CHAPTER III.

THE TRUE METROPOLIS--MECCA.

In the last chapter the position of the Ottoman Sultans towards the mass

of Orthodox Islam was sketched, and the foundations were shown on which

their tenure of the Caliphal title rested. These I explained to be

neither very ancient nor very securely laid in the faith and affections

of the faithful; and, though at the present moment a certain reaction in

favour of Constantinople had set in, it was due to accidental

circumstances, which are unlikely to become permanent, and was very far

indeed from being universal. It may be as well to recapitulate the

position.

The Sunite or Orthodox Mohammedan world holds it as a dogma of faith

that there must be a Khalifeh, the ex-officio head of their religious

polity, and the successor of their prophet. In temporal matters, whoever

holds this office is theoretically king of all Islam; and in spiritual

matters he is their supreme religious authority. But, practically, the

Caliph's temporal jurisdiction has for many centuries been limited to

such lands as he could hold by arms; while in spiritual matters he has

exercised no direct authority whatever. Nevertheless, he represents to

Mussulmans something of which they are in need, and which they are bound

to respect; and it cannot be doubted that in proper hands, and at the

proper moment, the Caliphate might once more become an instrument for

good or evil of almost universal power in Islam. Even now, were there to

be an apprehension of general and overwhelming danger for religion, it

is to the Caliph that the faithful would look to defend their interests;

and, as we have seen, a moderate show of piety and respect for the

sacred law has been sufficient, in spite of a violent political

opposition, to secure for the actual holder of the title a degree of

sympathy which no other Mussulman prince could at any cost of good

government have obtained.

On the other hand, it has been shown that the loyalty, such as there is,

which Abd el Hamid inspires is due to him solely as incumbent of the

Caliphal office, and not as the representative of any race or dynasty.

The House of Othman, as such, represents nothing sacred to Mussulmans;

and the Turkish race is very far from being respected in Islam. The

present Caliphal house is unconnected in blood with the old traditional

line of "successors;" and even with the Turks themselves inspires little

modern reverence. Moreover, the actual incumbent of the office is

thought to be not even a true Ottoman, being the offspring of the

Seraglio rather than of known parents; Abd el Hamid's sole title to

spiritual consideration is his official name. This he has had the sense

to set prominently forward. Reduced to a syllogism, Mussulman loyalty

may be read thus: There must be a Caliph, and the Caliphate deserves

respect; there is no other Caliph but Abd el Hamid; ergo, Abd el Hamid

deserves respect.

It has been pointed out, however, that, if the Sultan's recent revival

of spiritual pretensions is his present strength, it may also in the

immediate future become his weakness. The challenge which the

Constantinople school of Hanefism threw down ten years ago to the world

has been taken up; and all the learned world now knows the frailty of

the House of Othman's spiritual position. The true history of the

Caliphate has been published and set side by side with that Turkish

history which the ignorance of a previous generation had come to

confound with it. At the present day nobody with any instruction doubts

that Abd el Hamid and his house might be legally displaced by the first

successful rival, and that the only right of Constantinople to lead

Islam is the right of the sword. As long as the Ottoman Empire is

maintained and no counter Caliph appears, so long will the Sultan be the

acknowledged head of religion; but not a day longer. The Caliphate, for

one alien as Abd el Hamid is to the Koreysh, must be constantly

maintained in arms, and on the first substantial success of a new

pretender his present following would fall off from him without

compunction, transferring to this last their loyalty on precisely the

same ground on which Abd el Hamid now receives it. Abd el Hamid would

then be legitimately deposed and disappear, for it is unlikely that he

would find any such protector in his adversity as the legitimate Caliphs

found in theirs six hundred years ago. So fully is this state of things

recognized by the Ulema, that I found the opinion last year to be nearly

universal that Abd el Hamid was destined to be the last Caliph of the

House of Othman.

It becomes, therefore, a question of extreme interest to consider who

among Mussulman princes could, with any chance of being generally

accepted by orthodox Islam, put in a claim to replace the Ottoman

dynasty as Caliph when the day of its doom shall have been reached. It

is a question which ought certainly to interest Englishmen, for on its

solution the whole problem of Mussulman loyalty or revolt in India most

probably depends, and though it would certainly be unwise, at the

present moment, for an English Government to obtrude itself violently in

a religious quarrel not yet ripe, much might be done in a perfectly

legitimate way to influence the natural course of events and direct it

to a channel favourable to British interests.

Is there then in Islam, east, or west, or south, a man of sufficient

eminence and courage to proclaim himself Caliph, in the event of Abd el

Hamid's political collapse or death? What would be his line of action to

secure Mahommedan acceptance? Where should he fix his capital, and on

what arms should he rely? Whose flag should he display? Above all--for

this is the question that interests us most--could such a change of

rulers affect favourably the future thought and life of Islam, and lead

to an honest Moslem reformation? These questions, which are being

cautiously asked of each other by thoughtful Mussulmans in every corner

of the east, I now propose to consider and, as far as it is in my power,

to answer.

I have said that Islam is already well prepared for change. Whatever

Europeans may think of a future for the Ottoman Empire, Mussulmans are

profoundly convinced that on its present basis it will not long survive.

Even in Turkey, the thought of its political regeneration as an European

Empire has been at last abandoned, and no one now contemplates more than

a few years further tenure of the Bosphorus. Twenty years ago it was not

so, nor perhaps five, but to-day all are resigned to this.

Ancient prophecy and modern superstition alike point to a return of the

Crescent into Asia as an event at hand, and to the doom of the Turks as

a race which has corrupted Islam. A well-known prediction to this

effect, which has for ages exercised its influence on the vulgar and

even the learned Mohammedan mind, gives the year 1883 of our era as the

term within which these things are to be accomplished, and places the

scene of the last struggle in Northern Syria, at Homs, on the Orontes.

Islam is then finally to retire from the north, and the Turkish rule to

cease. Such prophecies often work their own fulfilment, and the feeling

of a coming catastrophe is so deeply rooted and so universal that I

question whether the proclamation of a Jehad by the Sultan would now

induce a thousand Moslems to fight voluntarily against the Cross in

Europe.

The Sultan himself and the old Turkish party which supports him, while

clinging obstinately in appearance to all their ground, really have

their eyes turned elsewhere than on Adrianople and Salonica and the city

of the Roman Emperors. It is unlikely that a new advance of the

Christian Powers from the Balkan would meet again with more than formal

opposition; and Constantinople itself, unsupported by European aid,

would be abandoned without a blow, or with only such show of resistance

as the Sheriat requires for a cession of territory.[14] The Sultan

would, in such an event, pass into Asia, and I have been credibly

informed that his own plan is to make not Broussa, but Bagdad or

Damascus his capital. This he considers would be more in conformity with

Caliphal traditions, and the Caliphate would gain strength by a return

to its old centres. Damascus is surnamed by theologians _Bab el Kaaba_,

Gate of the Caaba; and there or at Bagdad, the traditional city of the

Caliphs, he would build up once more a purely theocratic empire.

Such, they say, is his thought; and such doubtless would be the empire

of the future that Mussulmans would choose. Only it is improbable that

it would continue to be in any sense Ottoman, or that Abd el Hamid would

have the opportunity of himself establishing it. The loss of

Constantinople would be a blow to his prestige he could not well recover

from, and no new empire ever yet was founded on defeat. What is far more

likely to happen is that, in such an event, Abd el Hamid and his house

would disappear, and an entirely new order of Caliphal succession take

their place. Even without supposing any such convulsion to the empire as

a loss of the Bosphorus, his reign will hardly be a long one. The Ulema

of Constantinople are by no means all on his side, and the party of

"Young Turkey," cowed for the moment by the terrorism which there

prevails, is his bitter enemy, and will not let him rest. It will

infallibly on the next danger from Europe, show its head again and take

its revenge.

It is said to be the programme of this party, when it next comes to

power, to separate the spiritual functions of the Caliphate from those

of the head of the State, copying, in so far, the modern practice of

Europe towards the Papacy. I suppose that it would be attempted to

restore that state of things, which as we have already seen, existed at

Cairo in the fourteenth and fifteenth centuries; and it is just

conceivable that, as far as Turkey itself was concerned, such an

arrangement might, for a time, succeed. There would then be two powers

at Constantinople, a Maire du Palais who would reign, and a Caliph who

would be head of religion;--a separation of offices which would

certainly facilitate the sort of reform that Midhat and his friends

desire. But to the world at large the event would only signify that

Constantinople had formally abdicated her claim to leadership, and Islam

would never acknowledge as Caliph the mere puppet of an irreligious

clique of officials, because he happened to be a member of the Beni

Othman. His political power is the only thing that reconciles Islam with

an Ottoman Caliph, and without sovereignty he would be discarded. In

whatever way, therefore, that we look at it, there seems justification

in probability for the conviction already cited that after Abd el Hamid

a new order of Caliphal succession will be seen.

It seems to be an universal opinion at the present day among those who

think at all upon the matter, that whatever change may be impending for

Islam, it will be in the direction of concentration rather than of

extension. All parties see that the day of outside conquest is at an

end, and that the utmost that Islam can look forward to politically is

the maintenance of its present positions, and as an extreme possibility

the emancipation of its lost provinces in India and North Africa from

Christian rule. There is, therefore, a conviction that the removal of

the seat of supreme authority, when made, will be towards the centre,

not to any new extremity of Islam. Constantinople, even if all Islam

were combined for its defence, is felt to be too near the infidel

frontier to be safe, and cosmopolitan city as it has become, it is by

many looked upon itself as infidel. A position further removed from

danger and more purely Mohammedan is the necessity of the day; and it

can hardly be doubted that, when the time comes, the possession of some

such vantage ground will be recognized as a first qualification with

whoever shall assume the leadership of Islam.

We have seen that Abd el Hamid dreams of Damascus or Bagdad. But others

dream of Cairo as the new seat of the Caliphate; and to the majority of

far-sighted Mussulmans it is rapidly becoming apparent that the retreat,

once begun, must be conducted further still, and that the only true

resting-place for theocracy is in Arabia, its birthplace and the

fountain head of its inspiration. There, alone in the world, all the

conditions for the independent exercise of religious sovereignty are to

be found. In Arabia there are neither Christians nor Jews nor infidels

of any sort for Islam to count with, nor is it so rich a possession that

it should ever excite the cupidity of the Western Powers. A Caliph there

need fear no admonition from Frank ambassadors in virtue of any

capitulations; he would be free to act as the Successor of the Apostle

should, and would breathe the pure air of an unadulterated Islam. A

return, therefore, to Medina or Mecca is the probable future of the

Caliphate.

The importance of Arabia has of late years been fully recognized both at

Constantinople and elsewhere. It has been the sustained policy of Abd

el Hamid at all cost and by whatsoever means to maintain his influence

there; and he knows that without it his spiritual pretensions could have

no secure foundations. Arabia, he perceives, is the main point of the

Caliphal problem; and whether or not the future holder of the office

reside in Hejaz, it is certain that by its tenure alone the Mohammedan

world will judge of his right to be their leader. It will, therefore,

before we go further, be interesting to examine the relations existing

in the past and present between Mecca and the Caliphate, and to

ascertain the position now held by Abd el Hamid in Arabia. On this point

I believe that I can offer information which will be both valuable and

new.

The political constitution of the Moslem Holy Land is one of the most

anomalous in the world. Like every district of Arabia proper, Hejaz has

a town and a nomad population, but almost no intermediate agricultural

class. The townsmen I have already described--a multitude of mixed

origin, descended from such pilgrims as from every quarter of the globe

have visited the Holy Places, and have remained to marry and die in

them. The Nomads, on the contrary, are a pure race of a peculiarly noble

type, and unchanged in any essential feature of their life from what

they were in the days of Mohammed. They are warlike, unquiet, Bedouins,

camel-riders (for they have no horses), and armed with matchlocks; and

they are proud of their independence, and tenacious of their rights. No

serious attempt has ever been made, except by Mehemet Ali, to subdue

them, and none at all has succeeded. Unlike the generality of Peninsular

Bedouins, however, they are professed Sunite Mohammedans, if not of a

very pious type; and they acknowledge as their chief the head of their

most noble tribe, the Grand Sherif of the Koreysh, who is also Prince of

Mecca.

The Koreysh is still a distinct nomadic tribe, inhabiting the immediate

neighbourhood of Mecca; not numerous, but not in decay. They are divided

into several sections, each governed by its Sheykh, the chief of which,

the Abadleh, has for several centuries supplied the reigning family of

Hejaz. This last traces its descent from Ali ibn Abutaleb, the fourth

Caliph, through his son Hassan, and through Ali's wife, Fatmeh, from

Mohammed himself. It is probably the oldest authentic male descent in

the world, and certainly the most sacred. All the members of this

Abadleh family enjoy the title of Sherif, the head of it only being

distinguished as the Sherif el Kebir, the Great or Grand Sherif. The

rest of the Koreysh, not being descended from Fatmeh, do not receive the

title. All alike wear the Bedouin dress of abba and kefiyeh, even the

Prince himself, standing in this strikingly in contrast with the Hejazi

citizens, who affect the turban and gombaz.

The district of Medina is occupied by the Harb Bedouins, a larger and

more powerful tribe than the Koreysh, who also recognize the Sherif, but

their allegiance is precarious; while to the east and south of Mecca the

Ateybeh and Assir, more powerful still, are wholly independent. It has

always been a difficult matter to keep these unruly elements at peace

with each other and with the citizens, nor could the Sherif hope to

effect it were he not himself of Bedouin and noble blood.

The early history of the Sherifate is exceedingly obscure. When the

Caliphs definitely abandoned Medina as their capital in the fortieth

year of Islam (A.D. 662), they for a time left deputies of the Sherifal

family behind them to govern in their name, and, as long as the Ommiad

and Abbaside dynasties continued at Damascus and Bagdad, their

sovereignty was acknowledged in Hejaz. But on the destruction of the

Arabian Caliphate in 1259, the Sherifal family seems to have set itself

up independently, relying only on the casual help of the Egyptian

Sultans and the Imams of Sana to protect them against the Bedouins of

Nejd and Assir, now hardly any longer, even in name, Mohammedans. The

Egyptian Sultan, however, was the titular protector of the Holy Places,

and it was he who transmitted the Surrah, or religious contributions

made by the Faithful, and provided escort for the yearly pilgrimage made

to the shrines. Thus we read of Kaïd Beg having rebuilt the Mosque of

Medina in 1476, and having sent a yearly subsidy of 7500 ardebs of corn

for the townspeople. Other princes, however, contributed their offerings

too, and received titles of honour connected with the Holy Land, the

Shahs of Persia, the Moguls, and the Ottomans. The first connection of

the latter with Mecca that I can find was in 1413, when the Padishah

Mohammed Khan I., having sent a surrah, or bag of gold, to the Sherif to

be distributed in alms, received from him the title of Khaddam el

Harameyn, servant of the two shrines; and the gift being continued

annually by the Ottoman Padishahs may very likely have paved the way to

their recognition later as Caliphs.

It would seem singular at first sight that the Sherifs, being

themselves of the sacred family whose special inheritance the Caliphate

was, should ever thus have recognized a stranger as its legal heir. But

the political weakness of the Meccan Government in the sixteenth century

must be taken into account as the all-sufficient reason. The Grand

Sherif could hardly have stood alone as an independent sovereign, for he

was continually menaced on the one side by the dissenting Omani, and on

the other by the unbelieving tribes of Nejd, against whom his frontier

was defenceless. He could not, with his own resources, protect the

pilgrim routes from plunder--and on the pilgrimage all the prosperity of

Hejaz depended. It therefore was a necessity with the Meccans to have a

protector of some sort; and Sultan Kansaw having fallen, they accepted

Sultan Selim.

The Ottoman Sultans then became protectors of the Holy Places, and were

acknowledged Caliphs without any appeal to arms at Mecca and Medina.

Their weapons were, in fact, the gold and silver pieces with which they

subsidized the Sherifs. Sultan Selim at once, on being acknowledged,

ordered an additional annuity of 5000 ardebs to be paid to Mecca, and he

and his immediate successors carried out at their own expense such

public works as the shrines required in the way of repairs or

improvements. Subsequently the seaport of Jeddah, formerly occupied by

the Egyptians, received a Turkish contingent, but the interior of Hejaz

was never subjugated, nor was any tax at any time levied. Only once a

year an Ottoman army appeared before the walls of Medina, conducting the

pilgrims from Damascus and convoying the surrah. The state of things at

Mecca in the last century has been clearly sketched by Niebuhr. The

Sherifs were in reality independent princes, but they "gratified the

vanity of the Grand Signior" by calling him their suzerain, he on his

side occasionally exercising the right of power by deposing the reigning

Sherif and appointing another of the same family. No kind of

administration had then been attempted by the Turks in Hejaz.

Mehemet Ali's occupation of Hejaz in 1812 first brought foreign troops

inland. He established himself at Taïf, the summer residence of the

Meccans; deposed the Grand Sherif Ghaleb, and appointed in his stead

another member of the Sherifal family; declaring the Sultan sovereign of

the country--acts which the Meccans acquiesced in through dread of the

Wahhabis, from whom Mehemet Ali promised to deliver them. The Egyptian

and Turkish Governments have thus, during the present century, exercised

some of the functions of sovereignty in Hejaz.

At the present moment Sultan Abd el Hamid's position in the country is

this. His troops occupy Jeddah and Yembo, the two seaports, and the

towns of Medina and Taïf in the interior. He is acknowledged by the

Sherifs as sovereign, except in Mecca; and he appoints to all the

principal offices of State, including the supreme office of the Grand

Sherifate itself. He is represented by a Pasha who resides alternately

at Jeddah and Taïf according to the season, but who has not the right of

entering Mecca without the Grand Sherif's leave, or of sending troops

there. The total garrison of the Turks in Hejaz last winter was from

8000 to 10,000 men, of whom 4000 only were regulars (Nizams), and

efficient. While I was at Jeddah, the Medina garrison of 2000 regulars,

having been long unpaid and unrationed, was said to be living on public

charity. On the other hand the Hejazi Bedouins do not acknowledge any

sovereignty but that of the Sherif, nor could the Sultan pretend to keep

order outside the towns except through the Sherif's interposition. The

Sultan levies no tax in the interior or impost of any kind, and the sole

revenue he receives in Hejaz comes from Customs duties of Jeddah and

Yembo, which may amount to £40,000.

In return for this he also is bound to transmit every year at the time

of the pilgrimage sums of money collected by him from the revenues of

the Wakaf within his dominions, lands settled by pious persons on the

Sherifal family. These are said to amount to nearly half a million

sterling, and are distributed amongst all the principal personages of

Hejaz. The transmission of the Wakaf income, in which the Sultan

constitutes himself, so to say, the Sherif's agent, is in fact the real

bond which unites Hejaz with the Caliphate, and its distribution gives

the Sultan patronage, and with it power in the country. The bond,

however, is one of interest only. The Sherifs, proud of their sacred

ancestry, look upon the Turkish Caliphs as barbarians and impostors,

while the Sultans find the Hejaz a heavy charge upon their revenue.

Either hates and despises the other, the patron and the patronized; and,

save that their union is a necessity, it would long ago have, by mutual

consent, been dissolved. The Sherif depends upon the Sultan because he

needs a protector, and needs his Wakaf. The Sultan depends upon the

Sherif, because recognition by Hejaz as the protector is a chief title

to his Caliphate. Mecca, in fact, is a necessity to Islam even more than

a Caliph; and whoever is sovereign there is naturally sovereign of the

Mussulman world.

Outside Hejaz the Sultan holds what he holds of Arabia merely by force.

I have described already the growing power of Ibn Rashid, the Prince of

Nejd; and since that time, two years ago, he has sensibly extended and

confirmed his influence there. He has now brought into his alliance all

the important tribes of northern Arabia, including the powerful Ateybeh,

who, a few months ago, were threatening Mecca; and in Hejaz his name is

already as potent as the Sultan's. He offered, while I was at Jeddah, to

undertake the whole convoy of the Damascus pilgrimage with his own

troops, as already he convoys that from Persia; while I have quite

recent information of a campaign against his own rivals, the Ibn Saouds,

which he has just brought to a successful conclusion. In Yemen, the

other neighbour of the Meccans, 20,000 Turkish troops are required to

garrison the few towns the Sultan calls his own, and were it not for

the facility given him by the possession of the sea-coast, these could

not long hope to hold their ground. Every day I am expecting news from

there of a revolt, and the first sign of weakness at Constantinople will

certainly precipitate a war of independence in that part of Arabia.

We may expect, therefore, in the event of such a break-up as I have

suggested to be likely of the Ottoman power--either through loss of

territory or by the growing impoverishment of the empire, which needs

must, in a few decades, end in atrophy--to see among Mussulman princes a

competition for the right of protecting the Holy Places, and with it of

inheriting the Caliphal title. The Sultan reduced to Asia Minor, even if

he retain Armenia and Kurdistan (which is extremely improbable), would

be quite unable to afford himself the expensive luxury of holding his

Arabian conquests and buying the patronage of Mecca. He would be unable

any longer to overawe the Red Sea, or secure the pilgrim routes. The

Princes of Nejd would certainly not tolerate the presence of Turkish

soldiers at Medina, and the Sherifs of Mecca would have to make terms

with them and with the restored Imams of Yemen till such time as they

should find a new protector elsewhere. Above all, the half million of

Wakaf income would no longer be forthcoming, and a Turkish Emir el Haj

arriving empty-handed at Mecca would bring his master to a climax of

derision. Hejaz then would infallibly look out for a new potentate whom

she could dignify with the title of Hami el Harameyn and Emir el

Mumenin; and if there were none forthcoming would herself proclaim a

Caliphate. Let us look, therefore, at the lands of Islam to see in which

of them a competent Prince of the Faithful is likely to appear.

It is possible, though to European eyes it will seem far from probable,

that out of the ferment which we are now witnessing in the Barbary

States, some leader of real power and religious distinction may arise

who shall possess the talent of banding together into an instrument of

power the immense but scattered forces of Islam in Northern Africa, and

after achieving some signal success against the new French policy,

establish himself in Tripoli or Tunis in independent sovereignty. Were

such another man as Abd el Kader to arise, a saint, a preacher, and a

soldier, indifferent to the petty aims of local power and gifted with

military genius, true piety, and an eloquent tongue, I believe at the

present day he might achieve at least a partial success.

The French army is weak in discipline and confidence compared to what

it was in Abd el Kader's day, and it has a far more difficult frontier

to defend; while the Government at home is but half resolute, and the

Arabs command much floating sympathy in Europe and elsewhere. I do not

say the thing is likely, but it is conceivable; and Africa contains the

elements of a possible new sovereignty for some Mussulman prince which

might eventually lead him on the road to Mecca. It is undoubted that

with the prestige of success against a Christian Power, and backed by

the vast populations of Soudan and the fierce military fervour of the

Malekite Arabs, an Abd el Kader or an Abd-el-Wahhab would attract the

sympathy of Islam, and might aspire to its highest dignity. But enormous

postulates must be granted before we can look on any one now known to

fame in Africa as a probable candidate for the future Caliphate.

The present leaders of the Arabs are but local heroes, and as yet they

have achieved nothing which can command respect. In Tripoli there is

indeed a saint of very high pretensions, one known as the Sheykh Es

Snusi, who has a large religious following, and who has promised to come

forward shortly as the Móhdy or guide expected by a large section of

the Sunite as well as the Shiite Mussulmans. Next year he will attain

the age of forty (the legal age of a prophet), and he may be expected to

take a prominent part in any general movement that may then be on foot.

But as yet we know nothing of him but his name and the fact of his

sanctity, which is of Wahhabite type. Moreover, even supposing all that

may be supposed of a possible success, there yet lies Egypt and the Suez

Canal between the Barbary State and Mecca, so that I think we may be

justified in these days of steam fleets and electric cables and European

concerts, if we treat North Western Africa as out of probable

calculations in considering the future of the Caliphate. It is

remarkable that the Sultan of Morocco has taken as yet no apparent part

in the religious movement of modern Barbary.

The Mussulman princes of India hold a very similar position. Opposed as

they soon may be, indeed must be if the unintelligent English policy of

the last twenty years be persevered in, to an European Government in

arms, they will have the chance of making themselves a leading position

in the eyes of Islam; and should a Mohammedan empire arise once more at

Delhi or Hyderabad, India would certainly become _par excellence_ the

Dar el Islam. It would then be by far the richest and most populous of

Mohammedan states, and able to outbid any other with the surrah it could

send to Mecca.

The Wakaf property in India at the present day is supposed to be as

valuable as that in the Ottoman empire, and it would then become a

source of patronage with the Government, instead of being privately

remitted as now. If money alone could buy the Caliphate, a successful

leader of revolt against the English in India might dictate his terms to

Islam. But again the insuperable obstacle intervenes of distance and the

sea. Mussulman India could never give that protection to Mecca that

Islam needs, and could not assert its sovereignty anywhere but at home,

in arms. Even this is assuming, as in the case of Barbary, an enormous

postulate--success.

Neither India, then, nor Western Africa can reasonably be expected to

supply that substitute for the House of Othman which we need. A more

apparent and in the opinion of some a likely candidate for the Caliphate

succession may be looked for in the Viceregal family of Egypt. Mohammed

Towfik, if he were a man of genius like his grandfather, or if, honest

man as he is, he plays his cards with success, might in a few years

become an important rival at Mecca to the Sultan. To say nothing of its

traditional connection with the Caliphate, Egypt has the more modern

recollection of Mehemet Ali to urge upon the Hejazi in its favour as the

protecting State of Islam.

Mehemet Ali's name and that of his successor Ibrahim Pasha, if not

precisely popular, are at least respected at Mecca; and the latter

possesses a great title to Sunite gratitude in having destroyed the

Wahhabite empire in 1818. I have mentioned Mehemet Ali's ambition; and a

similar ambition would seem to have occurred to Ismaïl, the late

Khedive. He, in the plenitude of his financial power, is stated to have

expended large sums of money in subsidising the Sherifs with a view to

possible contingencies at Constantinople. But unfortunately for him the

opening of the Suez Canal, on which he had counted for securing him the

support of Europe, proved the precise instrument of ruin for his scheme.

The Porte in 1871, scenting danger to its own Caliphal pretensions from

this quarter, occupied the Red Sea in force, reinforced its garrisons in

Jeddah and Yembo, advanced to Taïf, and threw a large army into Yemen.

This was alone made possible by the Canal, and Ismaïl to his chagrin

found himself "hoist with his own petard." Mohammed Towfik, therefore,

would have some excuse in family tradition if he indulged occasionally

in dreams of a similar nature. His connection with Mecca is at the

present day second only to that of Constantinople; the Egyptian

Khedivieh line of steamers ply constantly between Suez and Jeddah; and

the Haj the Khedive sends to Mecca, including as it does most of the

Mogrebbin pilgrims, is more numerous than the Sultan's. He maintains

intimate relations with one at least of the great Sherifal families, and

sends a Mahmal yearly with an important surrah to Medina. Mohammed

Towfik also has the deserved reputation of being a sincere Mussulman and

an honest man, and it is certain that a large section of true liberal

opinion looks to him as the worthiest supporter of its views. With all

this I doubt if he be big enough a man to aspire as yet with success to

Abd el Hamid's succession.

The present Viceroy's financial position, though we may hope sounder in

its base, is not so immediately powerful as his father's; and much ready

money will be required by an aspirant to the Caliphate. His fighting

power, too, is small, and he would have to proclaim himself in arms.

Moreover--and this I fear will remain an insuperable difficulty--he is

hampered with the control of Europe. Islam would hardly obey another

Caliph who was himself obedient to Christendom; and the same causes

which have ruined the House of Othman, would also ruin him. A Caliph, as

things stand, cannot legally govern, except by the old canon law of the

Sheriat, and though a lapsus from strict observance may be tolerated in

an ordinary prince, or even in a well established Caliph, a new Caliph

putting forward a new claim would be more strictly bound. How could

Mohammed Towfik's necessity to Islam be reconciled to his necessity to

Europe? Between the two stools he hardly could avert a fall.[15]

Unless, then, some unexpected religious hero should appear in Eastern

Asia, of which as yet there is no sign, we are driven to Arabia for a

solution of the difficulty where to establish a Mussulman theocracy, and

to the Sherifal family of Mecca itself for a new dynasty.

The family of the Sherifs has this vast advantage over any other

possible competitor to the supreme title of Islam, that it is of the

acknowledged blood of that tribe of Koreysh which Mohammed himself

designated as his heirs. Amongst many other passages of authority which

bear upon the rights of the Koreysh the following seem to me the most

explicit and the best worth quoting: "The prophet," says a tradition of

Omm Hani, daughter of Abutaleb, "exalted the Koreysh by conferring on

them seven prerogatives: the first, the _Nebbuwat_ (the fact that they

had given birth to a prophet); the second, the _Khalafat_ (the

succession); the third, the _Hejabat_ (the guardianship of the Kaaba);

the fourth, the _Sikayat_ (the right of supplying water to the Haj); the

fifth, the _Refadat_ (the right of entertaining the Haj); the sixth, the

_Nedwat_ (the right of counsel, government); and the seventh, the _Lewa_

(possession of the banner, with the right of proclaiming war)." The

prophet also, according to another tradition, said, "As long as there

remains one man of the Koreysh, so long shall that man be my successor;"

and as to the Arab race, "If the Arab race falls Islam shall fall." All

the world knows these things, and to the popular mind, especially, the

Sherif is already far more truly the representative of spiritual rank

than any Sultan or Caliph is.

The vast populations of Southern and Eastern Asia send out their

pilgrims, not to Constantinople but to Mecca, and it is the Sherif whom

they find there supreme. The Turkish Government in Hejaz holds a

comparatively insignificant position, and the Sultan's representative at

Jeddah is hardly more than servant to the Prince of Mecca. It is he who

is the descendant of their prophet, not the other, and though the

learned may make distinctions in favour of the Caliph the Haj only hears

of the Sherif. Even at Constantinople, by immemorial custom, the Sultan

rises to receive members of the sacred family; and at Mecca it is

commonly said that should a Sultan make the Haj in person he would be

received by the Grand Sherif as an inferior. The Sherifal family, then,

is surrounded with a halo of religious prestige which would make their

acquisition of the supreme temporal title appear natural to all but the

races who have been in subjection to the Ottomans; and were a man of

real ability to appear amongst them he would, in the crisis we have

foreseen, be sure to find an almost universal following.

That the Ottoman Government is perfectly aware of this is certain. Even

in the days of its greatest power it always showed its jealousy and

distrust of Mecca, and was careful when any of the Grand Sherifs

acquired what was considered dangerous influence, to supplant him by

setting up a rival. Its physical power enabled it to do this, and though

it could not abolish the office of the Grand Sherifate, it could

interfere in the order of succession. Family feuds have, therefore, been

at all times fostered by the Turks in Hejaz, and will be, as long as

their presence there is tolerated. An excellent example of their system

has recently been given in the episode of the late Grand Sherif's death,

and the story of it will serve also to show the fear entertained by the

present Sultan of this his great spiritual rival. To tell it properly I

must go back to the epoch of the Wahhabite invasion of Hejaz in 1808.

At that time, and for the latter half of the previous century, the

supreme dignity of the Sherifal House was held by a branch of it known

as the Dewy Zeyd (the word _Dewy_ is used in Hejaz, as are elsewhere

_Beni_ or _Ahl_, meaning _people_, _family_, _house_), which had

replaced in 1750 the Barakat branch, mentioned by Niebuhr as in his day

supreme. The actual holder of the title was Ghaleb ibn Mesaad, and he,

finding himself unable to contend against the Wahhabis, became himself a

Wahhabi. Consequently, when Mehemet Ali appeared at Mecca in 1812, his

first act was to depose this Ghaleb, in spite of his protest that he had

returned to orthodoxy, and to appoint another member of the Sherifal

House in his place.

The Sherif chosen was Yahia ibn Serur, of a rival branch, the Dewy Aoun,

and a bitter animosity was, by this means, engendered between the two

families of Aoun and Zeyd, which is continued to the present day. Nor,

as may be supposed, was this lessened by the subsequent changes rung by

the Turkish and Egyptian Governments in their appointments to the

office, for, in 1827, we find Abd el Mutalleb, the son of the deposed

Wahhabite Ghaleb, reappointed, and in the following year again,

Mohammed, the son of Yahia ibn Aoun, an intrigue which brought on a

civil war. Then in 1848 a new intrigue reinstated Abd el Mutalleb and

the Zeyds; and then, in 1853, these were again deposed for rebellion,

and an Aoun was placed in power. From 1853 till 1880 the Aouns retained

the Grand Sherifate and were supreme in Hejaz. Coming into power at a

time when Liberal ideas were in the ascendant they have consistently

been Liberal, and still represent the more humane and progressive party

among the Meccans. In the desert, where all are latitudinarian, they are

the popular party; and, though themselves beyond a suspicion of

unorthodoxy, they have always shown a tolerant spirit towards the Shiahs

and other heretics, with whom the Sherifal authority necessarily comes

in contact every year at the Haj. They have even maintained friendly

terms with the European element at Jeddah, and as long as they remained

in power the relations between India and Mecca were of an amicable

nature.

Abdallah ibn Aoun, the son of Mohammed, who succeeded his father in

1858, and reigned for nineteen years, was a man of considerable ability,

and he is credited with having had views of so advanced a nature as to

include the opening of Hejaz to European trade. Nor was his brother, who

in 1877 became Grand Sherif, of a less liberal mind. Though of less

ability than Abdallah, he is described as eminently humane and virtuous,

and it is certain that, with the exception of his hereditary enemies,

the Zeyds, he was universally beloved by the Hejazi. So much was this

the case that, in the year following the disastrous Russian war, when

Constantinople seemed on the point of dissolution, the Arabs began to

talk openly of making El Husseyn ibn Aoun Caliph in the Sultan's place.

I have not been able to ascertain that El Husseyn himself indulged the

ambitious project of his friends, for he was eminently a man of peace,

and the Caliphal title would hardly have given him a higher position

than he held. But it is certain that his popularity gave umbrage at

Constantinople, the more so as Abd el Hamid could not and dared not

depose him. El Husseyn, too, became specially obnoxious to the

reactionary party, when it resolved at last to quarrel with England, for

he and his family persisted in remaining on friendly terms with the

British Government on all occasions when the interests of Indian

subjects of her Majesty's came in question at the Haj. For this reason,

principally, it would seem his death was resolved on to make room for

the agent of a new policy.

On the 14th of March, 1880, Jeddah was the scene of a solemn pageant.

The Haj was just over, and the seaport of Mecca crowded with pilgrims

was waiting for the Grand Sherif, the descendant of the prophet and the

representative of the Sacred House of Ali, to give the blessing of his

presence to the last departing votaries. Travelling by night from Mecca,

El Husseyn and his retinue appeared at dawn outside the city walls, and

when it was morning, mounted on a white mare from Nejd, and preceded by

his escort of Koreysh Arabs and the Sultan's guard of honour, he rode

into the town. The streets of Jeddah are narrow and tortuous, and the

way from the gate to the house of Omar Nassif, his agent, where he was

accustomed to alight, was thronged with pious folk, who struggled for

the privilege of kissing his feet and the hem of his Arab cloak. He had

nearly reached the place when an old beggar from the crowd pushed his

way forward asking loudly for alms in the name of God. It was an appeal

not to be denied, and as the Sherif turned to those near him to order a

contribution from the bag kept for such distributions, the old man rose

upon him, and drawing a ragged knife (so it was described to me) struck

him in the belly. At first, even those who saw the deed hardly knew what

had happened, for El Husseyn did not fall or dismount, and without

speaking rode on to the house. There he was lifted from his mare and

carried to an upper chamber, and in the course of some hours he expired.

Those nearest him, meanwhile, had seized and cudgelled the old man, and

some of the escort had taken him to the guard-house. When it became

known what had happened, a great cry arose in Jeddah, and old and young,

and women and children, and citizens and strangers wept together. I have

heard the scene described as one beyond description moving, and the

women shrieked and wailed the whole night long. El Husseyn was beloved,

and he was taken in the flower of his manhood.

No satisfactory judicial investigation seems to have been made of the

deed, though a formal mejlis was held at Mecca whither the assassin was

immediately transferred, and on the fourth day he was publicly executed.

Who and what he was it is difficult to determine. The Turkish bulletin

on the event described him as a Persian fanatic, but no one confessed to

having known him, and those who saw and spoke to him while in custody

maintain that he was an Afghan and a Sunite. He seems to have given

half-a-dozen contradictory accounts of himself; but the general

impression remains that he came from Turkey, and was by profession a

dervish. He had not come with the Haj, but had been first noticed as a

beggar at Mecca ten days before, when he had asked and received an alms

of the Sherif, and had since been several times found obtrusively in El

Husseyn's path. No one at Jeddah holds the Turkish Governor to have been

cognisant of the crime. He was personally on good terms with El Husseyn,

and has since been disgraced; but all point to the Stamboul Camarilla

and even the Sultan himself as its author. It is known that Abd el Hamid

constantly employs dervishes as his spies and private agents, and some

who pretend to know best affirm that the old man received his mission

directly from the Caliph. I do not affect to decide upon the point, but

think the _onus probandi_ to lie with those who would deny it.

Assassination of a dangerous rival or of too powerful a chieftain has

been the resource time out of mind of the Ottoman sovereigns, and they

can hardly claim indulgence now from public opinion. The Sheykh of the

Dervishes is all powerful with his fanatical followers, and he is the

Sultan's servant; a word from him would doubtless have secured the

services of twenty such devotees. One circumstance points decidedly to

Constantinople. It is known in Jeddah that El Husseyn's successor, who

had long been resident at Constantinople, sent orders to his agent at

Jeddah to prepare for his return as Grand Sherif two months before El

Husseyn, who was a young man, died; and that he had, moreover,

dispatched most of his baggage in anticipation.

The last words of the old assassin are curious. Having done his deed he

seemed quite happy, and neither ate nor drank, but prepared for the next

world. A little while before he was executed he related a story. "There

was once," he said, "an elephant, a great and noble beast, and to him

God sent a gnat, the smallest thing which is. It stung him on the trunk

and the elephant died. Allah Kerim: God is merciful."

El Husseyn's successor, the man for whom room was made, and who knew

beforehand that it was to be made, was none other than the aged and

twice deposed Abd el Mutalleb, the son of the Wahhabite Ghaleb, the

fiercest fanatic of the Dewy Zeyd.

I have not room here to describe in detail the effect of this coup de

Jarnac on the political aspect of Hejaz. For the moment the reactionary

party is in power at Mecca, as it is at Constantinople. Abd el Mutalleb

is supported by Turkish bayonets, and the Aoun family and the Liberals

are suffering persecution at Mecca, while the Sherifal Court, which had

hitherto been most friendly to England, has become the focus of Indian

discontent. Outside the town all is disorder. It is sufficient for the

present if I have shown that there is in Hejaz an element of spiritual

power already existing side by side with the Sultan, of which advantage

may one day be taken to provide him with a natural successor. If no new

figure should appear on the political horizon of Islam when the Ottoman

empire dies, sufficiently commanding to attract the allegiance of the

Mussulman world (and of such there is as yet no sign), it is certainly

to the Sherifal family of Mecca that the mass of Mohammedans would look

for a representative of their supreme headship, and of that Caliphate of

which they stand in need.

The transfer of the seat of spiritual power from Constantinople to Mecca

would be an easy and natural one, and would hardly disturb the existing

ideas of the vulgar, while it would harmonize with all the traditions of

the learned. Mecca or Medina would, on the extinction of Constantinople,

become almost of necessity the legal home of the Ahl el Agde, and might

easily become the acknowledged centre of spiritual power. All whom I

have spoken to on the subject agree that the solution would be an

acceptable one to every school of Ulema except the distinctly Turkish

schools. Indeed "Mecca, the seat of the Caliphate" is, as far as I have

had an opportunity of judging, the cry of the day with Mussulmans; nor

is it one likely to lose strength in the future. Like the cry of "Roma

capitale," it seems to exercise a strong influence on the imagination of

all to whom it is suggested, and when to that is added "a Caliphate from

the Koreysh," the idea is to Arabs at least irresistible. How indeed

should it be otherwise when we look back on history?

For my own part, though I do not pretend to determine the course events

will take, I consider this notion of a return to Mecca decidedly the

most probable of all the contingencies we have reviewed, and the one

which gives the best promise of renewed spiritual life for Islam.

Politically the Caliph at Mecca would of course be less important than

now on the Bosphorus; but religiously he would have a far more assured

footing. Every year the pilgrimage from every part of the world would

visit him, and instead of representing a mere provincial school of

thought, he would then be a true metropolitan for all schools and all

nations.

The Arabian element in Islam would certainly support such a nomination,

and it must be remembered that Arabia extends from Marocco to Bushire;

and so would the Indian and the Malay--indeed every element but the

Turkish, which is day by day becoming of less importance. I have even

heard it affirmed that a Caliphate of the Koreysh at Mecca would go far

towards reconciling the Schismatics, Abadhites, and Shiahs with

orthodoxy; and I have reason to believe that it would so affect the

liberal three-quarters of Wahhabism. To the Shiahs, especially, a

descendant of Ali could not but be acceptable; and to the Arabs of Oman

and Yemen a Caliph of the Koreysh would be at least less repugnant than

a Caliph of the Beni Othman. There certainly have of late years been

symptoms of less bitterness between these schismatics and their old

enemies, the Sunites; and such a change in the conditions of the

Caliphate might conceivably bring about a full reconciliation of all

parties. Mussulmans can no longer afford to fight each other as of old;

and I know that a reunion of the sects is already an idea with advanced

thinkers. Lastly, the Caliphate would in Arabia be freed from the

incubus of Turkish scholasticism and the stigma of Turkish immorality,

and would have freer scope for what Islam most of all requires, a moral

reformation.

It is surely not beyond the flight of sane imagination to suppose, in

the last overwhelming catastrophe of Constantinople, a council of Ulema

assembling at Mecca, and according to the legal precedent of ancient

days electing a Caliph. The assembly would, without doubt, witness

intrigues of princes and quarrels among schoolmen and appeals to

fanaticism and accusations of infidelity. Money, too, would certainly

play its part there as elsewhere, and perhaps blood might be shed. But

any one who remembers the history of the Christian Church in the

fifteenth century, and the synods which preceded the Council of Basle,

must admit that such accompaniments of intrigue and corruption are no

bar to a legal solution of religious difficulties. It was above all else

the rivalries of Popes and Anti-popes that precipitated the Catholic

Reformation.

FOOTNOTES:

[14] According to Canon Law the Caliph cannot cede any portion of the

lands of Islam except on physical compulsion.

[15] This too was written before the events of September, 1881. These

have immensely added to the chance of Cairo's becoming once more the

seat of the Caliphate, though not perhaps of Mohammed Towfik's being the

Caliph elected.

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