Conclusion

From this brief outline may be seen how tremendous and important a role

was played by Russia in the world conflict. Summing up the general

facts cited above, we arrive at the following definite conclusions:

1.) Russia's role in the World War was bound to be very serious and

important for this reason alone, that the participation of a nation

numbering 180 million souls could not fail to be significant in itself,

and was therefore bound to exercise a tremendous influence upon the

outcome of the World War.

2.) Accordingly, Russia's role became apparent even at the very

beginning of the War, in the important aid she rendered in frustrating

the initial and most dangerous plan of the Germans, by her early

offensive in aid of the Allies. Russia, having diverted against herself

the entire Austrian army and part of the German, at the time of the

battle on the Marne, through her offensive in East Prussia and Galicia,

deprived the enemy of the opportunity to realize the fundamental idea

of Moltke's plan to fling "all forces into France." The enemy, having

contrary to his plan moved on France with only a part of his forces,

inevitably suffered defeat. This cooperation on the part of Russia was

of tremendous significance, for the Germans based their plan on the

idea that they would at first have to deal only with France alone, on

one front only, whereas Russia compelled them at once to start the

War on two fronts, both with Russia and France. This made the initial

German war plan useless because strategy says plainly: "Errors in the

strategic deploying of forces in the beginning of a war have a decisive

influence and cannot be rectified until the war is over." From this

rule of strategy it is plain that Russia's operations in the beginning

of the war at the outset condemned Germany to lose the war.

3.) At the following attempt of the enemy to find a decision in France,

to break through to Calais, at Ypres, Russia, by the blows she

delivered in Galicia, at Warsaw and in East Prussia, contributed to the

early termination of this second offensive in France, so dangerous to

England, and compelled the Germans for more than a year to abstain from

their main operations on the main decisive front of the War--in France.

4.) In 1915 Russia, having shouldered alone the whole burden of the

struggle against Germany, Austria and Turkey, although forced to

abandon Poland, still gave the Allies the opportunity to prepare

throughout a whole year for the coming German offensive at Verdun.

At the same time, having compelled the Germans during 1915 to spend

all their fresh formations and reserves on the Russian front, Russia

thereby deprived the Germans of the reserves they needed for Verdun and

their other operations in France.

5.) In 1916 Russia, thanks to the Brusilov offensive, saved Italy at

that critical moment when the Austrians, through their successful

offensive from Tyrol in the rear of the Italians, threatened to cut

off a considerable portion of the Italian Army, at the same time

menacing Venice. Together with this, Russia by this offensive greatly

facilitated the operations of the Allies on the Somme, and was

instrumental in the final clearing of the Verdun forts.

6.) In 1916 Russia took upon herself the blows of Mackensen's and

Falkenhayn's armies which had invaded Roumania, stopped the further

advance of the Germans, and undertook the defense of a considerable

stretch of the Roumanian front.

7.) Through a period of three years of struggle against Germany,

Austria and Turkey, Russia, having diverted the forces of the enemy,

afforded the Allies a long period of quiet for the preparation and

strengthening of the Allied Armies and for the systematic creation of

a new 4 million British Army.

8.) Throughout this period of three years of struggle _Russia compelled

the enemy to spend on the Russian front such a stupendous amount of

force, reserves and munitions_ as to hasten the inevitable fall of

the enemy, and _this immensely facilitated the delivery of the final,

decisive blows by the Allies_.

9.) Russia, incessantly drawing upon herself the forces of the enemy,

did not give him the opportunity for one minute from the very beginning

of the War to gather sufficient force for a decisive blow on the main,

decisive front--in France. The role of Russia, therefore, was clearly

apparent in the fact that she deprived Germany throughout the War of

the possibility to win and rendered futile every effort of the enemy in

this respect.

10.) Corresponding with the most important role that Russia played in

the War are her enormous sacrifices in men, material and treasure.

Her losses in men, amounting to 12,000,000, exceed several times the

casualties of any of the Allies; are almost equal to the losses of

all the Allies combined; exceed several times the total number of men

mobilized by any one of the Allies....

11.) Russia's role in the recent war was so important and extraordinary

that _without Russia the very idea of a struggle with German militarism

would have been impossible_. Germany would have been able to crush any

combination of the European Powers if Russia had not participated in

such combination. Were it not for Russia, Germany would now dominate

not only Europe, but probably the rest of the world as well.

12.) Russia's great role in the World War is so much the greater since

she fought under extraordinary circumstances, lacking so indispensable

an asset as a great network of railways, with a backward technique,

industry, etc. In the hard first years of the War the Russian Armies,

as we have seen, in extraordinary circumstances and frequently without

arms and munitions, did everything possible, and, together with

failures, had also their successes.

Ludendorf was able to achieve success on the Russian front only when

the Germans outnumbered their adversaries by at least three to two. At

Tannenberg the Germans had twice as many and, at certain stages, even

three times as many men as the Russians. Against Rennenkampf Ludendorf

had three men to every two of his enemy, and probably even as many

as two to one, as Rennenkampf had suffered severe losses during the

preceding days.

It is equally true that the Russians were able to defeat the Germans

whenever they had even a small superiority of force. Near Warsaw

the Russians had less than five men to every four Germans and they

succeeded in defeating the latter and throwing them clear across all

Poland.

It may seem strange that the Germans should have managed to have

numerical superiority over the Russians all the time. Regrettable as

it may be, it is nevertheless true, for the strength of an army is

determined not by the number of its men, but by the number of bayonets

(infantry), sabres (cavalry) and guns (artillery). The Russian Army

consisted of millions, but bayonets and guns it had only for one-tenth

of its number. In 1915 some Russian divisions numbered, instead of

20,000 bayonets, only a mere thousand, owing to disastrous losses. The

only employment of infantry during those days was as a screen for the

artillery, while the latter was quite useless for fighting purposes

because it had no ammunition whatever. Under such conditions many of

our corps often did not exceed the strength of a single regiment and

some armies numbered no more effectives than a single division. We

had plenty of men, but no arms and ammunition. Therefore, the Germans

frequently surpassed us not in men, but in bayonets and guns.

The tragedy of the Russian situation lay in the cruel fact that Russia,

while only one-tenth of her Armies were armed, was facing Germany

and Austria, who were armed from head to foot. Not Ludendorf and not

his ordinary military skill were the causes of Russia's failures in

the first year of the War, but that simple and terrible truth which

Brusilov once expressed in the following words: "_The Russians had no

shells with which to blast their way across barbed-wire entanglements

before an attack; so it became necessary for them to break down the

wires with the bodies of Russian soldiers, and to form a bridge across

these dead bodies for the next attacking column._"

[Illustration: The black line represents the Russian front in 1917. The

front stretched from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea. The Roumanian

front was held also primarily by Russian troops.]

We have concluded our sketch of Russia's participation in the World War

with 1917. But 1918 also has its story: in that year Russia was denied

a voice at the conference on that peace in the name of which Russia had

offered up so many sacrifices and made such efforts.

We have seen how important and essential a part Russia played in the

overthrow of German militarism. Russia's tremendous role confirms

once more the elementary truth that in the future also Russia will

inevitably be a colossal factor of political and military equilibrium

in Europe. Whatever does happen to Russia, however they may dismember

her living body, the immense Russian nation, with 125 million souls of

pure Russian blood alone, will always remain that heavy military weight

which inevitably lowers that particular scale upon which it descends.

It is true, Germany is now crushed and enfeebled. But we know that

victorious countries are now suffering not less, and some of them even

more, from the consequences of the most stupendous world conflict.

Years will pass, and possibly but a few years, and again the world

will recuperate. We have no reason to expect that the active German

people will lag behind the rest in this work of reestablishing normal

conditions of life and labor.

The Treaty of Versailles has not solved a good many problems, and among

them also those that were the cause of the World War. Notwithstanding

all partitioning, Germany still retains up to 60 million souls, but

France only a little more than 40 million. The population of Germany

has always been growing, while that of France, if it has not decreased,

has not increased. _After all, Germany has and will have a numerical

superiority over France of one and a half times._

France, well aware of that, tries to maintain an alliance with England,

and reckons upon the aid of America. But the statesmen of the West

realize how insufficient all this is, for they still remember well that

first critical month of the War when France was all alone and saved

herself only through extraordinary efforts.

Until the United States arrives on the scene! Why, that inevitably

means months and months of waiting. Until the British Army is mobilized

and transported! Why, we know how difficult and tedious are the

conditions of embarkation and landing of troops, artillery, transport

columns, munitions, etc. We know that the 150,000 soldiers of the

British Army alone required, in August, 1914, more than three weeks for

disembarkation. And where? In three ports where everything was equipped

for disembarkation purposes, where ideal conditions prevailed such as

were hard to find in any other ports.

Thus France, in the event of a new conflict with her old foe, will

again find herself for quite some time left all alone to face the

numerically superior enemy. Where will Russia be then?

No Poland, no combination of any group of small States will be able to

take the place of Russia, for that would be a mere 15-20 millions; it

will be not Russia, but only one-seventh, a sixth, or fifth part of

that which Russia gave during the past War. These weak nations will

only become additional trophies to the enemy, just as Roumania, Serbia

and Belgium became his easy prey in the past War.

Where will Russia be then? Not the present-day Russia bleeding to death

in its struggle against Bolshevism, but the future, once more powerful,

Russia?...

Bolshevism, an abnormal phenomenon, is bound to come to an

end--somewhat earlier, or somewhat later. No matter how much may be

cut off from Russia, she will always remain an immense, great, rich,

and therefore powerful, country. Too much will depend upon what this

coming Russia may have to say, for any sensible statesman to refuse to

reckon with that eventuality.

This question the statesmen of the West must ask of themselves clearly

and plainly--not those statesmen who think no further than the

following day and of the success of their fight against their political

opponents--but those wise leaders of the nations who really have at

heart the interests of their own countries, as well as of the entire

civilized world. "Ostrich politics" may least of all be applied in

dealing with that tremendous military and political factor which covers

one-sixth of the land surface of the globe and is called Russia.

Russia's Part in the World War · 第 12 / 16 题