“‘That is very odd. I have had a most extraordinary vision. I went to

bed, but, after being in bed a short time, I was not exactly asleep, but

thought I saw a scene as if from a play before me. The actors in it were

Lord L⸺, in a chair, as if in a fit, with a man standing over him with a

red beard. He was by the side of a bath, over which bath a red lamp was

distinctly shown.’

“I then said:

“‘I am attending Lord L⸺ at present; there is very little the matter with

him; he is not going to die; he will be all right very soon.’

“Well, he got better for a week and was nearly well, but, at the end of

six or seven days after this, I was called to see him suddenly. He had

inflammation of both lungs.

“I called in Sir William Jenner, but in six days he was a dead man. There

were two male nurses attending on him; one had been taken ill. But, when

I saw the other, the dream of the duchess was exactly represented. He was

standing near a bath over the earl and, strange to say, his beard was

red. There was the bath with the red lamp over it; and this brought the

story to my mind.

“The vision seen by the duchess was told two weeks before the death of

Lord L⸺. It is a most remarkable thing.”

7

But it is impossible to find space for the many instances related. As

I have said, there are hundreds of them, making their tracks in every

direction across the plains of the future. Those which I have quoted

give a sufficient idea of the predominating tone and the general aspect

of this sort of story. It is nevertheless right to add that many of

them are not at all tragic and that premonition opens its mysterious

and capricious vistas of the future in connection with the most diverse

and insignificant events. It cares but little for the human value of

the occurrence and puts the vision of a number in a lottery on the same

plane as the most dramatic death. The roads by which it reaches us are

also unexpected and varied. Often, as in the examples quoted, it comes

to us in a dream. Sometimes, it is an auditory or visual hallucination

which seizes upon us while awake; sometimes, an indefinable but clear

and irresistible presentiment, a shapeless but powerful obsession, an

absurd but imperative certainty which rises from the depths of our inner

darkness, where perhaps lies hidden the final answer to every riddle.

One might illustrate each of these manifestations with numerous examples.

I will mention only a few, selected not among the most striking or the

most attractive, but among those which have been most strictly tested

and investigated.[14] A young peasant from the neighbourhood of Ghent,

two months before the drawing for the conscription, announces to all and

sundry that he will draw number 90 from the urn. On entering the presence

of the district-commissioner in charge, he asks if number 90 is still in.

The answer is yes.

“Well, then, I shall have it!”

And to the general amazement, he does draw number 90.

Questioned as to the manner in which he acquired this strange certainty,

he declares that, two months ago, just after he had gone to bed, he saw a

huge, indescribable form appear in a corner of his room with the number

90 standing out plainly in the middle, in figures the size of a man’s

hand. He sat up in bed and shut and opened his eyes to persuade himself

that he was not dreaming. The apparition remained in the same place,

distinctly and undeniably.

Professor Georges Hulin, of the university of Ghent, and M. Jules van

Dooren, the district-commissioner, who report the incident, mention

three other similar and equally striking cases witnessed by M. van

Dooren during his term of office. I am the less inclined to doubt their

declaration inasmuch as I am personally acquainted with them and know

that their statements, as regards the objective reality of the facts,

are so to speak equivalent to a legal deposition. M. Bozzano mentions

some previsions which are quite as remarkable in connection with the

gaming-tables at Monte Carlo.

I repeat, I am aware that, in the case of these occurrences and those

which resemble them, it is possible once again to invoke the theory of

coincidence. It will be contended that there are probably a thousand

predictions of this kind which are never talked about, because they were

not fulfilled, whereas, if one of them is accomplished, which is bound by

the law of probabilities to happen some day or other, the astonishment

is general and free rein is given to the imagination. This is true;

nevertheless, it is well to enquire whether these predictions are as

frequent as is loosely stated. In the matter of those which concern

the conscription-drawings, for instance, I have had the opportunity of

interrogating more than one constant witness of these little dramas of

fate; and all admitted that, on the whole, they are much rarer than one

would believe. Next, we must not forget that there can be no question

here of scientific proofs. We are in the midst of a slippery and nebulous

region, where we would not dare to risk a step if we were not allowing

ourselves to be guided by our feelings rather than by certainties which

we are not forbidden to hope for, but which are not yet in sight.

8

We will abridge our subject still further, referring readers who wish to

know the details to the originals, lest we should never have done; or

rather, instead of attempting an abridgment, which would still be too

long, so plentiful are the materials, we will content ourselves with

enumerating a few instances, all taken from Bozzano’s _Des Phénomènes

prémonitoires_. We read there of a funeral procession seen on a high-road

several days before it actually passed that way; or, again, of a young

mechanic who, in the beginning of November, dreamt that he came home at

half-past five in the afternoon and saw his sister’s little girl run

over by a tram-car while crossing the street in front of the house. He

told his dream, in great distress; and, on the 13th of the same month,

in spite of all the precautions that had been taken, the child was run

over by the tram-car and killed at the hour named. We find the ghost,

the phantom animal or the mysterious noise which, in certain families,

is the traditional herald of a death or of an imminent catastrophe. We

find the celebrated vision which the painter Segantini had thirteen days

before his decease, every detail of which remained in his mind and was

represented in his last picture, _Death_. We find the Messina disaster

clearly foreseen, twice over, by a little girl who perished under the

ruins of the ill-fated city; and we read of a dream which, three months

before the French invasion of Russia, foretold to Countess Toutschkoff

that her husband would fall at Borodino, a village so little known at the

time that those interested in the dream looked in vain for its name on

the maps.

Until now we have spoken only of the spontaneous manifestations of the

future. It would seem as though coming events, gathered in front of our

lives, bear with crushing weight upon the uncertain and deceptive dike of

the present, which is no longer able to contain them. They ooze through,

they seek a crevice by which to reach us. But side by side with these

passive, independent and intractable premonitions, which are but so many

vagrant and furtive emanations of the unknown, are others which do yield

to entreaty, allow themselves to be directed into channels, are more or

less obedient to our orders and will sometimes reply to the questions

which we put to them. They come from the same inaccessible reservoir, are

no less mysterious, but yet appear a little more human than the others;

and, without drugging ourselves with puerile or dangerous illusions,

we may be permitted to hope that, if we follow them and study them

attentively, they will one day open to us the hidden paths joining that

which is no more to that which is not yet.

It is true that here, where we must needs mix with the somewhat lawless

world of professional mystery-mongers, we have to increase our caution

and walk with measured steps on very suspicious ground. But even in

this region of pitfalls we glean a certain number of facts that cannot

reasonably be contested. It will be enough to recall, for instance,

the symbolic premonitions of the famous “seeress of Prevorst,” Frau

Hauffe, whose prophetic spirit was awakened by soap-bubbles, crystals

and mirrors;[15] the clairvoyant who, eighteen years before the event,

foretold the death of a girl by the hand of her rival in 1907, in a

written prophecy which was presented to the court by the mother of

the murdered girl;[16] the gipsy who, also in writing, foretold all

the events in Miss Isabel Arundel’s life, including the name of her

husband, Burton the famous explorer;[17] the sealed letter addressed

to M. Morin, vice-president of the Société du mesmerisme, describing

the most unexpected circumstances of a death that occurred a month

later;[18] the famous “Marmontel prediction,” obtained by Mrs. Verrall’s

cross-correspondences, which gives a vision, two months and a half

before their accomplishment, of the most insignificant actions of a

traveller in an hotel bedroom;[19] and many others.

9

I will not review the various and very often grotesque methods

of interrogating the future that are most frequently practised

to-day: cards, palmistry, crystal-gazing, fortune-telling by means

of coffee-grounds, tea-leaves, magnetic needles and white of egg,

graphology, astrology and the rest. These methods, as I have said before,

are worth exactly what the medium who employs them is worth. They have no

other object than to arouse the medium’s subconsciousness and to bring

it into relation with that of the person questioning him. As a matter of

fact, all these purely empirical processes are but so many, often puerile

forms of self-manifestation adopted by the undeniable gift which is known

as intuition, clairvoyance or, in certain cases, psychometry. I have

written at length, in my volume entitled _The Unknown Guest_, of this

last faculty and need not linger over it now. All that we have still to

do is to consider it for a moment in its relations with the foretelling

of the future.

A large number of investigations, notably those conducted by M. Duchatel

and Dr. Osty, show that, in psychometry, the notion of time, as Dr.

Joseph Maxwell observes, is very loose, that is to say, the past,

present and future nearly always overlap. Most of the clairvoyant or

psychometric subjects, when they are honest, do not know, “do not feel,”

as M. Duchatel very ably remarks, “what the future is. They do not

distinguish it from the other tenses; and consequently they succeed in

being prophets, but unconscious prophets.” In a word—and this is a very

important indication from the point of view of the probable coexistence

of the three tenses—it appears that they see that which is not yet with

the same clearness and on the same plane as that which is no more, but

are incapable of separating the two visions and picking out the future

which alone interests us. For a still stronger reason, it is impossible

for them to state dates with precision. Nevertheless, the fact remains

that, when we take the trouble to sift their evidence and have the

patience to await the realization of certain events which are sometimes

not due for a long time to come, the future is fairly often perceived by

some of these strange soothsayers.

There are psychometers, however, and notably Mme. M⸺, Dr. Osty’s

favourite medium, who never confuse the future and the past. Mme. M⸺

places her visions in time according to the position which they occupy

in space. Thus she sees the future in front of her, the past behind her

and the present beside her. But, notwithstanding these distinctly-graded

visions, she also is incapable of naming her dates exactly; in fact, her

mistakes in this respect are so general that Dr. Osty looks upon it as

a pure chronological coincidence when a prediction is realized at the

moment foretold.

We should also observe that, in psychometry, only those events can be

perceived which relate directly to the individual communicating with the

percipient, for it is not so much the percipient that sees into us as

we that read in our own subconsciousness, which is momentarily lighted

by his presence. We must not therefore ask him for predictions of a

general character, whether, for instance, there will be a war in the

spring, an epidemic in the summer or an earthquake in the autumn. The

moment the question concerns events, however important, with which we are

not intimately connected, he is bound to answer, as do all the genuine

mediums, that he sees nothing.

The area of his vision being thus limited, does he really discover the

future in it? After three years of numerous, cautious and systematic

experiments with some twenty mediums, Dr. Osty categorically declares

that he does:

“All the incidents,” he says, “which filled these three years of my

life, whether wished for by me or not, or even absolutely contrary to

the ordinary routine of my life, had always been foretold to me, not all

by each of the clairvoyant subjects, but all by one or other of them. As

I have been practising these tests continually, it seems to me that the

experience of three years wholly devoted to this object should give some

weight to my opinion on the subject of predictions.”

This is incontestable; and the sincerity, scientific conscientiousness

and high intellectual value of Dr. Osty’s fine work inspire one with the

utmost confidence. Unfortunately, he contents himself with quoting too

summarily a few facts and does not, as he ought, give us _in extenso_

the details of his experiments, controls and tests. I am well aware

that this would be a thankless and wearisome task, necessitating a large

volume which a mass of puerile incidents and inevitable repetitions would

make almost unreadable. Moreover, it could scarcely help taking the form

of an intimate and indiscreet autobiography; and it is not easy to bring

one’s self to make this sort of public confession. But it has to be done.

In a science which is only in its early stages, it is not enough to show

the object attained and to state one’s conviction; it is necessary above

all to describe every path that has been taken and, by an incessant and

infinite accumulation of investigated and attested facts, to enable every

one to draw his own conclusions. This has been the cumbrous and laborious

method of the _Proceedings_ for over thirty years; and it is the only

right one. Discussion is possible and fruitful only at that price. In

all these extra-conscious matters, we have not yet reached the stage of

definite deductions, we are still bringing up materials to the scene of

operations.

Once more, I know that, in these cases, as I have seen for myself, the

really convincing facts are necessarily very rare; indeed, no elsewhere

do we meet with the same difficulty. If the medium tells you, for

instance, as Mme. M⸺ seems easily to do, how you will employ your day

from the morning onwards, if she sees you in a certain house in a certain

street meeting this or that person, it is impossible to say that, on the

one hand, she is not already reading your as yet unconscious plans or

intentions, or that, on the other hand, by doing what she has foreseen,

you are not obeying a suggestion against which you could not fight

except by violently doing the opposite to what it demands of you, which

again would be a case of inverted suggestion. None therefore would have

any value save predictions of unlikely happenings, clearly defined and

outside the sphere of the person interested. As Dr. Osty says:

“The ideal prognostication would obviously be that of an event so rare,

so sudden and unexpected, implying such a change in one’s mode of life

that the theory of coincidence could not decently be put forward. But, as

everybody is not, in the peaceful course of his existence, threatened by

such an absolutely convincing event, the clairvoyant cannot always reveal

to the person experimenting—and reveal for a more or less approximate

date—one of those incidents whose accomplishment would carry irresistible

conviction.”

In any case, the question of psychometric prognostications calls for

further enquiry, though it is easy even at the present day to foresee the

results.

10

Let us now return to our spontaneous premonitions, in which the future

comes to seek us of its own accord and, so to speak, to challenge us at

home. I know from personal experience that when we embark upon these

disconcerting matters the first impression is scarcely favourable. We are

very much inclined to laugh, to treat as wearisome tales, as hysterical

hallucinations, as ingenious or interested fictions most of the incidents

that give too violent a shock to the narrow and limited idea which we

have of our human life. To smile, to reject everything beforehand and to

pass by with averted head, as was done, remember, in the time of Galvani

and in the early days of hypnotism, is much more easy and seems more

respectable and prudent than to stop, admit and examine. Nevertheless we

must not forget that it is to some who did not smile so lightly that we

owe the best part of the marvels from whose heights we are preparing to

smile in our turn. For the rest, I grant that, thus presented, hastily

and summarily, without the details that throw light upon them and the

proofs that support them, the incidents in question do not show to

advantage and, inasmuch as they are isolated and sparingly chosen, lose

all the weight and authority derived from the compact and imposing mass

whence they are arbitrarily detached. As I said above, nearly a thousand

cases have been collected, representing probably not the tenth part of

those which a more active and general search might bring together. The

number is evidently of importance and denotes the enormous pressure of

the mystery; but, if there were only half a dozen genuine cases—and Dr.

Maxwell’s, Professor Flournoy’s, Mrs. Verrall’s, the Marmontel, Jones

and Hamilton cases and some others are undoubtedly genuine—they would be

enough to show that, under the erroneous idea which we form of the past

and the present, a new verity is living and moving, eager to come to

light.

The efforts of that verity, I need hardly say, display a very different

sort of force after we have actually and attentively read those hundreds

of extraordinary stories which, without appearing to do so, strike to

the very roots of history. We soon lose all inclination to doubt. We

penetrate into another world and come to a stop all out of countenance.

We no longer know where we stand; before and after overlap and mingle.

We no longer distinguish the insidious and factitious but indispensable

line which separates the years that have gone by from the years that

are to come. We clutch at the hours and days of the past and present to

reassure ourselves, to fasten on to some certainty, to convince ourselves

that we are still in our right place in this life where that which is

not yet seems as substantial, as real, as positive, as powerful as that

which is no more. We discover with uneasiness that time, on which we

based our whole existence, itself no longer exists. It is no longer the

swiftest of our gods, known to us only by its flight across all things;

it alters its position no more than space, of which it is doubtless but

the incomprehensible reflex. It reigns in the centre of every event; and

every event is fixed in its centre; and all that comes and all that goes

passes from end to end of our little life without moving by a hair’s

breadth around its motionless pivot. It is entitled to but one of the

thousand names which we have been wont to lavish upon its power, a power

that seemed to us manifold and innumerable: “yesterday,” “recently,”

“formerly,” “erewhile,” “after,” “before,” “to-morrow,” “soon,” “never,”

“later” fall like childish masks, whereas “to-day” and “always”

completely cover with their united shadows the idea which we form in the

end of a duration which has no subdivisions, no breaks and no stages, but

is pulseless, motionless and boundless.

11

Many are the theories which men have imagined in their attempts to

explain the working of the strange phenomenon; and many others might be

imagined.

As we have seen, self-suggestion and telepathy explain certain cases

which concern events already in existence but still latent and perceived

before the knowledge of them can reach us by the normal process of the

senses or the intelligence. But, even by extending these two theories

to their uttermost point and positively abusing their accommodating

elasticity, we do not succeed in illumining by their aid more than

a rather restricted portion of the vast undiscovered land. We must

therefore look for something else.

The first theory which suggests itself and which on the surface seems

rather attractive is that of spiritualism, which may be extended until

it is scarcely distinguishable from the theosophical theory and other

religious suppositions. It assumes the survival of spirits, the existence

of discarnate or other superior and more mysterious entities which

surround us, interest themselves in our fate, guide our thoughts and

our actions and, above all, know the future. It is, as we recognize

when we speak of ghosts and haunted houses, a very acceptable theory;

and any one to whom it appeals can adopt it without doing violence to

his intelligence. But we must confess that it seems less necessary and

perhaps even less clearly proved in this region than in that. It starts

by begging the question: without the intervention of discarnate beings,

the spiritualists tell us, it is impossible to explain the majority of

the premonitory phenomena; therefore we must admit the existence of

these discarnate beings. Let us grant it for the moment, for to beg

the question, which is merely an indefensible trick of the superficial

logic of our brain, does not necessarily condemn a theory and neither

takes away from nor adds to the reality of things. Besides, as we shall

insist later, the intervention or non-intervention of the spirits is

not the point at issue; and the crux of the mystery does not lie there.

What must interest us is far less the paths or intermediaries by which

prophetic warnings reach us than the actual existence of the future in

the present. It is true—to do complete justice to neospiritualism—that

its position offers certain advantages from the point of view of the

almost inconceivable problem of the preexistence of the future. It can

evade or divert some of the consequences of that problem. The spirits, it

declares, do not necessarily see the future as a whole, as a total past

or present, motionless and immovable, but they know infinitely better

than we do the numberless causes that determine any agent, so that,

finding themselves at the luminous source of those causes, they have no

difficulty in foreseeing their effects. They are, with respect to the

incidents still in process of formation, in the position of an astronomer

who foretells, within a second, all the phases of an eclipse in which a

savage sees nothing but an unprecedented catastrophe which he attributes

to the anger of his idols of straw or clay. It is indeed possible that

this acquaintance with a greater number of causes explains certain

predictions; but there are plenty of others which presume a knowledge of

so many causes, causes so remote and so profound, that this knowledge

is hardly to be distinguished from a knowledge of the future pure and

simple. In any case, beyond certain limits, the preexistence of causes

seems no clearer than that of effects. Nevertheless it must be admitted

that the spiritualists gain a slight advantage here.

Gleanings from Maeterlinck · 第 6 / 12 段