CHAPTER XXVI

NEUTRAL INDEPENDENCE

From 1839 till 1914, Belgium lived under the regime of independent

neutrality.

Her territory had been gradually reduced during modern times. She stood

stripped of all her marches. In the course of the seventeenth century

she had lost Walloon Flanders and Artois to France and Northern Brabant

to Holland, while the conquest by the latter Power of Zeeland Flanders

and some districts in Eastern Limburg had been confirmed and enlarged

by the 1839 settlements. In 1816 Prussia had seized the districts of

Eupen, Malmedy, St. Vith and Bitsburg, and the XXIV Articles had given

half of Luxemburg to the German Confederation.

The same treaty granted Belgium independence. Within these narrow

limits, she remained at least mistress of her destinies. She had her

own king, her own Government, her own Constitution. As far as internal

affairs were concerned, she enjoyed full sovereignty. She was

diminished, but not deeply altered. She maintained, in the nineteenth

century, all the main characteristics which had distinguished her

history and civilization during the Middle Ages and the Renaissance.

Two races, two languages, were still associated on her soil. Walloons

and Flemings took an equal share in the framing of her future. The sea

remained free for commercial purposes, and the great European roads,

which had so largely contributed in the past to placing her in the

forefront of European nations, still found in the country their natural

and necessary meeting-place. This main fact must be made evident if one

attempts to explain the causes of the Belgian renaissance during the

nineteenth century. It is not enough to say that the Belgium of Leopold

I and Leopold II followed the tradition of the Belgium of Charles V and

Philip the Good. It must be added that modern Belgium, in spite of

gradual encroachments, had remained whole. Such encroachments having

taken place on all sides, the nucleus was untouched. Belgium preserved

her great towns and her main streams. No essential organ of the

national body had been impaired.

As far as internal affairs were concerned, Belgium then emerged free

and sound from the turmoil of three centuries of European warfare. For

external affairs, she was still subjected to the restriction of

guaranteed neutrality. It is scarcely necessary to dwell on the

distinction between self-imposed neutrality, such as that existing in

Switzerland, and the regime of guaranteed neutrality imposed by the

Powers on Belgium. The first is no restriction of the sovereign rights

of the State upon its foreign policy, the second takes away from it

practically all initiative in foreign matters. If the Powers bound

themselves, in the 1839 treaty, not to violate the integrity of Belgian

territory and to defend the country in case of attack, Belgium, on her

side, undertook to observe strictly the rules of neutrality and to take

necessary measures towards the defence of her frontiers. It might be

argued, and it has been argued frequently in Belgium, that such

neutrality could not prevent a nation from possessing colonies and

concluding a defensive alliance for the sole purpose of safeguarding

herself. But, as a matter of fact, rival Powers could not give such a

liberal interpretation to the text of the treaties. First from the

French side, later from the German side, Belgium was constantly held

under suspicion. Any manifestation of public opinion concerning foreign

affairs was deeply resented, her military policy was narrowly watched,

she could not take a step towards self-defence or economic expansion

without provoking some discontent among the Powers. Thanks to the

firmness of her statesmen and, more than once, to the friendly support

of Great Britain, she was able to resist urgent demands. But it goes

without saying that the Belgian Government, anxious to preserve their

dignity, avoided all possible cause of friction, so that Belgium

scarcely ever made use of her legitimate right to determine, within

some limits, her foreign policy. Neutrality, to all intents and

purposes, meant paralysis. For many, it meant worse than

that--carelessness and apathy.

[_FALSE SECURITY_]

After the eight years of uncertainty which followed the first signature

of the XXIV Articles--eight years during which all parties joined under

the permanent Dutch menace--two currents of thought divided Belgian

opinion. The first attempted to minimize the military responsibility of

the country, and, trusting blindly to the promise of the Powers, to

reduce to a strict minimum Belgium's military charges in men and money.

The second saw clearly that, without an adequate army and the

necessary defences, Belgium would be unable to fulfil her obligations

in case her integrity should be violated, and would suffer in

consequence; it realized that any weakness in the country's defences

increased the temptation of some Powers to break their pledge. It is

easy to understand that the first school was generally more popular

than the other, and rallied not only the sincere idealists who thought

such a contingency as the tearing up of solemn treaties absolutely

impossible, but many unscrupulous politicians only too anxious to use

the popular catchword "Not a penny, not a soldier," or "Niemand

gedwongen soldaat," for electoral purposes. The Belgians had always

been stubbornly opposed to conscription; it will be remembered that

they resisted all attempts at enforcing it in the past and that it was

the main cause of the War of Peasants (1798) against the "Sans

Culottes." To a people which, by tradition, was strongly adverse to

militarism and centralization, it was only too easy to misrepresent

measures of self-defence, urgently required by the European situation,

as the first step towards autocracy and oppression. The partisans of

military safeguards found themselves, therefore, in a minority, and

their only support was the personal influence of the Belgian kings,

who, from the first days of the new regime till the eve of the war,

never ceased to emphasize the evident danger of disregarding the

country's international responsibilities. It is true that, with the

lapse of time, the danger became more and more threatening, but, on the

other hand, the "anti-militarists" found a fresh argument in the fact

that, during so many years, the country had been able to weather the

storm.

[_MILITARY PROBLEMS_]

The first trouble arose in connection with the Socialist revolution

which broke out in France in 1848. In the previous year, Marx and

Engels had established their headquarters in Brussels, where they

drafted the "Manifesto of the Communist Party." The Belgians, however,

were not prepared to adopt it, and the revolutionaries decided to

invade the country from the South. Bands organized in France and

secretly encouraged by some French leaders attempted to cross the

frontier near Mouscron, at Risquons Tout, but their advance was easily

checked by the Belgian forces.

The only consequence of these disturbances was the vote by the Chamber

of a new grant towards the reinforcement of the army: "No doubt," said

the Minister Rogier on that occasion, "it will cost something to equip

a greater number of men. But has one ever estimated the cost of an

invasion, even if it only lasted a week?" In 1850, Leopold II wrote to

one of his ministers: "Without means of defence you will be the

plaything of everyone."

A greater danger loomed ahead. Louis Napoleon had, by the coup d'etat

of December 1, 1851, imposed his dictatorship on France. Many prominent

exiles and refugees came to Belgium, and the Brussels papers openly

expressed their opinion of the new dictator. So that Belgium, which

three years before had been branded as ultramontane, was now denounced

as a nest of communists and rebels. Pressure was even brought to bear

on the Government to introduce Press censorship. It was duly ignored,

and the relations between the two countries became strained. One year

later, Napoleon became Emperor of the French, and all clear-sighted

Belgians realized that he was only awaiting an opportunity to extend

his power and authority towards the North. This was shown plainly by

the French policy with regard to Luxemburg.

[_FRANCO-PRUSSIAN WAR_]

The emperor having approached the King of Holland in view of obtaining

from him the cession of the Grand Duchy, a conference was called in

London (May 1867) at which the independence, neutrality and

inviolability of the duchy were placed under the collective guarantee

of the Powers. Thwarted in this direction by European diplomacy,

Napoleon III attempted to obtain a footing in Luxemburg by controlling

the railways. In January 1868 the Compagnie de l'Est, under guarantee

of the French Government, took over from the Compagnie Guillaume

Luxembourg its railway lines both in Luxemburg and Belgian territory.

Further negotiations began with the Belgian companies Grand Luxemburg

and Chemins de fer Liegeois-Limbourgeois, which would have placed all

the main railways of Luxemburg and South-eastern Belgium in French

hands. Warned in time, the Premier, Frere-Orban, instructed the Belgian

representative in Paris to declare that Belgium would never consent to

such an arrangement. Napoleon's threats remained without result, the

Belgian policy being strongly upheld by Lord Clarendon, and, in July

1869, a protocol was signed annulling the contracts of the Compagnie de

l'Est as far as the Belgian railways were concerned. At the same time,

Napoleon III, anxious to find at any cost "compensations" for the

increased prestige which Prussia obtained from her Danish and Austrian

victories, had sounded that Power regarding a project of partition of

the Netherlands. His proposal, first kept secret and subsequently

revealed by Bismarck on the morrow of the declaration of war in 1870,

was to annex Belgium to France, while Prussia would be left a free hand

in Holland. The publication of this revelation by _The Times_ did more

than anything else to alienate British public opinion, if not from

France at least from the French emperor, during the Franco-Prussian

War.

Baron Chazal, who had joined the Belgian ministry in 1857, succeeded in

convincing the Cabinet of the necessity of reinforcing Belgian

defences. In view of the superiority of the French army--for the threat

came evidently from that quarter at the time--it was decided to give up

the idea of defending the country by a cordon of inefficient

fortresses, and to build round Antwerp a powerful "entrenched camp,"

where the Belgian army could retreat and maintain itself until

reinforcements came from abroad. It goes without saying that the only

country which would be in a position to send such reinforcements to

Antwerp, in case of an invasion, was Great Britain, and Antwerp was

purposely chosen as the only position where considerable forces could

conveniently be disembarked from the sea. In view of the present

interpretation placed on the 1839 treaties by Holland, which gives to

the latter country the right to close the Scheldt in time of war, this

scheme seems, to say the least, hastily conceived. But the Dutch

exclusive sovereignty over the Scheldt did not appear nearly so

definite at the time as it appears now. No mention being made of the

matter in the 1839 settlement, many Belgian authorities considered that

the stream was placed under a regime of co-sovereignty, and it seemed

then incredible that the Dutch should stop the passage of relief ships.

In the face of strong popular opposition, the Chamber voted a credit of

50,000,000 francs for the Antwerp fortifications, and General

Brialmont, one of the foremost military engineers in Europe, was

entrusted with the work. After its completion, Antwerp was considered

one of the strongest fortified towns in the world.

As soon as a conflict became imminent between France and Prussia, Great

Britain, in accordance with her traditional policy as far as Belgium

was concerned, demanded from the two Powers a declaration confirming

Belgian neutrality. The situation in 1870 corresponds exactly to that

in 1914, and the language used by Mr. Asquith during the first days of

August of the latter year seems to echo the words uttered forty years

before by his great chief. "It would be impossible for us not to

interfere," firmly declared Mr. Gladstone, "should we witness the

destruction of Belgium's liberty and independence." In both cases,

British policy was inspired by the guarantee mentioned in the treaties,

a guarantee which not only implied safety for Belgium, but also

absolute opposition to any Power attempting to seize the Belgian coast.

The motives were the same, the steps taken were the same, the outcome

only was different. Both the French emperor and Bismarck confirmed, in

1870, the inviolability of Belgian territory, the latter stating that

such a declaration was not required, the treaties being sufficiently

explicit on the subject.

[_EUROPEAN POLICY IN 1870_]

Why did Germany respect in 1870 a treaty which she ignored in 1914?

Even without taking into account the change in German mentality since

her victory, military conditions were totally different. The strong

chain of fortifications on the French Eastern frontier had not yet been

erected, and the strength of the Belgian army appeared by no means

negligible. Before the enormous increase of modern armies which took

place during the twenty years of "armed peace," 80,000 men might have

made all the difference one way or the other. It was approximately the

strength of the French army which surrendered at Sedan. After this

great defeat, German Headquarters declared their intention to pursue

the fugitives into Belgian territory if the French forces attempted to

escape being encircled by crossing the frontier. Such steps, however,

were not rendered necessary. While showing their intense sympathy for

the vanquished, the Belgians fulfilled most scrupulously all their

obligations, and the European diplomats who had conceived the idea of

neutralizing "the cockpit of Europe" could congratulate themselves.

Their arrangements had worked perfectly, and for once Belgium had not

been drawn into the conflict.

In the light of recent events, it is almost to be regretted that the

test had been so successful. More than anything else, the 1870

experience allayed suspicion in and out of Belgium. The Powers

refrained from pressing on the country the necessity for further

armaments, and the hands of the anti-militarists in Belgium, instead

of being weakened (as they ought to have been if events had been placed

in their proper light), were considerably strengthened.

Illustration: LEOPOLD II. (REIGNED 1865-1909).

_Ph. B._

[_ANTWERP, LIEGE, NAMUR_]

During the long period of armed peace which followed, while the Powers

formed, on one side the "Triplice" (1883), on the other the "Duplice"

(1891) and the Entente Cordiale (1904), while armies and fleets were

increased tenfold and German aggressive policy asserted itself more and

more acutely, Belgium's defences were only slowly reinforced, in spite

of the desperate efforts of disinterested patriots and of the stern

warnings of the kings. The name of Leopold II must be associated here

with that of Albert I. Both were prompted in their action by the same

motives that inspired Leopold I's policy. They placed security on a

level with, and even above, prosperity. Standing aloof from party

intrigues, they were in a position to appeal to all patriots without

distinction, and to make use of the services of a little band of

clear-sighted citizens who saw the centre of danger transferred from

France to Germany, and watched the young Empire's military and economic

development with growing anxiety. Foremost among them stood Emile

Banning, author of a prophetic report on the Meuse defences (1881-86).

Nothing illustrated more clearly the crippling influence of neutrality

on Belgian international thought than the way this man of genius was

ignored by his fellow-citizens. In any other country, he would have

exercised a considerable influence on public opinion. In Belgium, he

was only heard by a few statesmen and, happily, by Leopold II, who no

doubt had his report in mind when, in 1887, he warned one of his

ministers of the necessity of Belgium not only safeguarding her

independence, but "preventing the passage" of foreign troops through

her territory. Germany had now become the main source of danger, but in

order to avoid all criticism it was decided to build two bridgeheads,

one at Namur and the other at Liege. The first commanded the upper

valley of the Meuse, the second the middle course of the stream; one

was facing France, the other Germany. The plan of defence was

consequently developed, the forts enabling the army to make a short

stand before retiring into the entrenched camp of Antwerp. It is

largely to Banning's clearsightedness and to Leopold II's firm attitude

that Western Europe owes the respite given by the resistance of Liege

in August 1914. Had not General Brialmont's original plans of the forts

been unduly curtailed, this resistance would have proved still more

effective.

[_MILITARY REFORM_]

Credits for the defences of Liege and Namur, like those of Antwerp a

few years before, were voted grudgingly by a Chamber lulled into a

false state of security by the experience of 1870. But, if public

opinion was little inclined to devote money to improve the country's

defences, it became obdurate when experts advised a reform of the

Belgian military system. Not only were the effectives ridiculously

small, compared with the size of the German and French armies, but

recruiting was managed through a system of drawing lots, to which was

added the evil of "substitution"--that is to say, the sons of the

bourgeois class who drew a "bad number" were entitled to buy a

substitute, who took their place in the ranks. A campaign for personal

and general service was launched, but in spite of the king's support it

met with little success. A certain number of volunteers were added to

the normal effectives in 1902, and in 1908, after the sensational

journey of William II to Tangiers, new credits were voted for the

development of the Antwerp defences. To those who objected that

fortifications would be useless if Belgium did not possess a sufficient

army to man them, the king answered: "Let us have the stones first. The

men will come later." When the seventy-fifth anniversary of Belgian

Independence gave him at last the opportunity of breaking the silence

imposed upon him by the Congo campaign, he uttered a supreme warning to

the nation: "Let us not be overconfident in our present prosperity; let

us stand closer and closer together around our flag. Nations, like

human beings, have to pass through a critical age which brings about

old age or premature death. Its date, for young nations, falls _during

the last quarter of the first century of their existence_." Once more,

on February 18, 1909, he imparted to a friend--for his lack of

popularity had made public declarations useless at that time--his

anxieties regarding the future: "It is indispensable that we should

possess a good army, that we should be able to defend ourselves, and

thus, in conformity with our international obligations, prevent the

crossing of our territory by a foreign army, and _make such crossing as

costly as possible, in order to remove the temptation from those who

would be inclined to attempt it.... On my return from my recent journey

to Germany, I warned all concerned that Germany is building more ships

and increasing her military expenses. We must efficiently complete our

fortifications and our equipment. You know that neither one nor the

other can be improvised...._"

Leopold II attached such importance to the adoption of personal

service, proposed in 1909, that he deliberately postponed an operation

which might have saved his life, in order to be able to sign the decree

which placed the Bill on the Statute Book. He died three days later.[1]

Footnote 1: See E. Vandersmissen, _Leopold II and Beernaert_, and G.

Harry, _Leopold II_ (1920).

This supreme satisfaction was not unmixed. Important concessions had

had to be made. The voluntary system was maintained to a certain

extent, only one son per family being called up for a short time

(fifteen months). The passing of the Bill was a victory in principle,

but it only increased very slightly the strength of the Belgian army.

The Pan-German campaign was in full swing by then. Maps were published,

beyond the Rhine, showing large portions of Belgium painted in imperial

red, like the rest of the Reich. Pamphlets and books appeared claiming

Antwerp as a German port and connecting East Africa with the German

Cameroons through the Belgian Congo. Still the majority of the Belgians

would not believe that such views were shared by the German Emperor and

his Government. It was only after the Agadir coup (1911) and Algeciras

(1912) that M. de Broqueville, Minister of War, strongly supported by

King Albert, was able to carry through a Bill introducing general and

compulsory service, which would have placed the army on a proper

footing if its provisions had been rendered immediately effective.

Unhappily, the Bill only provided for a gradual increase, the army

reaching its full strength of 340,000 men in 1917. This last

reservation proved nearly fatal to the country, for, when mobilization

was ordered, in July 1914, the total forces available only amounted to

117,000 men, of which the combatant portion was reduced to 93,000

bayonets--an increase of only 10,000 over the effectives of 1870.

There are few subjects so depressing as the slow development of Belgian

defences under the threat of invasion. Each time the situation became

serious, as in 1848, 1852, 1908 and 1911, public opinion allowed some

progress to be made. But it came always too late. The people were ready

to face their responsibilities, but they could not be made to realize

them. Blindly relying on the 1839 treaties, absorbed in their economic

and intellectual development, they showed little interest in

international affairs. Those who did, found themselves in the dilemma

either of taking refuge in a fools' paradise or of powerlessly facing

an ever-growing menace. Neutrality may have saved Belgium in 1870, full

independence might have saved her in 1914.

Belgium: From the Roman Invasion to the Present Day · 第 26 / 29 章