The Balkan has never been as politically fragmented as it is today. It

has never been under the auspices of only one superpower. These are

destabilizing facts. But one thing has not changed. The Balkan has

always been the battlefield of numerous clashing and equally potent

interests coupled with military might.

In the last decade, the West has been busy establishing protectorates

(Bosnia-Herzegovina, Kosovo, and now, most probably, Macedonia) and

effectively altering borders without admitting to it. NATO, that cold

war anachronism, is still busy maintaining its southern flank, composed

of the eternal adversaries, Turkey and Greece. Turkey is the natural

road to Central Asia and its oil riches and, further on, to an

ominously emerging China. The Balkan is, once again, the playground of

the grand designers.

Europe's New Jews

By: Dr. Sam Vaknin

Also published by United Press International (UPI)

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Turkey's Jewish Friend

They inhabit self-imposed ghettoes, subject to derision and worse, the

perennial targets of far-right thugs and populist politicians of all

persuasions. They are mostly confined to menial jobs. They are accused

of spreading crime, terrorism and disease, of being backward and

violent, of refusing to fit in.

Their religion, atavistic and rigid, insists on ritual slaughter and

male circumcision. They rarely mingle socially or inter-marry. Most of

them - though born in European countries - are not allowed to vote.

Brown-skinned and with a marked foreign accent, they are subject to

police profiling and harassment and all manner of racial

discrimination.

They are the new Jews of Europe - its Muslim minorities.

Muslims - especially Arab youths from North Africa - are, indeed,

disproportionately represented in crime, including hate crime, mainly

against the Jews. Exclusively Muslim al-Qaida cells have been

discovered in many West European countries. But this can be safely

attributed to ubiquitous and trenchant long-term unemployment and to

stunted upward mobility, both social and economic due largely to latent

or expressed racism.

Moreover, the stereotype is wrong. The incidence of higher education

and skills is greater among Muslim immigrants than in the general

population - a phenomenon known as "brain drain". Europe attracts the

best and the brightest - students, scholars, scientists, engineers and

intellectuals - away from their destitute, politically dysfunctional

and backward homelands.

The Economist surveys the landscape of friction and withdrawal:

"Indifference to Islam has turned first to disdain, then to suspicion

and more recently to hostility ... (due to images of) petro-powered

sheikhs, Palestinian terrorists, Iranian ayatollahs, mass immigration

and then the attacks of September 11th, executed if not planned by

western-based Muslims and succored by an odious regime in Afghanistan

... Muslims tend to come from poor, rural areas; most are ill-educated,

many are brown. They often encounter xenophobia and discrimination,

sometimes made worse by racist politicians. They speak the language of

the wider society either poorly or not at all, so they find it hard to

get jobs. Their children struggle at school. They huddle in poor

districts, often in state-supplied housing ... They tend to withdraw

into their own world, (forming a) self-sufficient, self-contained

community."

This self-imposed segregation has multiple dimensions. Clannish

behavior persists for decades. Marriages are still arranged - reluctant

brides and grooms are imported from the motherland to wed immigrants

from the same region or village. The "parallel society", in the words

of a British government report following the Oldham riots two years

ago, extends to cultural habits, religious practices and social norms.

Assimilation and integration has many enemies.

Remittances from abroad are an important part of the gross national

product and budgetary revenues of countries such as Bangladesh and

Pakistan. Hence their frantic efforts to maintain the cohesive national

and cultural identity of the expats.

DITIB is an arm of the Turkish government's office for religious

affairs. It discourages the assimilation or social integration of Turks

in Germany. Turkish businesses - newspapers, satellite TV, foods,

clothing, travel agents, publishers - thrive on ghettoization.

There is a tacit confluence of interests between national governments,

exporters and Islamic organizations. All three want Turks in Germany to

remain as Turkish as possible. The more nostalgic and homebound the

expatriate - the larger and more frequent his remittances, the higher

his consumption of Turkish goods and services and the more prone he is

to resort to religion as a determinant of his besieged and fracturing

identity.

Muslim numbers are not negligible. Two European countries have Muslim

majorities - Bosnia-Herzegovina and Albania. Others - in both Old

Europe and its post-communist east - harbor sizable and growing Islamic

minorities. Waves of immigration and birth rates three times as high as

the indigenous population increase their share of the population in

virtually every European polity - from Russia to Macedonia and from

Bulgaria to Britain. One in seven Russians is Muslim - over 20 million

people.

According to the March-April issue of Foreign Policy, the non-Muslim

part of Europe will shrink by 3.5 percent by 2015 while the Muslim

populace will likely double. There are 3 million Turks in Germany and

another 12 million Muslims - Algerians, Moroccans, Pakistanis,

Bangladeshis, Egyptians, Senegalese, Malis, or Tunisians - in the rest

of the European Union.

This is two and one half times the number of Muslims in the United

States. Even assuming - wrongly - that all of them occupy the lowest

decile of income, their combined annual purchasing power would amount

to a whopping $150 billion. Furthermore, recent retroactive changes to

German law have naturalized over a million immigrants and automatically

granted its much-coveted citizenship to the 160,000 Muslims born in

Germany every year .

Between 2-3 million Muslims in France - half their number - are

eligible to vote. Another million - one out of two - cast ballots in

Britain. These numbers count at the polls and are not offset by the

concerted efforts of a potent Jewish lobby - there are barely a million

Jews in Western Europe.

Muslims are becoming a well-courted swing vote. They may have decided

the last election in Germany, for instance. Recognizing their growing

centrality, France established - though not without vote-rigging - a

French Council of the Islamic Faith, the equivalent of Napoleon's

Jewish Consistory. Two French cabinet members are Muslims. Britain has

a Muslim Council.

Both Vladimir Putin, Russia's president and Yuri Luzhkov, Moscow's

mayor, now take the trouble to greet the capital's one million Muslims

on the occasion of their Feast of Sacrifice. They also actively solicit

the votes of the nationalist and elitist Muslims of the industrialized

Volga - mainly the Tatars, Bashkirs and Chuvash. Even the impoverished,

much-detested and powerless Muslims of the northern Caucasus -

Chechens, Circassians and Dagestanis - have benefited from this

newfound awareness of their electoral power.

Though divided by their common creed - Shiites vs. Sunnites vs.

Wahabbites and so on - the Muslims of Europe are united in supporting

the Palestinian cause and in opposing the Iraq war. This - and

post-colonial guilt feelings, especially manifest in France and Britain

- go a long way toward explaining Germany's re-discovered pacifistic

spine and France's anti-Israeli (not to say anti-Semitic) tilt.

Moreover, the Muslims have been playing an important economic role in

the continent since the early 1960s. Europe's postwar miracle was

founded on these cheap, plentiful and oft-replenished Gastarbiter -

"guest workers". Objective studies have consistently shown that

immigrants contribute more to their host economies - as consumers,

investors and workers - than they ever claw back in social services and

public goods. This is especially true in Europe, where an ageing

population of early retirees has been relying on the uninterrupted flow

of pension contributions by younger laborers, many of them immigrants.

Business has been paying attention to this emerging market. British

financial intermediaries - such as the West Bromwich Building Society -

have recently introduced "Islamic" (interest-free) mortgages. According

to market research firm, Datamonitor, gross advances in the UK alone

could reach $7 billion in 2006 - up from $60 million today. The Bank of

England is in the throes of preparing regulations to accommodate the

pent-up demand.

Yet, their very integration, however hesitant and gradual, renders the

Muslims in Europe vulnerable to the kind of treatment the old continent

meted out to its Jews before the holocaust. Growing Muslim presence in

stagnating job markets within recessionary economies inevitably

generated a backlash, often cloaked in terms of Samuel Huntington's

1993 essay in Foreign Affairs, "Clash of Civilizations".

Even tolerant Italy was affected. Last year, the Bologna archbishop,

Cardinal Giacomo Biffi, cast Islam as incompatible with Italian

culture. The country's prime minister suggested, in a visit to Berlin

two years ago, that Islam is an inherently inferior civilization.

Oriana Fallaci, a prominent journalist, published last year an inane

and foul-mouthed diatribe titled "The Rage and the Pride" in which she

accused Muslims of "breeding like rats", "shitting and pissing" (sic!)

everywhere and supporting Osama bin-Laden indiscriminately.

Young Muslims reacted - by further radicalizing and by refusing to

assimilate - to both escalating anti-Islamic rhetoric in Europe and the

"triumphs" of Islam elsewhere, such as the revolution in Iran in 1979.

Tutored by preachers trained in the most militant Islamist climates in

Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Somalia, Pakistan and Iran, praying in mosques

financed by shady Islamic charities - these youngsters are amenable to

recruiters from every fanatical grouping.

The United Kingdom suffered some of the worst race riots in half a

century in the past two years. France is terrorized by an unprecedented

crime wave emanating from the banlieux - the decrepit, predominantly

Muslim, housing estates in suburbia. September 11 only accelerated the

inevitable conflict between an alienated minority and hostile

authorities throughout the continent. Recent changes in European -

notably British - legislation openly profile and target Muslims.

This is a remarkable turnaround. Europe supported the Muslim Bosnian

cause against the Serbs, Islamic Chechnya against Russia, the

Palestinians against the Israelis and Muslim Albanian insurgents

against both Serbs and Macedonians. Nor was this consistent pro-Islamic

orientation a novelty.

Britain's Commission for Racial Equality which caters mainly to the

needs of Muslims, was formed 37 years ago. Its Foreign Office has never

wavered from its pro-Arab bias. Germany established a Central Council

for Muslims. Both anti-Americanism and the more veteran anti-Israeli

streak helped sustain Europe's empathy with Muslim refugees and

"freedom fighters" throughout the 1960s, 70s and 80s.

September 11 put paid to this amity. The danger is that the brand of

"Euro-Islam" that has begun to emerge lately may be decimated by this

pervasive and sudden mistrust. Time Magazine described this blend as

"the traditional Koran-based religion with its prohibitions against

alcohol and interest-bearing loans now indelibly marked by the

'Western' values of tolerance, democracy and civil liberties."

Such "enlightened" Muslims can serve as an invaluable bridge between

Europe and Russia, the Middle East, Asia, including China and other

places with massive Muslim majorities or minorities. As most world

conflicts today involve Islamist militants, global peace and a

functioning "new order" critically depend on the goodwill and

communication skills of Muslims.

Such a benign amalgam is the only realistic hope for reconciliation.

Europe is ageing and stagnating and can be reinvigorated only by

embracing youthful, dynamic, driven immigrants, most of whom are bound

to be Muslim. Co-existence is possible and the clash of civilization

not an inevitability unless Huntington's dystopic vision becomes the

basic policy document of the West.

T H E A U T H O R

SHMUEL (SAM) VAKNIN

Curriculum Vitae

Click on blue text to access relevant web sites - thank you.

Born in 1961 in Qiryat-Yam, Israel.

Served in the Israeli Defence Force (1979-1982) in training and

education units.

Education

Graduated a few semesters in the Technion - Israel Institute of

Technology, Haifa.

Ph.D. in Philosophy (major : Philosophy of Physics) - Pacific Western

University, California.

Graduate of numerous courses in Finance Theory and International

Trading.

Certified E-Commerce Concepts Analyst.

Certified in Psychological Counselling Techniques.

Full proficiency in Hebrew and in English.

Business Experience

1980 to 1983

Founder and co-owner of a chain of computerized information kiosks in

Tel-Aviv, Israel.

1982 to 1985

Senior positions with the Nessim D. Gaon Group of Companies in Geneva,

Paris and New-York (NOGA and APROFIM SA):

- Chief Analyst of Edible Commodities in the Group's Headquarters in

Switzerland.

- Manager of the Research and Analysis Division

- Manager of the Data Processing Division

- Project Manager of The Nigerian Computerized Census

- Vice President in charge of RND and Advanced Technologies

- Vice President in charge of Sovereign Debt Financing

1985 to 1986

Represented Canadian Venture Capital Funds in Israel.

1986 to 1987

General Manager of IPE Ltd. in London. The firm financed international

multi-lateral countertrade and leasing transactions.

1988 to 1990

Co-founder and Director of "Mikbats - Tesuah", a portfolio management

firm based in Tel-Aviv.

Activities included large-scale portfolio management, underwriting,

forex trading and general financial advisory services.

1990 to Present

Free-lance consultant to many of Israel's Blue-Chip firms, mainly on

issues related to the capital markets in Israel, Canada, the UK and the

USA.

Consultant to foreign RND ventures and to Governments on macro-economic

matters.

President of the Israel chapter of the Professors World Peace Academy

(PWPA) and (briefly) Israel representative of the "Washington Times".

1993 to 1994

Co-owner and Director of many business enterprises:

- The Omega and Energy Air-Conditioning Concern

- AVP Financial Consultants

- Handiman Legal Services

Total annual turnover of the group: 10 million USD.

Co-owner, Director and Finance Manager of COSTI Ltd. - Israel's

largest computerized information vendor and developer. Raised funds

through a series of private placements locally, in the USA, Canada and

London.

1993 to 1996

Publisher and Editor of a Capital Markets Newsletter distributed by

subscription only to dozens of subscribers countrywide.

In a legal precedent in 1995 - studied in business schools and law

faculties across Israel - was tried for his role in an attempted

takeover of Israel's Agriculture Bank.

Was interned in the State School of Prison Wardens.

Managed the Central School Library, wrote, published and lectured on

various occasions.

Managed the Internet and International News Department of an Israeli

mass media group, "Ha-Tikshoret and Namer".

Assistant in the Law Faculty in Tel-Aviv University (to Prof. S.G.

Shoham).

1996 to 1999

Financial consultant to leading businesses in Macedonia, Russia and the

Czech Republic.

Collaborated with the Agency of Transformation of Business with Social

Capital.

Economic commentator in "Nova Makedonija", "Dnevnik", "Izvestia",

"Argumenti i Fakti", "The Middle East Times", "Makedonija Denes", "The

New Presence", "Central Europe Review" , and other periodicals and in

the economic programs on various channels of Macedonian Television.

Chief Lecturer in courses organized by the Agency of Transformation, by

the Macedonian Stock Exchange and by the Ministry of Trade.

1999 to 2002

Economic Advisor to the Government of the Republic of Macedonia and to

the Ministry of Finance.

2001 to present

Senior Business Correspondent for United Press International (UPI)

Web and Journalistic Activities

Author of extensive Websites in Psychology ("Malignant Self Love") - An

Open Directory Cool Site

Philosophy ("Philosophical Musings")

Economics and Geopolitics ("World in Conflict and Transition")

Owner of the Narcissistic Abuse Announcement and Study List and the

Narcissism Revisited mailing list (more than 3900 members)

Owner of the Economies in Conflict and Transition Study list.

Editor of mental health disorders and Central and Eastern Europe

categories in web directories (Open Directory, Suite 101, Search

Europe).

Columnist and commentator in "The New Presence", United Press

International (UPI), InternetContent, eBookWeb and "Central Europe

Review".

Publications and Awards

"Managing Investment Portfolios in states of Uncertainty", Limon

Publishers, Tel-Aviv, 1988

"The Gambling Industry", Limon Publishers., Tel-Aviv, 1990

"Requesting my Loved One - Short Stories", Yedioth Aharonot, Tel-Aviv,

1997

"The Macedonian Economy at a Crossroads - On the way to a Healthier

Economy" (with Nikola Gruevski), Skopje, 1998

"Malignant Self Love - Narcissism Revisited", Narcissus Publications,

Prague and Skopje, 1999, 2001, 2002

The Narcissism Series - e-books regarding relationships with abusive

narcissists (Skopje, 1999-2002)

"The Exporters' Pocketbook", Ministry of Trade, Republic of Macedonia,

Skopje, 1999

"The Suffering of Being Kafka" (electronic book of Hebrew Short

Fiction, Prague, 1998)

"After the Rain - How the West Lost the East", Narcissus Publications

in association with Central Europe Review/CEENMI, Prague and Skopje,

2000

Winner of numerous awards, among them the Israeli Education Ministry

Prize (Literature) 1997, The Rotary Club Award for Social Studies

(1976) and the Bilateral Relations Studies Award of the American

Embassy in Israel (1978).

Hundreds of professional articles in all fields of finances and the

economy and numerous articles dealing with geopolitical and political

economic issues published in both print and web periodicals in many

countries.

Many appearances in the electronic media on subjects in philosophy and

the Sciences and concerning economic matters.

Contact Details:

palma@unet.com.mk

vaknin@link.com.mk

My Web Sites:

Economy / Politics:

http://ceeandbalkan.tripod.com/

Psychology:

http://samvak.tripod.com/index.html

Philosophy:

http://philosophos.tripod.com/

Poetry:

http://samvak.tripod.com/contents.html

After the Rain

How the West

Lost the East

The Book

This is a series of articles written and published in 1996-2000 in

Macedonia, in Russia, in Egypt and in the Czech Republic.

How the West lost the East. The economics, the politics, the

geopolitics, the conspiracies, the corruption, the old and the new, the

plough and the internet - it is all here, in colourful and provocative

prose.

From "The Mind of Darkness":

"'The Balkans' - I say - 'is the unconscious of the world'. People stop

to digest this metaphor and then they nod enthusiastically. It is here

that the repressed memories of history, its traumas and fears and

images reside. It is here that the psychodynamics of humanity - the

tectonic clash between Rome and Byzantium, West and East,

Judeo-Christianity and Islam - is still easily discernible. We are

seated at a New Year's dining table, loaded with a roasted pig and

exotic salads. I, the Jew, only half foreign to this cradle of

Slavonics. Four Serbs, five Macedonians. It is in the Balkans that all

ethnic distinctions fail and it is here that they prevail

anachronistically and atavistically. Contradiction and change the only

two fixtures of this tormented region. The women of the Balkan - buried

under provocative mask-like make up, retro hairstyles and too narrow

dresses. The men, clad in sepia colours, old fashioned suits and turn

of the century moustaches. In the background there is the crying game

that is Balkanian music: liturgy and folk and elegy combined. The

smells are heavy with muskular perfumes. It is like time travel. It is

like revisiting one's childhood."

The Author

Sam Vaknin is the author of Malignant Self Love - Narcissism Revisited

and After the Rain - How the West Lost the East. He is a columnist for

Central Europe Review and eBookWeb , a United Press International (UPI)

Senior Business Correspondent, and the editor of mental health and

Central East Europe categories in The Open Directory and Suite101 .

Until recently, he served as the Economic Advisor to the Government of

Macedonia.

Visit Sam's Web site at http://samvak.tripod.com

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