark, destructive

natures as those of Philip II. of Spain, Catharine de Medicis of

France, and Mary Tudor of England have been malevolently inspired by

fanatical religion.

On what grounds, then, does Mr. Buckle dispute the influence of

religion? On two grounds mainly. First, he tells us that moral ideas

are not susceptible of progress, and therefore cannot have exercised

any perceptible influence on the progress of civilization. For that

which does not change, he argues, cannot influence that which changes.

That which has been known for thousands of years cannot be the cause

of an event which took place for the first time only yesterday. "Since

civilization is the product of moral and intellectual agencies,"

says Mr. Buckle, "and since that product is constantly changing, it

cannot be regulated by the stationary agent; because when surrounding

circumstances are unchanged, a stationary agent can produce only a

stationary effect." On this principle, gravitation could not be the

cause of the appearance of Donati's comet in the neighborhood of the

sun. For gravitation is a stationary and uniform agent; it cannot

therefore produce an accelerated motion. Mr. Buckle will answer, that

though the law of gravitation is one and the same in all ages, and

uniform in its action, the result of its action may be different at

different times, according to the position in the universe of the

object acted upon. True; and in like manner we may say, that, though

religious ideas are immutable, the result of their action on the

human mind may be different, according to the position of that mind

in relation to them. The doctrine of one God, the Maker and Lord of

all things, was not a new one, or one newly discovered in the seventh

century. Yet when applied by Mohammed to the Arabian mind, it was like

a spark coming in contact with gunpowder. Those wandering sons of the

desert, unknown before in the affairs of the world, and a negative

quantity in human history, sprang up a terrible power, capable of

overrunning and conquering half the earth. Religion awakened them;

religion organized them; religion directed them. The fact that an idea

is an old one is no proof, therefore, that it may not suddenly begin to

act with awful efficiency on civilization and the destiny of man.

The other reason given by Mr. Buckle why religious ideas have little

influence in history is, that the religion of a nation is symptomatic

of its mental and moral state. Men take the religious ideas which

suit them. A religion not suited to a people cannot be accepted by

it; or, if accepted, has no influence on it. This thought, argued at

considerable length by Mr. Buckle, is so perfectly true as to be a

truism. The religion of a people is no doubt an effect. But may it

not also be a cause? It, no doubt, cannot be received by a people

not prepared for it. But does it therefore exercise no influence on

a people which it finds prepared? Fire cannot explode an unexplosive

material, nor inflame one not inflammable. But does it follow that it

effects nothing when brought into contact with one which is inflammable

or explosive? A burning coal laid on a rock or put into the water

produces no effect. But does this prove that the explosion of gunpowder

is in no manner due to the contact of fire?

"The religion of mankind," says Mr. Buckle, "is the effect of their

improvement, and not the cause of it." His proof is that missions and

missionaries among the heathen produce only a superficial change among

barbarous and unenlightened tribes. Knowledge, he says, must prepare

the way for it. There must, no doubt, be some kind of preparation for

Christianity. But does it follow that Christianity, when its way is

prepared, is _only_ an effect? Why may it not be also a cause? Judaism

prepared the way for Christianity. But did not Christianity produce

some effect on Judaism? The Arab mind was prepared for Mohammedanism.

But did not Mohammedanism produce some effect on the Arab mind? Europe

was prepared by various influences for Protestantism. But did not

Protestantism produce some effects on Europe?

It might, with equal truth, and perhaps with greater truth, be asserted

that intellectual ideas are the result of previous training, and that

they are therefore an effect, and by no means a cause. The intellectual

truths accepted by any period depend certainly on the advanced

condition of human culture. You cannot teach logarithms to Hottentots,

trigonometry to Digger Indians, or the differential calculus to the

Feejee Islanders. Hence, according to our author's logic, those very

intellectual ideas which he thinks the only great movers in human

affairs are really no movers at all, but only symptoms of the actual

intellectual condition of a nation.

But it is a curious fact, that, while Mr. Buckle considers religious

ideas of so little importance in the history of civilization, he

nevertheless devotes a large part of both his volumes to proving

the great evil done to civilization by erroneous forms of religious

opinion. Nearly the whole of his second volume is in fact given to

showing the harm done in Spain and Scotland by false systems of

religious thought. Why spend page after page in showing the evil

influence of false religion on society, if religion, whether true or

false, has scarcely any influence at all? Why search through all

the records of religious fanaticism and superstition, to bring up to

the day the ghosts of dead beliefs, if these beliefs are, after all,

powerless either for good or evil?

* * * * *

The second volume, the recent publication of which has suggested this

second review of Mr. Buckle's work, contains much of interest and

value, but suffers from the imperfect method of which we complained at

the beginning of this article. It is chiefly devoted to a description

of the evils resulting from priestcraft in the two countries of Spain

and Scotland. It contains six chapters. The first is on the History of

the Spanish Intellect from the fifth to the middle of the nineteenth

century. The other five chapters relate to Scotland.

In the chapter on Spain Buckle attempts to show how loyalty and

superstition began in this nation, and what has been the result. Of

course, according to his theory, he is obliged to trace their origin to

external circumstances, and he finds the cause of the superstition in

the climate, which produced drought and famine, and in the earthquakes

which alarmed the people. And here Mr. Buckle, following the philosophy

of Lucretius, confounds religion and fear, and puts the occasion for

the cause. But, beside earthquakes, the Arian heresy helped to create

this superstition, by identifying the wars for national independence

with those for religion, and so giving a great ascendency to the

priests. Hence the Church in Spain early acquired great power, and,

naturally allying itself with the government, gave rise to the

sentiment of loyalty, which was increased by the Moorish invasion and

the long wars which followed. Loyalty and superstition thus became so

deeply rooted in the Spanish mind, that they could not be eradicated

by the efforts of the government. Nothing but knowledge can cure this

blind and servile loyalty and this abject superstition, and while Spain

continues sunk in ignorance it must always remain superstitious and

submissive.

Some difficulties, however, suggest themselves in the way of this very

simple explanation. If superstitious loyalty to Church and king comes

from earthquakes, why are not the earthquake regions of the West Indies

and of South America more loyal, instead of being in a state of chronic

revolution? And how came Scotland to be so diseased with loyalty and

superstition, when she is so free from earthquakes? And if knowledge is

such a certain cure for superstition, why was not Spain cured by the

flood of light which she, alone of all European countries, enjoyed in

the Middle Ages? Spain was for a long time the source of science and

art to all Europe, whose Christian sons resorted to her universities

and libraries for instruction. There was taught to English, French,

and German students the philosophy of Aristotle, the Græco-Arabic

literature, mathematics, and natural history. The numerals, gunpowder,

paper, and other inventions of the Arabs, passed into Europe from

Spain. She possessed, therefore, that knowledge of physical laws which

Mr. Buckle declares to be the only cure for superstition. Yet she was

not cured. The nation which, according to his theory, ought to have

been soonest delivered from superstition, according to his statements

has retained its yoke longer than any other.

From Spain Mr. Buckle passes to Scotland, where he finds a still more

complicated problem. Superstition and loyalty ought to go together, he

thinks,--and usually do; but in Scotland they are divorced. The Scotch

have always been superstitious, but disloyal. To the explanation of

this fact Mr. Buckle bends his energies of thought, and of course is

able to find a theory to account for it. This theory we shall not stop

to detail; it is too complex, and at the same time too superficial,

to dwell upon. Its chief point is that the Protestant noblemen and

Protestant clergy quarreled about the wealth of the Catholic Church,

and so there was in Scotland a complete rupture between the two classes

elsewhere in alliance. Thus "the clergy, finding themselves despised

by the governing class, united themselves heartily with the people,

and advocated democratic principles." Such is the explanation given

to the course of history in a great nation. A quarrel between its

noblemen and its ministers (who are of course represented as mercenary

self-seekers) determines its permanent character!

Mr. Buckle, to whom the love of plunder appears as the cause of what

other men regard as loyalty or religion, explains by the same fact the

loyalty of the Highlanders to King Charles. They thought that, if he

conquered, he would allow them to plunder the Lowlanders once more.

This is Buckle's explanation. An ethnologist would have remembered the

fact that the Gaels are pure-blooded Kelts, and that the Kelts _pur

sang_ are everywhere distinguished for loyalty to their chiefs.

Mr. Buckle encounters another difficulty in Scottish history in this,

that though a new and splendid literature arose in Scotland at the

beginning of the eighteenth century, it was unable to diminish national

superstition. It was thoroughly skeptical, and yet did not produce the

appropriate effect of skepticism. So that at this point one of Mr.

Buckle's four great laws of history seems to break down. For a moment

he appears discouraged, and laments, with real pathos, the limitations

of the human intellect. But in the next chapter he addresses himself

again to the solution of his two-fold problem, viz.: "1st, that the

same people should be liberal in their politics and illiberal in their

religion; and, 2d, that their free and skeptical literature in the

eighteenth century should have been unable to lessen their religious

illiberality."

In approaching this part of his task, in the fifth chapter, our

author gives a very elaborate and highly colored picture of the

religion of Scotland. It is _too_ well done. Like some of Macaulay's

descriptions, it is so very striking as to impress us almost inevitably

as a caricature. Every statement in which the horrors and cruelties

of Calvinism are described is indeed reinforced by ample citations

or plentiful references in the footnotes. But some of these seem

capable of a different inference from that drawn in the text. For

instance, he charges the Scottish clergy with teaching, that, though

the arrangements originally made by the Deity to punish his creatures

were ample, "they were insufficient; and hell, not being big enough

to contain the countless victims incessantly poured into it, had in

these latter days been enlarged. There was now sufficient room." He

supports the charge by this reference to Abernethy,--"Hell has enlarged

itself,"--apparently not being aware that Abernethy was merely quoting

from Isaiah. He says that to write poetry was considered by the Scotch

clergy to be a grievous offence, and worthy of special condemnation.

He supports his statement by this reference: "A mastership in a

grammar school was offered in 1767 to John Wilson, the author of

'Clyde'" (a poet, by the by, not found among the twenty John Wilsons

commemorated by Watt). "But, says his biographer, the magistrates and

ministers of Greenock thought fit, before they would admit Mr. Wilson

to the superintendence of the grammar school, to stipulate that he

should abandon 'the profane and unprofitable art of poem-making.'"

This fact, however, by no means proves that poetry was considered,

theologically, a sin, for perhaps it was regarded practically as only a

disqualification. It is to be feared that many of our school committees

now--country shopkeepers, perhaps, or city aldermen--would, apart from

Calvinism, think that a poet must be necessarily a dreamer and an

unpractical man.

A few exaggerations of this kind there may be. But, on the whole, the

account seems to be correctly given; and it is one which will do good.

In the remaining portion of the second volume Mr. Buckle gives a very

vigorous description of the intellectual progress of the Scotch during

the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. His account of Adam Smith

as a writer is peculiarly brilliant. His views of Hume and Reid are

ably drawn. Thence he proceeds to discuss the discoveries of Black

and Leslie in natural philosophy, of Smith and Hutton in geology,

of Cavendish in chemistry, of Cullen and Hunter in physiology and

pathology. These discussions are interesting, and show a great range of

knowledge and power of study in the writer. Yet they are episodes, and

have little bearing on the main course of his thought.

We have thus given a cursory survey of these volumes. We do not think

Buckle's philosophy sound, his method good, or his doctrines tenable.

Yet we cannot but sympathize with one who has devoted his strength and

youth with such untiring industry to such a great enterprise. And we

must needs be touched with the plaintive confession which breaks from

his wearied mind and exhausted hope in the last volume, when he accepts

the defeat of his early endeavor, and submits to the disappointment of

his youthful hope. We should be glad to quote the entire passage,[33]

because it is the best in the book, and because he expresses in it, in

the most condensed form, his ideas and purposes as an historic writer.

But our limited space allows us only to commend it to the special

attention of the reader.

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